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Tim Iacono

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  • What Next After Another Gold And Silver Sell-Off? [View article]
    More than a year.
    Jun 10 11:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Next After Another Gold And Silver Sell-Off? [View article]
    I bought nearly all of my precious metals about a decade ago and, aside from some silver in 2011, I've sold very little. I have no idea about the short-term, but I remain bullish over the long-term.
    Jun 9 03:30 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Dividend Stocks Crush Gold In The Long-Term [View article]
    Survivorship bias in stock indexes is kind of important, but not mentioned.
    Jun 4 07:41 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • GLD Holdings Rise, Stay Above 1,000 Tonnes [View article]
    Coin premiums have moved have moved sharply higher over the last month or so and are only now coming back down, an indication of this separation that could be much more profound in the future.

    There's risk of holding anything other than physical metal if the counterparty decides to settle-up in cash. There is also risk in holding physical metal via theft.
    May 30 07:28 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gold Price And GLD Holdings Signal A Big Change Ahead [View article]
    I've looked at IAU from time to time and, as of a month or two ago, outflows there have been significantly less (on a percentage basis) than in GLD.
    May 28 11:21 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Good Riddance To The Weak Hands Selling GLD Shares [View article]
    If things keep going as they've been going with Cyprus appearing to be an important precedent (if not a model) for rescuing banks, I think you'll see a lot more physical buying than ETF buying in the years ahead due to trust issues.
    Apr 23 12:31 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Gold Won't Protect You From Inflation: What History Tells Us [View article]
    Gold is highly correlated (inversely) to real interest rates (e.g., Fed funds rate minus inflation), so, they are really a function of how policy makers respond to inflation rather than inflation itself.
    Apr 17 06:32 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Bursting Gold 'Fear Bubble' Vs. The 'Confidence Bubble' In Policy Makers, Economists, And Markets [View article]
    We are unlikely to convince each other of anything other than that economists' models are crap, but, regarding Fed money printing, see:

    Why Current Fed Money Printing Will Lead To Higher Gold And Silver Prices
    http://seekingalpha.co...

    As for withdrawing stimulus, one thing I can guarantee is that the Fed will talk a lot, but they'll be super slow to take action even if inflation is rising. There is no way that a Bernanke/Yellen Fed will withdraw stimulus too fast - that is not in their DNA.
    Apr 17 05:18 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Bursting Gold 'Fear Bubble' Vs. The 'Confidence Bubble' In Policy Makers, Economists, And Markets [View article]
    Funny - I agree with everything you say.

    I've never supported the idea of hyperinflation in the U.S. though I think we'll get much higher levels of inflation eventually (and eventually just drew nearer with the current 2.5x times the rate of global money printing in 2013 vs. 2008-2012).
    Apr 17 02:59 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Bursting Gold 'Fear Bubble' Vs. The 'Confidence Bubble' In Policy Makers, Economists, And Markets [View article]
    That's a good way to put it.

    I find it difficult to believe that so few people think what began in 2008 will all end well (or that it has already ended well).
    Apr 17 02:53 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Bursting Gold 'Fear Bubble' Vs. The 'Confidence Bubble' In Policy Makers, Economists, And Markets [View article]
    I didn't think I needed to spell this out.
    I was wrong.
    I didn't mean to imply that you could take your gold coins down to the 7-11 to buy a Slurpee but, rather, that gold has served as money for thousands of years, up until a few decades ago.
    In that a rising gold price makes fiat money look bad (i.e., "to some extent" in the above excerpt), gold is in competition with current day money.
    Apr 17 02:48 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Paper Selling In The West Could Spur A Gold Rush In The East [View article]
    Short-term moves are temporary and come from different (higher) levels.
    Apr 16 09:01 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dismal Labor Report Gives Precious Metals Markets New Life [View article]
    The "paper gold and silver" phrase refers to futures markets where metal prices are set. The supply/demand dynamics are very different there than for coins in the U.S. or, generally, in Asia.
    Apr 7 05:49 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gold Takes Out Major Support: Next Stop $1,350 [View article]
    Your argument about real returns for stocks and bonds being far better than gold over the last two centuries might be more convincing if gold weren't money during about 150 of those years, during which time inflation was zero.

    That's kind of an important part of the story.
    Apr 3 06:18 PM | 29 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Renewed Euro Crisis, Rising Inflation To Push Precious Metals Higher [View article]
    Yeah, looks like a big reversal of the RO-RO trade with markets already reacting:

    http://bit.ly/116QgXN

    The latest news is that they're going to soften the blow for small savers and take more from the big accounts, but it sounds like they're locked in to the "raid the savings accounts" approach.
    Mar 17 06:30 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
108 Comments
182 Likes