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  • Empire Company Is The Best Canadian Dividend Stock You've Never Heard Of

    (click to enlarge)

    The Empire Company (EMP.A) is not widely known outside of Canada. The company owns and operates 1,500 grocery, gas, and drug stores across Canada. The company recently purchased Safeway's Canada assets, and operates under the following brands (among others): Sobey's, Thrifty Foods, Lawton's Drugs, Safeway, & Fast Fuel.

    (click to enlarge)
    Source: CIBC World Markets Conference

    The company has a long history of rewarding shareholders. Empire Company has not reduced its dividend for 30 consecutive years. Over the last decade, the company has increased dividends at an 11.3% CAGR.

    (click to enlarge)
    Source: 2013 Annual Report

    Current Events

    Empire increased sales 2.7% net of the Safeway acquisition for the company's 3rd quarter of 2014. Including the Safeway acquisition, sales increased over 40%. The acquisition of Safeway's Canadian assets is a major move for Empire. To put the deal into perspective, Empire acquired Safeway Canada for $5.8 billion. The market cap of Empire is currently $8.67 billion. Empire's debt load has increased nearly $3 billion due to the acquisition of Safeway Canada.

    Source: Q3 2014 Report

    The acquisition will be accretive for shareholders by giving Empire a significantly larger share of the grocery market in Canada. Cash flows from Safeway stores can be reinvested into other opportunities. Management has proven to be efficient at allocating capital, as shown by the company's impressive long-term growth.

    In late 2013, Empire sold its movie theater assets for $248 million to Cineplex Inc. This move raised capital and better focused the company on its core business of grocery and food stores and related real estate.

    Source: Q3 2014 Report

    Empire recently announced it will be divesting 22 stores due to the Safeway Canada acquisition. The company is selling these stores to Overwaitea Food Group & Federated Co-Operatives for approximately $430 million. The proceeds of the deal will go to paying down debt from the original purchase of Safeway Canada.

    Source: Empire 3rd Quarter Press Release

    Empire's future growth will come from further acquisitions of grocery, food, drug, and gas related properties as well as organic growth of the company's Sotheby's brand. Empire is focusing on healthy food choices to appeal t more affluent customers. The company's ongoing success depends on the strength of the Sotheby's brand and management's ability to make sound investments.

    Shareholder Return

    Shareholders of Empire can expect a CAGR of 5.50% to 10.50% going forward from dividends (1.50%), share repurchases and organic growth (4% to 9%). The company has managed to compound sales and earnings at 5.2% and 8.7% per year over the last decade.


    Empire appears to be fairly valued based on its P/E ratio compared to its peers.




    Empire Company



    Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc



    Loblaw Companies Ltd



    Metro Inc



    North West Co Inc



    Source: Morningstar

    The company's P/E ratio of 19 is very close to the S&P 500's P/E ratio of 19.30. Empire Company is fairly valued as compared to current market levels.

    Consecutive Years of Dividend Increases

    Empire has paid dividends for 30 consecutive years without a decrease. The company has managed to compound dividends at a 10%+ growth rate over the last decade. Businesses with a long history of increasing dividend payments are more likely to continue paying increasing dividends.

    Why it matters: The Dividend Aristocrats (stocks with 25-plus years of rising dividends) have outperformed the S&P 500 over the last 10 years by 2.88 percentage points per year.
    Source: S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Factsheet, February 28 2014, page 2

    Dividend Yield

    Empire has a current dividend yield of 1.53%, ranking it 98 out of 118 businesses with 25+ years of dividend payments without a reduction. The company's low yield is due to its conservative payout policy.

    Why it Matters: Stocks with higher dividend yields have historically outperformed stocks with lower dividend yields. The highest-yielding quintile of stocks outperformed the lowest-yielding quintile by 1.76 percentage points per year from 1928 to 2013.
    Source: Dividends: A Review of Historical Returns

    Payout Ratio

    Empire has a payout ratio of under 21%, ranking it at 4 out of 118 businesses with 25+ years of dividend payments without a reduction. The company's low payout ratio gives it significant room to continue growing dividends faster than overall company growth.

    Why it Matters: High-yield, low-payout ratio stocks outperformed high-yield, high-payout ratio stocks by 8.2 percentage points per year from 1990 to 2006.
    Source: High Yield, Low Payout by Barefoot, Patel, & Yao, page 3

    Long-Term Growth Rate

    The company has managed to grow revenue per share at 5.2% over the last decade. This growth rate ranks the company at 55 out of 118 businesses with 25+ years of dividend payments without a reduction.

    Why it Matters: Growing dividend stocks have outperformed stocks with unchanging dividends by 2.4 percentage points per year from 1972 to 2013.
    Source: Rising Dividends Fund, Oppenheimer, page 4

    Long-Term Volatility

    Empire has a long-term standard deviation of 22.43%, ranking it at 28 out of 118 businesses with 25+ years of dividend payments without a reduction.

    Why it Matters: The S&P Low Volatility index outperformed the S&P 500 by 2 percentage points per year for the 20-year period ending September 30th, 2011.
    Source: Low & Slow Could Win the Race, page 3


    Empire Company's recent acquisition of Safeway Canada coupled with the company's real estate and grocery experience has set the table for a long run of growth. The company has historically rewarded shareholders with steadily rising dividends. Empire ranks at 16 out of 118 businesses with a long history of dividend increases based on the 8 Rules of Dividend Investing.

    Disclosure: The author has no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. The author wrote this article themselves, and it expresses their own opinions. The author is not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). The author has no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

    Jun 20 12:30 PM | Link | Comment!
  • Sure Dividend Strategy April Performance

    For the month of April, the Sure Dividend strategy did well. The chart below shows recommendations from our previous newsletter, along with how they are performing against the total stock market (as measured by the ETF SPY).

    (click to enlarge)

    Comparisons are virtually worthless over short time frames (like the 1 month above). 3 years and longer is a fair time frame to judge performance.

    With that being said, 7 out of 10 recommendations are outperforming the market. All 10 have positive returns. Out performance will not happen every month. There will be good months and bad months (as there are with any investing strategy).

    Typically, high quality dividend stocks outperform during bear markets and slightly under perform during bull markets. Over a long-horizon, I believe the total return of the Sure Dividend strategy will outpace the total return of the stock market, with significantly less volatility. Each month, I will post the performance for the previous month

    The stocks on this list are from April; there have been changes to the list since April. Please do not use this list as an investment guide. It should only be used to gauge the performance of the Sure Dividend strategy.

    On or before the first Monday of each month, subscribers to the Sure Dividend newsletter receive the most timely high quality dividend stock recommendations. The most recent newsletter (May edition) went out May 4th. If you are interested in investing in high quality dividend growth stocks systematically, visit the Sure Dividend subscribe page.

    Tags: KO, XOM, WMT, MCD
    May 04 10:56 AM | Link | Comment!
  • May Dividend Aristocrats By Dividend Yield, ROA, & P/E

    The list below sorts all of the Dividend Aristocrats from May by yield. It also included the P/E ratio and ROA to get an idea of value and profitability.

    To download this as a spreadsheet, visit my website.

    HCP IncHCP5.18%21.468.20%
    AT&T IncT5.16%10.396.60%
    Consolidated Edison IncED4.44%15.742.60%
    Cincinnati Financial CorpCINF3.59%17.922.60%
    Leggett & PlattLEG3.59%25.886.00%
    AbbVie Inc.ABBV3.28%19.9114.70%
    Chevron CorpCVX3.21%11.268.70%
    Sysco CorpSYY3.20%21.957.60%
    McDonald's CorpMCD3.19%18.4115.70%
    Clorox CoCLX3.17%20.8812.90%
    Procter & GamblePG3.14%22.087.50%
    Coca-Cola CoKO2.98%21.789.40%
    Nucor CorpNUE2.83%32.724.00%
    Target CorpTGT2.77%20.134.40%
    Genuine Parts CoGPC2.69%19.068.90%
    Bemis Co IncBMS2.69%19.606.20%
    Johnson & JohnsonJNJ2.66%18.9911.90%
    PepsiCo IncPEP2.65%19.358.90%
    Air Products & Chemicals IncAPD2.61%25.055.60%
    Emerson Electric CoEMR2.55%24.128.40%
    Automatic Data ProcessingADP2.48%26.554.00%
    Exxon Mobil CorpXOM2.47%13.7712.20%
    3M CoMMM2.44%20.3114.10%
    Wal-Mart StoresWMT2.43%16.319.70%
    AFLAC IncAFL2.34%9.362.60%
    Stanley Black & DeckerSWK2.33%22.613.90%
    Abbott LaboratoriesABT2.28%27.746.80%
    Archer-Daniels-Midland CoADM2.20%21.563.20%
    Chubb CorpCB2.16%10.264.60%
    T Rowe Price Group IncTROW2.15%19.8921.50%
    Colgate-Palmolive CoCL2.15%28.0816.50%
    Family Dollar Stores IncFDO2.12%17.1610.10%
    McCormick & CoMKC2.07%24.199.10%
    Illinois Tool Works IncITW1.97%22.6610.90%
    Becton Dickinson & CoBDX1.94%24.017.90%
    Medtronic IncMDT1.91%16.6510.00%
    Cardinal Health IncCAH1.90%60.191.50%
    Walgreen CoWAG1.83%24.257.50%
    Dover CorpDOV1.75%15.709.40%
    VF CorpVFC1.72%22.2412.30%
    Hormel Foods CorpHRL1.67%23.6311.30%
    McGraw Hill Financial IncMHFI1.62%25.4550.90%
    Brown-Forman Corp BBF.B1.55%30.4916.80%
    Lowe's Cos IncLOW1.53%21.956.70%
    Grainger W.W. IncGWW1.47%22.1319.30%
    PPG Industries IncPPG1.37%26.4113.00%
    Pentair Ltd.PNR1.34%25.155.10%
    Cintas CorpCTAS1.30%21.719.40%
    Sherwin-Williams CoSHW1.10%27.5211.60%
    Ecolab IncECL1.05%33.075.10%
    Sigma-Aldrich CorpSIAL0.96%23.5113.20%
    Franklin Resources IncBEN0.91%15.0417.80%
    Bard C.R. IncBCR0.60%15.0518.00%

    Sources: S&P Indices & Finviz

    Tags: KO, JNJ, MMM, WMT, XOM
    May 04 9:01 AM | Link | Comment!
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