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Steve Hach is the Senior Editor at ValuEngine.com, a Melbourne, Florida-based stock valuation and forecast service. ValuEngine utilizes Ivy League financial research as the basis for its coverage of more than 8000 US, Canadian, and other foreign stocks. Hach utilizes ValuEngine's complex... More
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  • U.S. Oil Prices Continue Plunge

    VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 51.32% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 15.89% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Twelve sectors are calculated to be overvalued--with four at or near double digits.

    Greasing the Wheels

    --U.S. Oil Prices Continue Plunge

    Markets are facing unrest over oil, specifically cheap oil. As of today, the price of a barrel of Nymex crude is now below $60. At that price, oil is down more than 40% for the year. This should be good news since cheap energy helps consumers make ends meet for driving, heating, and a host of other activities. In addition, the dollar has been getting stronger, which should also be good news for US-based consumers.

    However, markets don't like this news, and the declines in oil contributed to a bad day on Wall St. Cheap energy threatens the recent boom in the US and elsewhere as shale gas and oil becomes less attractive and more uneconomical for recovery. Producers across the globe--OPEC-- are attempting to drive competition out, and thus they are keeping the taps turned on "high."

    We've seen some real changes in our valuations for Oils/Energy. Currently we find that the sector is undervalued by 23% and it leads our sectors in terms of undervaluation by a large margin. The next most undervalued sector, Basic Materials, is only calculated to be undervalued by 6.74%. As a comparison, undervaluation for the energy sector peaked at 15.92% during the brief market pull back in October of this year. In fact, for much of 2014, the sector was calculated to be overvalued anywhere between 15-20%.

    Cheaper energy and a strong dollar may undermine much of the economic growth we have seen on places like Texas, Oklahoma, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. This causes caution rather than confidence. But, at least in the short-term, it should be a boon for drivers at the pump, residents heating their homes, etc.

    Below, we provide top-five lists for Oil-related Industry stocks from our Institutional software package (Pending:VEI). We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares. .

    Keep in mind that the models cannot really take into account the overall price of oil, they are working off past market behaviorour and earnings estimates. A company with prior high and future predicted high earnings which has declined in significantly in price will appear more appealing from a valuation perspective.

    Top-Five Oil Industry Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    EMESEMERGE ENRG SVC45.78N/A20.32
    PQPETROQUEST ENGY3.71-45.25-7.25
    AAVADV OIL&GAS LTD4.44N/A2.78
    PTRPETROCHINA ADR102.98-42.35-11.54
    UPLULTRA PETRO CP15.18-50.23-28.87

    Top-Five Oil Industry Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    EMESEMERGE ENRG SVC45.78N/A20.32
    PQPETROQUEST ENGY3.71-45.25-7.25
    AAVADV OIL&GAS LTD4.44N/A2.78
    PTRPETROCHINA ADR102.98-42.35-11.54
    UPLULTRA PETRO CP15.18-50.23-28.87

    Top-Five Oil Industry Stocks--Composite Score

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    PTRPETROCHINA ADR102.98-42.35-11.54
    STOSTATOIL ASA-ADR17.05-35.63-26.25
    RDS.AROYAL DTCH SH-A63.95-8.54-6.23
    CAMCAMERON INTL47.54-34.7-13.37
    DVNDEVON ENERGY54.47-17.98-10.44

    Top-Five Oil Industry Stocks--Most Overvalued

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    NKANISKA GAS STRG3.3154.43-77.73
    ATLSATLAS ENERGY LP25.771.54-41.42
    POWRPOWERSECURE INT10.5363.35-35.28
    CVICVR ENERGY INC39.7552.063.43
    SYRGSYNERGY RES CP9.5648.530.95

    Find out what Wall Street Investment and Media Professionals already know,
    ValuEngine offers sophisticated stock valuation and forecast research as well as a variety of portfolio screening and creation tools.

    Tags: EMES, PQ, AAV, PTR, UPL, STO, RDS.A, CAM, DVN, NKA, ATLS, POWR, CVI, SYRG, oil, energy
    Dec 11 5:09 PM | Link | Comment!
  • ValuEngine Rates And Ranks Retailers As Well As Hertz

    Valuation WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 61.28% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 21.7% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Fourteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued--five by double digits.

    ValuEngine Index Overview

     

     

     

     

     

    IndexWeek OpenFriday PMChange% ChangeYTD
    DJIA17568.9817637.168.120.39%5.88%
    NASDAQ4635.14682.9747.871.03%10.76%
    RUSSELL 20001173.851173.84-0.010.00%0.63%
    S&P 5002032.012039.357.340.36%9.94%

     

    ValuEngine Market Overview

     

     


     

    Summary of VE Stock Universe
    Stocks Undervalued38.72%
    Stocks Overvalued61.28%
    Stocks Undervalued by 20%15.58%
    Stocks Overvalued by 20%21.7%
    ValuEngine Sector Overview

     
















    SectorChangeMTDYTDValuationLast 12-MReturnP/E Ratio
    Consumer Staples-0.31%0.03%3.23%12.88% overvalued8.34%23.65
    Retail-Wholesale-0.19%0.60%-2.99%11.63% overvalued-0.08%25.22
    Medical0.15%-1.03%13.37%11.32% overvalued17.64%29.91
    Multi-Sector Conglomerates-0.32%-0.23%-0.10%11.04% overvalued7.80%17.69
    Finance-0.09%0.39%5.01%10.05% overvalued7.20%17.49
    Computer and Technology-0.26%0.30%3.39%9.69% overvalued6.69%30.89
    Aerospace-0.83%-0.44%-0.44%9.66% overvalued13.17%21.76
    Consumer Discretionary0.26%0.97%-1.63%8.48% overvalued3.04%27.12
    Utilities-0.05%0.10%8.23%8.39% overvalued9.24%23.08
    Transportation-0.05%1.78%10.76%8.15% overvalued12.47%20.64
    Business Services-0.15%0.60%3.39%6.75% overvalued8.58%25.27
    Industrial Products-0.07%-0.43%-1.82%3.86% overvalued2.45%20.99
    Auto-Tires-Trucks0.38%0.36%-1.89%3.00% overvalued4.17%16.92
    Construction0.02%1.23%0.08%2.27% overvalued3.99%26.77
    Oils-Energy-0.24%-1.85%2.90%4.80% undervalued-7.38%23.79
    Basic Materials0.70%1.03%-3.21%5.89% undervalued-7.96%25.25

    ValuEngine Newsletters Latest Results

     

     

     

     

     

    VE NewsletterCurrent ResultsS&P 500Last Month TotalS&P 500Since InceptionS&P 500
    Forecast MNS-1.137.804.46-5.36105.5488.57
    Dividend Stock0.694.482.32-2.1822.7325.67
    Small Cap Stock4.415.84-5.93-4.1921.9938.95
    View4.695.00-6.26-2.89114.7771.42

    ValuEngine's Newsletters Beat the Market

    With our Investment Newsletters, Subscribers Harness the Power of all of ValuEngine.com's Extensively Tracked and Tested Portfolio Strategies in an Easy to Follow Format.

    Let ValuEngine Optimize your Portfolio and Provide Rational Advice for Smarter Investing

    Click HERE to Check Out ValuEngine's Investment Newsletters

    Free Download for Readers

    As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers,
    we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

    HERTZ GLOBAL HOLDINGS (NYSE:HTZ) is the worlds largest general use car rental brand, operating from approximately 8,100 locations in 147 countries worldwide. Hertz is the number one airport car rental brand in the U.S. and at 69 major airports in Europe, operating both corporate and licensee locations in cities and airports in North America.

    ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on HERTZ GLOBAL HOLDINGS for 2014-11-13. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that HERTZ GLOBAL HOLDINGS has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Book Market Ratio.

    Below is today's data on HTZ:


     






    ValuEngine Forecast
     Target
    Price*
    Expected
    Return
    1-Month22.790.27%
    3-Month22.910.79%
    6-Month22.920.86%
    1-Year23.463.22%
    2-Year22.45-1.22%
    3-Year22.72-0.05%

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Valuation & Rankings
    Valuationn/aValuation Rank(?) n/a
    1-M Forecast Return0.27%1-M Forecast Return Rank 70
    12-M Return-2.86%Momentum Rank(?) 42
    Sharpe Ratio0.37Sharpe Ratio Rank(?) 69
    5-Y Avg Annual Return17.13%5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank 83
    Volatility46.06%Volatility Rank(?) 42
    Expected EPS Growth24.29%EPSGrowth Rank(?) 57
    Market Cap (billions)10.21Size Rank 90
    Trailing P/E Ratio13.92Trailing P/E Rank(?) 82
    Forward P/E Ratio11.20Forward P/E Ratio Rank 79
    PEG Ratio0.57PEG Ratio Rank 57
    Price/Salesn/aPrice/Sales Rank(?) n/a
    Market/Book3.68Market/Book Rank(?) 33
    Beta2.54Beta Rank 6
    Alpha-0.40Alpha Rank 19

    As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
    we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

    Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on HTZ HERE.

    Sector Talk--Retail/Wholesale

    Below, we present the latest data on Retail/Wholesale stocks from our Institutional software package (Pending:VEI). Top five lists are provided for each category. We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares.

    Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    HLFHERBALIFE LTD37.85-39.68-41.44
    IMINGRAM MICRO26.75-2.5211.46
    LADLITHIA MOTORS75.62-6.8215.56
    CONNCONNS INC31.68-37.41-48.89
    ANFABERCROMBIE28.9-33.59-17.97

    Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    HLFHERBALIFE LTD37.85-39.68-41.44
    IMINGRAM MICRO26.75-2.5211.46
    LADLITHIA MOTORS75.62-6.8215.56
    CONNCONNS INC31.68-37.41-48.89
    ANFABERCROMBIE28.9-33.59-17.97

    Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Stocks--Composite Score

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    IMINGRAM MICRO26.75-2.5211.46
    LADLITHIA MOTORS75.62-6.8215.56
    HLFHERBALIFE LTD37.85-39.68-41.44
    PAGPENSKE AUTO GRP47.73-0.0513.53
    MMACYS INC61.577.7821.49

    Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Stocks--Most Overvalued

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    HGGHHGREGG INC6.16138.73-62.89
    DENNDENNY'S CORP8.8675.6229.72
    TUESTUESDAY MORNING21.1565.369.95
    NLSNAUTILUS INC14.2859.9490.91
    BBWBUILD-A-BEAR WK18.295687.78
    Tags: HLF, IM, LAD, CONN, ANF, PAG, M, HGG, DENN, TUES, NLS, BBW, MHTZF, retail
    Nov 14 3:22 PM | Link | Comment!
  • Top-5 Finance Stocks Ranked And Rated And News On Home Depot

    Our Valuation WATCH is OFF: Overvaluation is up a bit but barely out of "normal" range. Overvalued stocks now make up 60.18% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 20.45% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Thirteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued--two by double digits.

    ValuEngine Index Overview

     

     


     

    IndexWeek OpenFriday PMChange% ChangeYTD
    DJIA17390.9017550.90160.000.92%5.88%
    NASDAQ4633.714626.12-7.59-0.16%10.76%
    RUSSELL 20001174.501170.99-3.51-0.30%0.63%
    S&P 5002018.212032.0613.850.69%9.94%
    ValuEngine Market Overview

     

     


     

    Summary of VE Stock Universe
    Stocks Undervalued39.82%
    Stocks Overvalued60.18%
    Stocks Undervalued by 20%15.56%
    Stocks Overvalued by 20%20.45%
    ValuEngine Sector Overview

     
















    SectorChangeMTDYTDValuationLast 12-MReturnP/E Ratio
    Multi-Sector Conglomerates-0.04%-0.03%0.00%10.90% overvalued7.71%17.98
    Consumer Staples0.18%-0.22%3.14%10.64% overvalued9.15%23.11
    Aerospace0.62%1.16%0.78%9.42% overvalued13.60%22.80
    Finance-0.29%-0.02%4.84%9.01% overvalued5.74%17.27
    Utilities-0.23%-0.70%7.31%8.68% overvalued8.21%23.76
    Retail-Wholesale0.93%1.09%-2.50%8.61% overvalued-1.46%25.07
    Medical0.15%-0.91%13.62%7.25% overvalued15.45%30.09
    Computer and Technology-0.08%-0.02%3.17%6.99% overvalued6.37%30.69
    Consumer Discretionary0.34%-0.00%-2.54%6.43% overvalued0.59%26.51
    Transportation0.42%0.80%9.57%5.94% overvalued10.97%19.91
    Business Services0.10%-0.24%3.01%4.24% overvalued7.85%25.19
    Industrial Products-0.00%-0.76%-2.19%2.04% overvalued0.45%20.96
    Auto-Tires-Trucks0.29%-0.72%-2.89%0.71% overvalued1.21%16.46
    Construction0.49%0.88%-0.43%0.55% undervalued1.10%25.29
    Oils-Energy-0.02%-2.31%2.15%6.51% undervalued-9.96%23.40
    Basic Materials0.25%-1.11%-5.55%12.88% undervalued-14.15%24.34

    Free Download for Readers

    As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers,
    we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

    Home Depot (NYSE:HD) is the one of world's largest home improvement retailer. The company offers a level of service unprecedented among warehouse-style retailers. Home Depot stores cater to do-it-yourselfers, as well as home improvement, construction and building maintenance professionals. The Home Depot currently operates in the USA, Canada, Chile, Puerto Rico, and Argentina. The company also operates EXPO Design Centers across the U.S. and Villager's Hardware in New Jersey.

    Despite ongoing bad news over a huge security breach, Home Depot's stock continues to climb. The latest news indicates that the security breach was much larger than originally reported. In addition to 56 million credit card accounts, the company revealed that more than 53 million customer email addresses were also compromised. Email addresses are particularly useful for "phishing" attacks and make unsophisticated internet users more susceptible to identity theft and other crimes.

    (click to enlarge)

    ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on HOME DEPOT for 2014-11-06. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that HOME DEPOT has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Book Market Ratio.

    Below is today's data on HD:


     






    ValuEngine Forecast
     Target
    Price*
    Expected
    Return
    1-Month97.430.14%
    3-Month97.800.52%
    6-Month99.021.78%
    1-Year98.911.67%
    2-Year108.7411.77%
    3-Year81.19-16.54%

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Valuation & Rankings
    Valuation6.00% overvaluedValuation Rank(?) 48
    1-M Forecast Return0.14%1-M Forecast Return Rank 61
    12-M Return27.31%Momentum Rank(?) 83
    Sharpe Ratio1.35Sharpe Ratio Rank(?) 99
    5-Y Avg Annual Return27.15%5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank 94
    Volatility20.16%Volatility Rank(?) 81
    Expected EPS Growth15.53%EPSGrowth Rank(?) 46
    Market Cap (billions)133.06Size Rank 100
    Trailing P/E Ratio22.21Trailing P/E Rank(?) 51
    Forward P/E Ratio19.23Forward P/E Ratio Rank 32
    PEG Ratio1.43PEG Ratio Rank 29
    Price/Sales1.65Price/Sales Rank(?) 52
    Market/Book13.09Market/Book Rank(?) 9
    Beta1.07Beta Rank 48
    Alpha0.08Alpha Rank 76

    As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
    we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

    Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on HD HERE.
    Sector Talk--Finance

    Below, we present the latest data on Finance stocks from our Institutional software package (Pending:VEI). Top five lists are provided for each category. We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares.

    Top-Five Finance Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    AERAERCAP HLDGS NV44.58-14.47107.06
    PJCPIPER JAFFRAY57.61-5.464.18
    CYSCYS INVESTMENTS8.87-12.566.1
    MHLDMAIDEN HOLDINGS12.61-6.7412.79
    BFRBANCO FRANC-ADR13.5N/A91.22

    Top-Five Finance Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    AERAERCAP HLDGS NV44.58-14.47107.06
    PJCPIPER JAFFRAY57.61-5.464.18
    CYSCYS INVESTMENTS8.87-12.566.1
    MHLDMAIDEN HOLDINGS12.61-6.7412.79
    BFRBANCO FRANC-ADR13.5N/A91.22

    Top-Five Finance Stocks--Composite Score

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    AERAERCAP HLDGS NV44.58-14.47107.06
    BXBLACKSTONE GRP30.3-4.8510.38
    ITUBBANCO ITAU -ADR13.84-7.043.92
    PJCPIPER JAFFRAY57.61-5.464.18
    DLRDIGITAL RLTY TR67.610.643.09

    Top-Five Finance Stocks--Most Overvalued

     

     

     

     

     

     

    TickerNameMkt PriceValuation(%)Last 12-M Retn(%)
    FBPFIRST BNCRP P R5.25300-9.01
    CPFCENTRAL PAC FIN19.23003.67
    FBCFLAGSTAR BANCP15.54300-2.88
    BXMTBLACKSTONE MRTG27.89105.7611.52
    AIGAMER INTL GRP53.91101.9413.28
    Tags: AER, PJC, CYS, MHLD, BFR, BX, ITUB, DLR, FBP, CPF, FBC, BXMT, AIG, HDB, finance
    Nov 10 10:44 AM | Link | Comment!
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