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  • What To Make Of Google's Latest Expansion Into Hotel Listings [View article]
    This is why it is so important to stay aware of ever-changing risk in your investments given the various moves made within the industry. PCLN has ensured a $141.55 per share loss with this most recent downturn. The first trigger to an elevated risk state occurred on 3/14/14 at $1279. Now on the 5th trigger. Just make sure you are keeping profits protected or worse, if you've entered at the wrong time, cut your losses.
    Apr 10 02:31 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is It Time To Sell Facebook And Buy LinkedIn? [View article]
    Be confident in being long if you want on FB or LNKD , just keep protection on!
    Mar 29 03:38 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Cemex: Go Ahead, Be A Buffett [View article]
    The cash flow CX generates when the economy is growing will cover its debt.
    The historically low rates on capital today also benefits businesses that are capital intensive and carry debt.

    So far so good. As long as the global economy keeps improving, CX should be fine.

    The US may soon end the embargo with Cuba, who's entire infrastructure need upgrading. This tool will help CX.
    Mar 28 04:28 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Only 20 Companies That Matter [View article]
    Good article. And since no one can truly predict when the party is going to end. The best thing to do is to stay aware of detections of the elevated risk before say a 10% correction has already occurred. Takes ongoing diligent analysis to do it right.
    Mar 27 12:23 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market Timing Report: Negative Divergences Set The Stage For A Nasty Spill [View article]
    glad to see this perspective being conveyed. The markets will get overoptimistic and correct and the question always becomes which is more prudent, to exit, to hedge, to sit and ride out the downturn? Active risk management in today's 21st century market in our opinion is a must. It was interesting to hear Obama's line in his 2008 state of the union address that "the market is a great place for the creation of wealth. But unless under a watchful eye, it can spin out of control." Well, who really believes the government can implement policies, regulations that create such a watchful eye? And thus, having more watchdogs that others can take into consideration for their benefit is good. Thanks.
    Mar 25 12:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Netflix: Fair Value $128/Share, 67% Downside - Primed To Plunge [View article]
    Interesting that in your profile you mention: Where my research typically diverges from convention is - incorporating a volatility based perspective to the fundamental analysis, enhancing the risk control in investing

    We too are very focused on risk control. May we ask you to elaborate then on that element of this analysis on that point? Thanks.
    Mar 25 12:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Detailed Case To Short The S&P 500: This Time Isn't Different [View article]
    rather than trying to guess when a downturn may come, just keep yourself aware of risk state changes such that when weakness is truly beginning to unfold, you will recognize it. Easier said then done as developing that expertise can take years of real market experience.
    Mar 24 11:31 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • WSJ's Apple / Comcast Story Not Accurate, News Being Overblown On Wall Street [View article]
    given the way news gets conveyed in this day and age and its potential subsequent affects, can't imagine why anyone would be without constant protection.
    Mar 24 08:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Microsoft Just Killed Itself, Apple Wins Again [View article]
    as to the initial author's comment of ... " And we worry that investors are getting ahead of themselves", that's why we feel its important to have a un-biased analytical approach to keeping your position protected.
    Mar 22 07:53 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Microsoft Just Killed Itself, Apple Wins Again [View article]
    Indeed on the analysts front. We've examined the stock movements that are occurring before the analysts come out saw with say a revision in their forecast or a change to a hold or sell, wondering if the chinese wall the industry has tried to create truly does exist. Its pretty suspect. Needs to be more transparency.
    Mar 22 07:47 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Missing Indicators And Confirmation Bias [View article]
    fun article and discussion. Indeed, no one can be 100% acccurate in what they will "predict". Always wise to have at least some methods of constant risk analysis. You can at least put probabilities of future decline/correction on your side.
    Mar 22 01:13 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • 3D Systems: $83 Or $26? Well, $26 Becomes More And More Likely [View article]
    just remember to keep protection on when you are long. Regardless of your beliefs in fundamentals,momentum or whatever it is - you aren't going to control how the market will behave. With protection, you could have exited on 1/14/14 at $86.36.
    Mar 22 01:55 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Do I Do With My Stocks If The Market Crashes? Part 1 [View article]
    We completely agree that emotions should not drive the decision making process. And with the utmost respect , greatly appreciate your focus on this topic and the advice being given.

    However stepping aside during periods of elevated risk, can translate to the scenario that you then have the opportunity to move that now available cash into more attractive risk/reward propositions. Just think if you had exited or hedge in late 2007 as an example.

    The mutual fund industry loves to propagate the message that market timing is bad. However there are studies to prove that when you miss the worst days of the market , your return can be a thousand times better. Missing the best days - does not have nearly the impact. There are a number of studies done in academia and elsewhere that show this outcome.

    One should also look at the opportunity cost of holding on through a downturn. As depending upon the equity, it can take years to recover to its previous high.
    Mar 22 12:57 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Can Global Crossing And WorldCom Teach Us Anything About Netflix Or Pandora? I Think So [View article]
    Thanks for reminding investors about recent history as it seems that too many still behave with blinders on. Its only a matter of time before a correction ensues and so its mandatory that people stay aware of ever-changing risk!
    Mar 18 12:39 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why A Stock Market Crash Is Imminent [View article]
    Given how our 21st century markets behave, you should always maintain protection regardless of if a crash is imminent. Good habit to start from the get go. Even when you are making your entry. How many people know how to properly position size? As just setting an overall risk tolerance (say 2% of your portfolio) is not sufficient in this day and age. You need to know the equity's risk factor in order to do this properly.
    Mar 18 12:13 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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148 Comments
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