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Shalom Hamou's  Instablog

I am the youngest economist at My Yield Curve. Since spring of 1994 I have been working on economic depressions. I am writing The Tract The Religious Interpretation of Employment, Interest, and Money.. It explains the nature and causes of economic depressions. After a period of Irrational... More
My business:
My Yield Curve
My blog:
My Yield Curve - The New Economic Order.
My book:
The Religious Interpretation of Employment, Interest, and Money..
  • Æta Tumultuosa: Votus Novo Ordo Seclorum Pro Bono.
    The Tract Pro Bono explains the nature and causes of economic depressions. It proposes a plausible alternative solution. It explains the necessary conditions that must be met for the occurrence of a Crash. It presents the immediate dangers we are facing.

     
    It has been written for the general public. To a certain extent reading it doesn't require any prior knowledge in economy.

    It proves that, accelerated by Ben "Systemic Risk" Bernanke's brutal Quantitative Easing, after a short period of exceptionally good economic conditions and Irrational Exhuberance, which will inflate the Mother of All Asset Price Bubbles, we will have a Keynes' Liquidity Trap, The Crash and The Deep Depression.

    It makes a critical analysis of Credit Based, Free Market Economy, Capitalism, and proves that its dysfunctions are the result of the existence of credit. It shows that income / wealth disparity, cause and consequence of credit, is a first order hidden variable, of economic development.

    Using a novel model of the shape of the yield curve It solves most of the puzzles of macro economy: among which, Unemployment, Under Development, International Division of Labour, Business Cycles, Stagflation, Greenspan Conundrum, Oil / Mineral Prices, Deflation, Keynes' Liquidity Trap, Market Crashes...

    It shows that no fiscal or monetary policy, including the barbaric Quantitative Easing will get the world out of  The Deep Depression.

    The Adjusted Credit Free, Free Market Economy is The Plausible Alternative to Capitalism a solution that would correct all of its dysfunctions.

    It will be both more efficient, more equitable, more liberal and more libertarian.

    A surprising result of my research is that what is optimal from an mathematical/economic point of view is also  optimal from a moral point of view and is the only one that obeys to the precept of both Islamic Qu'ran and Jewish Torah. A rare occurrence never seen before.

    In This Age of Turbulence The People Wants an Exit Strategy out of Credit, a New Economic Order.


    Because of the immediate necessity to inform people about immediate dangers that could threaten us, I have decided to give it for free to those who would order it before September 17tn, 2009.


    Æta Tumultuosa: Votus Novo Ordo Seclorum Pro Bono.


    Reminder: for those who know what it is, Friday 18th, September is quadruple witching on the US financial Markets!

    Ben 'Systemic Risk' Bernanke is Dialing 911! Don't Hang Up on Him!

    Disclosure: `Long Bonds, Long Stocks, Long Minerals.


    Aug 19 10:36 am | Link | Comment!
  • Revoke Bernanke Now!

    Bernanke was the only cause, I proved, of the Great Recession and probably acted on purpose. He had the knowledge (Bernanke is a renown specialist of The Great Depression he even wrote a book on the subject: Essays on the Great Depression), the means, motive (The vast increase of personal powers he earned thanks to The Great Recession), and opportunity.

    Worse, in light of the exercise of the central bank extraordinary power by Bernanke, I argue that he poses a real immediate threat to democracy, peace, privacy and individual freedom.

    Given the immediate dangers that are evoked in these lines I strongly suggest that you revoke Bernanke.

    Revoke Bernanke
    "I will argue here that, to the contrary, there is much that the Bank of Japan, in cooperation with other government agencies, could do to help promote economic recovery in Japan.

    Most of my arguments will not be new to the policy board and staff of the BOJ, which of course has discussed these questions extensively.

    However, their responses, when not confused or inconsistent, have generally relied on various technical or legal objections- objections which, I will argue, could be overcome if the will to do so existed."


    Prof. Ben Shalom Bernanke
    Japanese Monetary Policy: A Case of Self-Induced Paralysis?
    For Presentation at the ASSA Meetings,
    Boston MA,
    January 9th, 2000.
    Ben
    "The slowdown in economic activity, together with high interest rates, was in all likelihood the most important source of the stock market crash that followed in October.

    In other words, the market crash, rather than being the cause of the Depression, as popular legend has it, was in fact largely the result of an economic slowdown and the inappropriate monetary policies that preceded it.

    Of course, the stock market crash only worsened the economic situation, hurting consumer and business confidence and contributing to a still deeper downturn in 1930."


    Governor Ben S. Bernanke
    Money, Gold, and the Great Depression.
    At the H. Parker Willis Lecture in Economic Policy, Washington and Lee University,
    Lexington, Virginia.
    March 2nd, 2004



    Revoke Bernanke: Sign the Petition to Request from President Barack Obama That Ben 'Systemic Risk' Bernanke be Removed From Office.


    Systemic Risks Ahead!

    In The Tract: The Age of Turbulence: Plea for a New Economic Order I prove that, because of Bernanke's brutal Quantitative Easing, after a short period of exceptionally good economic conditions, and Irrational Exhuberance, which will inflate the Mother of All Asset Price Bubbles, we will have a Keynes' Liquidity Trap, The Crash and a Deep Depression. No monetary or fiscal policy will then pull the World out of The Deep Depression.
    Bernanke Inflating a Bubble.

    What do we do Before The Crash?

    We have designed a Strategy: Preparing for The Crash, The Age of Turbulence.

    Its purpose is to profit from both the inflation of The Mother of All Asset Price Bubbles brought by Irrational Exuberance and The Crash that will necessarily ensue. It is making a bundle now, however Alan Greenspan gives you a clear, stern warning:

     

    "That is mission impossible. Indeed, the international financial community has made numerous efforts in recent years to establish such oversight,
    but none prevented or ameliorated the crisis that began last summer.

    Much as we might wish otherwise, policy makers cannot reliably anticipate financial or economic shocks or the consequences of economic imbalances.

    Financial crises are characterised by discontinuous breaks in market pricing the timing of which by definition must be unanticipated
    - if people see them coming, then the markets arbitrage them away.

    ...

    The clear evidence of underpricing of risk did not prod private sector risk management to tighten the reins.

    In retrospect, it appears that the most market-savvy managers, although conscious that they were taking extraordinary risks, succumbed to the concern that unless they continued to "get up and dance", as ex-Citigroup CEO Chuck Prince memorably put it, they would irretrievably lose market share.

    Instead, they gambled that they could keep adding to their risky positions and
    still sell them out before the deluge. Most were wrong.


    Alan Greenspan
    The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World [Order].


    What do we do After The Crash?


    There is a remote possibility that The Crash and The Deep Depression, in a pattern similar to the one that brought Hitler to Power during The Great Depression, would allow the installation of a totalitarian regime, some Adventures in a New World [Order] as the title of Greenspan's book, The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World [Order], which he begins by dialing 911, cryptically warns us.

     

    "But the essential issue here is one of insurance, with a relatively modest premium, against a potentially catastrophic, very low probability event.

    With that, Peter, would you outline your proposals to us?"


    Chairman Alan Greenspan
    Meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee.
    August 24th, 1999



    First, and with all due respect, Sir, my name is not Peter, but Hamou, Shalom Patrick Hamou.

    I propose to implement an Adjusted Credit Free, Free Market Economy, which will be organised among the people who will have entered before The Crash The Serial Number of a €5 bank note in The Public Cra$h R€gi$t€r .

    It generates a conspiracy to create a New Economic Order among us after the Crash and prevent possible Adventures in a New World [Order].


    I.10.82
    "People of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public, or in some contrivance to raise prices.

    It is impossible indeed to prevent such meetings, by any law which either could be executed, or would be consistent with liberty and justice.


    But though the law cannot hinder people of the same trade from sometimes assembling together, it ought to do nothing to facilitate such assemblies; much less to render them necessary.

    I.10.83
    A regulation which obliges all those of the same trade in a particular town to enter their names and places of abode in a public register, facilitates such assemblies. It connects individuals who might never otherwise be known to one another, and gives every man of the trade a direction where to find every other man of it.

    I.10.84
    A regulation which enables those of the same trade to tax themselves in order to provide for their poor, their sick, their widows and orphans, by giving them a common interest to manage, renders such assemblies necessary."

    Adam Smith - June 5th, 1723 – July 17tn, 1790
    An Inquiry Into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations.
    Inequalities Occasioned by the Policy of Europe.
    March 9th, 1776


    We will then be able, Maestro, to jump start our Adjusted Credit Free, Free Market Economy immediately after The Crash if the number of registered €5 is Sufficient to ensure our success.

    Because the serial number of a €5 bank note does not tell anything about his owner The New Economic Order can not discriminates or limit individual freedom.

    Enter Anonymously the Serial Number of Your €5 Bank Note in

    The Public Cra$h R€gi$t€r Before The Crash - It Is Fr€€!

     

    Shalom P. Hamou

    The Movement for The New Economic Order Against Adventures in a New World [Order].

    Disclosure Long Minerals, Stocks and Bonds.

    Aug 13 11:46 am | Link | Comment!
  • Sign the Petition to Request That Ben 'Systemic Risk' Bernanke be Removed from Office

    Revoke Bernanke

    Sign the Petition to Request from President Barack Obama That Ben 'Systemic Risk' Bernanke be Removed From Office.


    Bernanke was the only cause, I proved, of the Great Recession and probably acted on purpose. He had both the opportunity and motive (The gigantic power he has received.)

    Worse, in light of the exercise of the central bank extraordinary power by Bernanke, I argue that he poses a real immediate threat to democracy, peace, privacy and individual freedom.

    Given of the immediate dangers that are evoked in these lines I strongly suggest that you revoke Bernanke.

     


    "I will argue here that, to the contrary, there is much that the Bank of Japan, in cooperation with other government agencies, could do to help promote economic recovery in Japan.

    Most of my arguments will not be new to the policy board and staff of the BOJ, which of course has discussed these questions extensively.

    However, their responses, when not confused or inconsistent, have generally relied on various technical or legal objections—- objections which, I will argue, could be overcome if the will to do so existed."


    Prof. Ben Shalom Bernanke
    Japanese Monetary Policy: A Case of Self-Induced Paralysis?
    For Presentation at the ASSA Meetings, Boston MA,

    January 9th, 2000.

     



    "The slowdown in economic activity, together with high interest rates, was in all likelihood the most important source of the stock market crash that followed in October.

    In other words, the market crash, rather than being the cause of the Depression, as popular legend has it, was in fact largely the result of an economic slowdown and the inappropriate monetary policies that preceded it.

    Of course, the stock market crash only worsened the economic situation, hurting consumer and business confidence and contributing to a still deeper downturn in 1930."


    Governor Ben S. Bernanke
    Money, Gold, and the Great Depression.
    At the H. Parker Willis Lecture in Economic Policy, Washington and Lee University,
    Lexington, Virginia.
    March 2nd, 2004



    Revoke Bernanke: Sign the Petition to Request from President Barack Obama That Ben 'Systemic Risk' Bernanke be Removed From Office.


    ________


    Disclosure: Long Stocks, Bonds, Minerals.
    Aug 12 06:21 am | Link | Comment!
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