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Shane Jocelyn, CFA  

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  • Dr. Pepper Wins Again and Again [View article]
    Equities such as DPS are like anchor stocks. There will be storms but these are the names to hold the ship in place. Not only is this a likeable play but it withholds a loveable product. Call me crazy but there is always a comfort of the mind when you try and like a companies product in which you own shares.
    Feb 26, 2010. 06:58 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • High Conviction: This Stock Pick Won Cara Goldenberg Dinner With Warren Buffett [View article]
    From a technical perspective the stock has run up smoothly enough to balance a ruler on the up-ticks. One remaining notable factor to the conviction pick is that fact that it has a short ratio of almost 10. Rarely do I put my trust in analysts but short sellers have their money on the line and give a broad based view of bearish measurement.

    Worth some due diligence though - thanks!
    Feb 24, 2010. 06:33 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • High Conviction: A Dividend Paying, Low P/E Green Infrastructure Play [View article]
    Sure thing!
    Feb 19, 2010. 10:19 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Welcome Back, Financial P/E Ratio [View article]
    Something to surely shine light on the real prospectus of market value. It is difficult if not impossible to judge the value of a company when it is losing capital. Upcoming weeks will curtail where we stand on pricing.
    Feb 19, 2010. 06:21 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Emerging Market ETFs: A New Way to Invest in Commodities [View article]
    An investment towards a specialised geographical location entails a completely different world then that of an allocation towards a single commodity.

    Caveat emptor to anyone who takes the ideology in a literal sense. Iceland may have been a wonderful place to go long the prospectus price of fish (if such a financial commodity existed) but there are many surrounding issues to be aware of when entering a developing country. Political, fiscal and monetary control is but a few.
    Feb 19, 2010. 06:17 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investing Pitfalls in the Year of Metal Tiger [View article]
    For investors envisaging that Greece is the Bear Stearns of the next crisis, it is important to be able to identify sustainability. Japan has been capable of maintaining three large stimulus packages and remains in an unnoticed fiscal debt position.
    Feb 18, 2010. 08:51 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The True Nature of Today's Deficit 'Crisis' [View article]
    The issue in today's world is politicians. The partisanship of each and every member seems overpowering to the actions and thoughts of "what is the overall best result for the country and its people".

    Much of the developed world is wasting away on a tab of spending which may very well expose itself in more forms than a Greek tragedy. The chorus of the play boils down to how sustainable deficits are and in this scenario, the US may be safe. There is still hunger out there for treasuries and the cluster bomb is very likely to drop on developing countries where investors shy away from helping them refinance their obligations.
    Feb 18, 2010. 07:18 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A Closer Look at Simon's Offer and General Growth's Response [View article]
    Looking at holders of both equity and debt, it would be a welcome end to a turnaround. To look back at when the companies ordinary shares were trading at 50c and all seemed lost.... $9 may undervalue in regards to price/book but I am sure $15 could tempt the Bill Ackerman's & Co into the water.
    Feb 18, 2010. 06:59 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • General Growth Properties' Dilemma [View article]
    One must recall that GGP went into voluntary bankruptcy to avoid having to sell any of its prime assets in a market which was penetrated by decline in 2008/2009.

    Their book value remains outstanding and if there was an efficient futures market on the company, I would imagine the stock to be in serious contango as the company sets to return to a healthy operating structure.
    Feb 18, 2010. 06:47 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Greenlight's Einhorn Adds Boston Scientific to Healthcare Heavy Portfolio [View article]
    At first glance, this looks like a defensive portfolio. However, sectors change stance. In 2006, financials were not known to be volatile! I now believe we can look to healthcare not as defensive but as a value, growth and active M&A industry - a range of attractive features.
    Feb 18, 2010. 06:29 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Short-Term Opportunity in U.S. Quoted Chinese Stocks [View article]
    Impressive research!
    Feb 17, 2010. 04:05 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Preparing for the Next 'Debt Bomb' [View article]
    To say the US has a niche in being dogged with debt is false at the best of times. Most importantly, we have to review and analyse how well other countries are servicing their government debt.

    A country like Japan can easily maintain their debt with low interest rates and money managers hunger for BOJ bonds. This is why there is a surplus in African countries because they do not have the option to be in a continuous deficit.

    Final note - debt is a problem but beware of the people/governments who are finding it difficult to service debt, not the one which is bulging the most.
    Feb 17, 2010. 12:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Where Darwinism Meets Options [View article]
    Taking sensible risk should be outlined here. LTCM's investment strategy was in fact very viable in that they had talented people sourcing acceptable arbitrage opportunities. Had they not been leveraged by 25X, they would have survived the credit tightening following the Russian debt default.

    The underlying viewpoint here is that writing naked options, taking risk can be extremely effective but smart money can foresee what risk level is acceptable and what will drag investors down to the grave.
    Feb 17, 2010. 12:03 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Impact of Recent Earnings Statements on the S&P 500 [View article]
    Analysts are always a lagging indicator - both in bear and bull markets.
    Feb 17, 2010. 09:19 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Breaks Above Its 50-DMA [View article]
    Online advertising/media really speaks to you these days!
    Feb 17, 2010. 08:34 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment