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  • Sell Apple And Put Up Your Defenses
    Fri, Dec. 19 AAPL 158 Comments

    Summary

    • That was a very nice gain from Apple.
    • Take profits from that and other long positions.
    • And then out up your defenses. This could be similar to 2000 and 2007.
  • The Divergence Between Oil And Equities
    Thu, Dec. 18 OIL, FDX 4 Comments

    Summary

    • Oil prices have influenced equity prices during the market's decline.
    • Arguably higher Oil prices played some role int he recent market rally too.
    • But today that relationship seems to be breaking. Here's why.
  • The Mistakes Smaller Investors Are Making
    Thu, Dec. 18 TVIX, XIV, VXX 14 Comments

    Summary

    • Smaller investors do well when markets go straight up.
    • But most make grave mistakes when markets stop moving in one direction.
    • Those mistakes could get them into serious trouble.
  • We Expect The Russell 2000 To Outperform
    Wed, Dec. 17 UWM 5 Comments

    Summary

    • The Russell 2000 showed signs of resiliency last week.
    • We expect the Russell 2000 to perform best this week if the markets stabilize.
    • So far that has happened, but the week is not over.
  • Buy Signals Triggered Today In Apple
    Tue, Dec. 16 AAPL 73 Comments

    Summary

    • AAPL buy signals triggered today.
    • They also act as risk controls.
    • If they hold target longer term resistance.
  • Did Anyone Listen To The U.S. Treasury Warning?
    Tue, Dec. 16 DIA, OIL 4 Comments

    Summary

    • The US Treasury warned of added volatility on December 2.
    • No one seemed to care at that time.
    • But market conditions have changed, and you better open your eyes!
  • Despite Berkshire Endorsement, Express Scripts Has Headwinds
    Tue, Dec. 16 ESRX 4 Comments

    Summary

    • ESRX is up about 20% YTD.
    • It also seems to have support from Warren Buffett.
    • But should we expect the same next year?
  • What December's Action Is Really Telling Us
    Mon, Dec. 15 OIL, HYG 3 Comments

    Summary

    • HYG and OIL are very weak.
    • But Oil prices may have been manipulated recently.
    • When is the last time you heard about institutional investors manipulating a market?
  • Evidence Of A Market Rally From Here
    Fri, Dec. 12 DDM, DXD 14 Comments

    Summary

    • -2% seems to be a relative intra month trough for December.
    • The DJIA is down by about 2% for December thus far.
    • Recoveries from troughs like this in the past have been excellent.
  • Oil Industry Changes And OPEC's Chagrin
    Wed, Dec. 10 OIL 3 Comments

    Summary

    • OPEC wants to manipulate prices.
    • But they do not have the same influence as they did before.
    • US Policies are largely the reason why.
  • Buy Signals Stemming From The Russell 2000
    Tue, Dec. 9 IWM, DIA 2 Comments

    Summary

    • The buy signals today started with the Russell 2000.
    • That was followed by the NASDAQ.
    • And finally the DJIA and S&P.
  • Trade Set Up For Oil
    Mon, Dec. 8 CVX 17 Comments

    Summary

    • Oil and oil related stocks have been battered.
    • But no institutions want to buy them before the end of the quarter.
    • This may set up a great trade next year, but not yet.
  • Investors Could Realize Premium If Nutrisystem Agrees On Sale
    Fri, Dec. 5 NTRI 2 Comments

    Summary

    • Should NTRI put itself up for sale?
    • Clinton Group thinks it should.
    • But risks now exist if such a move does not take place.
  • Investors Should Think Twice Before Investing In Big Oil
    Wed, Dec. 3 CVX, XOM 4 Comments

    Summary

    • CVX and XOM have had EPS contractions.
    • Both are expected to contract EPS in the year ahead.
    • Investors looking for EPS growth should avoid these stocks.
  • They Call It Chasing The Market
    Wed, Dec. 3 SPY, DIA, QQQ 4 Comments

    Summary

    • Most people are familiar with the term window dressing.
    • But few are familiar with the term chasing the market.
    • But that is exactly what is happening right now.
  • An Update For Gilead Sciences
    Tue, Dec. 2 GILD 45 Comments

    Summary

    • GILD looks reasonably cheap on a PEG ratio basis.
    • The stock is also holding longer term support.
    • If it holds we expect $123.55.
  • For BlackBerry The Turnaround Story Continues
    Tue, Dec. 2 BBRY 181 Comments

    Summary

    • BBRY is our turnaround stock for 2014.
    • We recommend holding BBRY from our cost basis.
    • But we are not buyers at these levels.
  • Black Friday Data Is Incomplete
    Mon, Dec. 1 USO 2 Comments

    Summary

    • The data thus far appears weak.
    • Even though the consumer should be more willing to spend.
    • But we may have a more savvy consumer on our hands.
  • Don't Be Complacent With The S&P 500
    Mon, Dec. 1 SPY 1 Comment

    Summary

    • The S&P 500 has a high PE Multiple.
    • Its PEG Ratio is over 1.6.
    • And the Market looks to have tested resistance.
  • Our Buy Signals For GLD And OIL
    Wed, Nov. 26 OIL, GLD 4 Comments

    Summary

    • Both GLD and OIL triggered at about the same time.
    • But OIL stopped, and only GLD remains in play.
    • The trade is therefore 1/2 cash and 1/2 GLD.
  • For Gilead, Are Products More Important Than Price?
    Tue, Nov. 25 GILD 21 Comments

    Summary

    • Price is what makes you money in the stock market.
    • But products are fun and easier to talk about.
    • The question is, what is more important?
  • Investors Wait To Invest New Money In Apple
    Mon, Nov. 24 AAPL 57 Comments

    Summary

    • AAPL has increased by 10% in about 20 days.
    • The stock still looks solid on a fundamental basis.
    • But because price matters, new investors should wait for a retracement.
  • Investors Should Be Concerned About Gilead
    Mon, Nov. 24 GILD 201 Comments

    Summary

    • GILD has grown remarkably in the recent past.
    • But analysts are starting to questions the ongoing growth rate.
    • And the stock has recently begun to break down.
  • The FOMC Hangover
    Fri, Nov. 21 DIA, IWM, SPY 4 Comments

    Summary

    • FOMC stimulus has caused asset prices to increase.
    • That money is still sloshing around.
    • And investors are a little hungover.
  • Investing In Strategies Vs. The Stock Market
    Fri, Nov. 21 SPY 13 Comments

    Summary

    • Debate exists about the future direction of the market.
    • Some people believe the market may never actually fall again by very much.
    • But for others, investing in strategy instead of the market may be the best approach from here.
  • Lilly Shares Climb Despite Sales, Revenue Declines
    Thu, Nov. 20 LLY 5 Comments

    Summary

    • LLY is up nicely YTD.
    • That is outpacing DRG and DIA.
    • And it is happening while revenue declines!
  • Advent Software Not Growing As Fast Anymore
    Mon, Nov. 17 ADVS Comment!

    Summary

    • ADVS was growing nicely.
    • But EPS Growth has come down.
    • And the stock is under pressure.
  • Adtran Has Tough Days Ahead
    Mon, Nov. 17 ADTN Comment!

    Summary

    • ADTN saw easy comps recently.
    • But now the comps are not as easy.
    • And earnings growth has come down.
  • Alliance Data Systems Has Excellent Growth
    Sat, Nov. 15 ADS 1 Comment

    Summary

    • ADS has been growing solidly.
    • The stock has been volatile though.
    • We would consider buying on dips, but don't chase.
  • Autodesk Must Focus On The Bottom Line
    Fri, Nov. 14 ADSK Comment!

    Summary

    • ADSK has higher revenue.
    • But lower EPS growth.
    • Something needs to give.
  • Automatic Data Processing Could Be A Great Short
    Fri, Nov. 14 ADP 7 Comments

    Summary

    • ADP had lackluster EPS Growth.
    • Deteriorating Quarterly Revenue.
    • And a PEG ratio of 9.
  • We Don't Trust Archer Daniels Midland
    Fri, Nov. 14 ADM 6 Comments

    Summary

    • ADM has had nice EPS Growth.
    • But Deteriorating Revenue.
    • That is not a sustainable model.