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Steven Hansen

 
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  • Why Ending The USA Export Import Bank Is Bad For The Economy [View article]
    i guess job creation is not important. i sense you do not believe that certain countries are not better at doing things than others. this is what trade is all about. why limit your ability to trade?
    Jun 30 12:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Bad Start To 2Q2014 GDP [View instapost]
    on the other hand, there are several papers on economic stall speed which conclude gdp under 2% for any length of time is a recession trigger.

    bbro - i am not a pumper - trying to show only good. i am on record saying a recession is not eminent - but this does not preclude me from looking at data to the contrary. trends are good until they are no longer good. i always have in the back of my mind that "this time is different" as the economy moves with a morphing group of dynamics. it is obvious we do not understand interaction or most recessions could be avoided.
    Jun 1 08:28 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Robotics May Be Good For U.S. Employment [View article]
    ever watch "Blade Runner"? http://bit.ly/Rpjde2

    :)
    May 25 08:44 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Further Evidence Economic Rate Of Growth Is Slowing [View instapost]
    no alarm being sounded. the usa economy had a terrible start last year also - and the cfnai is below last year. the purpose of these posts is to refute the growing chorus of people saying that the economy is improving (must be in their dreams).
    Mar 30 08:36 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Should There Be Optimism On U.S. Export Growth? [View article]
    oil imports do not effect trends whether you include it or not. my last analysis which much of it is based on removing crude imports: http://bit.ly/1m29hkU
    Mar 24 09:34 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Consumer Is Income Constrained [View article]
    i just published January 2014 consumer credit. http://bit.ly/MYqa3j
    Mar 9 08:37 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Consumer Is Income Constrained [View article]
    transfer payments are included.
    Mar 9 07:53 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Corporate Greed And Productive Use Of Money [View article]
    i see the decline of unions caused by automation, political factors which allowed imported untaxed products to compete against usa taxed products, and silly decisions made by company management and union leaders (they took there eyes off of long term goals in pursuit of short term benefits).
    Feb 10 08:16 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Corporate Greed And Productive Use Of Money [View article]
    they are both on the same base - and both include income earned overseas. most corporations run in shells anyway, and do not repatriate profits except when profits are down in the mother unit.
    Feb 9 02:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Demographics Is Not A Big Deal [View article]
    Hello dancing diva. you are opening a different can of worms :)

    taxes are a drag on the economy if they take money which you would have spent had the government not taken it. i find the talk of government spending multipliers silly because no one takes into consideration what the multiplier would have been if the money had been spent directly by the taxpayer (instead of being taken away as a tax by the government).

    government multipliers are in play if the government really prints money (and does not borrow). the problem with the latest round of deficit spending is that the money did not stimulate the economy enough to be able to pay off the deficit with increased economic activity. this translates into an economic drag kicking in when interest rates rise on treasury borrowings. for now, the government has borrowed the money for almost nothing so it remains somewhat stimulative.
    Jan 26 10:27 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What About The Middle Class? [View article]
    Please note my second graph showing the political party in control of congress is incorrect for the period 2006 to 2010. A revised graph can be found here: http://bit.ly/1dIuP3K
    Jan 19 03:05 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Sky Is Falling - Only 74,000 Jobs Created [View instapost]
    sorry for the confusion on the 2014 data point. it is for one week only - but to make it appear, i have to stretch it to two weeks. Simply it is a single dot showing the 4 week moving average for the first week of 2014.

    as far as trends are concerned, the current value is approximately at the historical trend level for unemployment. see http://bit.ly/1eOdGUE for an expanded analysis.
    Jan 13 02:46 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Economic Growth Accelerating? [View instapost]
    my "guess" is the kind of things we export are not particularly linked to subtle variations in the dollar.
    Dec 23 09:17 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Look At Holiday Retail Sales [View article]
    i did not adjust the numbers for inflation, but i wonder if the real story this year is not profit margins. we will know soon enough.
    Dec 23 09:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Extend Unemployment Benefits? [View article]
    every one has an opinion on this based on where they are standing, and what they are seeing. my point is that unemployment claims are in a normal range - which suggests extraordinary measures are not necessary.

    however, i do not like the current system on how we teach our citizens skill sets to find jobs.
    Dec 15 08:23 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
2,248 Comments
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