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Tactical Investor

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  • Is Apple Overvalued? [View article]
    The article was a simple experiment in mass psychology and the flood of statements prove that it worked very well.

    Main point

    The title states it all, it asks for the individuals opinion and the article also ends with the same question " is apple over valued"

    Apple has indeed become a religion :)
    May 18 09:03 AM | 12 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Apple Overvalued? [View article]
    philr1504

    If you read the article carefully, you would see that its a question and not a statement. The title of the article clearly reveals this " is apple over valued and not apple is overvalued.
    May 18 08:55 AM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dow's New Highs, All Lies [View article]
    It is not so easy to wake people, it depends on deeply asleep they are and if they are in a coma or not :). Finally the best thing to do is to provide individuals with info and let them decide for themselves what to do with it.

    After all God helps those who help themselves (to which i would add) and the devil helps all those who fall in between.
    May 18 08:47 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dow's New Highs, All Lies [View article]
    take a look at long term chart of the Japanese Yen it is a bubble in the making. However, patience will be needed here, but for those that have patience the rewards could be huge.
    May 17 11:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Euro Bailout Bought Time, Nothing More [View article]
    states that get more that pay in taxes could be in for a rude awakening as the situation deteriorates and other states that pay more start to make a noise.
    May 17 06:46 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Dow's New Highs, All Lies [View article]
    Matthew green

    In times of Panic anything is possible. Look at what has happened during moments of Euphoria, the dot.com and housing bubble come to mind. caution was thrown to the wind, all that mattered was the possibility of locking in massive gains. Thus imagine what could occur if real panic were to strike. Gold could start moving in leaps and bounds, price swings of 200-300 dollars could become a common occurrence if we enter this phase. . I am not stating that Gold will trade to the 3000-5000 ranges but fear is a real powerful force, twice if not thrice as powerful as Euphoria.

    Best bet is to stick with the long term trend and play it to the end.
    May 17 06:42 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dow's New Highs, All Lies [View article]
    they use a basket of subsidized or price manipulated goods to make things look okay. Its a game to seduce those who do not think that all is well. this way its too late for them to wake up and do anything until its too late.
    May 17 06:39 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Dow's New Highs, All Lies [View article]
    otrtiresupply

    The situation is infinitely worse as they always add some strong components to the Dow whenever certain of the 30 members start to under perform for an extended period of time.

    If you take into consideration the pathetic volume on up days the picture really looks tragic. Lets not forget that HFT (high frequency trading) can artificially inflate the volume by as much as 30%
    May 17 06:37 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Threat of Hyperinflation: Real or Not? [View article]
    Paco

    The bankers are in charge there is no doubt. If you are nimble the following patterns are what our indicators are currently projecting. (keep in mind as these are short term patterns they could possibly change), The Dow will probably mount a 10-12% correction. As long as 9800 is not taken out on a weekly basis the correction will not gather steam. If it is taken out on a weekly basis, then we can expect a 3-6 month corrective/consolation phase.
    May 17 06:32 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Dow's New Highs, All Lies [View article]
    Joker

    Not true. You could have sold easily at the begining of 2006 when the buying in real estate reached a frenzy. all you had to do was listen to everyone, Or if you wanted to you could have sold in 2005. Same thing with the dot.com era, the frenzy was unbelievable in 1999. So no timing is needed other than paying attention to the masses.

    For the record though the dates used were just reference points. I was in no way suggesting one should time the markets to perfection as is being implied.
    May 17 09:45 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Euro or the Yugo? [View article]
    The European central bankers wanted to deflate the euro to make it competitive in the global markets. Firs they made a lot of noise about providing a package and then they state the package might not be enough. End result euro sheds a massive amount of its value, and exports now become cheaper. Mission accomplished.

    We covered the competitive currency devaluation era in two articles recently

    seekingalpha.com/artic...

    seekingalpha.com/artic...
    May 16 05:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Europe Throws a Hail Mary Pass [View article]
    I think the main point that most miss is that this is about deflating the value of the Euro.

    The EU could have stepped in much earlier and approved a bailout package, they knew they would have to provide one sooner or later. The reason they delayed was to allow the euro to deflate without actually issuing new money. with all the maybe, yes and if noise about the bailout package, the Euro lost a huge portion of its value. Then they came out with the package and this will drive the Euro even lower; mission accomplished. Its all about competitive currency devaluations. The world is a global market and the one with the weakest currency gets to export the most, china is a prime example. We covered this phenomenon recently

    seekingalpha.com/artic...

    seekingalpha.com/artic...

    However, this cannot go on forever, it will eventuyally lead to a massive currency crisis.
    May 16 05:01 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Threat of Hyperinflation: Real or Not? [View article]
    sugar charlie

    You need to check your facts. You are dead wrong. Inflation has only one definition and that is an increase in the supply of money. Prices can be masked through subsides and that is why this new BS definition is being pushed.
    May 16 04:13 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Threat of Hyperinflation: Real or Not? [View article]
    Hum so you are open to changing definitions at any point in time without examining the reason behind the sudden changes.

    Do you know why they have been trying to suggest inflation is defined as an increase in price, because through subsidies the government can influence the price of many common goods, thus giving one the false sense all is well.

    I am not trying to push for anything but going with what the original definition of inflation was and how conveniently it has been changed in the last few years since the central bankers started pressing the pedal to the metal in terms of creating new money.
    May 16 04:08 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Threat of Hyperinflation: Real or Not? [View article]
    So you are saying the fixed costs have jumped so much that it justifies the cost of petrol trading almost at the same level as when oil was trading at 140.

    Oil refiners complained that when oil was in the 120-140 ranges their cost was too high, so what is the complaint now. Fixed costs do play a role but not as much as of role as you claim. The fact that petrol is trading above 3 when oil is trading below 80 is a clear indication that inflationary forces are manifesting themselves more strongly.
    May 16 03:28 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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