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Steve Hassett

 
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  • Market Timing With The RPF Model: Spot Opportunities, Stay The Course, Avoid Mistakes
    Mon, Jul. 7 SPY 15 Comments

    Summary

    • Proceed with caution. Market timing is risky, but the RPF Model can help spot rare opportunities.
    • Spot the truly rare event. The bubbles and opportunities in 1987, 2000 and 2009 – 2013 could be seen with the RPF Model.
    • Do no harm. Knowing whether the market is valued fairly can provide resolve to stay the course during troubled times. Often the best action is no action.
  • S&P Fairly Valued Because 'It's The Same This Time'
    Wed, Jun. 18 SPY 18 Comments

    Summary

    • Room to grow. Despite the exceeding the post-war average for economic recoveries, U.S. employment has only just matched the previous peak.
    • Record highs are not rare and not indicative of a bubble. Since 1960, the S&P 500 Index has hit a new closing high over 800 times.
    • It's not different this time. The market has been valued based on the same predictable factors since at least 1960.
  • Absurd Bubble Talk
    Fri, Feb. 28 SPY, SH, SSO 44 Comments
  • 3 Scenarios For The Next Bubble
    Sat, Jan. 25 SPY, SH, SSO 15 Comments
  • A Quantitative Approach To Spotting An Equity Bubble
    Tue, Jan. 14 PLW, GOVT, TRSY 22 Comments
  • Record High For Stocks Still Not A Bubble
    Nov. 25, 2013 IEF, PST, TBF 3 Comments
  • Stocks Not In A Bubble, Not Even Close
    Nov. 5, 2013 TBT, TBF, TLT 58 Comments
  • S&P 500 Fairly Valued At Record High With Higher Interest Rates Already Factored In
    Oct. 24, 2013 IEF, PST, TBF 8 Comments
  • Risk Premium Factor Model Points To S&P 500 Ending 2014 At 2,017
    Aug. 29, 2013 SPY 7 Comments
  • Model Shows Market At Equilibrium With Long-Term Upside For S&P 500, Downside For Bonds
    Aug. 23, 2013 TLT, SPY 10 Comments
  • Hovering At Record Levels, Risk Premium Factor Model Shows Market Fairly Valued
    May. 31, 2013 DIA, SPY 4 Comments
  • Bond Bubble: Risk Premium Factor Model Suggests Fair Value Yield On 10-Year Treasury Is 4.4%
    May. 20, 2013 DSTJ, IEF, PST 15 Comments
  • Dow Hits Record High But Risk Premium Factor Model Shows Market Still Undervalued
    Mar. 6, 2013 DIA, SPY 4 Comments
  • S&P 500 Nears Record High But Risk Premium Factor Model Shows It's Still Undervalued
    Feb. 1, 2013 SPY 6 Comments
  • Risk Premium Factor Model Shows S&P 500 Still Undervalued
    Apr. 30, 2012 SPY, DIA, FINF 13 Comments
  • A Better Way Of Determining If Market P/E Is Too High Or Low
    Feb. 23, 2012 SPY 7 Comments
  • 'Moneyball' For The Stock Market
    Feb. 7, 2012 SPY, TLT 14 Comments
  • Interest Rates Are The Long-Term Driver Of Market P/E Ratios
    Nov. 2, 2011 DIA, SPY, TLT 13 Comments
  • Big Week But Risk Premium Factor Model Shows S&P Still Undervalued By 20%
    Oct. 31, 2011 DIA, SPY, TLT 1 Comment
  • Is S&P Fairly Valued? The One Thing To Watch Is Earnings
    Oct. 25, 2011 SPY, TLT, DIA 15 Comments
  • Causes Of The Bond Bubble: Not Just Flight To Quality And The Fed's Twist
    Sep. 26, 2011 IEF, QQQ, SPY 3 Comments
  • Risk Premium Factor Model Shows S&P Undervalued By More Than 20%
    Sep. 18, 2011 DIA, SPY, TLT 14 Comments
  • Risk Premium Factor Model Shows S&P 500 Greatly Undervalued, Bonds In A Bubble
    Sep. 6, 2011 DIA, SPY, TLT 23 Comments
  • 30% Value Gap in S&P 500 Closed by Rise in Treasury Yields, Price
    Feb. 12, 2011 SPY, TLT 15 Comments
  • Making a Case for Salesforce.com Valuation - I Want My LTV
    Jan. 25, 2011 CRM 18 Comments
  • Why Dividends Don't Matter
    Jan. 14, 2011 AAPL, AIG, MSFT 255 Comments
  • S&P Index Still Undervalued
    Jan. 6, 2011 SPY 4 Comments
  • Strategists Lowball 2011 Projections for S&P 500
    Dec. 16, 2010 SPY 28 Comments
  • Debunking the Myth of Infinite Online Advertising Inventory
    Nov. 12, 2010 AOL, GOOG, YHOO 8 Comments
  • The Market Is Up, But So Are Earnings – S&P 500 Still Appears Undervalued
    Nov. 8, 2010 SPY, TLT 5 Comments
  • Post-Earnings Analysis: Google Now Expected to Grow Faster Than Apple
    Oct. 20, 2010 AAPL, GOOG 18 Comments
  • Market Expectations for Apple, Google and Yahoo Using Real Implied Growth Rate
    Oct. 14, 2010 AAPL, GOOG, HPQ 14 Comments