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  • Palo Alto Networks: Proceed With Caution Ahead Of Earnings [View article]
    In most every sector there are winners and losers and PANW is one of the former. It has a platform to provide an increasingly complete range of cyber security protection and services based on next-gen technologies the competitors do not have. And it is the best managed, is the fastest growing and increasingly profitable like CHKP has been for years to build that cash pile. Please message us if you would like to see our research on PANW and other high quality, high growth technology leaders.
    Nov 24, 2015. 02:22 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Palo Alto Networks: Proceed With Caution Ahead Of Earnings [View article]
    Why is a value hound like you opining on one of the highest quality and fastest growing companies that is THE leader in cyber security, the #1 enterprise IT spending priority? If high quality, higher-valuation stocks are not your cup of tea we suggest you focus elsewhere rather than trying to suggest money-losing ideas.
    Nov 23, 2015. 07:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: 3 Key Takeaways From Q3 Earnings [View article]
    Grasping at straws you bears while TSLA shares rise 11X in the 5 years the company has been public. Why not go pick on a company with poor management and products?
    Nov 4, 2015. 03:55 PM | 18 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • An Answer To The Netflix Bears: Why A Sub-$50 Fair Value Is Reasonable [View article]
    Correct music composer. Or nearly 110x if owned since the IPO in 2002. Or 370x in AMZN over the 18 years since its IPO. Or 9x in TSLA since the IPO 5 years ago. Or 71x over the last 11 years in PCLN since new management went in to turn it around. Or 175x in AAPL from when Steve Jobs rejoined the company in 1997 to turn it around.

    Owning the few greatest companies as investments that appreciate without ordinary taxes is a superior way to build wealth. All of these companies had and/or have high apparent valuations during their high growth years and often have been subject to short and sell recommendations by those wanting to use a DCF analysis to value them. For example, over the years Barron's ran many negative articles on AMZN saying it is overvalued and quoting short sellers. Fortunately for them they finally gave up on that.

    Only the very best companies revolutionizing the world and typically run by visionary founders provide these kind of opportunities. Key is that they create more and more shareholder value with their ongoing creativeness that you cannot see and incorporate into a DCF model at any point in time.
    Oct 20, 2015. 12:15 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • An Answer To The Netflix Bears: Why A Sub-$50 Fair Value Is Reasonable [View article]
    DCF has never been a successful way to base investing in high growth companies. Especially ones managed by visionaries who keep creating incremental shareholder value from new offerings, markets and/or strategies that cannot been seen in advance. NFLX CEO Reed Hastings is that kind of creative genius as shown by what he has created thus far - disrupting the entire film and TV entertainment businesses.

    One major plus often overlooked is that the NFLX plan that includes 4K Ultra HD programming is $12 per month, 50% above the $8 currently charged most subscribers. 4K TVs now carry very little price premium and are selling very well. Over the next few years we believe 4K will take over the entire streaming market and then the entire TV market. How many of the DCF models have a 50% price increase in them at the same time NFLX expands its markets from 50 to 200 countries over 2015 and 2016. In addition to talking to potential China partners, it will launch in Italy, Spain and Portugal in coming days.

    If you are not comfortable with the higher valuations of high growth companies invest elsewhere. But we suggest shorting them is a great way to get killed.
    Oct 19, 2015. 02:21 PM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: UBS' Reality Check Could Mark A Turning Point [View article]
    Are those of you who are negative on TSLA shorting it (and mostly getting killed). If not, why not focus your time on some other idea that fits your comfort level and on which you can make money?

    Investing in high-growth, higher-valuation stocks is not for everyone but can be very profitable for the right type of investor.
    Jul 21, 2015. 01:41 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: UBS' Reality Check Could Mark A Turning Point [View article]
    Technically, TSLA shares are holding their 10-day short-term support amd are staying nicely above their 50-day longer-term line
    Jul 21, 2015. 12:46 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: UBS' Reality Check Could Mark A Turning Point [View article]
    This UBS analyst initiated coverage of TSLA on March 26, 2014 at $212 with a Neutral rating. After missing the subsequent 33% gain through yesterday (more than twice the 15% rise for the S&P 500 Index), he now downgrades it to Sell. Not too impressive.

    TSLA shares are up about 170% since initially shipping the Model S sedan two years ago. We have been strongly recommending TSLA most of that time with a couple short-term partial position trimming suggestions like in September 2013 (see our September 5, 2013 article here) after the stock nearly doubled in just a few months. We have a Focus Strong Buy rating and continue to encourage ownership of this highly innovative car and battery company headed by Elon Musk, the most creative person in Silicon Valley today. The correction on this UBS move presents an opportunity to build positions at a better price just in front of the Model X SUV formal pricing announcement and launch. Musk has said the Model X will be more superior to other luxury SUVs more greatly than the Model S is to other sedans.
    Jul 21, 2015. 11:54 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel Broxton: Time To Set Realistic Expectations [View article]
    Your first line should read Intel's Broxton could be delayed to H2 2016, not Intel's Broxton could be delayed to H2 2014?

    I otherwise agree with your thesis, especially relative to what is happening in the ARMH-based world.
    Mar 5, 2015. 01:05 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel: Profiting From Legacy Technology [View article]
    We greatly agree with your thoughts in this article. One additional thing that suggests a dim future for the Wintel world is that virtually all new software and especially app development is for AAPL's iOS or GOOG's Android platforms. Here in Silicon Valley, a start-up to create an app for any other platform would never get funding from the venture capital community. This has been true for years, but never more than today.
    Oct 15, 2014. 10:17 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How I Profited From BlackBerry's Wild Trading Day [View article]
    BBRY is on a February fiscal year and just reported its May FQ1. You could correct your March quarter...
    Jun 22, 2014. 01:08 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • GoPro confidentially files for IPO [View news story]
    If you would like my positive thoughts on GoPro and its key supplier AMBA, please give me your email address.
    Feb 10, 2014. 09:37 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Ambarella Looks Like A Short [View article]
    If you would like a more balanced and positive view of AMBA in light of its overall picture and GoPro's IPO filing, please send me your email address
    Feb 10, 2014. 09:17 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GoPro confidentially files for IPO [View news story]
    Feb 7, 2014. 11:18 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple's China Mobile Problem [View article]
    Almost all iPhones and iPads are built in China by Chinese companies
    Dec 18, 2013. 11:25 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment