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Sy Harding

 
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  • The Market Is Too Dependent On Hopes That Await Evidence
    Sun, Apr. 13 SPY, DIA, QQQ 8 Comments

    Summary

    • The market remained positive, near its December peak for three months, primarily based on these four hopes.
    • At this point it needs more than hopes. Meanwhile, the volatility has spawned loose talk of bubbles and crashes.
    • However, both bubbles and crashes are extremely rare events, neither likely to take place.
  • The Market's Annual Seasonality Is A Real Concern This Year
    Sat, Apr. 5 SPY, QQQ, SH 11 Comments

    Summary

    • The thought of Sell in May type seasonality is out of favor this year.
    • After all, it failed to outperform the market for two straight years.
    • Here's why it could come roaring back big-time this year to bite the unwary investor.
  • U.S. Market Swimming Against An Ominous Global Tide
    Fri, Mar. 21 SPY, SH, SSO 23 Comments

    Summary

    • The U.S. market has only been stalled so far this year, Dow down 1%, S&P 500 up 1%.
    • However, global markets outside of the U.S. have been in retreat, some in substantial bear markets.
    • The rising tide of global market declines raises the risk that the U.S. market will not be able to endure against that tide much longer.
  • Can U.S. Markets Avoid A Serious Correction Again?
    Fri, Mar. 14 SPY, DIA, QQQ 15 Comments

    Summary

    • Market decline this week is causing some concern.
    • At this point it is minor and hardly a blip on the charts.
    • But that does not mean it should be ignored.
  • Safe Havens Are Trouncing Stocks So Far This Year
    Mon, Mar. 10 GLD, GDX, TLT 2 Comments

    Summary

    • Investors are going crazy for stocks.
    • Perhaps looking in the rear view mirror at last year’s big gains, they have unusually high portfolio allocations skewed to stocks from bonds.
    • Yet so far this year stocks have gone almost nowhere, while safe haven bonds, and particularly gold, are significantly out-performing the stock market.
  • Markets Still Loving The Economy's Increasing Problems
    Fri, Feb. 21 SPY, SH, SSO 12 Comments
  • Watch For A Taper Time Out
    Fri, Feb. 14 SPY, SH, SSO 26 Comments
  • The Economic Outlook Is About More Than Just Jobs
    Sun, Feb. 9 DIA, SPY, QQQ 3 Comments
  • Bonds Are Defying Dire Forecasts
    Fri, Jan. 31 PLW, GOVT, TRSY 8 Comments
  • Was The Fed Too Hasty With Its Taper Decision?
    Fri, Jan. 24 SPY, SH, SSO 29 Comments
  • Don't Blame The Weather For Dismal December Economic Reports
    Thu, Jan. 23 SPY, IVV 2 Comments
  • The Jobs Report Rained On New Fed Chair Yellen's Honeymoon Period
    Sun, Jan. 12 DIA, VWO, EWW 4 Comments
  • Will The Market's 2013 Winners Also Be Winners In 2014?
    Sun, Jan. 5 GLD, SPY, GDX 1 Comment
  • Investor Expectations Also Need Tapering As We Enter 2014
    Dec. 29, 2013 DIA, SPY, QQQ 8 Comments
  • The Fed Will Still Provide Massive QE Next Year - But
    Dec. 21, 2013 DIA, DOG, DXD 8 Comments
  • Will The Real Economy Please Stand Up?
    Dec. 9, 2013 DIA, SPY, QQQ 5 Comments
  • Market Seasonality And The Fed Are A Powerful Combination
    Nov. 29, 2013 SPY, SH, SSO 10 Comments
  • The Fed Is Backed Into A Corner
    Nov. 22, 2013 SPY 55 Comments
  • Why It's Still Only A Cyclical Bull Market Within The Long-Term Secular Bear
    Nov. 18, 2013 DIA, QQQ, SPY 10 Comments
  • Don't Worry So Much About The Record U.S. Government Debt
    Nov. 8, 2013 20 Comments
  • It's Still Too Early To Worry About The Fed Tapering
    Nov. 1, 2013 SPY 21 Comments
  • The Bull Market Continues, But Watch Out For The Short Term
    Oct. 25, 2013 SPY, QQQ, IWM 10 Comments
  • New Concerns Will Continue Market's Volatility
    Oct. 21, 2013 TLT, VWO, SPY 3 Comments
  • Buy Emerging Markets, But Carefully
    Oct. 11, 2013 VWO, GMM, GAF 6 Comments
  • Has Warren Buffett Nailed Another Market Top?
    Sep. 20, 2013 SPY 40 Comments
  • What Did The Week Of Major Economic Reports Tell Us?
    Sep. 6, 2013 10 Comments
  • Was Second Quarter The Peak For The Economic Recovery?
    Aug. 30, 2013 SPY 1 Comment
  • U.S. Treasury Bonds Are Oversold
    Aug. 25, 2013 TLT, TLH, IEI 5 Comments
  • It's Time To Buy Gold Again
    Aug. 20, 2013 GDX, GLD 9 Comments
  • Withdrawal From Stimulus Addiction Will Be Difficult
    Aug. 9, 2013 11 Comments
  • Real Estate Mini-Bubble Deflating May Be Economy's Next Problem
    Aug. 2, 2013 XHB, IYR 8 Comments
  • Stock Market Bubbles Cannot Be Timed
    Jul. 26, 2013 QQQ 4 Comments