I am a former hedge fund portfolio manager that trades for my own personal account. I espouse Graham and Dodd/Buffett style investing, always on the lookout for value equities or bonds. A graduate of Northwestern's Kellogg School of Management, I lived in NYC for a decade before relocating with my family to the Charlotte, NC area in 2007. Currently I am the Chief Analyst at sharpeequities.com. For more information on my current endeavor, feel free to find me on LinkedIn.
I have been in this game for 12 years. Unfortunately (or fortunately) my first adventures were at the top of the tech bubble where for 5 short months I thought I was invincible. I soon found out how "vincible" I was. After the appropriate mourning period I decided that energy/resource stocks were cheap and became invincible again. Margin in an ever rising market made me, once again, "vincible" . I hope to learn.
I am a value conscious investor looking for bargains.
1) Price is what you pay, value is what you get
2) Success in investing is limiting losses when you're wrong, and maximizing gains when you're right
3) Start with business model. Margins reflect value add a company's products bring to the market place. Does the Gross Margin and the Product match? High GMs accompany differentiated products with limited competition that do not compete on price. Low GMs accompany undifferentiated products that compete on price, CAPEX spend, cyclicality.
4) How is the business financed? Be wary of companies with a lot of debt. Great businesses do not require huge debt to generate high returns on equity. There is no achievement in generating high ROEs by levering up like banks, leasing businesses (car rental, equipment rental, aircraft rental). ROA should be telling here.
4) A company's value changes because the NPV of future profits changes. NPV of future profits is a function of changes in revenues, gross margins, OPEX, leverage, taxation. A company's value appreciates when the NPV of profits goes up due to revenue growth, GM expansion, OPEX reduction, leverage (refinancing) / tax (change of domicile) reduction.
5) Markets look forward. Bottoms coincide with maximum pessimism while tops coincide with maximum euphoria.
6) A stock is not undervalued because it is cheap and it is not overvalued because it is expensive (based on traditional valuation metrics). Similarly, a stock is not undervalued because it has gone down a lot or overvalued because it has gone up a lot.
7) Look at market cap when valuing companies. Don't be overly influenced by management projections, analyst reports, share buybacks, cash on B/S, price movements, other people in the stock.
8) Companies with significant debt can go bankrupt. Cash burn typically determines if they go bankrupt before the cycle (for their industry or the economy) turns.
9) Undervalued stocks can get cheaper, overvalued stocks can get more expensive.
10) Keep emotion out of investing. You will be wrong. Unpredictable things will happen. Stay vigilant to anger, anxiety, exuberance. Stay vigilant to thesis creep.
11) Leverage will kill you sooner or later. Companies have large operating and financial leverage.
12) Have a thesis. If the thesis plays out, stay with it. If it doesn't exit. Always have a thesis.
13) Understand the business you are invested in. It's valuation and what can go wrong. Know the business inside out.
13) Don't trade.
14) Diversify. There are many good ideas in the market. Don't put your eggs in one basket.
15) Failing businesses rarely turnaround.
Ceo/Founder of Int'l.Diversified Holding Co.1968-1991(sold) w/100MM revenue and 1000 employees worldwide. Founder, Managing Director San Marino Financial Group M&A & VC 1993-2005. Currently Board Member of 2 non-profits and 1 commercial. Guest speaker at Pepperdine University(4 campuses) on Entrepreneurship and Business Ethics at Graziadio School of Business at Doctorate and MBA levels.
Chris Colvin, CFA, is the Founder and Managing Partner of Breach Inlet Capital Management, LLC, which is a Registered Investment Advisor. We use a concentrated strategy targeting U.S.-listed small cap equity transformations, defined as companies going through significant changes to create substantial shareholder value.
Deep value investor, searching for inefficiencies caused by institutional constraints. I focus on protecting the downside and identifying mispriced optionality. Primarily balance sheet focused, but also looking for great businesses that I can understand.
John Huber is the portfolio manager of Saber Capital Management, LLC, an investment firm that manages separate accounts for clients. Saber employs a value investing strategy with a primary goal of patiently compounding capital for the long-term.
John also writes about investing at the blog www.basehitinvesting.com, and can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org.
Mr. Olinger was formerly SVP of Finance of a NYSE transportation equipment leasing company. There he placed $2 billion in financing for the company that included securitizations, off-shore revolving credits, TRAC leases and investor programs. Prior to that he was CEO of a nationwide technical services and technology rental business that had over 300 employees and 25 offices. He was responsible for restructuring the company and transitioning it to a high quality deployment operation. He also founded and ran a venture leasing company that financed over $100 million of equipment to venture capital backed companies. He is a value oriented investor focused on fundamental analysis.