Steven Bauer's  Instablog

Tuesday Edition - General Electric - September 18, 2012

It's Tuesday morning,

As you likely know, I also publish (unedited or influenced by anyone) articles in SafeHaven.com rather frequently.

On June 16th. ( about 3 months ago) I posted on General Electric (GE).

My most current Article on GE was posted on September 17, 2012. Please Click on the following URL:

http://www.safehaven.com/article/26956/investing-wisely-general-electric-forecasts-conformations-results

Termination is when I reverse my Forecast and take profits or losses. Just for the record, I expect to "take profits" on all 13 SafeHaven.com Articles in the very near-term. Those profits covered all 13 of the following Companies: AA, AAPL, BAC, C, CMCSA, CSCO, F, GE, GOOG, INTC, MSFT, AT&T, XOM. Thirteen out of thirteen profitable Forecasts is pretty good in my way of thinking. Please consider reading my 13 articles for the above Companies in SafeHaven.com. They are listed under my name (Steve Bauer) under the heading of Authors.

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Special Note for the above Companies:

The on going series of 13 - High Profile / Bellwether Companies that I am sharing is a simple three month rotation ( one Article per week for 13 weeks ) from my Forecasts / Opinions. You should consider following these 13 companies yourself and in my Saturday posting.

My "Results" (profitability) are excellent however I nearly always Recommend to my Clients different companies than these 13 Companies with even more compelling "Results."

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"Important" - Caveat for - My Opinions and Forecasts:

Caveat (an example): I am currently Forecasting a pull back for Cisco -- (like last week's article on BofA). I must use the following explanation to qualify the "When" the pull back will actually begin. It (a pull back or a rally) is always dependent and pending much more data from my Confirmations Procedures. (see below for my definition / explanation of "Confirmations").

On any given date it is easy for me to accurately determine a short or long term trend. It is not all that easy to "Pin Point" the "When" a new Bullish or Bearish Inflection Point will occur.

Understand I write these article once or more times per week for my financial blogs and other Advisory Consulting and individual Clients. And, it is a fact that the combined Bullish and Bearish Inflection Points (historically) only occur 3 - 5 times per year.

Cisco Systems is a near perfect example: I am Forecasting yet another Bearish Inflection Point. It may have (that) Bearish Inflection Point in the next few days or the Bearish Inflection Point may not occur for several more week. I can forecast, with high probability the Inflection Point is in the making, but I need my "Confirmations" to tell me "When" actual Bearish Infection Point occurs.

That is your problem of being a Follower and not a Client. I Email my Clients on the day my Conformations all kick in and make specific formal (low risk) security recommendations specifically for their needs, goals and objectives. Remember - That event occurs just 3 - 5 times per year. Projected profits are always a minimum of 15% per security per recommendation for Buying or Short Selling.

I hope you will want to Email me with your questions and thoughts about this Caveat and my procedures for guidance in making consistent annual profits.

Confirmations: "Confirmations" occur "When" about a dozen of my special fundamental valuation models and technical chart configurations - kick in. This (waiting) requires much Discipline and Patience for making Wise Investment decisions. I can anticipate a "Conformation" kicking in, but there are always times when I am disappointed. It just does not happen as expected! That, in a nut-shell, is the incredible value of my "Conformations. So, it is back to using my Methodology and waiting for the next investment opportunity to come along.

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Please Read my Saturday (Instablog) Postings - it is a Monthly Update of 13 Dow 30 Companies and a few special Companies. I provide Guidance with Warnings and Alerts, and they too are very accurate.

If these postings are not sufficient for you to want to make Email contact please let me know what further I can provide in the way of profitable guidance

I am seeking new Asset Management / Consulting and Mentoring Clients. If paying a one percent professional fee for a return of 15+ % consistent annual profit is not in your mindset - I cannot you would pass an opportunity to begin an Email dialog.

If you take positions without notifying me for further guidance, I suggest you are just plain stupid. I can assure you that taking Guidance without the complete picture, from the source, is a sure way to be a very long-term LOSER. I am all through bailing out readers that act on my advice without any Email contact with me. Here are some examples of what I get to read from my years of trying to be of help ( "I thought you meant. You did not say. I have no way to know when you advise "termination" of a position. I did not understand your Warning / Alert system of communication. ETC " )

Folks, I am here to offer my experience and guidance, but I expect to be paid for it. Clients receive a minimum of two special Emails per week with encouragement to share their thoughts. Followers often have up to a half-a-dozen articles and comments per week from me in my various financial blogs.

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You may have noted that my personal blog has been terminated. Please open it to read my reasons for my not providing free guidance.

http://twitter.com/InvestRotation

Please Email me if you are interested in further Guidance or Clarification of my postings and perhaps details of my professional services. I do not reply to SA message board communications / only Emails with some background on yourself and your financial needs, goals and objectives. For some reason I am getting inquiries on my SPAM. If I do not reply immediately, please try again.

My Email Address: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

Thanks, I hope to hear from you via Email. If you do not receive a prompt reply it is because you, for what ever reason, came through as spam. Yahoo is not perfect and neither am I. Giving you my best is important to me so be persistent until you and I have a profitable Email dialog in motion. Thanks.

Smile, have fun Investing Wisely,

Dr. Steve

This posting ( Week III ) is one of the communications I share in my rotation over a four week periods of time. There will be ( Week IV ) next week with my Detailed Version - again. In my last blog posting on Saturday ("More Detailed Version" ) - three Weeks ago on August 25th I presented clear warnings for the thirteen high profile (Bellwether) companies that I share with your each week

As you know by now these (individual company) articles are provided for your guidance for your future of investing wisely in the stock market. They are available in SafeHaven.com each and every week. My goal is to provide you and Clients with consistent annual profitability. These companies are just a (High Profile / Bellwether) sample of what I keep focused on in my universe of about 1,500 securities.

As you likely know I have a very accurate and profitable methodology. It is based on the fact that all Companies, Industry Groups and Sectors - "Rotate" in and out of favor. It is a rather simple formula that says if it is currently in favor it will not be long before it is out of favor and likewise if it is a quality Company and is currently out of favor it will not be long before it is back in favor again.

Please see my Article on Rotation here in SeekingAlpha.com. Click on Rotation.

If you would like more than this quick insight into my work you might want to begin by reading "My Methodology." It too is available here in SA. Click on Methodology.

If you have visited my personal blog recently you have noticed that I have discontinued giving my work / analytics to hundreds of "Lookie Lous" - - for free.

I would hope that you would understand that seldom if ever I would formally recommend any of these thirteen companies for investment to my Clients. I have said many times for anyone to invest in these Companies without contacting me is just plain stupid. They are seldom on my most Favorable (for Buying) or on my most Un-favorable (for Shorting) lists. In other words there are always lower risk / higher reward Companies based on my on going Analytics and Methodology. From my perspective that is a very compelling reason to contact me and begin an Email dialog. I hope you do.

The table below is a list of the above thirteen companies but is absent my current alerts / warnings / recommendations.

Each week I received a number of Emails asking my opinion about the General Market, the Economy, this list of Companies and often Companies currently being held in their portfolio. My answers are always prompt and as complete as I feel I can be without knowing more about the specific investors financial needs, goals and objectives.

My Thirteen Companies

Charts

I maintain a large list of Companies and Indices in my StockChart Public Blog. The above and many more Charts are yours to view as frequently as you wish and are always up to the minute current. Click on Public Blog to access.

AA, AAPL, BAC, C, CMCSA, CSCO, F, GE, GOOG, INTC, MSFT, T, XOM

Summary

For Investing Wisely - Patience and Discipline are more important than the above data, tables, charts and information. However, the focus is always the question: do I buy, sell or hold? My question for you is, do you have the Patience and Discipline to hold cash for a time? And, can you wait until you can be 90+% sure to profit?

My criterion for taking a bullish position is that the company must have the prospect within its fundamental valuation and technical charts to outperform the general market, its sector, and industry group. Accomplishing this is really not all that difficult.

Currently, there are notable warnings about these companies and many others that are traded so freely each and every day. It is a fact that, the stock market cycles endlessly both fundamentally and technically. It continuously moves from bullish cycle to bearish cycle and then back to bullish cycle again. Unfortunately, this is a pattern that is not well-understood or taken advantage of by most investors. See my Rotation Model.

This analytic work I do each day is fun and profitable. There is always a list of the best (for buying) and worst (for shorting) companies to further valuate and study. Seeking profits by focusing on the best companies (to Buy), or perhaps the worst companies (to Short) is definitely a challenge. The companies in-between the best and the worst are never considered as a current investment. As I said before, all companies rotate into favor and out of favor. Each company takes its turn, at being one of the best or perhaps one of the worst. To be consistently profitable, we must fundamentally and technically always be prepared with, up to date, lists of the best and the worst companies to monitor. This work must be complete, well ahead of the pending bullish or bearish market cycle.

I hope you like my methodology and will continue to follow my work / analytics. It won't be long before I can offer you a bullish and up-beat (Bullish) Forecast once again. Just be Patient and maintain Discipline. I'll help if you would like guidance.

Conclusion

I am currently bearish on both the world economies and the general market. My more recent archive articles are focused on securities that should not be currently held in your portfolio. I suggest that it is important for you to understand that holding cash is often a wise decision. During bearish cycles, this advice is always profitable for you. I can assure you that; this is definitely a "bearish cycle" time frame!

I can also assure you that I am longer-term bullish on all of these companies. Their bullish cycle will return again in the coming months. Currently, my "holding cash" advice is both prudent and Investing Wisely. My Email Address is:

senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com ( just click )

Thanks for permitting me to share my "stuff."

I would appreciate your Telling a Friend or Two about my postings here in SA and in SafeHaven.com.

Smile, have Fun - "Investing Wisely",

Dr. Steve

Saturday (morning) Market Wrap for September 15, 2012

Good Morning:

As you may already know this is my regular posting of my proprietary General Market Index and is my Weekly measurement (Inflection Point Count - scale: 0 max. Bearish / 100 max. Bullish) of the probability of a new Bullish and / or Bearish Inflection Point occurring in the very near-term. That means it is Eminent.

This all dates back to over 50 years of my work / analytics of Inflection Points. I have written a large number of articles on my Methodology which is based on the early and clear Forecasting and Identification of all Inflection Points. I know of no other source of information and data that provides LEADING guidance with this consistent accuracy.

The following articles may be used as a reference:

My Methodology:

http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/826801-my-methodology-an-brief-explanation-of-my-methodology

My SHB Cycle Analysis:

http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/120955-my-shb-cycle-a-short-explanation

My Rotation Model:

http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/622651-my-rotation-model-an-explanation-of-this-part-of-my-methodology

My Inflection Points:

http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/627281-my-inflection-points-an-explanation-of-this-part-of-my-methodology

I use the Dow Jones 30 Industrials as my reference. While I do not favor this Index it is for sure the most followed in the General Marketplace.

The below Dow Jones 30 Industrials Chart is updated Weekly and presented herein for your reference. It is also available and current in the following URL 24/7 along with many very well know Companies that I use as Bellwether Companies. Check it / them out - you will like what you see!

StockCharts ( Dow Jones 30 Industrials ) Public List:

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$INDU&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p50720233760&a=270034212

Within the above Chart I have the following note:

The Green and Red Numbers splitting the Weekly Vertical (gray) Lines are my Proprietary Inflection Point -- Probability Counts.

Primary Cycles -- Begin with Any Number above 90 and Any Number below 10 are sure and soon to be Bullish or Bearish Inflection Points. Green for Bullish / Red for Bearish.

Secondary Cycles -- Occur within the Primary Cycles. I have a much different way of precisely Identifying WHEN those Bullish or Bearish Cycles will Begin and End - Also.

Precise Timing is available only by Personal Email from me to my Clients.

Those of you who are Followers and are carrying on a regular Email dialog with me personally and have indicated by Email that you are possible interested in becoming a Client also may (for a time) have my Communications Flow - just like a Client.

I hope you will permit me to answer your Questions and Thoughts.

My Email Address: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

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StockCharts ( all my high profile - Bellwether Companies ) Public List:

http://stockcharts.com/public/1616666

The following are the thirteen Companies that I provide Articles and Alerts / Warnings. Remember, these are only my Bellwether Companies as a partial guide to use my Rotation Model to Identify the Currently Most Favorable Companies and ETFs to consider at the time of the above mentioned Inflection Points.

AA, AAPL, AMZN, BAC, BIDU, C, CMCSA, CSCO, FCX, GE, GOOG, IBM, INTC, JNJ, JPM, MCD, MO, MSFT, PFE, RIMM, T, SBUX, SIRI, VZ, WFC, WMT, XOM

I hope you will become a regular Follower and perhaps a valued Client. My work / analytics should be very compelling for your considering working with me.

Smile, have fun Investing Wisely,

Dr. Steve