Don't Get Dunked In The Ld Holdings Pool Of Hype [View article]
DR.
Our speculative screen is only for premium members, so we are not part of the pump. Of course, there is nothing wrong with attempting to get in front of a stock that we think will be promoted. But we always let readers know that we are more interested in playing the dump and these stocks have no fundamental merit. I actually think that some investors actually believe the stories told by the promoters.
Don't Get Dunked In The Ld Holdings Pool Of Hype [View article]
Dr.
I agree that shorting stocks well under $1 is very risky. But shorting the pump and dumps that rise over $1 is money. Just look at ZERO today. Crushed..
I am not a MM and have made good money in the P&D short game for stocks over $1.00.
I 100% disagree with your blanket statement. Currently waiting for ORYN to go over $1.00
Don't Get Dunked In The Ld Holdings Pool Of Hype [View article]
Kris,
This was a tough one. It started out small and grew as we dug. There is actually about 8 more pages we excluded that we will revisit over the weekend. Information just keeps flowing in. Regarding shorting, it is getting tougher as more people become aware of the pump and dump opportunity. You need to hook up with a prime brokerage or a firm like Interactive Brokers. Shares tend to become available as a stock dumps under $1.00. So you can often capture some alpha. I like that IB lets you place an open order that will be filled if share become available.
Patent Infringement Lawsuit Looms Over Audience [View article]
Here are our responses to your reply, but the long and short of these new developments is that ADNC is left with a commodity driven business where margins will get squeezed. Analysts have already lowered 2013 EPS estimates by 75%. You also realize that the July 3 suit is the second suit involving ADNC this year.
Reply to points 1, 2 and 3 Why does it not make sense that AAPL would not muddle with a smaller company? Quite the contrary, it makes more sense for a larger firm to steal the technology of a smaller company that has limited resources to fight back. Why is not plausible to believe that AAPL shared some of NF’s technology with ADNC?
Reply to points 4, 5 and 6 Don’t forget that ANDC is also involved in another patent suit unrelated to this one. We do not know the implications of this issue on its other customers. Why are we wrong to say that “APPL's move could imply that its legal team found some merit in the patent infringement suit?” In your response to you say “Apple move COULD be because….” so it could be that the legal team took a look at this issue or it could be that AAPL found a better technology? Which one is it.. Regardless, either scenario is not good.
Reply to point 7 Really? And how does this fare for ADNC, that AAPL is ditching ADNC after 6 months of a licensing amendment agreement. You are basically saying that ADNC might be facing formidable competition. Will other customers see this too?
Reply to point 8 Show us where the company said that the Lawsuit is no big deal. On the contrary, they say they do not have enough details to render an opinion. Also, notice that ADNC shares underwent a sharp dip in August for a few days. Someone knew what was going on.
Lastly, we have no reply to point 9 as this one and is really irrelevant.
Hedge Funds Are Worried About This For-Profit Education Stock [View article]
I am going to go with you are too slow. While grammar is not my strong suit, performing DD and sniffing out companies that have been less than transparent with investors is right up my (and the GeoTeam) alley. Just check out our record.
To point #1 really.. you don't get it? Here you go.. Where is the new VIE agreement? ( I am sure that EDU will miraculously provide one soon).
To point #2.. You obviously did not read the Muddy report.
To point #3.. In an interview, Mr yu said that EDU owns 100% of the schools. Period.Why did he never mention the franchise business plan to investors?
To point #4.. Muddy has been right on. It is up to the market to believe them. Remember, just because a stock was not halted or delisted does not mean Muddy was wrong. Some of these companies are 70% or 80% real. Does that justify potential fraud?
Did you know that Mr yu now controls the entire company with the new VIE arrangement? Is EDU a real company? Yes. Is there potential fraud here? Time will tell.
Hedge Funds Are Worried About This For-Profit Education Stock [View article]
Curious.. How much due diligence have you completed on EDU besides just referencing a press release that mentions a commitment from management to buy shares? Are you aware that numerous Chinese Fraudulent companies echoed the same commitment before they were halted. The Question with EDU is not is it real.. But how real is it? Also...
1. Where is the new VIE agreement referenced here http://bit.ly/MvxMVU that seems to basically put the equity interest of New Oriental China in the hands of one shareholder, Mr. Yu.
2. Why didn't EDU directly address the Chinese filings Muddy referenced in its report?
3. Why does the EDU website reference franchising? Are you really buying the "pilot" school excuse? Per Muddy’s report Mr. Hsieh adamantly stated that EDU owns 100% of their schools
L&L Energy Is A Profitable, Undervalued, Coal Company [View article]
Adam, how long have you been investing in the China RTO space? You basically are doing what we all did a few years ago - quoting China demographic stats to support the long thesis, and then believing what companies told us at face value. You need to become current with what is happening. The due diligence you base your conclusion on is just totally irrational.
You stated that: "Although there have been some fraud accusations in the past, it's very unlikely that L&L Energy is fraudulent. It is headquartered in Seattle, Washington, and the management team are all American citizens living in the United States, mostly in the Seattle area. If they were Chinese criminals, they would not live in the US, they would live in China where they would be safe from being prosecuted."
Are you serious? Correct me if I am wrong, but people who live in the U.S. also commit fraud don't they? I don't think that most of LLEN’s U.S. management consciously realizes that the company is being less than transparent. Like you, it appears that they just choose to believe Dixon's story. By the way, is Dixon still in China?
Why don't you really perform some hard hitting DD and independently prove that LLEN owns its mines? Show us the docs.
SciClone's Strategic Partner Selling Out; SEC, DOJ And Competitors Closing In [View article]
"since your recent similar article appeared a month or so ago"...
I think you have us mistaken for a different author. However, if you are addressing Seeking Alpha, again...they do not write these articles...they only provide the mechanism for authors to publish their works.
Organovo Shares Could Be Headed To $3 Per Share [View article]
Per Seeking Alpha's request, we have added references and made revisions to the following passage in this article to help readers better understand the subject matter. Our opinion is unchanged.
Old passage:
In any event, a whopping 32 million shares will be eligible to hit the market soon. We don't know when the SEC will deem the S-1 effective, but the high end lockup period window ranges between May 29, 2012 and August 29, 2012. Given the sharp run-up in ONVO shares, once the S-1 does go effective we are betting that the investors in the 2012 Private Placement will yell fire and rush to the exits. In this volatile market, wouldn't you seriously consider locking in a return of a $9.30 stock that you own with a cost basis of $1.00 and associated warrants also with a cost basis of $1.00? We do find it odd that the stock is pumping into the S-1 registration leading us to postulate that the market has not realized that ONVO has filed the S-1.
New passage:
In any event, a whopping 32 million shares will be eligible to hit the market soon. We don't know when the SEC will deem the S-1 effective, but the company has agreed to use its reasonable efforts to have the registration statement declared effective within 180 days of the S-1 (registration statement) filed on June 13, 2012. (see 8K/A, February 8, 2012, page 62, Registration Rights Agreement). Given the sharp run-up in ONVO shares, once the S-1 does go effective we are betting that the investors in the 2012 Private Placement will yell fire and rush to the exits as soon as they are able to sell per the terms of the private placement…
“Lock-up Agreements
In connection with the Merger, each of the officers, directors and holders of 5% or more of our Common Stock and certain employees and affiliates of the Placement Agent have agreed to “lock-up” and not sell or otherwise transfer or hypothecate any of their shares for a term equal to the earlier of (i) twelve (12) months from the Closing Date of the Merger; or (ii) six (6) months following the effective date of the Registration Statement registering the shares of Common Stock included in the Units as well as the shares of Common Stock issuable upon exercise of the Investor Warrants and the Bridge Warrants.” (8K/A, February 8, 2012, page 9).
In this volatile market, wouldn't you seriously consider locking in a return of a $9.30 stock that you own with a cost basis of $1.00 and associated warrants also with a cost basis of $1.00? We do find it odd that the stock is pumping into the S-1 registration leading us to postulate that the market has not realized that ONVO has filed the S-1.
Organovo Shares Could Be Headed To $3 Per Share [View article]
No...our premium members on geoinvesting.com. Seeking Alpha, I believe, does not have any premium services as far as we know. SA is a portal for authors to freely express their opinions and explicitly makes it known that they do not share the thoughts of any authors on this site.
Don't Get Dunked In The Ld Holdings Pool Of Hype [View article]
Our speculative screen is only for premium members, so we are not part of the pump. Of course, there is nothing wrong with attempting to get in front of a stock that we think will be promoted. But we always let readers know that we are more interested in playing the dump and these stocks have no fundamental merit. I actually think that some investors actually believe the stories told by the promoters.
Don't Get Dunked In The Ld Holdings Pool Of Hype [View article]
I agree that shorting stocks well under $1 is very risky. But shorting the pump and dumps that rise over $1 is money. Just look at ZERO today. Crushed..
I am not a MM and have made good money in the P&D short game for stocks over $1.00.
I 100% disagree with your blanket statement. Currently waiting for ORYN to go over $1.00
Don't Get Dunked In The Ld Holdings Pool Of Hype [View article]
This was a tough one. It started out small and grew as we dug. There is actually about 8 more pages we excluded that we will revisit over the weekend. Information just keeps flowing in. Regarding shorting, it is getting tougher as more people become aware of the pump and dump opportunity. You need to hook up with a prime brokerage or a firm like Interactive Brokers. Shares tend to become available as a stock dumps under $1.00. So you can often capture some alpha. I like that IB lets you place an open order that will be filled if share become available.
Patent Infringement Lawsuit Looms Over Audience [View article]
Reply to points 1, 2 and 3
Why does it not make sense that AAPL would not muddle with a smaller company? Quite the contrary, it makes more sense for a larger firm to steal the technology of a smaller company that has limited resources to fight back. Why is not plausible to believe that AAPL shared some of NF’s technology with ADNC?
Reply to points 4, 5 and 6
Don’t forget that ANDC is also involved in another patent suit unrelated to this one. We do not know the implications of this issue on its other customers. Why are we wrong to say that “APPL's move could imply that its legal team found some merit in the patent infringement suit?” In your response to you say “Apple move COULD be because….” so it could be that the legal team took a look at this issue or it could be that AAPL found a better technology? Which one is it.. Regardless, either scenario is not good.
Reply to point 7
Really? And how does this fare for ADNC, that AAPL is ditching ADNC after 6 months of a licensing amendment agreement. You are basically saying that ADNC might be facing formidable competition. Will other customers see this too?
Reply to point 8
Show us where the company said that the Lawsuit is no big deal. On the contrary, they say they do not have enough details to render an opinion. Also, notice that ADNC shares underwent a sharp dip in August for a few days. Someone knew what was going on.
Lastly, we have no reply to point 9 as this one and is really irrelevant.
SciClone's Strategic Partner Selling Out; SEC, DOJ And Competitors Closing In [View article]
Hedge Funds Are Worried About This For-Profit Education Stock [View article]
To point #1 really.. you don't get it? Here you go.. Where is the new VIE agreement? ( I am sure that EDU will miraculously provide one soon).
To point #2.. You obviously did not read the Muddy report.
To point #3.. In an interview, Mr yu said that EDU owns 100% of the schools. Period.Why did he never mention the franchise business plan to investors?
To point #4.. Muddy has been right on. It is up to the market to believe them. Remember, just because a stock was not halted or delisted does not mean Muddy was wrong. Some of these companies are 70% or 80% real. Does that justify potential fraud?
Did you know that Mr yu now controls the entire company with the new VIE arrangement? Is EDU a real company? Yes. Is there potential fraud here? Time will tell.
Hedge Funds Are Worried About This For-Profit Education Stock [View article]
1. Where is the new VIE agreement referenced here http://bit.ly/MvxMVU that seems to basically put the equity interest of New Oriental China in the hands of one shareholder, Mr. Yu.
2. Why didn't EDU directly address the Chinese filings Muddy referenced in its report?
3. Why does the EDU website reference franchising? Are you really buying the "pilot" school excuse? Per Muddy’s report Mr. Hsieh adamantly stated that EDU owns 100% of their schools
4. Has Muddy been wrong yet?
Here are some of our thoughts: http://bit.ly/M0cQJP
L&L Energy Is A Profitable, Undervalued, Coal Company [View article]
You stated that: "Although there have been some fraud accusations in the past, it's very unlikely that L&L Energy is fraudulent. It is headquartered in Seattle, Washington, and the management team are all American citizens living in the United States, mostly in the Seattle area. If they were Chinese criminals, they would not live in the US, they would live in China where they would be safe from being prosecuted."
Are you serious? Correct me if I am wrong, but people who live in the U.S. also commit fraud don't they? I don't think that most of LLEN’s U.S. management consciously realizes that the company is being less than transparent. Like you, it appears that they just choose to believe Dixon's story. By the way, is Dixon still in China?
Why don't you really perform some hard hitting DD and independently prove that LLEN owns its mines? Show us the docs.
SciClone's Strategic Partner Selling Out; SEC, DOJ And Competitors Closing In [View article]
I think you have us mistaken for a different author. However, if you are addressing Seeking Alpha, again...they do not write these articles...they only provide the mechanism for authors to publish their works.
ty
SciClone's Strategic Partner Selling Out; SEC, DOJ And Competitors Closing In [View article]
Organovo Shares Could Be Headed To $3 Per Share [View article]
http://1.usa.gov/NakOzc
Organovo Shares Could Be Headed To $3 Per Share [View article]
Old passage:
In any event, a whopping 32 million shares will be eligible to hit the market soon. We don't know when the SEC will deem the S-1 effective, but the high end lockup period window ranges between May 29, 2012 and August 29, 2012. Given the sharp run-up in ONVO shares, once the S-1 does go effective we are betting that the investors in the 2012 Private Placement will yell fire and rush to the exits. In this volatile market, wouldn't you seriously consider locking in a return of a $9.30 stock that you own with a cost basis of $1.00 and associated warrants also with a cost basis of $1.00? We do find it odd that the stock is pumping into the S-1 registration leading us to postulate that the market has not realized that ONVO has filed the S-1.
New passage:
In any event, a whopping 32 million shares will be eligible to hit the market soon. We don't know when the SEC will deem the S-1 effective, but the company has agreed to use its reasonable efforts to have the registration statement declared effective within 180 days of the S-1 (registration statement) filed on June 13, 2012. (see 8K/A, February 8, 2012, page 62, Registration Rights Agreement). Given the sharp run-up in ONVO shares, once the S-1 does go effective we are betting that the investors in the 2012 Private Placement will yell fire and rush to the exits as soon as they are able to sell per the terms of the private placement…
“Lock-up Agreements
In connection with the Merger, each of the officers, directors and holders of 5% or more of our Common Stock and certain employees and affiliates of the Placement Agent have agreed to “lock-up” and not sell or otherwise transfer or hypothecate any of their shares for a term equal to the earlier of (i) twelve (12) months from the Closing Date of the Merger; or (ii) six (6) months following the effective date of the Registration Statement registering the shares of Common Stock included in the Units as well as the shares of Common Stock issuable upon exercise of the Investor Warrants and the Bridge Warrants.” (8K/A, February 8, 2012, page 9).
In this volatile market, wouldn't you seriously consider locking in a return of a $9.30 stock that you own with a cost basis of $1.00 and associated warrants also with a cost basis of $1.00? We do find it odd that the stock is pumping into the S-1 registration leading us to postulate that the market has not realized that ONVO has filed the S-1.
Organovo Shares Could Be Headed To $3 Per Share [View article]
Organovo Shares Could Be Headed To $3 Per Share [View article]
Organovo Shares Could Be Headed To $3 Per Share [View article]
Maj