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  • A Positive Reaction To A Negative Earnings Season?
    Fri, Apr. 10 AA, GE, DIA 12 Comments

    Summary

    • Weak EPS data is already expected by the market.
    • If the data is not as weak, that could be a positive.
    • Be prepared for positive reactions to negative earnings.
  • Investors Are Opening Their Eyes To FedEx Again
    Tue, Apr. 7 FDX 1 Comment

    Summary

    • FDX was under pressure.
    • But buy signals surfaced recently.
    • On the heels of news, Wall Street is taking notice again.
  • Monday's Short Covering Rally
    Mon, Apr. 6 SPY 6 Comments

    Summary

    • Friday's data was big news.
    • Investors implemented risk controls last week.
    • And now those risk controls are being reversed.
  • Target Is Our Stock Of The Week
    Mon, Apr. 6 TGT 3 Comments

    Summary

    • TGT has been selected as the Stock of the Week this week.
    • Part of the reason is fundamental.
    • But comps are very easy.
  • Stock Traders Daily Suggests Selling/Shorting Real Estate
    Thu, Apr. 2 URE 4 Comments

    Summary

    • The real estate market has had perfect conditions recently.
    • Those conditions are reversing themselves.
    • Sell/short signals now exist.
  • Yield Parity: Which Is Worse, Stocks Or Bonds?
    Wed, Apr. 1 SPY, TBT 7 Comments

    Summary

    • The S&P yields about 1.9%.
    • The 10-year Treasury yields about 1.9%.
    • And this yield parity helps us define added degrees of risk.
  • BlackBerry: Very Attractive At These Levels
    Tue, Mar. 31 BBRY 217 Comments

    Summary

    • Analysts love to hate this stock.
    • But those points of view can change.
    • BBRY is very attractive if it holds these levels.
  • Short Sellers May Be Interested In McDonald's
    Tue, Mar. 31 MCD 9 Comments

    Summary

    • MCD is not an attractive value play.
    • EPS Growth rates are expected to be dismal.
    • If certain things play out margins will likely deteriorate.
  • Union Pacific Is The Stock Of The Week
    Mon, Mar. 30 UNP 8 Comments

    Summary

    • UNP has been chosen as the Stock of the Week.
    • There is fundamental value in the stock per our observation.
    • But Price-Based concerns exist too.
  • How To Identify A Market Reversal Before It Happens
    Mon, Mar. 30 DXD, DDM 8 Comments

    Summary

    • Start with looking for overbought and oversold conditions.
    • I prefer to do this using a group of correlated stocks.
    • When the signals surface adjust your market expectations accordingly.
  • Twitter's PR Multiple Is Ridiculous
    Wed, Mar. 25 TWTR 11 Comments

    Summary

    • TWTR offers no value to investors in our opinion.
    • The company is constantly in PR mode as well.
    • And 'Random Walk' Demand appears to be at play here.
  • The Housing Market Looks Like A Short
    Wed, Mar. 25 SRS, ITB, URE 4 Comments

    Summary

    • Housing prices have been supported by FOMC policy.
    • Those policies are changing.
    • And housing is still near its highs.
  • Amgen Is The Stock Of The Week
    Mon, Mar. 23 AMGN 12 Comments

    Summary

    • AMGN represents an attractive value.
    • Our initial report was issued on February 27.
    • Now AMGN has also been selected as our Stock of the Week.
  • Don't Chase Nike After Earnings
    Fri, Mar. 20 NKE 3 Comments

    Summary

    • NKE delivered an earnings beat.
    • Positive news and positive comments have subsequently come.
    • But our pre-earnings valuation assessment remains the same.
  • Will The FOMC Prick The Bubble?
    Thu, Mar. 19 DXD 10 Comments

    Summary

    • The FOMC may raise interest rates soon.
    • It may do it in the face of weaker economic projections.
    • And that makes it seems like the FOMC is being forced to take action.
  • Nike Is A High Risk For Value Investors At This Time
    Wed, Mar. 18 NKE 7 Comments

    Summary

    • Value investors should be cautious.
    • Concerns clearly exist as most investors are aware.
    • But future value rests on very high 2016 expectations, which is a red flag.
  • Lumber Liquidators On The Radar As A Potential Value Play
    Tue, Mar. 17 LL 17 Comments

    Summary

    • For now LL is an avoid.
    • But that could change soon.
    • Analysts are expecting solid growth in 2016.
  • The FOMC And The Russell 2000
    Mon, Mar. 16 DIA, QQQ, SPY 3 Comments

    Summary

    • IWM has been very strong recently.
    • The Russell is breaking out vs the other markets.
    • But higher rates usually hurt small cap stocks.
  • Double Short The DJIA
    Fri, Mar. 13 DXD 7 Comments

    Summary

    • We are currently 2x short the DJIA.
    • Part of the reason rests in our macroeconomic assessments.
    • Not only has stimulus ended, but higher rates would hurry a reversion to weaker conditions.
  • Avoid Shares Of Exxon Mobil
    Wed, Mar. 4 XOM 58 Comments

    Summary

    • There is no current value in XOM.
    • There is no future value if price remains the same.
    • And there are no good trading catalysts either.
  • Disney: Value Investors Be Patient
    Wed, Mar. 4 DIS 25 Comments

    Summary

    • DIS is at the high end of 'fair value'.
    • The stock runs the risk of declining.
    • Value oriented investors should be patient.
  • There's No Value In Exelon
    Tue, Mar. 3 EXC 13 Comments

    Summary

    • Value-oriented investors should avoid EXC.
    • The stock is not expected to grow earnings very much.
    • And although recovery has been happening, it is not enough.
  • Target Is An Attractive Value
    Tue, Mar. 3 TGT 3 Comments

    Summary

    • TGT is an interesting value.
    • It has current value given recent earnings growth.
    • But future valuation looks interesting too.
  • Don't Chase Shares Of Akamai At These Levels
    Tue, Mar. 3 AKAM 1 Comment

    Summary

    • AKAM is generally attractive.
    • But it runs the risk of pulling back by 15 - 20% this year.
    • Must pull back before it can move higher.
  • Value Oriented Investors Should Consider Amgen
    Fri, Feb. 27 AMGN 6 Comments

    Summary

    • AMGN is expected to have excellent growth.
    • Current valuation is fair.
    • But likely to look better if the company matches estimates for 2015 and 2016.
  • Aggressive Value Oriented Investors Should Consider Aruba
    Fri, Feb. 27 ARUN 7 Comments

    Summary

    • ARUN is already attractively valued.
    • The PE multiple looks high, but growth has been superb.
    • Analysts are expecting excellent future growth as well.
  • Coca Cola Enterprises Is An Avoid For Value Investors
    Fri, Feb. 27 CCE 5 Comments

    Summary

    • CCE might seem to have immediate value.
    • But looking ahead to 2016, all that changes.
    • Value oriented investors should stay away from CCE.
  • There's No Value In The DJIA At This Time
    Thu, Feb. 26 CVX, XOM 1 Comment

    Summary

    • The PEG ratio for this year is expected to be over 5.
    • Much of this is due to XOM and CVX.
    • Still, value investors should avoid the DJIA.
  • India May Be A Very Interesting Play
    Fri, Feb. 20 EPI, INDA, EEM 9 Comments

    Summary

    • India-Based ETFs have been doing well.
    • Growth Rates in India are expected to be strong.
    • And the U.S. has committed to playing an integral role.
  • Powerful Signs The Post Recession Recovery Has A Long Ways To Go
    Fri, Feb. 20 SPY 6 Comments

    Summary

    • The Market usually climbs in the third year of a presidential term.
    • Historically, we have been able to time investments in conjunction with presidential terms.
    • But this is not a foolproof approach by any means.
  • Gold Still In Favor After ECB
    Thu, Jan. 22 GLD 3 Comments

    Summary

    • The ECB news supports our Gold Position.
    • Other factors support Gold as well.
    • Those include currency wars, and potential future fear levels.
  • Betting On Earnings Results Is A Gamble!
    Thu, Jan. 22 NFLX Comment!

    Summary

    • Small Investors might not think so.
    • But seasoned investors know.
    • Taking positions ahead of earnings is a gamble, pure and simple.