This Asset Bubble: The Difference Is... [View article]
Current P/E for the S&P is 19x. However, P/E expansion should only be accompanied by growth. My point about growth in the Dow is stated in the article of course. Similar growth rate declines are hjappening in the S&P. However, you are right, they will not care until they care, but when they care it will be ugly because valuations are rich vs growth rates.
Remember... it is not what you think it is what you do that matters. You cannot force your will onto the market or onto a stock's price. Instead you need to respect what the stock or market is telling you.
Thanks for all the comments guys. Now if you want to see exactly where our pricepoints are, for actually trading the stock, then this unbiased technical report where tell you where to buy/sell: http://bit.ly/107mPUj
Listen more carefully. First, the market always goes up and down, the difference now is that it will happen as the market progressively declines. Buy and Hold is Dead!
Recent Policy Decisions and a Greater Depression [View article]
Everyone wants solutions, and unfortunately the best answer is NOT what anyne wants to hear. The impending doom is coming. My advice is to become proactive. That is the best case for individuals. Because we are small, we are also nimble and capable. We will be able to outperform the brackish discipline of buy and hold money managers and mutual funds whose main objective is to collect fees, and we should prevail accordingly.
If you are of the mindset that everything must always go up, your mindset needs to change.
My advice to the government is to reign in spending and balance the budget. Then start paying off debt. Let failing companies fail. Let our capitalistic structure and darwinistic economy work itself out. Protect people along the way, as best as possible. But prepare for the worst.
No one wants to hear it, everyone wants an answer, but it is really too late already. The proper steps to avoid these problems had to be taken 5-10 years ago. Those proper steps were deficit reduction. We cannot live off of debt, and our government has not yet got the point.
We are at the mercy of a dauting economic cycle.
My advice: You better be nimble, or you will lose.
Keep it simple....that way no one can hurt you....
Cash is king. Opportunities will surface if you are patient.
Predatory Banking Practices Undermining the U.S. Consumer [View article]
Loaded...
Yeah, I found that during this investigation too...the banks claimed that the reason they changed the order was because they wanted to ensure that the more important transactions were paid first.
However, interestingly, they will pay all of the transactions no matter what order they come in or what size they are, so this claim is moot.
If they drew the line, and refused to pay, then there would be no overdraft charge, but they don't.
Predatory Banking Practices Undermining the U.S. Consumer [View article]
I knew I'd open a can of worms with that article, so I accept the good with the bad...
I completely agree, people who overdraw their accounts should be punished for it, and without question. I am not arguing that point. What I am arguing is the discretionary order posting policy of the banks in our country.
Should 1 punishment turn into 4?
Maybe this will be a good analogy for stock traders: What if your broker re-ordered your transactions from highest to lowest at will? Example: you made 6 trades one day, the last trade of the day was the biggest, and it put you over your margin limit. The penalty imposed by your broker is that you do not have access to the cash for 1 day for every over limit transaction; in this case you would have to sit out the next session and wait for your account to become tradable again. Some brokers operate like this as you know.
Now, implement the policies imposed by our banks: If those transactions were re-ordered highest to lowest, that largest (last) transaction would have caused you to exceed your buying power right away, and the number of penalty days would multiply. Instead of sitting out 1 day, you could reasonably sit out 5. This, due to a simple accounting policy and even though it was the last trade you made.
Obviously these are not directly analogous because some brokers treat margin differently, and these posting policies do not apply because brokers want you to trade all the time. But what if these policies did apply? Would you be concerned then?
More often than not, people who manage their money well who never incur these fees don't see what is taking place, and don’t care. However, if your business is based on consumer spending, maybe you should be concerned. The consumer is losing more than $30 Billion every year because of this. Banks are stealing money from millions of consumers every day, money that could otherwise filter down to other businesses.
If ALL banks, and this happens with ALL Banks, are allowed to re-arrange the order of your transaction to increase their internal overdraft charges (four - fold on average), aren't they imposing a rapacious practice on their accountholders?
In my example (article), you had the money in your account to pay the first 4 charges, but the last caused a penalty. Instead of penalizing you for 1 charge, the charge that took you over your limit, they actually penalize you for the 4 charges you had the money to pay for instead.
That's wrong, no matter who you are.
Further, now that the economy is weak, those same people who are struggling to pay mortgages on homes they could not afford (thanks to the creative mortgages they purchased from these same banks) are foreclosing at a higher rate as a direct result of this practice. Not only are they struggling to pay their normal bills and ARM payment, but now the bank is stealing money from them as well.
Argue the point of 'paying the price' for overdraft accounts all you want, and I'll agree with you that for every legal overdraft fee a charge should be imposed. However, when a bank imposes a predatory practice like this one onto accountholders who are struggling in an already weak economy which can, arguably, be directly tied to the mortgage banking policies of recent past, something should be done to curb it.
Banks should not be allowed to increase overdraft fees at will.
Fannie Mae Trade Idea: For Aggressive Investors Only [View article]
I am actually surprised that seeking alpha posted this because it is purely technical. Seeking alpha wants everything to be fundamental, and fundamental traders are ancient in today's market. Maybe seeking alpha is coming around. If you listen to th call, like my clints did, you haven't done too bad thus far. Don't chase it. If you want more info visit my website. I do not provide specifics like this for free, just genera comments. THK.
The recession is not energy induced...It is due to lower levels of personal liquidity levels as described by the Investment Rate. Review my website for details.
Between Inflation and Interest Rates, Bernanke's In Deep [View article]
alwaysright - I actually believe that the weakening economy was unavoidable in the 1970 and for the years that follow as well. It is a demographic issue, and policy changes can only lessen the impact; policy cannot prevent major economic cycles.
This Asset Bubble: The Difference Is... [View article]
Apple And IT: Tread Carefully [View article]
Apple And IT: Tread Carefully [View article]
Beware Of The 'Fiscal Slice' [View article]
No Stimulus Anytime Soon [View article]
We have been talking about VXX continuously at http://bit.ly/ayjIVx
Trading Strategies for Choppy Markets [View article]
members.stocktradersda...
Good Trading.
Thomas Kee.
This Market Bounce Is Temporary [View article]
Listen more carefully. First, the market always goes up and down, the difference now is that it will happen as the market progressively declines. Buy and Hold is Dead!
Thomas Kee.
stocktradersdaily.com
Follow the Mid-Term Channels of the S&P 500, Dow [View article]
Recent Policy Decisions and a Greater Depression [View article]
If you are of the mindset that everything must always go up, your mindset needs to change.
My advice to the government is to reign in spending and balance the budget. Then start paying off debt. Let failing companies fail. Let our capitalistic structure and darwinistic economy work itself out. Protect people along the way, as best as possible. But prepare for the worst.
No one wants to hear it, everyone wants an answer, but it is really too late already. The proper steps to avoid these problems had to be taken 5-10 years ago. Those proper steps were deficit reduction. We cannot live off of debt, and our government has not yet got the point.
We are at the mercy of a dauting economic cycle.
My advice: You better be nimble, or you will lose.
Keep it simple....that way no one can hurt you....
Cash is king. Opportunities will surface if you are patient.
THK.
Predatory Banking Practices Undermining the U.S. Consumer [View article]
Yeah, I found that during this investigation too...the banks claimed that the reason they changed the order was because they wanted to ensure that the more important transactions were paid first.
However, interestingly, they will pay all of the transactions no matter what order they come in or what size they are, so this claim is moot.
If they drew the line, and refused to pay, then there would be no overdraft charge, but they don't.
Predatory Banking Practices Undermining the U.S. Consumer [View article]
I completely agree, people who overdraw their accounts should be punished for it, and without question. I am not arguing that point. What I am arguing is the discretionary order posting policy of the banks in our country.
Should 1 punishment turn into 4?
Maybe this will be a good analogy for stock traders: What if your broker re-ordered your transactions from highest to lowest at will? Example: you made 6 trades one day, the last trade of the day was the biggest, and it put you over your margin limit. The penalty imposed by your broker is that you do not have access to the cash for 1 day for every over limit transaction; in this case you would have to sit out the next session and wait for your account to become tradable again. Some brokers operate like this as you know.
Now, implement the policies imposed by our banks: If those transactions were re-ordered highest to lowest, that largest (last) transaction would have caused you to exceed your buying power right away, and the number of penalty days would multiply. Instead of sitting out 1 day, you could reasonably sit out 5. This, due to a simple accounting policy and even though it was the last trade you made.
Obviously these are not directly analogous because some brokers treat margin differently, and these posting policies do not apply because brokers want you to trade all the time. But what if these policies did apply? Would you be concerned then?
More often than not, people who manage their money well who never incur these fees don't see what is taking place, and don’t care. However, if your business is based on consumer spending, maybe you should be concerned. The consumer is losing more than $30 Billion every year because of this. Banks are stealing money from millions of consumers every day, money that could otherwise filter down to other businesses.
If ALL banks, and this happens with ALL Banks, are allowed to re-arrange the order of your transaction to increase their internal overdraft charges (four - fold on average), aren't they imposing a rapacious practice on their accountholders?
In my example (article), you had the money in your account to pay the first 4 charges, but the last caused a penalty. Instead of penalizing you for 1 charge, the charge that took you over your limit, they actually penalize you for the 4 charges you had the money to pay for instead.
That's wrong, no matter who you are.
Further, now that the economy is weak, those same people who are struggling to pay mortgages on homes they could not afford (thanks to the creative mortgages they purchased from these same banks) are foreclosing at a higher rate as a direct result of this practice. Not only are they struggling to pay their normal bills and ARM payment, but now the bank is stealing money from them as well.
Argue the point of 'paying the price' for overdraft accounts all you want, and I'll agree with you that for every legal overdraft fee a charge should be imposed. However, when a bank imposes a predatory practice like this one onto accountholders who are struggling in an already weak economy which can, arguably, be directly tied to the mortgage banking policies of recent past, something should be done to curb it.
Banks should not be allowed to increase overdraft fees at will.
Fannie Mae Trade Idea: For Aggressive Investors Only [View article]
Oil Looks Toppy - Time to Short? [View article]
Oil Looks Toppy - Time to Short? [View article]
Tom.
Between Inflation and Interest Rates, Bernanke's In Deep [View article]