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The Silver Analyst  

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  • Silver's Extremes: When Is the Right Time to Get In? [View article]
    Regarding production cost .. what do YOU mean? Different companies have different production costs depending on multiple factors.

    In fact, since global silver production is 70% by- or co- product, I suggest it is the production cost of gold, copper, lead, etc that is more important.

    To summarise, production cost of silver is largely irrelevant to targetting a silver price bottom.

    Nov 25, 2008. 05:55 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Silver's Extremes: When Is the Right Time to Get In? [View article]
    What is the reader not to "fall for"?

    That I said silver was near a major bottom having kept subscribers out since $18 while other kept getting sliced trying to catch the falling knife?

    Or was it because I had the audacity to suggest any big move up would just be a rally?

    Listen to me.

    There are a lot of wounded investors out there who have seen their capital destroyed plus anyone who feels flush will find leverage more expensive than it was a year ago. Feel free to urge them to recommit more of their diminished savings to another rollercoaster ride.

    After this rout, investor psychology has a bit of healing to undergo.
    Nov 25, 2008. 04:09 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Rebirth of Gold and Silver? [View article]
    Deuxsous,

    Silver may be at a similar point to 1974-1975 but in K-wave terms, would you agree it is still somewhere in the equivalent of the 1950s?
    Sep 12, 2008. 09:18 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Rebirth of Gold and Silver? [View article]
    Thanks, I follow twocents for the K-wave aspects. No need to bash on Elliott Wave, this was my unwavered position for nearly two years when silver was still in the smaller wave 4 correction in 2007: one more wave (5) up then the big correction.

    Sep 11, 2008. 10:41 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Silver ETF Bull Market Remains Intact [View article]
    "SLV has been in a bull market since 2001"

    SLV did not exist until 2006.
    Aug 23, 2008. 01:56 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Safe Haven Investments Amid a Global Crisis [View article]
    My long term chart of platinum does not show a plunge from $500 to $100 in 1988. Perhaps you mean a $100 drop?
    Aug 14, 2008. 07:26 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Death of Gold? [View article]
    ""Look for a new "death of equities" headline, combined with your friend TELLING you to buy gold & silver (not asking, but telling), and advising you to buy some hot silver/gold mines which surely can only go up...that would be the top."

    Did that even happen at the height of the 1970s bull? I doubt it.

    Apr 23, 2008. 04:15 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Death of Gold? [View article]
    Yes, I sold my speculative positions and some ounces but still retain a core position which is a long term buy and hold.

    This is not the "death of gold" as I wrote in the sense that we enter another 20 year bear. No, but I am wary that this 7 year bull is long in the tooth and a correction bigger than we have seen so far will pounce.

    So be cautious about your confidence. The bull isn't over in this 30 year bull market, but corrections happen, sometimes bigger than we expect.
    Apr 22, 2008. 08:55 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Bull Market is Off and Running - Again [View article]
    You may produce a bullish elliott count on gold, but one for the HUI?

    Surely the two must correlate to a good degree?

    Apr 17, 2008. 09:26 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Predicting the Silver Top [View article]
    Yes, we still need to see total net commercial short positions to reduce before we can say "capitulation". But they can't hold out for too long.
    Mar 5, 2008. 07:29 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Silver Now Outperforming Gold [View article]
    EE, I have read Butler extensively. No need to check out the top shorts. The net commercial short position which Butler USES as proof of a manipulation clearly declined months before the last spike in 2006. The top shorts may have tried to maintain their big short positions (proof?) but they were fighting against a tide of short covering.
    Feb 28, 2008. 12:18 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Silver Now Outperforming Gold [View article]
    I am not saying a blow off at $20, I said "$20 and beyond". You can forget about $200, that is years away and requires an inflation crisis similar to 1980 (which will come don't worry!).
    Feb 28, 2008. 11:13 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Silver Now Outperforming Gold [View article]
    Also remember the 16:1 ratio wa a government decree for centuries. Since WWII, 16:1 has only been touched twice.
    Feb 28, 2008. 10:54 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Silver Now Outperforming Gold [View article]
    Look at the charts for 2004 and 2006, run ups in silver cannot be sustained for anything but months! Don't hang onto the talismans of 1980, it is not written in the skies that silver MUST beat $50!

    Feb 28, 2008. 10:50 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Value of Gold Over the Ages [View article]
    "Just look at the performance of gold during our last deflation in the Great Depression"

    Gold did nothing until 1933 - it was fixed by government decree at $20 per ounce. Roosevelt then inflated the money supply and gold was refixed to $35 in a day! Pity no one could profit from it since he simultaneously banned private ownership of gold.
    Jan 7, 2008. 11:32 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
51 Comments
61 Likes