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The Market Hick  

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  • Review Of My 2014 Picks And Trends [View article]
    I'm sure you did better than most other contributors to this site. Would be nice if Seeking Alpha did a year end audit of contributors that posted 10 or more picks per year so readers could judge for themselves. Did you include dividends in your return calculations? Looking forward to your picks for next year.
    Dec 29, 2014. 12:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Has The Market Called A Bottom For Crude At $54 BBL? [View article]
    Oil always moves far higher in a bull market and far lower in a bear market than people expect and the moves also last longer than anyone expects:
    http://bv.ms/1zNSs4E
    Dec 22, 2014. 09:23 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It's Time To Buy The Oil Panic Of 2014 [View article]
    The oil to gold ratio is a canard if you ask me. Why should one be correlated to the other? Who uses gold to buy oil? I could see where some people or countries might use oil revenues to buy gold, but if that were the case, then the drop in oil revenues resulting from a drop in price would mean less money to buy gold and thus the price of gold should fall all other things being equal.
    Dec 18, 2014. 09:59 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Oil & Gas Stocks: Pain, Then More Pain... When Is The Gain? [View article]
    Everyone should copy and save the energy correction scorecard list then on 12/31/2015 go back and check how many of those companies still exist.
    Dec 15, 2014. 12:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How To Play The Polar Vortex Version 2.0 [View article]
    Good snow cover all year would help PII
    Nov 19, 2014. 09:40 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Keeping The Faith In Chicago Bridge & Iron [View article]
    CBI has an Altman Z-score of 1.14. Anything below 1.8 indicates the company is headed for bankruptcy. They have negative working capital, goodwill that is twice shareholders equity and negative cash flow for the trailing twelve months. I don't know what WB sees in-it there is a moat but safety margin just isn't there. I bought but got stopped out and wouldn't dare go back in. There has to be other candidates with a greater degree of safety out there with just as much upside potential.
    Also still don't think the market correction is over so why risk anything anywhere yet?
    Oct 14, 2014. 10:06 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Did GT Advanced Technologies Mislead Investors? [View article]
    Always good to buy companies the day after they announce bankruptcy. GTAT and CRMB are 2 good plays so far this year. Here's hoping for more.
    Oct 7, 2014. 01:35 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Time For Caution Has Arrived [View article]
    Thought this paper might be relevant:
    http://bit.ly/1snthQk
    Sep 17, 2014. 09:19 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Triangle Petroleum's (TPLM) CEO Jonathan Samuels on Q2 2015 Results - Earnings Call Transcript [View article]
    They've shopped Rock Pile around and are not getting any good offers for it. Market was expecting to hear news of a sale and so the stock sold off.
    Sep 9, 2014. 07:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Most Interesting Investment In The World: Ethanex Energy [View article]
    This guy should be posting on seeking alpha!
    Aug 14, 2014. 09:00 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Aemetis: Solvency Concerns And An Upcoming Equity Offering [View article]
    Should be an interesting call:

    CUPERTINO, CA--(Marketwired - Aug 12, 2014) - Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMTX), announced that the company will host a business update conference call:

    Date: Thursday, August 14, 2014

    Time: 1:15 pm Pacific Time

    Conference Number: +1 (605) 562-3140
    Access code: 166576

    Attendees may submit questions to management prior to Noon Pacific Time on August 13, 2014 to the following email address: john@liviakis.com.

    After August 14th, the webcast will be archived on the Company's website (http://www.aemetis.com) under Investors/Conference Calls. The voice recording will also be available for 90 days by dialing +1 (605) 562-3149, access code 166576.
    Aug 12, 2014. 09:27 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Aemetis Is A Potential Four- Or Five-Bagger [View article]
    Seems there is a little disagreement on the company's prosepects:
    http://seekingalpha.co...
    Aug 11, 2014. 10:37 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Day I Sold Everything [View article]
    But money doesn't grow on trees!
    Jul 25, 2014. 04:39 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Sell-Off In Refiners Is Overdone [View article]
    Cramer provides another take on the refiners:
    http://bit.ly/1qDfAxh

    Hate to think that I should part with my HFC as I have a 14% yoc with the special dividends included. But refiners are notoriously cyclical and it has been a tremendous upcycle for these stocks over the last 3 years. There's always a tremendous downcycle for this industry as well and we could be at the start of that.
    Take a look at 20 year charts of the refiners and you'll see they suffer some dramatic drops from the high points of the cycle.
    Jul 15, 2014. 09:33 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2 Ways To Play Innovation In The Titanium Pigment Industry [View article]
    The mothers of invention link does not work.Symbol for Canadian titanium you posted is actually the symbol for century link. Interesting technology but Argex has its work cut out and sounds like lots of dilution ahead.
    Jul 2, 2014. 09:22 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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