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Street One Financial LLC (S1F or Street One) is an independent entity affiliated with Precision Securities, LLC., a full service registered broker dealer and a member of FINRA/SIPC. Street One specializes in educating, evaluating and trading ETFs, equities and options. Our firm assists portfolio... More
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  • Today's Technical Outlook - 5/27/2015

    Market Summary

    David Chojnacki - Market Technician

    Mixed economic numbers greeted investors to start the week. It was apparent that traders took the news negatively and began punishing equities at the opening bell. The major indices fell through the session and hit their lows near 3PM. A small bounce in the last hour left the averages off their lows, but with significant losses in the session. At the close, the DJIA and S&P fell 1%, with the NDX, the big loser, down 1.2%. Breadth was decidedly negative, 3.8 to 1, on above average volume. RSI's fell in the session, with the DJIA and S&P dropping into the 40's. ROC(10's) declined in the session, with the DJIA falling into negative territory. The DJIA had its MACD cross below signal, while the NDX and S&P remained above. The ARMS index finished extremely negative with a 2.21 reading. The DJIA closed below its 20D-SMA(18109), but after testing its 50D(18011) managed to close just above. The S&P and NDX tested their 20D-SMA's, but only the S&P closed a few points below. The S&P traded as low as 2099 during the session, holding its 50D-SMA(2097). Recent pullbacks have found support near their 50D-SMA's. The S&P also has one year trend-line support at 2095, which is critical near term support. The S&P closed below its 3 year trend line support of 2125. The NDX closed at 4472, just 5 points above its 20D-SMA. The NDX one year trend-line support is at 4425, just 2 points below its 50D-SMA. The VIX spiked up 15.9% to close at 14.06, still relatively tame. The DJT saw its 50D cross below its 200D(death cross), continuing its divergence from the other major averages. Near term support for the S&P is now at 2100 and 2095-97. Upside resistance near term is at 2109-12 and 2125. The NDX near term support is now at 4467, 4450 and 4425-27. Upside resistance is at 4500 and 4525. Geopolitical issues continue, with no final settlement for Greece. Not much economic news today. Europe is higher in early trade and US Futures are higher before the bell.

    Major Economic Reports Today

    MBA Mortgage Index- 7:00am

    DISCLAIMER LANGUAGE -ALL PRICES NOTED IN THIS PUBLICATION ARE AS OF THE CLOSE ON TRADING PRIOR TO

    TODAY'S DATE, UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED

    This publication is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation to buy any securities mentioned herein. The information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized sources that are believed to be reliable. Street One Financial LLC (S1F) have not independently verified the facts, assumptions and estimates contained in this publication.

    Accordingly, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information and opinions contained in this publication. The information contained in this publication is not and does not purport to be a complete analysis of every material fact respecting any company, industry, ETF or other security You should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. The performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The Fund's investment return and principal value will fluctuate. Upon redemption, shares may be worth more or less than their original cost. The Fund's current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. Go to toll free telephone number or Web site to obtain performance current to the most recent month-end. The average annualized total returns reflect the deduction of the Fund's maximum sales load. (When also showing non-standardized performance, if the sales load is not reflected, the disclosure must state that performance does not reflect the deduction of loads or fees and, if reflected, would have reduced performance.)

    You should read the prospectus carefully before investing. You should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. Many of the securities mentioned in this publication involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established securities. For these and other reasons, the investments discussed in this publication may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial position. Each investor should complete his or her own additional investigation and assessment prior to making investments in any securities. You should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing Transactions in securities mentioned herein may be affected only in those states where such securities are qualified for sale.

    Street One Technical Analysis LLC is an independently owned Company from Street One Financial LLC (S1F). S1F is an independent Company specializing in ETF's, equities, and options utilizing the Broker/Dealer services and licenses of Precision Securities,LLC, a fully registered Broker Dealer and member of SIPC/FINRA. S1F specializes in agency ETF/ETP, equities, and options trade execution. On the ETF/ETP end, S1F may work with the ETF issuers to understand their products more thoroughly and how they can complement an investor's portfolio.

    Data sources include ETF Database, ETFTrends.com, IndexUniverse.com, Google Finance, and Bloomberg data and at times other data sources are utilized. Leveraged, Inverse & Leveraged Inverse Conclusions and Risks 1) Leveraged, Inverse, and Leveraged Inverse (L&LI) ETFs generally capture a high percentage of their expected daily returns, particularly on a net asset value basis. 2) L&LI ETFs are not appropriate for all investors. However, we believe they can be appropriate tools for some investors looking to make short-term tactical trades if they perceive a high likelihood of a strong market move occurring in a relatively short time period. In strong trending markets, being on the right side of the "trade" with L or LI ETFs can lead to very strong returns. 3) Investors should not expect these ETFs to deliver total returns linked to their benchmarks over any period other than daily. The effects of compounding and the daily re-leveraging or de-leveraging that occurs with L&LI

    ETFs can lead to unexpected results over the long term. As a result, we believe longer-term investors should consider regularly rebalancing positions. 4) Trendless markets, particularly those with a high level of volatility, can lead to substantial relative underperformance of L&LI ETFs. 2) Leveraged and Leveraged Inverse (L&LI) ETFs typically utilize futures and equity swap agreements. The use of these derivative instruments increases risk and enhances the possibility of tracking error.

    Relative to traditional ETFs, leveraged, inverse and leveraged inverse ETFs typically have higher costs and lower tax efficiency. 3) The effects of compounding can lead to significant deviations from traditional benchmarks over longer time periods. For example, if $100,000 is invested in an index that increases in value by 10% on day one and then decreases in value by 10% on day two, the investment will be worth $110,000 at the end of day one and $99,000 after day two. However, the value of a security that doubles the daily performance of the index would be worth $120,000 on day one and $96,000 after day two. Thus, the index is down 1% after two days, a doubling of which would be down 2%. However, the security attempting to double the return of the index is down 4%. Investors should consider carefully the potential impact over longer periods. MLP and MLP ETF Risks Individual MLPs are publicly traded partnerships that have unique risks related to their structure. These include, but are not limited to, their reliance on the capital markets to fund growth, adverse ruling on the current tax treatment of distributions (typically mostly tax deferred), and commodity volume risk.

    For tax purposes, MLP ETFs are taxed as C corporations and will be obligated to pay federal and state corporate income taxes on their taxable income, unlike traditional ETFs, which are structured as registered investment companies. These ETFs are likely to exhibit tracking error relative to their index as a result of accounting for deferred tax assets or liabilities (see funds' prospectuses). The potential tax benefits from investing in MLPs depend on their being treated as partnerships for federal income tax purposes and, if the MLP is deemed to be a corporation, then its income would be subject to federal taxation at the entity level, reducing the amount of cash available for distribution to the fund which could result in a reduction of the fund's value. MLP funds accrue deferred income taxes for future tax liabilities associated with the portion of MLP distributions considered to be a tax-deferred return of capital and for any net operating gains as well as capital appreciation of its investments; this deferred tax liability is reflected in the daily NAV; and, as a result, the MLP fund's after-tax performance could differ significantly from the underlying assets even if the pre-tax performance is closely tracked. Commodity ETF Risks Commodity ETFs may be subject to greater volatility than traditional ETFs and can be affected by increased volatility of commodities prices or indexes as well as changes in supply-and-demand relationships, interest rates, monetary and other governmental policies, or factors affecting a particular sector or commodity. Currency ETF Risks Investments in currency involve additional special risks, such as credit risk and interest rate fluctuations. ETFs mentioned at times may have material exposure to small cap and/or international securities that may have higher levels of risk and volatility than other ETFs.

    Registered Representative of and Securities Products offered through Precision Securities, LLC Member FINRA SIPC. Street One Financial LLC (S1F) and Precision Securities LLC are not affiliated entities.

    May 27 9:34 AM | Link | Comment!
  • Today's Technical Outlook - 5/26/2015

    Market Summary

    David Chojnacki, Market Technician

    After the DJIA and S&P hit new highs on Monday of last week, they went back into their narrow trading range and could not follow through with a convincing breakout. The S&P traded in a 6 point range on Friday as Yellen's speech did little to move the market. The major averages closed the day with small losses. At the close on Friday, the DJIA slipped 53 points, the S&P fell 4.7 points, and NDX gave up 2.3 points. Breadth was negative, 1.7 to 1, on below average volume. The DJIA was the only loser on the week, giving up 0.2%. The NDX gained 0.7% and the S&P added just 4 points on the week. The averages remain just below closing highs. The DJT continues to diverge from the rest of the market. It was down nearly 1% on Friday and is well below its 200D-SMA. This does not bode well for the Dow Theory. We are also seeing outflow in equities and IWM(Russell small-cap) continues to lag. The VIX closed at 12.13 on Friday, indicating that there is little fear in equities.

    Trading Trends

    MAJOR INDICES Short term support and resistance level

    DJIA

    close 18232

    SP500

    close 2126

    N100

    close 4527

    18125

    18250

    2125

    2130

    4525

    4536

    18108

    18288

    2117

    2135

    4500

    4550

    18005

    18300

    2112

    2140

    4475

    4562

    17800

    18312

    2109

    2150

    4470

    4575

    17800

    18351

    2100

    2162

    4450

    4600

    17763

    18500

    2096

    2175

    4425

    4610

      

    2088

    2188

    4424

    4625

      

    2075

    2200

      
      

    2070

       

    DISCLAIMER LANGUAGE -ALL PRICES NOTED IN THIS PUBLICATION ARE AS OF THE CLOSE ON TRADING PRIOR TO

    TODAY'S DATE, UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED

    This publication is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation to buy any securities mentioned herein. The information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized sources that are believed to be reliable. Street One Financial LLC (S1F) have not independently verified the facts, assumptions and estimates contained in this publication.

    Accordingly, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information and opinions contained in this publication. The information contained in this publication is not and does not purport to be a complete analysis of every material fact respecting any company, industry, ETF or other security You should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. The performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The Fund's investment return and principal value will fluctuate. Upon redemption, shares may be worth more or less than their original cost. The Fund's current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. Go to toll free telephone number or Web site to obtain performance current to the most recent month-end. The average annualized total returns reflect the deduction of the Fund's maximum sales load. (When also showing non-standardized performance, if the sales load is not reflected, the disclosure must state that performance does not reflect the deduction of loads or fees and, if reflected, would have reduced performance.)

    You should read the prospectus carefully before investing. You should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. Many of the securities mentioned in this publication involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established securities. For these and other reasons, the investments discussed in this publication may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial position. Each investor should complete his or her own additional investigation and assessment prior to making investments in any securities. You should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing Transactions in securities mentioned herein may be affected only in those states where such securities are qualified for sale.

    Street One Technical Analysis LLC is an independently owned Company from Street One Financial LLC (S1F). S1F is an independent Company specializing in ETF's, equities, and options utilizing the Broker/Dealer services and licenses of Precision Securities, LLC, a fully registered Broker Dealer and member of SIPC/FINRA. S1F specializes in agency ETF/ETP, equities, and options trade execution. On the ETF/ETP end, S1F may work with the ETF issuers to understand their products more thoroughly and how they can complement an investor's portfolio.

    Data sources include ETF Database, ETFTrends.com, IndexUniverse.com, Google Finance, and Bloomberg data and at times other data sources are utilized. Leveraged, Inverse & Leveraged Inverse Conclusions and Risks 1) Leveraged, Inverse, and Leveraged Inverse (L&LI) ETFs generally capture a high percentage of their expected daily returns, particularly on a net asset value basis. 2) L&LI ETFs are not appropriate for all investors. However, we believe they can be appropriate tools for some investors looking to make short-term tactical trades if they perceive a high likelihood of a strong market move occurring in a relatively short time period. In strong trending markets, being on the right side of the "trade" with L or LI ETFs can lead to very strong returns. 3) Investors should not expect these ETFs to deliver total returns linked to their benchmarks over any period other than daily. The effects of compounding and the daily re-leveraging or de-leveraging that occurs with L&LI

    ETFs can lead to unexpected results over the long term. As a result, we believe longer-term investors should consider regularly rebalancing positions. 4) Trendless markets, particularly those with a high level of volatility, can lead to substantial relative underperformance of L&LI ETFs. 2) Leveraged and Leveraged Inverse (L&LI) ETFs typically utilize futures and equity swap agreements. The use of these derivative instruments increases risk and enhances the possibility of tracking error.

    Relative to traditional ETFs, leveraged, inverse and leveraged inverse ETFs typically have higher costs and lower tax efficiency. 3) The effects of compounding can lead to significant deviations from traditional benchmarks over longer time periods. For example, if $100,000 is invested in an index that increases in value by 10% on day one and then decreases in value by 10% on day two, the investment will be worth $110,000 at the end of day one and $99,000 after day two. However, the value of a security that doubles the daily performance of the index would be worth $120,000 on day one and $96,000 after day two. Thus, the index is down 1% after two days, a doubling of which would be down 2%. However, the security attempting to double the return of the index is down 4%. Investors should consider carefully the potential impact over longer periods. MLP and MLP ETF Risks Individual MLPs are publicly traded partnerships that have unique risks related to their structure. These include, but are not limited to, their reliance on the capital markets to fund growth, adverse ruling on the current tax treatment of distributions (typically mostly tax deferred), and commodity volume risk.

    For tax purposes, MLP ETFs are taxed as C corporations and will be obligated to pay federal and state corporate income taxes on their taxable income, unlike traditional ETFs, which are structured as registered investment companies. These ETFs are likely to exhibit tracking error relative to their index as a result of accounting for deferred tax assets or liabilities (see funds' prospectuses). The potential tax benefits from investing in MLPs depend on their being treated as partnerships for federal income tax purposes and, if the MLP is deemed to be a corporation, then its income would be subject to federal taxation at the entity level, reducing the amount of cash available for distribution to the fund which could result in a reduction of the fund's value. MLP funds accrue deferred income taxes for future tax liabilities associated with the portion of MLP distributions considered to be a tax-deferred return of capital and for any net operating gains as well as capital appreciation of its investments; this deferred tax liability is reflected in the daily NAV; and, as a result, the MLP fund's after-tax performance could differ significantly from the underlying assets even if the pre-tax performance is closely tracked. Commodity ETF Risks Commodity ETFs may be subject to greater volatility than traditional ETFs and can be affected by increased volatility of commodities prices or indexes as well as changes in supply-and-demand relationships, interest rates, monetary and other governmental policies, or factors affecting a particular sector or commodity. Currency ETF Risks Investments in currency involve additional special risks, such as credit risk and interest rate fluctuations. ETFs mentioned at times may have material exposure to small cap and/or international securities that may have higher levels of risk and volatility than other ETFs.

    Registered Representative of and Securities Products offered through Precision Securities, LLC Member FINRA SIPC. Street One Financial LLC (S1F) and Precision Securities LLC are not affiliated entities.

    Major Economic Reports Today

    Durable Orders-8:30am Case-Shiller 20-city Index-9:00am FHFA Housing Price Index-9:00am New Home Sales-10:00am Consumer Confidence-10:00am

    Long term technical bias continues to be positive, with the DOW and S&P making new highs last week. The NDX continues to lag, but was the best performer last week. Short term technicals remain positive as we trade in a narrow range since February. The S&P and NDX remain in an 'ascending triangle', suggesting that we have another attempt at new highs. Near term, while bias is positive, we continue to see choppy action in narrow range. Caution remains, as we would like to see a strong breakout to confirm the continuing slow slog to the upside. Though we have a short week, it is loaded with economic data, including Housing Reports, Consumer Confidence and GDP. Greek debt problems continue. China sabre rattling. Trading in Europe is mixed, as are US Futures before the bell.

    May 26 11:38 AM | Link | Comment!
  • Today's Technical Outlook - 5/22/2015

    Market Summary

    David Chojnacki - Market Technician

    Though we received poor economic numbers this morning, the major indices opened to the upside and they managed to slowly crawl to the upside throughout the session. By the final bell, the averages were off their highs of the day, but they managed to end with small gains. It was another narrow range day and only the S&P was able to close at a new high of 2130. This was just one point higher than Monday's close. At the close, the DJIA added just 0.34 of a point, the S&P added 4.9 points, and the NDX moved up 0.54%. Breadth was positive, 1.2 to 1, on below average volume. RSI's were little changed, but the NDX ended at 60.5 and has taken the lead among the three major indices. ROC(10's) were mixed in the session, with only the NDX moving to the upside. MACD's remain above signal. The ARMS finished at 0.87 a fairly strong finish to the day. We noted that the S&P ended with a new closing high, and during the session it traded at an intra-day high of 2134. This was the same intra-day high reached in Wednesday's session. The NDX traded as high as 4537, which was above the previous closing high of 4536, but was unable to close at a new high. It developed a 'large bull' candle in the session. While the DJT was up in the session, it remains well below its 200D-SMA(8739), closing at 8551. It remains the weakest of key averages monitored. The IWM(small-caps) closed down slightly and remains several points below its April closing high(126.55). Technicals remain positive across all timeframes. We still look for a clear break-out across the major averages. The VIX was down 5.9%, finishing at 12.11. Near term support for the S&P remains at 2125 and 2117. Upside resistance near term is at 2137, 2140 and 2150. The NDX near term support remains at 4525 and 4500. Upside resistance is at 4550 and 4562. Geopolitical issues continue, with China and US tension increasing. Yellen speaks today. Europe is mixed in early trade and US Futures are slightly higher before the bell.

    Major Economic Reports Today

    CPI-8:30am

    DISCLAIMER LANGUAGE -ALL PRICES NOTED IN THIS PUBLICATION ARE AS OF THE CLOSE ON TRADING PRIOR TO

    TODAY'S DATE, UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED

    This publication is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation to buy any securities mentioned herein. The information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized sources that are believed to be reliable. Street One Financial LLC (S1F) have not independently verified the facts, assumptions and estimates contained in this publication.

    Accordingly, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information and opinions contained in this publication. The information contained in this publication is not and does not purport to be a complete analysis of every material fact respecting any company, industry, ETF or other security You should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. The performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The Fund's investment return and principal value will fluctuate. Upon redemption, shares may be worth more or less than their original cost. The Fund's current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. Go to toll free telephone number or Web site to obtain performance current to the most recent month-end. The average annualized total returns reflect the deduction of the Fund's maximum sales load. (When also showing non-standardized performance, if the sales load is not reflected, the disclosure must state that performance does not reflect the deduction of loads or fees and, if reflected, would have reduced performance.)

    You should read the prospectus carefully before investing. You should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. Many of the securities mentioned in this publication involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established securities. For these and other reasons, the investments discussed in this publication may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial position. Each investor should complete his or her own additional investigation and assessment prior to making investments in any securities. You should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing Transactions in securities mentioned herein may be affected only in those states where such securities are qualified for sale.

    Street One Technical Analysis LLC is an independently owned Company from Street One Financial LLC (S1F). S1F is an independent Company specializing in ETF's, equities, and options utilizing the Broker/Dealer services and licenses of Precision Securities,LLC, a fully registered Broker Dealer and member of SIPC/FINRA. S1F specializes in agency ETF/ETP, equities, and options trade execution. On the ETF/ETP end, S1F may work with the ETF issuers to understand their products more thoroughly and how they can complement an investor's portfolio.

    Data sources include ETF Database, ETFTrends.com, IndexUniverse.com, Google Finance, and Bloomberg data and at times other data sources are utilized. Leveraged, Inverse & Leveraged Inverse Conclusions and Risks 1) Leveraged, Inverse, and Leveraged Inverse (L&LI) ETFs generally capture a high percentage of their expected daily returns, particularly on a net asset value basis. 2) L&LI ETFs are not appropriate for all investors. However, we believe they can be appropriate tools for some investors looking to make short-term tactical trades if they perceive a high likelihood of a strong market move occurring in a relatively short time period. In strong trending markets, being on the right side of the "trade" with L or LI ETFs can lead to very strong returns. 3) Investors should not expect these ETFs to deliver total returns linked to their benchmarks over any period other than daily. The effects of compounding and the daily re-leveraging or de-leveraging that occurs with L&LI

    ETFs can lead to unexpected results over the long term. As a result, we believe longer-term investors should consider regularly rebalancing positions. 4) Trendless markets, particularly those with a high level of volatility, can lead to substantial relative underperformance of L&LI ETFs. 2) Leveraged and Leveraged Inverse (L&LI) ETFs typically utilize futures and equity swap agreements. The use of these derivative instruments increases risk and enhances the possibility of tracking error.

    Relative to traditional ETFs, leveraged, inverse and leveraged inverse ETFs typically have higher costs and lower tax efficiency. 3) The effects of compounding can lead to significant deviations from traditional benchmarks over longer time periods. For example, if $100,000 is invested in an index that increases in value by 10% on day one and then decreases in value by 10% on day two, the investment will be worth $110,000 at the end of day one and $99,000 after day two. However, the value of a security that doubles the daily performance of the index would be worth $120,000 on day one and $96,000 after day two. Thus, the index is down 1% after two days, a doubling of which would be down 2%. However, the security attempting to double the return of the index is down 4%. Investors should consider carefully the potential impact over longer periods. MLP and MLP ETF Risks Individual MLPs are publicly traded partnerships that have unique risks related to their structure. These include, but are not limited to, their reliance on the capital markets to fund growth, adverse ruling on the current tax treatment of distributions (typically mostly tax deferred), and commodity volume risk.

    For tax purposes, MLP ETFs are taxed as C corporations and will be obligated to pay federal and state corporate income taxes on their taxable income, unlike traditional ETFs, which are structured as registered investment companies. These ETFs are likely to exhibit tracking error relative to their index as a result of accounting for deferred tax assets or liabilities (see funds' prospectuses). The potential tax benefits from investing in MLPs depend on their being treated as partnerships for federal income tax purposes and, if the MLP is deemed to be a corporation, then its income would be subject to federal taxation at the entity level, reducing the amount of cash available for distribution to the fund which could result in a reduction of the fund's value. MLP funds accrue deferred income taxes for future tax liabilities associated with the portion of MLP distributions considered to be a tax-deferred return of capital and for any net operating gains as well as capital appreciation of its investments; this deferred tax liability is reflected in the daily NAV; and, as a result, the MLP fund's after-tax performance could differ significantly from the underlying assets even if the pre-tax performance is closely tracked. Commodity ETF Risks Commodity ETFs may be subject to greater volatility than traditional ETFs and can be affected by increased volatility of commodities prices or indexes as well as changes in supply-and-demand relationships, interest rates, monetary and other governmental policies, or factors affecting a particular sector or commodity. Currency ETF Risks Investments in currency involve additional special risks, such as credit risk and interest rate fluctuations. ETFs mentioned at times may have material exposure to small cap and/or international securities that may have higher levels of risk and volatility than other ETFs.

    Registered Representative of and Securities Products offered through Precision Securities, LLC Member FINRA SIPC. Street One Financial LLC (S1F) and Precision Securities LLC are not affiliated entities.

    May 22 9:35 AM | Link | Comment!
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