EVERY STOCK stock that I write about is one I either own, and/or that I am considering buying or selling. I am an investment hobbyist, not a broker, not an adviser, not a CFA, and not a banker. And I have never been any of those things. I have been investing a small amount of my own money for 17 years, and a more significant amount for the past 5 years. I blog anonymously about economics and investing because in my profession blogging is discouraged. I blog to keep myself honest. See "What Am I" for more details on my style and preferences, and more, at www.dumbmoney.tumblr.com.
Private Trader or "PT" (a pseudonym) is a contributor to Seeking Alpha who, at this time, values privacy as much as money therefore only Seeking Alpha editors have contact information for PT.
PT's first investment in the market was airline company "People's Express". Although the stock initially went up, ultimately the company was taken over by Frank Lorenzo (ie - Texas Air Corporation and Continental) and it's value plummeted. However, PT's interest in stocks grew. Even math seemed interesting when money was on the table. PT enjoys reading stock newsletters and Seeking Alpha in search of potential bargains.
PT enjoys trading, family, and friends (not always necessarily in that order!).
PT recommends readers review all author's past posts (including PT's) for their win / loss record. Also, especially when PT discusses stocks trading around $1, readers can check http://www.pumpsanddumps.com/ to see whether the stock is subject to any pump or dump scams. PT is not employed, paid, or in any way compensated by any of the stocks PT might discuss on SA except as an investor (and possibly as an SA contributor).
PT reminds everyone that these are not recommendations to buy, hold, or sell, and that your own due diligence is required.
Six-time CEO followed by successful strategy and executive-team-performance-improvement consulting business. Semi-retired (not working full time but serve on 2 corporate Boards) and re-balancing my portfolio to dividend growth. Objective is to get 5% from portfolio every year - 3.5 points from dividends and 1.5 points from capital gains. Prefer higher DGR to higher yield, but need about 3% yield on portfolio. "...research revealed some surprising results. Over any longer period, say five to ten years, the companies with the lowest dividend yields and the highest consistent dividend growth were the top performers." Divs should be from companies whose long term history is raising divs faster than inflation. Therefore, over time the 1.5 points from stock sales should diminish to $ zero. The overall portfolio should have 3 buckets of roughly equal proportion: A. 2 to 3% yielders with high DGR (>10% over at least 10 + years - stocks most often come from Consumer Cyclical, Tech, and Industrial sectors) B. stocks which have a much higher than average dividend yield, say 4 to 6%,combined with dividend growth at 6 to 8%/yr over 5 + years. Portfolio B stocks are mostly filled with Utilities, Telecommunications, REITs, and Energy stocks. C. very undervalued stocks which combine a higher than average dividend yield 3 to 4 % with at least a dgr no less than 6%. These stocks don't come from specific sectors because the reasons for undervaluation are company/industry specific headwinds or uncertainties. % needed from sales equals about 1% of portfolio. Anticipating a 6 to 8%/yr long term increase in portfolio value, not counting divs, I expect portfolio value to increase and therefore provide a necessary cushion to achieving planning objectives. Stock prices follow earnings in the long term. Therefore, stock prices should increase at roughly the DGR and vice versa. So, primary focus should be on estimated 5 and 1 year EPS growth, followed by 10, 5,3 and 1 year DGR histories. Be mostly a buyer of high quality dividend stocks, with solid competitive advantages. My holding period is forever, as long as the dividend is at least maintained. But, I do a thorough review every quarter to see if some stocks can be replaced with higher quality without sacrificing yield. Quality in this case means higher: estimated 5 year EPS growth; 10, 5, 3 and 1 year DGR; better Graham; or lower payout ratio. This review causes a turnover of 1 to 2 stocks per quarter. I Concentrate efforts on stocks which grow earnings and dividends and which provide outstanding total returns over time. For the most part, this means confining choices to the CCC list for security of dividends continuing and growing, and to limit downside swings in portfolio value. Diversify across sectors and geographic locations. Don’t buy illiquid stocks. CCC filters: 1. Est 5 year growth > 8 to 10% 2. NY growth > 8 to 10% 3. 5 yr DGR > 8 % 4. 1 yr DGR > 8% 5. D/E 3%), low payout stocks (
Lee is the general partner of Qualitas Capital Management, a private investment partnership that pursues capital appreciation by seeking superior risk-adjusted investment returns. The partnership invests in the public equities of high quality firms with solid and consistent growth prospects that Lee believes are significantly undervalued based on fundamental analysis. The partnership has a flexible mandate to invest across all business sectors, global regions, and market capitalizations. The partnership typically focuses on firms that Lee believes are relatively underfollowed and often misunderstood yet have what he views as attractive businesses, valuations, and catalysts.
Prior to forming Qualitas, Lee was a portfolio manager at Gator Capital Management ("Gator Capital"). At Gator Capital, Lee was responsible for launching and solely managing the Gator Opportunities Fund (the "Fund"), an open-end equity mutual fund registered with the SEC. During Lee's tenure as portfolio manager of the Fund, he delivered annualized returns of 11.2% (Institutional Class) / 10.9% (Retail Class) from the Fund's inception and outperformed Russell 2500® Index benchmark by 573 and 545 basis points, respectively, over that period. The Fund was ranked in the top 1% of 399 funds in Morningstar's peer category in its first year from inception and in the top 13% year-to-date through October. The Fund was also ranked 10th out of 447 funds in Lipper's "category killers" table in April for year-to-date performance (Wall Street Journal, 5/4/15).
Prior to joining Gator Capital, Lee was a member of the Fundamental Equities Group at Goldman Sachs Asset Management (GSAM). Lee's responsibilities at GSAM covered the gamut of the fundamental equities investment process from idea origination, research, analysis, and implementation to portfolio sector construction and management, risk monitoring, and strategic review. While at GSAM, Lee contributed significantly to the successful launch and growth of all-cap, mid-cap, small/mid-cap, and long/short equity investment products. Lee also provided analytical coverage primarily of the industrials and technology sectors across all market capitalizations.
Prior to joining GSAM, Lee was a co-founder of Tower Hill Securities, a merchant banking firm that focused on funding global emerging growth companies across various business sectors. Prior to co-founding Tower Hill, Lee was a founding member of the strategic consultancy Mitchell Madison Group, and an associate in the Financial Institutions/Services Practice of management consulting firm A. T. Kearney. Prior to joining A. T. Kearney, Lee was also a Faculty Lecturer at Princeton University's Woodrow Wilson Schools, where he co-taught several courses in applied quantitative and economic analysis with Professors Ben Bernanke and Alan Krueger.
Lee is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and a member of the CFA Institute and New York Society of Security Analysts (NYSSA). Lee received his BA from Yale University, his MPA from Princeton University, and his MBA from Stanford University, all with the highest honors and concentrations in economics, finance, and investment management.
I am a partner in Hong Kong based GFM Group that provides investment research to professional investors and capital markets training to finance professionals.
I also manage a private investment firm called Lexington Wall Partners that invests in value and special situation opportunities globally.
I have nearly 20 years of experience in finance, having held capital markets and corporate finance positions in New York, London and Hong Kong. I hold two masters degrees in finance from London Business School and Asian Institute of Management / McGill University.
I am a believer in value and special situations investing. I am a bottom up investor, and tend to look for "low risk, high optionality" type of opportunities. For me, risk is permanent loss of capital, not volatility or temporary drawdowns. I also tend to gravitate towards moderate concentration with 15-20 positions. I avoid margin leverage, try to keep my turnover below 15%, and express my positions through stocks, bonds or listed options.
My edge comes from three sources.
a) Having an investment holding horizon of around 5 years, which gives me the benefit of lower investor competition.
b) Deploying unleveraged sticky capital which gives me enormous staying power and an edge over mutual and hedge funds who manage shorter term capital in general.
c) My ability to deploy both my corporate finance and trading experience in evaluating an opportunity, which sometimes enables me to find obvious mispricing.
I believe that investing successfully is like running a marathon. Its a result of hard work, Charlie Munger's "worldly wisdom" and luck. Its a discipline where experience is cumulative - I make better decisions than I used to, my learnings from the past strengthens my current research.
My heros are investors like Joel Greenblatt, Mohnish Pabrai, Marty Whitman, Charlie Munger and of course, Warren Buffett. I admire not just their investment acumen but also their generosity in educating the world in the craft of prudent investing.
My LinkedIn profile is hk.linkedin.com/pub/anand-batepati/0/558/736/
I am projecting that the US govt is near insolvent and that we will be facing a new Bretton Woods currency agreement bringing gold back into the monetary system in combination with a sudden fiat currency devaluation (across the board-most currencies) against gold over a long weekend or an outright sovereign debt panic by 2020-2025. The least expected outcome double digit inflation is very likely sometime in the future. The Fed PRO-POVERTY policies are going to crush the poor, fixed pensioners and lower middle class since disposable income growth is limited. Beware middle class and retirees your purchasing power will drop dramatically when everyday necessities absorb a larger % of your income. To spread the word to the brainwashed American drones that this economy is one big illusion ponzi scheme and you are infact broke. Issuing more debt to solve a debt problem is crazy. I am accepting nominations for those that played a major positive and major negative impact on our economy. Inductees: The Hammer Hall of Fame Bill Black Brooksley Born David Walker Ron Paul Robert Rodriguez Peter Schiff David Stockman Janet Tavakoli John Bogle Elizabeth Warren Steve Wynn ============================== The Hammer Hall of Shame Ben MadMan Bernanke Lloyd Blankfein Bush II Jamie Diamond Shaun Donovan Barney Fwank Dick Fuld Alan "The Maestro" Greenspan Tim Geithner Paul king Krugman David Lereah Angelo Mozillo Obama The NAHB The NAR Henry Paulsen Nancy Pelosi Charles Prince Franklin Raines Robert Rubin David Stephens Larry Summers Bob Toll Maxine Waters Lawrence Yun
Market observer with legal background and interest in financial services, physical commodities trading, shipping and irrational exuberance. Values entrepreneurship and good governance, may also use some behavioral investment/contrarian criteria.