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  • Weekly Forex Outlook: Japanese Yen [View article]
    Chewy, these are the economic events with highest potential for volatile moves in the JPY.

    BoJ Monetary Policy Statement (Monthly)
    Quarterly Gross Domestic Product Annualized
    Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)
    BoJ Press Conference (Monthly)
    Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda Speech
    BoJ Interest Rate Decision
    Oct 4, 2015. 07:18 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • DXY Weekly Outlook: FOMC Carry Trade Deleveraging [View article]
    Also here are a few videos on our DXY outlook:
    Aug 24, 2015. 12:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • DXY Weekly Outlook: FOMC Carry Trade Deleveraging [View article]
    Hi Chewy, Thank you! Sorry for an error though I just noticed in the jobless statement should have read "numbers came in at 2254k down from 2278k"
    Aug 24, 2015. 12:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • JPY Weekly Forex Outlook: Will Kuroda Cap The Dollar/Yen At 125? [View article]
    They will wait as long as they can, they moved back their interbank rate announcement from August 14 to September 14, three days before the Fed's decision...probably because by then it will be so certain, the BoJ will not have a difficult one. Which leads me to believe much of that anticipation will already be priced in. If the FED increases their interest rate, BoJ will have to. It will be interesting to see if they do on the 14th in anticipation of the FED. You're not misguided; because Japan's QE is progressively preventing another 1995 situation (liquidity trap). Japan relies on the a trade surplus, so the only scenario in which I see Japan intentionally depreciating their currency is to spark exports.
    Aug 23, 2015. 01:07 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • JPY Weekly Forex Outlook: Will Kuroda Cap The Dollar/Yen At 125? [View article]
    Hello chewy790 - I would keep an eye on the ones we included in the "what's on your calendar" section. However, and we will mention it in our next article, the Japan's CPI release on August 27 will be very important. If you're trading USDJPY, I'd consider monitoring the following reports for USD:

    - Preliminary Quarterly GDP Index (consensus predicts lower figures)
    - Preliminary Annualized GDP Index (may offset the above with a higher consensus).
    Aug 23, 2015. 10:02 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Truth About Hedge Funds And Worthy Picks We Really Like: BlackRock, Invesco, Janus [View article]
    Hello JBFriedm,

    Thanks for your response and we honor your opinion!! - Sorry for the confusion but we were merely implying that smaller retail investors have the ability to gain access to the general performance of hedge funds and their profits by buying or owning a piece of the funds themselves - hence the explanation from both an interested investor/researcher and previous service provider and employee of a third party administrator of said funds. If BlackRock makes profits for their clients, for example, through both bearish and bullish market environments and charges lets say 15-20% performance fees then by association they are profiting in relation to the limited partners or shareholders as a general partner.

    Enjoy seeing points that are brought up and appreciate your feedback, maybe you should consider taking your points and writing an article of your own - it may be a good one worth reading! We enjoy both positive and negative responses and have a passion for writing and also learning from others. No one is perfect in explaining every detail and you are also not perfect because we are all humans :). Regardless of what point of view you are looking at, investing in a hedge fund name that makes an x% from performance fees or an actual hedge fund with a specific strategy, on a general basis (which is what our article is if you noticed that it was a history and general overview with a recommendation of hedge fund names that one should consider with respect to the details we pointed too) one may experience profits in relation to profits had by long/short funds that are tactical at extracting active alpha and passive beta profits; ultimately these profits will be allocated to both the general partners (i.e. BlackRock) and Limited Partners (investors), in this case it's public, but sorry that our explanation wasn't clear enough, we will take notes for future articles based on opinions - so far it's just yours. P.S. sorry we didn't go into detail responding to everything you wrote here; we reserve most of our writings for articles and this was simply one of interest but our specialty is in foreign exchange fundamentals, technicals, sentiment, among other related areas. Actually, here's our most recent article:
    Team Technical Titan @ :)
    Aug 18, 2015. 03:02 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What's On Your Calendar? Yuan Fixing Causing Weak Dollar May Provide Short-Term Long EUR Profits [View article]
    With all due respect mapodga, the only thing disorienting here is all the spelling errors in your comment. Not every article is written in cookie-cutter fashion, which leads us to ask, what was your expectation in reading this article that drove you to attack it? Would love to discuss.
    Aug 14, 2015. 08:21 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Jump On The 'Fitness Band' Wagon [View article]
    It's funny Sgrads, you notice that Neil removed his post. I'm glad we helped him realized his place in the much larger context.
    Aug 11, 2015. 11:06 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What's On Your Calendar? Oil Futures Point Down, Eyes Are On Canadian Housing Starts [View article]
    Results came in at 193k missing estimates by 2k - Unfortunately with this in mind and holding everything else equal, we may not see a bounce for shooting opportunity. The bright side is that this is only one event and there's many other events that control the movement of CAD, such as the longer term fundamentals mentioned in the article. Also, for CAD shorters this adds another card to the short deck from a fundamental perspective.. we will keep readers posted on changes!

    From a technical analysis perspective, we see a test of both a trend line and 50% fib retracement level. A break of this level on our hourly chart should then send the pair to test the 61.8% golden ratio level. Expect interim rallies based on these bounces.
    Aug 11, 2015. 08:48 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What's On Your Calendar? Expect Eurozone Sentix Results Monday To Set Bearish Tone [View article]
    Sentiment index came in low, reported at 18.4 as compared to 18.5 in July and also a projected 20 as we expected. EUR/USD is in a technical bounce and though fundamentals are longer term, technical are still underplay during the interim. Will see what the future holds! Please refer here:
    Aug 10, 2015. 10:19 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • FOMC Rate Hike Expectations - USD Mechanics And Ways To Capitalize [View article]
    please see the response below, we estimate about 114 so this confirms your range of 110-115, nice!
    Aug 7, 2015. 02:37 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • FOMC Rate Hike Expectations - USD Mechanics And Ways To Capitalize [View article]

    Hi Chewy,
    Thanks again for the feedback and info – we are actually doing some research on a few key events so I appreciate the heads up/reminder. Technical analysis and fundamental analysis, seem to be two sides of the same coin – global events rapidly being priced in by the actions of each and every market participant, trades of goods or cross boarder flows of investments by investors and countries, etc. I like the forward looking and pattern driven aspects of TA for triggers and directional indications-- specifically Fibonacci Retracements and Extensions, Elliott Wave Principles, Patterns, Candlesticks, and Technical Divergences and enjoy using lagging indicators such as MA crosses, oscillator OB/OS indications, etc. for trade maintenance(knowing when to get out of a trade). Though you can use longer term SMA’s combined with higher timeframes to gauge a trend, I feel this is where Fundamentals is definitely needed. My undergrad was in Applied Economics so I’ve enjoyed learning theories such as Purchasing Power Parity, the Fisher Effect, among others and it has helped but even fundamentals take actual experience but they are definitely a must IMO for knowning how to analyze economic effects of announcements, linking announcements together to interpret their ongoing effects to a countries balance (Trade Flows/Cash Flows), and ultimately knowing what the story of technical analysis portray in words. Basically, I feel TA is better used for tactical entry decisions and FA for strategic bias determination. I truly feel they should both be understood, but there’s still a school of thought on both sides so rarely is it 50/50 in application. As for your fundamentals your logic sounds right and policy divergences will cause the volatility needed but combining this with other news events expected would be needed for me to make a true projection. Also, on the technical side I would want to update my charts with Elliott Wave counts and a few other things. As for an estimate of a projection amount using fib extensions I’ve included my estimate. We are working on some research and will get back with any updates! Follow us to see future articles and definitely drop more lines; it’s much appreciated!
    Mike with TechnicalTitan
    Aug 7, 2015. 02:36 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • ADT, Meet Canary - And Your Other Competitors On The Rise [View article]
    If buying back stock is their way of increasing. The value of the stock then I don't want to invest in them. Also, as per my article, "... It [this article] is simply a consumer's view on what could potentially hurt ADT in the future..." and "ADT is a big and important player, and undeniably the current leader in this market with the potential and capability to compete."

    Thank you for the update.
    Aug 7, 2015. 09:58 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Jump On The 'Fitness Band' Wagon [View article]
    We own 0 shares of this stock, this was a completely independent opinion - we appreciate your comments and honor your opinions but personal attacking is not needed. Reread our article, we have listed facts and our projection that earnings would be greater than 8 cents was correct, but we did not give a technical opinion of market sentiment nor if values were greater or less than true values prior to earnings - I'm speaking in the latter part of my statement to the sell-off shortly after earnings; hey sentiment and excitement could have pushed it to a higher than true value but we are not pumping a stock but giving an opinion. We feel Fitbit with their brand exposure, large social network and future monetization options have them in a nice position. Think about this, health insurance companies such as Cigna and others are partnering with Garmin and piloting programs that discount insurance if vitals and steps are tracked; this opens doors to companies like Garmin and Fitbit to break into the healthcare market - no offense Neal but you must read between the lines before popping off with personal attacks and thread jacking with unsubstantiated claims. We are not here to pump stocks we don't own, but simply to give our wholehearted opinions. Also, 37 cents was nowhere near the POP price, if you don't know what POP stands for Google it :)
    Aug 6, 2015. 03:41 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • FOMC Rate Hike Expectations - USD Mechanics And Ways To Capitalize [View article]
    Hello Chewy790:

    Thanks for the response! Also, apologies for the chart, I’ve included a link below from our Dropbox that should be more legible and also includes a few levels and a hypothetical of where we feel the prices will go. Please note, technical support & resistance levels along with Fibonacci Retracement levels should actually not be viewed as ‘levels’ in our opinion, but rather ‘zones’. One of the reasons I enjoy using Fib Levels is due to their self-fulfilling nature as many use them and price/values of investments tend to obey them. Also, we believe in Technical Analysis as many times things that are not even readily ascertainable by the market are priced in and they tend to capture forward looking sentiment and mass psychology that tends to push values away from their true value. Fundamentals and technical have their own places; the latter is great for confirmation and timing and the former is great for building up a bias and determining true value and long-term targets in our opinion. On a technical basis, retracements can be as deep as the 72% Fibonacci level which our chart does not even depict – this is known as the line in the sand. We’re more conservative and would normally consider anything beyond the .618 or 61.8 level as a reversal; every analysis is different though and due to the fundamentals the level you mentioned is around the 50% Fibonacci level which in this case would be a good reversal confirmation ‘line in the sand level’. In regards to the action and other indicators and our write up though, we would even venture to push this up to 94 due to strong support in this consolidation zone. We are confident that because of the obvious sideways triangle formation along with an obeying of the highest fib level at 23.6% that investors are pricing in a forward looking expectation of a rate increase…If you look at the chart below in the link you will see that the upward sloping trend line is converging to the apex of a sideways triangle around the 23.6% support zone of the fib retracement; combining this with other indications of a gradual rate increase in the US, we are confident that the jobs report will confirm our sentiment and drive the value of the Dollar upwards against most other currencies.

    Thanks for the response and we hope this helps!
    Aug 4, 2015. 03:17 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment