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Steven Hansen  

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  • Watching The Economy Slow [View article]
    oil movements by rail are a very small proportion of rail car movements.
    Mar 29, 2015. 09:00 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Looking For The Positives Of Lower Fuel Prices [View article]
    you are absolutely correct - lower prices mean consumers have more choices what to do with what is left over after spending for essentials. and yes, it is going somewhere (which is not apparent yet in the data).

    but they were counting on improvement in GDP - the only metric they follow.
    Feb 22, 2015. 08:45 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Rethinking Investing In India [View article]
    all banks are majority owned by the government - the two largest are 100%
    Jan 12, 2015. 08:33 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Forces May Act On The Markets In 2015? [View article]
    it is fast change which creates the dynamics with unpredictable consequences. it is not high or low prices, but the speed they change.
    Jan 5, 2015. 08:01 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Nasty Storm Brewing In Trade [View instapost]
    i just ran across this post:
    Dec 21, 2014. 09:21 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Nasty Storm Brewing In Trade [View instapost]
    fincyn - yes the work slowdowns, fire, and backlog all had effects. but we are talking trends here - not one month out of alignment. there could also be a change in seasonal shipping which also could account for some of this.
    Dec 21, 2014. 09:12 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Forward Looking Indicators Disagree - One Is Wrong [View instapost]
    what you are looking at is the new LEI. they missed the 2008 recession - and ecri did not. since that time, ecri has called one recession which did not occur. at this point - their both have a one win / one loss track record.

    i am not negative on ecri - i know the financial community does not like them because they only like indices which show the future is bright. according to economists and market pumpers - the economy never will contract :)
    Nov 22, 2014. 12:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Lack Of Rental Units Can Trigger Inflation [View article]
    40 percent of the consumer price index is costs for rental housing. so YES - rental housing prices significantly influence the way inflation is calculated.
    Nov 22, 2014. 12:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Consumer Income Improving Or Declining? [View article]
    we publish on the day of the press release Sentier Research median income data. the next release should be early next week:
    Nov 9, 2014. 11:18 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Some Data Is Saying The U.S. Economy Is Returning To Normal [View article]
    import trends generally coincide with strengthening main street economy - all I am saying is that there is correlation. the problem is that imports are a negative to GDP, and exports are positive - so this current trend is negative IF one believes you measure an economy using GDP. as a person who exists in the USA - i do not see my position stronger after several years of positive GDP growth. GDP does not measure the world i exist in.
    Nov 2, 2014. 08:35 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Some Data Is Saying The U.S. Economy Is Returning To Normal [View article]
    i can only answer for myself - a minimum of three data points, and the more data points after that would strengthen your confidence that the trend was in play.
    Nov 2, 2014. 08:24 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Some Data Is Saying The U.S. Economy Is Returning To Normal [View article]
    and likely they will be saying it for seven more :)
    Nov 2, 2014. 08:21 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Consumer Credit Is Bouncing Around [View instapost]
    fully agree. but i would go further - it is in the interests of any country to educate its citizens. fees should be more nominal. how this can be done is the question - but it needs to be done.
    Oct 12, 2014. 08:21 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Manufacturing Seems To Be Trending Moderately Upward - But I Still Worry [View instapost]
    rail is posted now
    Oct 6, 2014. 06:28 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is The 5.9% Unemployment Rate Real Progress? [View article]
    there is no argument that we have a "bad, though real, recovery". my general argument throughout years of posts is that headline unemployment rate is NOT a good gauge of labor metrics, the employment-population ratio also shows a "bad, though real, recovery" in labor - and this is the core of the discussion in this post. the headline unemployment rate has fallen from 9.9% to 5.9%, whilst the employment-population ratio has risen from a low of 58.2 to 59.0. both show recovery - but at extremely different rates. this is my beef. please note that with this "good" bls report last friday - the employment-population ratio was unchanged.
    Oct 5, 2014. 10:34 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment