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  • Sell Apple And Put Up Your Defenses [View article]
    Actually it is a little more than that after the past week, we were long UWM, but still it is close yes. The strategy is not great because it is blowing the doors off of the market in the up years, it actually simply keeps pace pretty much, it is blowing the doors off of the market because it can also do what it does in the up years when the market falls as well, and because the market got crushed in 2008 the out performance is ridiculous.

    The question i posed to you was not 'can you find a strategy that has done better over the past year' but instead can you find one that has done better since December 2007? So far, on every count, the answers I have received have either been in the form of silence, or no.

    Interestingly though, in forums like this, very few actually care to investigate. Like you seem to, most want to poke holes, when they should actually take a close look at WHY it works so well.

    If the markets do come under severe pressure again that WHY is going to make a big difference, but the truth is people only really care AFTER they have lost money from market declines, not before the declines come.
    Dec 19, 2014. 05:43 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Sell Apple And Put Up Your Defenses [View article]
    Yes that is reasonable.

    Note my references to defenses.

    However, I find the best defense is usually also played when you do not have a bias on either market direction or the direction of a particular stock, and if you maintain positions you often also maintain that underlying bias.

    The answer to your question is yes, hedging works as a good defense, but small gains also lead to long term success and as much as balancing risk can be good I also like shorting the market when short signals occur so I am not only mitigating risk but also making money.

    Thanks, your comment was the best so far on this thread...

    THK
    Dec 19, 2014. 05:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Sell Apple And Put Up Your Defenses [View article]
    It is private Waldo. That's why you only get to see the returns :-)
    Dec 19, 2014. 04:28 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Sell Apple And Put Up Your Defenses [View article]
    How have we been doing, well, we have the #1 performing strategy on the market since December 2007 :-)

    That is, no one I know has shown me anything that can beat it.

    Look, I did not see all that fake money coming, so what you are saying is correct, but that does not mean we were not making money. Just because we move from buy and hold to proactive does not mean that we missed anything, but instead we have actually done far better.

    Check this out and let me know if you know any strategy that can beat it (note the inception date is before the credit crisis, not after):
    http://bit.ly/19xqLUu
    Dec 19, 2014. 03:56 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Sell Apple And Put Up Your Defenses [View article]
    I find it interesting that no one appreciates the accuracy of the trading call and that none of you likes the idea of securing gains. If you listen to what i said, clearly I said it with more detail to clients, you made a great return in 2 short days.

    Has everyone gotten married to this stock? Wow....
    Dec 19, 2014. 03:19 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • We Expect The Russell 2000 To Outperform [View article]
    We secured about 8% from the trade in 2 days.

    I have no interest in holding to January. That is not the business we are in...
    Dec 18, 2014. 01:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • We Expect The Russell 2000 To Outperform [View article]
    Don't over think trades. This is a trade, not an indicator of some forthcoming cycle.
    Dec 17, 2014. 04:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Buy Signals Triggered Today In Apple [View article]
    Warning from the US Treasury:

    The most interesting thing about this article is its comparison to the other article I wrote for SA today. The number of clicks are 18:1 in favor of the AAPL article, and no one seems to care about the warning from the US Treasury.

    http://seekingalpha.co...
    Dec 16, 2014. 05:29 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Buy Signals Triggered Today In Apple [View article]
    No problem. I usually find it best to offer articles like this on the day the triggers happen :-)
    Dec 16, 2014. 03:31 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • An Update For Gilead Sciences [View article]
    Most people actually pay for this Ashland: http://bit.ly/19xqLUu
    Dec 2, 2014. 05:21 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • For BlackBerry The Turnaround Story Continues [View article]
    If you are reading this article and the associated comments please be careful and understand that most of the people posting about this article are not respecting the price action in the stock. Although they all seem to be on generally the same page, in support of BBRY, some are disciplined and others are quite clearly arbitrary in their entry levels. This stock moves too aggressively for that in our opinion and although we believe the turnaround story will continue we also believe that we all must also respect the money we invest and consider risk controls with every investment. Most people posting here are not doing that with BBRY, but they should.
    Dec 2, 2014. 04:46 PM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • An Update For Gilead Sciences [View article]
    Read the entire article from that date and you will see that at the end it says 'unless the stock reverses immediately.' Thus far that is what the stock seems to be doing.
    Dec 2, 2014. 04:42 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • For BlackBerry The Turnaround Story Continues [View article]
    You do know where the stock was in mid-late January right? It hit 10.78 and then cratered back down to $7 a couple months later. Why on earth would you have chased it when the technicals told you not to chase it? 'we are not buyers' was the EXACT right call. In addition, did you even bother to look at where we were buyers of BBRY? To people who are generally astute I sincerely apologize for less informed comments like the one made above. If you were a buyer of BBRY in January when the stock ran you could have been down as much as 30% in a very short time, and you therefore should not have been chasing it. That was my recommendation in January, and I am very proud of it.
    Dec 2, 2014. 04:14 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • For BlackBerry The Turnaround Story Continues [View article]
    I don't know how you can suggest that we are looking at this the wrong way. Did you even read the part about our adjusted cost basis? Price is what makes you money in the market, not management or products.
    Dec 2, 2014. 03:05 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • For BlackBerry The Turnaround Story Continues [View article]
    Our adjusted cost basis is near $4. We have no need to recommend that clients buy here, nor do we consider these levels to be adequate for risk controls. Support levels are too far away from current levels to make new buys here okay. Entries here would be rather hopeful and undisciplined. Ideal buy recommendations are made when support levels are tested, not in the middle of a channel.
    Dec 2, 2014. 02:53 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
161 Comments
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