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$AMZN getting the expected day 3 bounce. I expect the stock to move to $217-$220 over the next 1-2 months with a few bumps along the way. Apr 30, 2013
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$NFLX trading has been like taking candy from a baby this week - purely technical post earnings Apr 25, 2013
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$AMZN my model expects $15.7B revs, 25.7% GM, $42M OpInc, $0.00 EPS (with no equity investment), -$3.3B FCF No idea what stock will do. Apr 25, 2013
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Timothy Phillips on More Bad Data For Amazon Points To Weak 4th Quarter That is not how the article reads, but only AMZ...
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eBay's Savior on More Bad Data For Amazon Points To Weak 4th Quarter Timothy, the sales drop in CA before Thanksgivi...
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Soros' Selling Of Amazon Position May Be The Catalyst For A Broad Sell Off
George Soros exited his entire position in Amazon (AMZN) in his latest 13G filing. This could finally provide the catalyst for broader fund selling as fund managers may have lost their cover in explaining to their management why they held onto a momentum bubble stock with astronomical valuations after Soros decided the stock had gone to far and took profits.
Disclosure: I am short AMZN.
Amazon Consensus Raised Slightly For Q4 Tonight, Lowered Again For CY13
Amazon (AMZN) Analyst consensus estimate for earnings tonight was raised the second time this week from $0.27 last week to $0.28 over the weekend, and now to $0.29 this morning on revenue of $22.26B. With expectations rising it may be difficult to AMZN to meet expectations as US e-commerce revenue growth came in below expectations for the quarter.
The key number may be the Q1 revenue quidance vs. current expectations of $16.86B. Analysts also reduced full year CY13 EPS estimate to $1.70 from $1.74 last week (and $1.82, 90 days ago). That places AMZN 2013 FWD P/E at 162.
My analysis suggests $0.22 in earnings on $21.9B in revenue for Q4, and guidance of $16.5B in Q1 revenue. I am expecting $1.26 in earnings for CY13.
AMZN stock is trading down about $15 (5.3%) over the past 2 days prior to the earnings release after close of the market today.
Disclosure: I am short AMZN.
More Bad Data For Amazon Points To Weak 4th Quarter
This article is devastating for Amazon situation due sales tax collection in California.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-holiday-results-show-sales-120627660.html
Disclosure: I am short AMZN.