Currently practicing civil litigation for a small law firm. Past experience in business and real estate valuation. Majored in political science at a liberal arts college; however participating in the Goldman Sachs analyst program after college sparked my passion for investing. Interested primarily in value investing and identifying risks. My goal is to improve the logic and clarity of my investment ideas through my writing and the comments I receive from others.
My name is Payman Winborn. Upon graduation from college in 1999 I founded a company that distributed computer hardware. Although this was a profitable business, I did not want to focus all my resources on one avenue of success, so I looked to diversify my interests. I explored real estate and finance as possible alternative businesses and discovered an interest and passion in futures trading. This is what I ultimately choose as a second source of income.
Initially, I imagined that day trading would be the ideal profession: no customers or staff, no inventory or rent and the possibility of unlimited income. And, more importantly, it presented me with the opportunity to work anywhere....from the privacy of my home or from the balcony of a hotel room overlooking the Pacific Ocean.
Unfortunately, I knew little about the pitfalls of day trading for a living. To begin with, I spent countless hours reading books, studying charts and conducting research in an effort to become a profitable trader. Six years later, and after the loss of several hundred thousand dollars, my efforts finally resulted in the development of a highly profitable strategy.
This strategy is primarily based on technical analysis and was developed for ES E-Mini S&P 500 Futures contracts from CME Group but it also works in many other financial instruments such as Stocks (NYSE), Bonds, Currencies(Forex Spot), Commodities (Gold and Crude Oil From CME GROUP,Globex,NYMEX, CBOT,Brent Crud Oil From ICE Global Markets), Options, Global Indices and CFD’s with similar high accuracy.
In retrospect, I understand that the biggest barrier to my success was the fact that I tried to learn everything by myself. An experienced mentor could have helped me avoid that painful learning experience....and saved me a significant amount of money as well as many years of frustration.
Today I am an active, and profitable, trader. As a token of appreciation for my success, I now share my tools and experience with other day traders. I believe that my knowledge and skill can help others become successful traders and, in the summer of 2010, I began to publish my realtime market signals and daily results online in order to demonstrate the accuracy of my trading strategy.
Light trader interested in dividend growth stocks. I own every S&P dividend aristocrat, and then some. The aristocrats form the foundation. I have ownership of more companies that I have placed on that foundation. I have several general rules about stocks. Rule #1: Do not buy a stock to sell it. Rule 2: Do not sell a stock you bought. Rule 3: If I am unsure if I should sell a stock, see Rules 1 & 2. Rule 4: If I really am going to sell a stock (fundamentals change, dividend frozen or cut, etc.,), then just sell it and do not look back. Rule 5: no foreign tax withholding (I do not want the money back later, I want it re-investing now, There are plenty of US and British dividend companies) and Rule 6: drip. drip. drip.
Interested in technology and financial markets. Undergrad in engineering, MS in Comp Sci and an MBA in finance. Building tools for individual investors to make more informed decisions about the stocks and mutual funds they choose.
Identify businesses that have long-term sustainable growth opportunities and are trading at a good value.
I manage capital of my family. Do my own research on companies. Invest not speculate. My investing horizon is 20 years plus.
Investment backgroud: All the knowledge that I have about investing and markets is mostly self taught. I believe that investing should not be complicated, and has to make sense. The companies, that I decide to become a part owner through the means of common shares, has to have an understandable business model (at least, I have to understand how company makes money), have a distinct features or economic moats which make the business model sustainable, and a reasonable price tag. I am not interested in turnarounds, and fly-by-night companies. Time is the most valuable resource, therefore I concentrate on the best of breed companies. I consider people like Charles Munger, Warren Buffett, David Einhorn, Bruce Berkowitz as my mentors, as I learnt a lot from these gentlemen.
My approach: I do not have a specific approach to analyzing companies. I follow the advice of WB, and immerse myself into the company filings, transcripts, presentations, articles and interviews. First things first, so my main objective is to understand the business model of the company and the industry dynamics. All the other factors, like appraisal and forecasting comes next.
Currently, I live in Astana, Kazakhstan, Have a wife and a son. Speak fluently Turkish, Russian, English and Kazakh.
My favorite quote: "There’s much to be said for just putting one foot in front of the other every day." - BRK Annual Letter of 2006.
OK, it's now about three years after I first started lurking around SA and one year into my retirement. Thanks to getting heavily back into the market in 2009 and jumping into the world of high div and high div growth stocks (MLPs, REITs, BDCs, CEFs, and some of the 4+% big cap div growth stocks), I can afford a few speculative trades now and then.
My timing was perfect with early to mid 2009 as a major entry point for me for 90% of my portfolio. However, my speculative trades and channel trades have not worked out so well timing wise, but I keep these trades to 5-10% of the total investment portfolio.
Currently, working on techniques to minimize risks to income from investments while minimizing the time required to maintain the stocks in the portfolio. Investment income and a pension from a high-tech company are more than enough to support my wife and I at 57 and 62 years, respectively, and we've decided not to draw social security early.
I continue to think SA is one of the best avenues around for learning and sharing about investing, and encourage everyone to always do their own DD. May one day become a contributor.
I have been a dividend investor since my retirement in late 2003. I diversify by sector, domestic vs. international, and by cap size. I do not invest in stocks that don't pay dividends. I am risk averse and limit my investment in a single equity to 1% of my total assets or less. As a result of this 'rule', I have more than 100 equities in my portfolio.