As I'm a long-term investor, I'll highlight some stockpicks which will have a 5-7 year investment horizon. As I strongly believe a portfolio should consist of a mixture of dividend-paying stocks and growth stocks, my articles will reflect my thoughts on this mixture.
Former buyside analyst now running my own fund for accredited investors. If you find my articles balanced and interesting, feel free to reach out - always up for a conversation. Things to know:
1) I research a lot of companies, but invest in very few. My goal on SA is to provide analysis, particularly of small and underfollowed companies, that readers can use as a starting point for their own research. When you read my articles, please understand that I try to present a high-level look. It's up to the reader to determine if it's the sort of situation that is worth monitoring. Note that I usually try to err on the side of conservatism, so just because I'm not enthused by a particular investment candidate doesn't mean you shouldn't be.
2) I appreciate comments whether you agree with me or not - especially in cases where I might be wrong, I'd like to know why! If you happen to be a particular expert on a topic and are interested in discussing it further, please shoot me a direct message. I would love to chat. Or if, you know, you're just a lonely value investor who wants a friend. Jokes aside, I've made lots of great friends through SA and am always open to talking.
3) If you enjoy reading my work, in no particular order, you might also enjoy reading fellow SA authors Vince Martin, Stephen Simpson, Brendan Rose, Brian Grosso, Bumbershoot Holdings, Adib Motiwala, Jeremy Raper, Investing 501, and Ted Barac. Most of them have professional investment expertise and the ones who don't are equally insightful. Like Amazon recommendations, not all of these will be perfect, but if you're new to SA, it's as good a place as any to start!
All the usual disclaimers apply... articles are provided for entertainment purposes only, interpret everything as opinion rather than fact, do your own due diligence, this is not an offer to sell securities, forward looking statements are not made using a crystal ball, etc. Most importantly, I will reiterate that everything I write is an opinion; analyzing stocks is inherently subjective and two reasonable people can come to different conclusions.
My investment decisions are based on the deep understanding of my own limitations in predicting the future. I pursue opportunities that present the highest risk-adjusted return. My focus is on companies with healthy economics: flexible companies that can survive the unpredictable future and still provide value to its shareholders in the long-term.
Long-term value investor.
After graduating from Cambridge University and qualifying as a barrister, I worked for eight years in investment banking, primarily on equity offerings and M&A transactions, both in the UK and internationally. Subsequently, I spent seven years in investment management as a research analyst, looking at listed stocks globally. I have a Masters in Finance, awarded with distinction, from London Business School and I am a CFA charterholder.
I am now an independent research analyst and investor, living in Hong Kong.
Dr. El-Erian is Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz and member of its International Executive Committee. He chairs President Obama's Global Development Council, is a Financial Times Contributing Editor, a Bloomberg View columnist and author of the NYT/WSJ best seller "When Markets Collide."
Dr. El-Erian formerly served as CEO and co-CIO of PIMCO, the global investment management company. He re-joined PIMCO at the end of 2007 after serving for two years as president and CEO of Harvard Management Company, the entity that manages Harvard’s endowment and related accounts.
Dr. El-Erian also served as a member of the faculty of Harvard Business School. He first joined PIMCO in 1999 and was a senior member of PIMCO's portfolio management and investment strategy group.
Before coming to PIMCO, Dr. El-Erian was a managing director at Salomon Smith Barney/Citigroup in London and before that, he spent 15 years at the International Monetary Fund in Washington, D.C.
Dr. El-Erian has published widely on international economic and finance topics. His book, "When Markets Collide," won the Financial Times/Goldman Sachs 2008 Business Book of the Year and was named a book of the year by The Economist and one of the best business books of all time by the Independent (UK). He was named to Foreign Policy’s list of “Top 100 Global Thinkers” for 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012.
Dr. El-Erian has served on several boards and committees, including the U.S. Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee, the International Center for Research on Women, the Peterson Institute for International Economics and the IMF's Committee of Eminent Persons. He is currently a board member of the NBER, the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and Cambridge in America. He chairs the Microsoft Investment Advisory Board.
He holds a master's degree and doctorate (economics) from Oxford and received his bachelor and master degrees from Cambridge. He is an Honorary Fellow of Queens' College, Cambridge University.
Catharina is an expert in the energy sector, including utilities, oil/gas, cleantech and unconventional/alternative energy. She has been a ranked analyst for global investment banks for many years. Her analysis covers thematic ideas and long as well as long/short stock picks.
I specialize in European companies, sector and macro views. Qualitative and fundamental analysis are leading, while technical analysis may decide entry and exit points.
Analysis and comparison is done on the facts. The main sources are financial data published by companies and analyzed without prejudice and as objective as possible. Emotions are kept out of the equation.
I prefer to look at the fundamentals first and start additional research later to prevent becoming biased.
Comparing companies (with other companies) or to the sector often leads to surprising conclusions. Good might be bad and the other way around. I tell them as I see them.
Apart from the fundamentals the business strategy is also an important factor. The direction (and the results) are often the result of a good or bad strategy. Success and failure of the chosen strategy will become visible when viewed over a period of time.
BS in Economics, MA in Public Policy (International Economic Policy). J is a well-known voice in the global shipping community, with unparalleled investment results and a penchant for activist investing.
Mintzmyer founded Value Investor's Edge, a top-ranked deep value research service in May 2015, with the goal of establishing a top-tier community of deep value investors and activists. Value Investor's Edge subscribers leverage exclusive in-depth analytic reports and community investment experience to discover disconnects in global shipping and a variety of other beaten down sectors.
TipRanks.com ranked Mintzmyer’s performance in the top 3% of all global analysts at the end of 2015 for his 2-year investment performance. While compiling his research, Mintzmyer has interviewed numerous management teams at public maritime firms, and has worked with a multitude of investors. His exclusive analysis has received numerous 'Top Idea,' 'Must Read,' and 'Small Cap Insight' awards.
J is a CFA candidate and investment enthusiast who utilizes Seeking Alpha to provide an open exchange of both trading and investment ideas. Masters in Public Policy, with focus on International Security & Economic Policy from the University of Maryland, College Park. Distinguished Graduate of the United States Air Force Academy with a B.S. in Economics. President of Mintzmyer Investments LLC, a financial services company specializing in equity research and hedge fund advisory.
Extensive background in financial analysis, equity research, accounting, portfolio management, and customized asset allocation through nearly a decade of formalized education, personal studies, and practical experience. Avid reader of business/investments and biographies.
Legal Disclaimer: Any related contributions to Seeking Alpha, or elsewhere on the web, are to be construed as personal opinion only and do NOT constitute investment advice. An investor should always conduct personal due diligence before initiating a position. Provided articles and comments should NEVER be construed as official business recommendations. In efforts to keep full transparency, related positions will be disclosed at the end of each article to the maximum extent practicable. The majority of trades are reported live on Twitter, but this cannot be guaranteed due to technical constraints.
My premium service is a research and opinion subscription. No personalized investment advice will ever be given. I am not registered as an investment adviser, nor do I have any plans to pursue this path. No statements should be construed as anything but opinion, and the liability of all investment decisions reside with the individual. Although I do my utmost to procure high quality information, investors should always do their own due diligence and fact check all research prior to making any investment decisions. Any direct engagements with readers should always be viewed as hypothetical examples or simple exchanges of opinion as nothing is ever classified as “advice” in any sense of the word.
I have been an active investor/trader since 1994, with quite good results.
I have done both academic and practical research on computer-based (fully automated or semi-automated) short-term stock market prediction and negotiation, but for consistent returns, I still believe it is hard to beat long-term investing based on fundamentals.
At present, the basis of my personal investment portfolio mainly combines energy-related commodities and stocks.
I recognize that the risk/reward tends to be heavily skewed against the short side and as such I believe short positions should be kept small, when not part of a well thought out long/short strategy.
Besides being an investor I'm a professor at a Portuguese university.
Nelson Alves is a professional investor, established in Portugal. He started his career in 2007 right at the start of the biggest financial crisis since 1929. Until 2011 he worked in several trading desks. His main influences are Philip Fisher and Warren Buffet. Nelson is looking to help small investors on the task of preserving and increasing their savings’ funds.
Being a thoroughly student of several investment approaches, he believes that the equity markets should be on service of both small and institutional investors, and therefore every citizen should be able to reclaim his fair share of the long-term growing prosperity around the world.
With hedge fund manager, CNBC regular and long-time veteran of the Russian markets Tim Seymour at the helm, Emerging Money (http://www.emergingmoney.com) provides education, trading analysis and comprehensive views of emerging markets around the world. As economies in the BRIC group and beyond become the growth engines of global wealth creation, Emerging Money provides insights and tools for investors to trade successfully in these markets via individual ADRs, foreign-traded stocks, currencies and ETFs.
I’m an Army engineer in the electrical field, working in the power generation/transmission industry. Also, I'm a graduate student pursuing my MBA. I have a BS in Management and have developed an avid interest in world economics and finance. I consider myself a recreational investor – a sort of "everyman" investor looking to increase my knowledge of the investment community and principles while making some money at the same time. I try to write articles from this frame of mind. I tend to look for undervalued and under-covered companies and enjoy doing a thorough fundamental analysis before making an investment decision, and looking for at least 2-3 technical indicators to time a purchase.
I encourage all to do their own research and due diligence prior to making any investment decision. It is a necessary skill one must constantly be perfecting in order to be successful. If you do like my articles, please follow me. And if you do decide to invest in any company I write about, please feel free to message me in the future to let me know how it turned out. I love communicating and interacting with other investors of similar styles.
Technology and business consultant, who invests in Canada Europe, Australia, and USA. Deep financial sector and financial services experience from both business and technology perspectives. A do-it-yourself income investor, who is always evaluating and seeking high-yield and long-term, long positions.
Dr. John Hussman is the president and principal shareholder of Hussman Econometrics Advisors, the investment advisory firm that manages the Hussman Funds ( http://www.hussmanfunds.com). He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Stanford University, and a Masters degree in education and social policy and a bachelors degree in economics from Northwestern University. Prior to managing the Hussman Funds, Dr. Hussman was a professor of economics and international finance at the University of Michigan. In the mid-1980's, Dr Hussman worked as an options mathematician for Peters & Company at the Chicago Board of Trade, and in 1988 began publishing the Hussman Econometrics newsletter. Virtually all of Dr. Hussman's liquid assets are invested in the Hussman Funds.
Note: Dr. Hussman is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Dr. Hussman's public commentary.
I work in the natural gas industry for and I have spent the last 2-3 years researching all aspects of the the booming NGV industry. My investment horizon is typically no shorter than 3-5 years and I am currently heavily invested in NGV related companies.
"One of the best ways to do well in this business is to go to areas that have been unexploited by research capability and work them for all you can." -Julian Robertson Managing partner of the Schildpad & De Haas partnerships. Seeking Alpha PRO contributor since the library's inception in 2013. A special selection of investment ideas is available through the Exclusive Research service.
Roger Conrad needs no introduction to individual and professional investors, many of whom have profited from his decades of experience uncovering the best dividend-paying stocks for accumulating sustainable wealth.
Roger Conrad founded and ran the Utility Forecaster and Canadian Edge newsletters before leaving to form his own publishing company, Capitalist Times (www.CapitalistTimes.com). During his almost 30-year tenure at Utility Forecaster, Hulbert Financial Digest routinely ranked the publication as one of the best investment newsletters.
His new publication, Conrad’s Utility Investor (www.ConradsUtilityInvestor.com), continues his in-depth coverage and analysis of more than 200 essential-services stocks, primarily utilities and telecoms. Roger Conrad is also an expert on master limited partnerships (MLP) and the Canadian energy sector, which he covers for Energy & Income Advisor (www.EnergyAndIncomeAdvisor.com).
He’s also an independent trustee of Miller/Howard High Income Equity Fund and the author of Power Hungry: Strategic Investing in Telecommunications, Utilities and Other Essential Services. Although he spends a good deal of time in front of a Bloomberg terminal or reading 10-K and 10-Q reports, he’s also an avid outdoorsman and baseball fan.
The masthead may have changed, but readers can count on Roger to deliver the same high-quality analysis and rational assessment of the best dividend-paying utilities, MLPs and dividend-paying Canadian energy names.
Jake Huneycutt is a former Portfolio Manager. Jake holds an MBA degree with a concentration in finance from Emory University. He earned a Master of Accounting degree from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. He received his B.A. in History from East Tennessee State University. Jake is originally from Johnson City, TN and currently splits time between Boston, MA and Atlanta, GA.
Margin of Safety Equity Research is a value-investing focused company providing equity research services, the Securities Analysis System investment software, stock valuation models, and other financial resources for value investors. Members of our subscription services have access to the Margin of Safety value-oriented portfolio and discounted access to our software.
We apply Buffett's and Charlie Munger's four filters in selecting stocks as part of a concentrated portfolio (10-15 equities). Criteria for selecting companies are:
1.They are strong businesses; as defined by high long-term cash generation, above-average return on invested capital, possession of favorable underlying economics and a durable competitive advantage, good financial health, and above-average profit margins
2. We understand the business
3. They are run by competent management
4. They are available at bargain prices.
We require a 25-50% margin of safety, depending on the stability and economic moat for the company.
In addition to equity research services, we are a member of the Gerson Lehman Group Expert Counsel of Advisors and provide research/consulting services to investment banks.
Elliott Morss has spent most of his career teaching and working as an economic consultant to developing countries on issues of trade, finance, and environmental preservation.
Dr. Morss received a B.A. from Williams College in 1960 and a Ph.D. in political economy from The Johns Hopkins University in 1963. He has taught at the University of Michigan, Harvard, Boston University, Brandeis, and most recently at the University of Palermo in Buenos Aires.
For several years, he worked in the Fiscal Affairs Department of the International Monetary Fund. He later helped establish Development Alternatives, Inc. (dai.com), a firm that became the largest contractor to the U.S. foreign assistance program (AID). Since his first IMF assignment in Ghana in 1966, he has worked in 45 countries.
He has been the President of the Asia-Pacific Group, a British Virgin Islands for profit company with investments in Cambodia, China, and Myanmar. With Dr. Zhu Jia-Ming, he established Green China, an American NGO with the mission to increase the dialogue in China on the trade-offs between economic growth and environmental preservation.
Dr. Morss has co-authored six books and published more than 50 articles in professional journals.
He is currently available for consulting assignments.
I am an equity analyst and founding member of a triple digit million dollar fund.
Oh, and I think technicals are nonsense.
...and no, the picture isn't me but a notable politician, and yes Mr. Samaras has been replaced!
I am fully accountable for the recommendations I make.... On my Instablog I give a recap of ALL picks and their performance
Contributing columnist for Real Money and TheStreet.com. BA in History from Bemidji State in Minnesota. I went on to learn Chinese at National Taiwan University in Taipei.
I worked in mortgage sales at Countrywide and Bank of America until 2010 when I decided to relocate to Taiwan.
I am a Danish investor who enjoys to share my views on companies with others. My primary interests within the economic area are stock picking and investment theory. Furthermore I am a classic value investor. I have a keen interest in European companies and most of my articles will probably concern companies from my own continent, but I do also look towards the US occasionally.
I do not believe in market timing nor do I believe in any kind of chart analysis. I believe that owning great businesses at cheap prices during thick and thin will give you the best risk adjusted returns while sleeping well at night.
I am strongly influenced by theory and literature from numerous investors. The most influental have been Benjamin Graham, Howard Marks, Peter Lynch, Philip Fisher, Warren Buffett, Guy Spier, Mohnish Pabrai, Joel Greenblatt and Charlie Munger. I am eager to accumulate knowledge from these investors and many others during my lifetime. I have a MSc. in business economics from Denmark but the literature from these aforementioned legendary investors are worth more to me than anything I have and will ever read during my studies.
Power Hedge is an independent stock research and analysis firm with a passion for macro- and microeconomic analysis. Power Hedge focuses our research primarily on dividend-paying, international companies of all sizes with sustainable competitive advantages. Power Hedge is neither a permabear nor a permabull. However, we believe that, given the current structural problems in the United States, the best investment opportunities may lie elsewhere in the world. The firm's strategy is primarily buy and hold, but will stray from that strategy on occasion. Our ideal holding period is forever, however we realize that both internal and external forces can impact an investment. For this reason, we believe that it is vital to keep a close eye on all of your investments. We do not believe in changing an investment based on short-term market swings.
Traditionally, we have not always responded to comments but in order to improve the quality of our research, comments will be reviewed and we will respond to issues regarding errors or omissions. This does not include our premium service, "Renewable Energy Profits," which is available from the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. This service does include detailed discussions with our team both on the reports themselves and in a private forum.
Mercenary Trader (www.mercenarytrader.com) was created by traders, for traders. We are aggressive swing traders who routinely combine fundamentals, technicals and sentiment with deep awareness of global macro and rigorous analysis of individual equities.
See all of our content, including free educational materials on the theory and practice of trading, at www.mercenarytrader.com
I was born and raised in Murmansk, Russia (the home for Russia’s northern navy fleet, think Tom Clancy’s Red October). I immigrated to the US from Russia in 1991 with all my family – my three brothers, my father, and my stepmother.
My professional career is easily described in one sentence: I invest, I educate, I write, and I could not dream of doing anything else. Here is a slightly more detailed curriculum vitae:
I am Chief Investment Officer at Investment Management Associates, Inc (IMA), a value investment firm based in Denver, Colorado. After I received my graduate and undergraduate degrees in finance (cum laude, but who cares) from the University of Colorado at Denver, and finished my CFA designation (three years of my life that are a vague recollection at this point), I wanted to keep learning. I figured the best way to learn is to teach. At first I taught an undergraduate class at the University of Colorado at Denver and later a graduate investment class at the same university that I designed based on my day job. Currently I am on sabbatical from teaching for a while.
I found that the university classroom was not big enough for me, so I started writing and, let’s be honest, I needed to let my genetically embedded Russian sarcasm out. I’ve written articles for the Financial Times, Barron’s, BusinessWeek, Christian Science Monitor, New York Post, Institutional Investor … and the list goes on.
I was profiled in Barron’s, and have been interviewed by Value Investor Insight, Welling@Weeden, BusinessWeek, BNN, CNBC, and countless radio shows.
Finally, my biggest achievement – well actually second biggest; I count quitting smoking in 1992 as the biggest – I’ve authored the Little Book of Sideways Markets (Wiley, 2010) and Active Value Investing (Wiley, 2007).
CYNICONOMICS is run by F.F. Wiley and Ginger Snap – professional names for two veterans of the asset management industry. Our blog is based on our portfolio management experience and F.F.'s ongoing research, and motivated by our respective, midlife crises. Most people drive around in convertibles and reinterpret their wedding vows. We made up new names and started the blog. And F.F. has drafted a book, which one day he’ll finish up and publish.
I'm a portfolio manager within the European Equities team at a mid-sized asset manager. Under my coverage is the financial sector (including Banks, Insurance, Real Estate and Diversified Financials) on a Pan-European basis (Eurozone, UK, Switzerland and Scandinavia).
Previously, I've worked as a generalist buy-side financial analyst, covering equities, fixed income and derivatives.