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Steve Hach is the Senior Editor at ValuEngine.com, a Newtown, Pennsylvania-based stock valuation and forecast service. ValuEngine utilizes Ivy League financial research as the basis for its coverage of more than 7000 US, Japanese, and Canadian, and other foreign stocks. Hach utilizes... More
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  • ValuEngine.com Rates The Retail Sector
    ValuEngine Index Overview

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    IndexWeek OpenThurs. CloseChange% ChangeYTD
    DJIA15759.616179.08419.482.66%23.98%
    NASDAQ4019.374058.1438.770.96%35.02%
    RUSSELL 20001110.581125.4514.871.34%32.51%
    S&P 5001777.481809.632.121.81%27.42%

     

    ValuEngine Market Overview

     

     


     

    Summary of VE Stock Universe
    Stocks Undervalued16.39%
    Stocks Overvalued83.61%
    Stocks Undervalued by 20%6.25%
    Stocks Overvalued by 20%53.61%
    ValuEngine Sector Overview

     
















     

     

    SectorChangeMTDYTDValuationLast 12-MReturnP/E Ratio
    Multi-Sector Conglomerates-0.96%-1.44%15.06%42.34% overvalued19.49%19.77
    Computer and Technology-0.01%-0.33%46.20%31.78% overvalued35.07%31.58
    Consumer Discretionary-0.65%-0.27%42.76%30.94% overvalued40.47%29.32
    Aerospace0.74%1.32%40.80%30.64% overvalued47.56%18.42
    Auto-Tires-Trucks-0.87%-2.05%51.61%28.91% overvalued46.15%20.21
    Medical-0.43%-1.66%39.95%28.75% overvalued36.99%28.95
    Industrial Products-0.52%-0.24%42.63%28.31% overvalued37.10%23.67
    Business Services-0.24%-0.19%37.88%28.13% overvalued39.06%25.96
    Transportation0.04%-0.63%35.87%27.79% overvalued42.64%21.97
    Retail-Wholesale-0.12%-1.43%41.29%26.80% overvalued37.61%24.55
    Consumer Staples-0.54%-1.31%28.31%25.62% overvalued24.26%23.62
    Finance-0.63%-0.43%27.71%25.08% overvalued15.67%17.94
    Construction-1.07%-0.41%39.01%20.57% overvalued34.11%26.30
    Utilities-0.59%-1.15%16.86%14.81% overvalued12.30%19.97
    Oils-Energy0.18%-2.61%21.89%12.66% overvalued13.70%25.66
    Basic Materials-0.45%-2.62%7.60%0.25% overvalued-25.70%20.20

    Free Download for Readers

    As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers,
    we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

    Best Buy operates in a single business segment, selling personal computers and other home office products, consumer electronics, entertainment software, major appliances and related accessories principally through its retail stores. They operate retail stores and commercial Websites under the brand names Best Buy, Media Play, On Cue, Sam Goody, Suncoast, Magnolia Hi-Fi and Future Shop. They also operate in three segments: Best Buy, Musicland and International.

    ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on BEST BUY for 2013-12-19. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that BEST BUY has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Momentum and Company Size.

    Read our Detailed Valuation Report, a $25 value, for FREE HERE.

    Sector Talk--Retail/Wholesale

    Below, we present the latest data on Retail/Wholesale stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). Top five lists are provided for each category. We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares.

    Please Click Here to Download a FREE Demo of ValuEngine's Professional VEI Software Package.

    Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    KKDKRISPY KREME18.644.2798.93
    ULTAULTA SALON COSM93.44-1.38-3.01
    EXPREXPRESS INC18.22-5.3922.78
    DXLGDESTINATION XL6.3896.1669.68
    SVUSUPERVALU INC6.876.36155.39

    Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    KKDKRISPY KREME18.644.2798.93
    ULTAULTA SALON COSM93.44-1.38-3.01
    EXPREXPRESS INC18.22-5.3922.78
    DXLGDESTINATION XL6.3896.1669.68
    SVUSUPERVALU INC6.876.36155.39

    Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Stocks--Composite Score

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    SPLSSTAPLES INC15.58-10.0628.65
    KRKROGER CO39.6714.4549.7
    GPSGAP INC38.293.1519.06
    EXPREXPRESS INC18.22-5.3922.78
    IMINGRAM MICRO23.0313.0334.99

    Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Stocks--Most Overvalued

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    ABTLAUTOBYTEL INC14.64190.5275.38
    AROAEROPOSTALE INC8.16185.05-41.17
    FNPFIFTH PACIFIC32.23184.44155.59
    RTRUBY TUESDAY6.88163.38-16.2
    DXLGDESTINATION XL6.3896.1669.68

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

    Dec 20 11:32 AM | Link | Comment!
  • VE Maintains Buy On Green Mountain Coffee Roasters

    VALUATION WARNING: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when market pullbacks occur. Overvalued stocks assigned a valuation now make up 83% of our universe and 51% of the stocks assigned a valuation are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. 15 of 16 sectors are calculated to be overvalued--15 of them by double digits.

    Hot Coffee

    --VE Maintains Buy on Green Mountain Coffee Roasters

    Green Mountain Coffee Roasters engages in the production and marketing of award-winning coffees, innovative brewing technology and gourmet single-cup brewing systems. The Company's operations are managed through three operating segments. The Specialty Coffee business unit sources, produces and sells coffee, cocoa, teas and other hot beverages. These varieties are sold primarily to wholesale channels. The Keurig business unit, a pioneer and leading manufacturer of gourmet single-cup brewing systems, targets its premium patented single-cup brewing systems for use at-home and away-from-home, mainly in North America. The Canadian business unit sources, produces and sells coffees in a variety of packaging formats, including K-Cup portion packs, whose brands include Van Houtte, Br?lerie St. Denis, Br?lerie Mont-Royal and Orient Express and its licensed Bigelow and Wolfgang Puck brands. Green Mountain Coffee Roasters is headquartered in Waterbury, Vermont.

    Green Mountain is a big winner for our ValuEngine View Newsletter this month. For the current rebalance period, the stock is up more than 20%. The stock has been volatile over time, but our recommendation history has been fairly robust. The stock currently shows a great forecast for all time frames. It is calculated to be overvalued, but displays excellent momentum, sharpe ratio, and long-term average annual return.

    ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on GREEN MOUNTAIN COFFEE ROASTERS for 2013-12-16. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that GREEN MOUNTAIN COFFEE ROASTERS has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Sharpe Ratio and Company Size.

    As a bonus to our Daily Bulletin readers, we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Detailed Stock Valuation Reports--this report is normally $25.00

    Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Green Mountain Coffee Roasters HERE.

    Below is today's data on TEVA:


     






    ValuEngine Forecast
     Target
    Price*
    Expected
    Return
    1-Month74.500.49%
    3-Month76.112.67%
    6-Month77.274.23%
    1-Year78.535.93%
    2-Year85.8815.85%
    3-Year82.0810.72%

     















     

     

    Valuation & Rankings
    Valuation29.79% overvaluedValuation Rank 33
    1-M Forecast Return0.49%1-M Forecast Return Rank 84
    12-M Return90.42%Momentum Rank 91
    Sharpe Ratio0.66Sharpe Ratio Rank 95
    5-Y Avg Annual Return45.15%5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank 100
    Volatility68.77%Volatility Rank 34
    Expected EPS Growth14.19%EPS Growth Rank 44
    Market Cap (billions)11.17Size Rank 92
    Trailing P/E Ratio21.32Trailing P/E Rank 54
    Forward P/E Ratio18.67Forward P/E Ratio Rank 36
    PEG Ratio1.50PEG Ratio Rank 29
    Price/Sales2.56Price/Sales Rank 37
    Market/Book7.91Market/Book Rank 16
    Beta0.89Beta Rank 62
    Alpha1.26Alpha Rank 99

    ValuEngine Market Overview

     

     

     

     

     

    Summary of VE Stock Universe
    Stocks Undervalued16.82%
    Stocks Overvalued83.18%
    Stocks Undervalued by 20%6.45%
    Stocks Overvalued by 20%51.41%

     

    ValuEngine Sector Overview

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    SectorChangeMTDYTDValuationLast 12-MReturnP/E Ratio
    Multi-Sector Conglomerates0.55%-1.71%14.72%35.52% overvalued19.96%19.26
    Computer and Technology0.83%-1.35%44.31%27.83% overvalued35.01%31.19
    Consumer Discretionary0.48%-0.74%42.17%27.62% overvalued41.26%29.28
    Auto-Tires-Trucks0.57%-1.25%52.64%27.03% overvalued48.79%19.89
    Transportation0.61%-1.14%34.94%26.71% overvalued45.56%21.60
    Aerospace1.20%0.44%43.64%26.54% overvalued45.96%17.91
    Medical0.67%-1.84%40.09%25.89% overvalued38.05%28.55
    Business Services0.99%-0.34%37.56%25.54% overvalued38.65%25.62
    Industrial Products0.91%-0.63%42.40%24.98% overvalued38.41%23.25
    Retail-Wholesale0.58%-2.16%39.96%23.79% overvalued37.50%24.03
    Consumer Staples0.26%-1.47%27.93%22.58% overvalued25.04%23.21
    Finance0.57%-0.89%27.17%22.09% overvalued15.59%17.76
    Construction1.22%-0.53%40.27%17.18% overvalued32.33%25.10
    Utilities0.57%-1.51%16.80%12.52% overvalued12.72%19.73
    Oils-Energy0.20%-3.24%23.19%11.24% overvalued13.76%25.66
    Basic Materials0.57%-2.32%7.55%0.92% undervalued-25.63%19.44

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

    Tags: GMCR
    Dec 17 12:06 PM | Link | Comment!
  • ValuEngine.com Ranks And Rates Autos/Tires/Truck Stocks

    VALUATION WARNING: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when market pullbacks occur. Overvalued stocks now make up 82% of our stocks assigned a valuation and almost 49% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Fifteen of sixteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued--15 of them by double digits.

    MARKET OVERVIEW

    Index

    Week Open

    Thurs. Close

    Change

    % Change

    YTD

    DJIA

    16019.49

    15739.4

    -280.09

    -1.75%

    20.11%

    NASDAQ

    4073.75

    3998.4

    -75.35

    -1.85%

    32.42%

    RUSSELL 2000

    1132.9

    1103.27

    -29.63

    -2.62%

    29.90%

    S&P 500

    1806.21

    1775.5

    -30.71

    -1.70%

    24.49%

     

     

    Summary of VE Stock Universe

     

     

    Stocks Undervalued

    17.87%

    Stocks Overvalued

    82.13%

    Stocks Undervalued by 20%

    6.89%

    Stocks Overvalued by 20%

    48.73%

    SECTOR OVERVIEW

     

     

    Sector

    Change

    MTD

    YTD

    Valuation

    Last 12-MReturn

    P/E Ratio

    Aerospace

    0.60%

    -0.84%

    37.62%

    24.95% overvalued

    48.41%

    17.72

    Auto-Tires-Trucks

    -0.33%

    -1.92%

    51.42%

    26.41% overvalued

    46.86%

    19.96

    Basic Materials

    -0.56%

    -3.24%

    6.60%

    1.29% undervalued

    -25.99%

    19.51

    Business Services

    0.08%

    -1.79%

    35.25%

    24.62% overvalued

    37.07%

    25.4

    Computer and Technology

    -0.70%

    -2.64%

    41.58%

    27.76% overvalued

    32.87%

    30.8

    Construction

    0.12%

    -2.70%

    34.87%

    16.16% overvalued

    31.44%

    23.71

    Consumer Discretionary

    -0.28%

    -1.62%

    40.74%

    26.99% overvalued

    41.27%

    29.14

    Consumer Staples

    -0.49%

    -1.92%

    27.06%

    23.06% overvalued

    24.52%

    23.3

    Finance

    -0.01%

    -1.58%

    26.13%

    21.50% overvalued

    15.15%

    17.64

    Industrial Products

    -0.03%

    -1.85%

    40.53%

    24.18% overvalued

    39.85%

    23.14

    Medical

    -0.54%

    -2.72%

    38.77%

    25.06% overvalued

    36.24%

    29.03

    Multi-Sector Conglomerates

    -0.24%

    -2.56%

    13.58%

    35.38% overvalued

    19.57%

    19.17

    Oils-Energy

    0.03%

    -3.78%

    22.15%

    10.65% overvalued

    13.13%

    25.87

    Retail-Wholesale

    -0.11%

    -2.89%

    38.68%

    23.01% overvalued

    37.03%

    24.61

    Transportation

    0.12%

    -2.35%

    33.17%

    24.88% overvalued

    42.84%

    21.39

    Utilities

    0.28%

    -2.45%

    15.60%

    11.41% overvalued

    11.74%

    19.55

    ValuEngine Newsletters Latest Results

     

     

    VE Newsletter

    Current Month Total

    S&P 500

    Last Month Total

    S&P 500

    Since Inception

    S&P 500

    Forecast MNS

    -0.42

    -0.52

    -0.72

    4.07

    102.85

    92.29

    Dividend Stock

    -3.46

    -1.50

    -0.32

    2.72

    12.02

    7.12

    Small Cap Stock

    -5.93

    -0.33

    -3.53

    2.1

    27.58

    24.97

    View

    0.85

    -0.69

    2.33

    3.16

    78.26

    54.64

    Sector Talk-Autos,Tires,Trucks

    Below, we present the latest data on leading Autos,Tires,Truck Sector stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

    Top-Five Autos,Tires,Truck Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    CTB

    COOPER TIRE

    23.89

    4.32

    -3.75

    WPRT

    WESTPORT INNOV

    18.25

    -16.52

    -35.24

    GT

    GOODYEAR TIRE

    22.33

    60.86

    69.94

    LKQ

    LKQ CORP

    33.24

    42.72

    56.35

    HOG

    HARLEY-DAVIDSON

    68.23

    32.15

    38.68

    Top-Five Autos,Tires,Truck Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    CTB

    COOPER TIRE

    23.89

    4.32

    -3.75

    WPRT

    WESTPORT INNOV

    18.25

    -16.52

    -35.24

    GT

    GOODYEAR TIRE

    22.33

    60.86

    69.94

    LKQ

    LKQ CORP

    33.24

    42.72

    56.35

    HOG

    HARLEY-DAVIDSON

    68.23

    32.15

    38.68

    Top-Five Autos,Tires,Truck Sector Stocks--Composite Score

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    CTB

    COOPER TIRE

    23.89

    4.32

    -3.75

    TOWR

    TOWER INTL INC

    20.35

    -1.59

    159.9

    VC

    VISTEON CORP

    77.14

    5.93

    50.81

    MGA

    MAGNA INTL CL A

    77.65

    20.26

    61.37

    CAAS

    CHINA AUTO SYS

    7.62

    -28.98

    54.88

    Top-Five Autos,Tires,Truck Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

     

     

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    MTOR

    MERITOR INC

    7.65

    107.12

    67.03

    NAV

    NAVISTAR INTL

    39.6

    94.44

    77.02

    MPAA

    MOTORCAR PARTS

    18.88

    71.39

    210.53

    GT

    GOODYEAR TIRE

    22.33

    60.86

    69.94

    DORM

    DORMAN PRODUCTS

    54.56

    46.04

    57.28

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

    Dec 13 3:40 PM | Link | Comment!
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