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Steven Hansen

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  • Start Looking for a Bottom? [View article]
    This was a good post, thanks. Do I think economic doomsday is here? No. But this post provided information which you can decide is applicable or not in today's market. The USA has more economic power and resilience than the economies referenced.
    Aug 17 09:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Weak Dollar Bodes Well for U.S. Economy [View article]
    Ya, instead of selling the assets to foreigners, we can sell them to the enron executives or have one of those white knight conglomerates come in and carve up the company.

    Wake up and realize that jobs are important, and the nationality of the owner is not.
    Aug 17 09:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Recession Fears Go Global [View article]
    I am not sure how europe can be fine anytime soon without the euro returning to par with the dollar.
    Aug 17 09:01 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gold's Divergence Between the Paper and Physical Markets [View article]
    I hope everyone realizes this article is an editorial, and has little fact to make an informed decision on gold. Whatever the reasons, gold is not behaving as a asset preservation vehicle - nor is it acting like a psuedo currency in this time of financial turmoil. Could this be the reason some are abandoning their positions on gold?
    Aug 17 08:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Implications of the Slowing Global Economy [View article]
    The article points out the economies in Europe, Japan, Australia, and New Zealand are going negative according to each government's data. How many people believe that the real situation in the USA is actually positive gnp.

    The author did a good job with his presentation even though I have an opposing point of view.
    Aug 17 06:38 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Four Reasons We Can't Call It a Recession - Yet [View article]
    If you fall in love with a particular economic or investing philosophy, I am willing to bet over the short haul you will loose money in times of economic stress as we are experiencing now.

    The game being played between the various central banks and the Fed parallels that of chess masters. Whether this is a recession or not is not important - the economy is not good. This is not the time to be worrying about making money but the preservation of capital.

    Aug 16 11:02 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Consensus Economist GDP Estimates and Recession Odds [View article]
    The value is that economists have spent their professional career studying economics. Their predictions can be no better than the data they are viewing, how close the economy will follow historical data, and whether their are new influences on the economy which will distort the outcome.

    i would personally not bet on such a divided economic opinion.
    Aug 16 09:17 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Computing Inflation in Real Time [View article]
    If you would use gold as the indicator, the government would screw with this commodity's pricing.

    It would be good if a non-gov't organization produced an inflation index.
    Aug 15 10:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Five Forces Driving the Euro Down [View article]
    Of the five reasons given for bullish sentiment towards the dollar, none seem to me to explain the massive movement. Oil prices should help both currencies. The economic data is not good in the usa or euro - only comparatively different. The fed interest rate uptick is pie in the sky. And sentiment is emotion.

    No, I think there is a big reason - but it was not stated in this article.
    Aug 15 10:31 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Complete Failure of Owners' Equivalent Rent [View article]
    If the cpi was not supposed to be a personal cost (inflation) index, then why is so many retirement and other cost/payment adjustments tied to it. The cpi is the defacto measure of inflation on the consumer. This is not logical argument but simply fact.

    I do believe over the long haul the index is valid. In the short haul, however, the cpi is not measuring the distress on the consumer. We need a new short haul indicator which removes discressionary items and measures simply food, shelter, clothing and transport costs.
    Aug 15 09:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Rampant Inflation Paints Fed Into a Corner [View article]
    The current economic situation will be revealed within the next six months. Logically it does not look good for any sort of recovery but i lack a nobel prize in economics. I do believe interest rates and inflation are the least of our worries.
    Aug 15 08:43 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Stock Bottom Doesn't Mean the Bull Is Coming Back [View article]
    I understand the market defies logic in its movements, but where would economic traction be coming from? Certainly not from the poor American consumer. If oil prices return to mid 2007 levels, then economic expansion is in order.

    Aug 15 07:56 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 7 Companies Raising Dividends In This Tough Market [View article]
    Richie Bros increases dividend to 9 cents? Let me run down and buy a whole sack of this stock. Seriously, Richie Bros doing well is not good news for our economic engine.
    Aug 15 10:32 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Great Consumer Crash of 2009 [View article]
    The great thing about data is that you are left only with arguing what it means. For sure, we need to sit back for the next six months to see what the horizon looks like. There are many possible senarios even if the USA does not blockade iran - and if it does things will not look good.
    Aug 14 09:56 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Two Types of Speculation: One Harmful, One Not [View article]
    You are kidding me? there is good speculation and bad speculation. this is rubbish. everybody in the market is trading based on good speculation - to make money.

    if civil penalties and damages could be levied on people who originate or propagate information which is false or information clearly arranged to deceive or mislead - this would be good. but this will never happen, and i am not in favor this as the practical consequences could be enormous.

    i will just settle for keeping my tires inflated.
    Aug 5 10:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment