Comments on TradingHelpDesk's articles RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.com/author/trading-help-desk/articles http://seekingalpha.com/article/173191-world-trade-organization-warns-gold-rises-imf-talks-u-k-loses-credibility?source=feed#comment-760687 760687 Sun, 15 Nov 2009 04:13:26 -0500
I certainly was discounting unemployed people not on benefits. I think the whole article shows I am cynical to our 'leaders' and sympathetic to those who are struggling. I totally agree with you.
]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/173191-world-trade-organization-warns-gold-rises-imf-talks-u-k-loses-credibility?source=feed#comment-759752 759752 Fri, 13 Nov 2009 22:31:21 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/173191-world-trade-organization-warns-gold-rises-imf-talks-u-k-loses-credibility?source=feed#comment-759423 759423 Fri, 13 Nov 2009 17:50:07 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/173191-world-trade-organization-warns-gold-rises-imf-talks-u-k-loses-credibility?source=feed#comment-759167 759167 Fri, 13 Nov 2009 14:42:35 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/173191-world-trade-organization-warns-gold-rises-imf-talks-u-k-loses-credibility?source=feed#comment-758995 758995 Fri, 13 Nov 2009 13:33:34 -0500
Timmy and Ben look like geniuses compared to this idiot. I guess we can all be proud that our idiots are a little less idiot. ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/172454-have-equity-markets-gone-too-far-too-quickly?source=feed#comment-754432 754432 Tue, 10 Nov 2009 17:54:31 -0500
Maybe DOW between 9,000 and 10,000 is where it should be, and perhaps, should have been all along. With all that's transpired over the last few years, I think the only way to estimate value is to forget the past and look at prospective earnings going forward. Earnings won't improve much until consumer spending comes back. That will take time since the average consumer is mired in debt, and generally more inclined to save than spend.

But, as long as the wheels don't come off the cart completely, I expect that the market will remain basically where it is for the next few years until all of the debt is paid down, and lives are rebuilt.

A decade from now, the economy should be well into recovery mode and stocks purchased today should be doing well. ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/172454-have-equity-markets-gone-too-far-too-quickly?source=feed#comment-753585 753585 Tue, 10 Nov 2009 08:39:16 -0500
We're at the bungee apogee.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/172085-the-good-bad-and-the-ugly-australian-u-s-and-u-k-economies?source=feed#comment-752971 752971 taojaxx - - - > > Perhaps another point of interest that came to my mind is the parallel > between China/Australia and United States/Canada in the realm of > industrialization. During the last century of 1900-2000, as America > ramped up its Industrial Revolution, Canada because of its geographical > proximity, naturally had become the "Backyard of the United States", > supplying all sorts of natural resources, - be it timber, paper, > minerals, oil, natural gas, coal, asbestos, hydro electric power, > and even fresh water, to name a few. > > And during the post-WWII decades of 1950-1970, the United States > virtually soaked up all Canadian industrial enterprises by setting > up subsidiaries, branch plants, and assembly plants. For many years > until of late, this arrangement had worked very well as Canadian > workers would enjoy almost the same benefits and pay as their American > counterparts, with the "Loonie" hovering around the 90 cents to the > US Dollar mark, as if to say Canada is at about 10% discount of its > US equivalent goods and services in every walk of life. > > There is a similarity emerging here with Australia to becoming that > "Backyard of China". The recent appreciation of the $A and their > central bank raising interest rate are indicative of such a trend. > > > Just a thought! > > TK]]> Mon, 09 Nov 2009 17:02:21 -0500 I'm not too good at geopolitics. My reaction would be these are not comparable pairs: Canada US were both on an ascending part of their historical cycles. I'm afraid China is on a historical upswing (after millenias of decay) while Australia is on a downswing after a mere 2 to 300 years upswing.
Hope I'm wrong, by the way, I like Aussies a lot. Like I said, not oo good at this. I already have a hard time firing where a stock will be trading a month out, let alone where a country will stand a decade out.


On Nov 08 09:53 PM Teutonic Knight wrote:

> taojaxx - - -
>
> Perhaps another point of interest that came to my mind is the parallel
> between China/Australia and United States/Canada in the realm of
> industrialization. During the last century of 1900-2000, as America
> ramped up its Industrial Revolution, Canada because of its geographical
> proximity, naturally had become the "Backyard of the United States",
> supplying all sorts of natural resources, - be it timber, paper,
> minerals, oil, natural gas, coal, asbestos, hydro electric power,
> and even fresh water, to name a few.
>
> And during the post-WWII decades of 1950-1970, the United States
> virtually soaked up all Canadian industrial enterprises by setting
> up subsidiaries, branch plants, and assembly plants. For many years
> until of late, this arrangement had worked very well as Canadian
> workers would enjoy almost the same benefits and pay as their American
> counterparts, with the "Loonie" hovering around the 90 cents to the
> US Dollar mark, as if to say Canada is at about 10% discount of its
> US equivalent goods and services in every walk of life.
>
> There is a similarity emerging here with Australia to becoming that
> "Backyard of China". The recent appreciation of the $A and their
> central bank raising interest rate are indicative of such a trend.
>
>
> Just a thought!
>
> TK]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/172085-the-good-bad-and-the-ugly-australian-u-s-and-u-k-economies?source=feed#comment-751827 751827 Australia is growing because China is growing and buys its commodities. > RBA hiking rates is like the little kid waving his arms when the > orchestra gets loud and thinking he's conducting it. All they'll > get is more carry trades, AUD appreciation with little impact on > growth as commodities are priced in USD ( and shortly in yuan?).]]> Sun, 08 Nov 2009 21:53:54 -0500
Perhaps another point of interest that came to my mind is the parallel between China/Australia and United States/Canada in the realm of industrialization. During the last century of 1900-2000, as America ramped up its Industrial Revolution, Canada because of its geographical proximity, naturally had become the "Backyard of the United States", supplying all sorts of natural resources, - be it timber, paper, minerals, oil, natural gas, coal, asbestos, hydro electric power, and even fresh water, to name a few.

And during the post-WWII decades of 1950-1970, the United States virtually soaked up all Canadian industrial enterprises by setting up subsidiaries, branch plants, and assembly plants. For many years until of late, this arrangement had worked very well as Canadian workers would enjoy almost the same benefits and pay as their American counterparts, with the "Loonie" hovering around the 90 cents to the US Dollar mark, as if to say Canada is at about 10% discount of its US equivalent goods and services in every walk of life.

There is a similarity emerging here with Australia to becoming that "Backyard of China". The recent appreciation of the $A and their central bank raising interest rate are indicative of such a trend.

Just a thought!

TK


On Nov 08 08:41 PM taojaxx wrote:

> Australia is growing because China is growing and buys its commodities.
> RBA hiking rates is like the little kid waving his arms when the
> orchestra gets loud and thinking he's conducting it. All they'll
> get is more carry trades, AUD appreciation with little impact on
> growth as commodities are priced in USD ( and shortly in yuan?).]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/172085-the-good-bad-and-the-ugly-australian-u-s-and-u-k-economies?source=feed#comment-751736 751736 Sun, 08 Nov 2009 20:41:52 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/172085-the-good-bad-and-the-ugly-australian-u-s-and-u-k-economies?source=feed#comment-751287 751287 Sun, 08 Nov 2009 16:55:42 -0500
Australia will do okay because of its geographical proximity to China which is rising and hungry for her (Australia's) natural resources. Not that China does not have its own abundance of natural resources, they are smart to cash out the weakening dollar awash, to fuel their growth. Australia has that edge over Canada in this regard.

The U.S. Situation is buttressed by its vast landscape. The land is still there and remains available to grow food. This a giant fallback while taking time to recover in the industrial side of the house.

The U.K. does not have those advantages. Key manufacturing capabilities and capacities in auto, electronics, heavy equipment, optics, computers, communications, have long declined. The British Isles soil is thin and which was the driving force for pushing building up the British Empire (1600-2000) to begin with, as it was seeking to export its culture and its people. The financial crown jewel that it wrestled from the Dutch several centuries ago is now in peril.

TK
]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/172085-the-good-bad-and-the-ugly-australian-u-s-and-u-k-economies?source=feed#comment-751212 751212 Sun, 08 Nov 2009 15:34:32 -0500
]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/172085-the-good-bad-and-the-ugly-australian-u-s-and-u-k-economies?source=feed#comment-750979 750979 Given the choice I would sooner take a 0.4% contraction under the > BOE rather than a 3.5% expansion under the FED. In the UK, house > prices are moving forward as very substantial rate, and my brother > who is a Building Surveyor tells me business is booming. Funny really > seeing there is absolutely no tax relief on mortgages or house purchases > this side of the pond.]]> Sun, 08 Nov 2009 13:27:00 -0500

On Nov 08 12:58 PM Dave Wrixon wrote:

> Given the choice I would sooner take a 0.4% contraction under the
> BOE rather than a 3.5% expansion under the FED. In the UK, house
> prices are moving forward as very substantial rate, and my brother
> who is a Building Surveyor tells me business is booming. Funny really
> seeing there is absolutely no tax relief on mortgages or house purchases
> this side of the pond.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/172085-the-good-bad-and-the-ugly-australian-u-s-and-u-k-economies?source=feed#comment-750945 750945 Sun, 08 Nov 2009 12:58:16 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/171428-u-k-asset-protection-are-barclays-lloyds-getting-a-great-deal-or-getting-squeezed?source=feed#comment-746954 746954 Thu, 05 Nov 2009 17:05:39 -0500 Rigt is=13,5B
UK contr=5,7B but 13,5X0,43(UK%)=5,805no... ?!? Please clear.
How much is from Shareholder to take 13,5-5,7=7,8 Bilions?]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/171428-u-k-asset-protection-are-barclays-lloyds-getting-a-great-deal-or-getting-squeezed?source=feed#comment-746867 746867 Thu, 05 Nov 2009 16:03:20 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/170391-bp-stays-one-step-ahead-of-shell-in-restructuring-efforts?source=feed#comment-739719 739719 Sun, 01 Nov 2009 20:23:07 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/170391-bp-stays-one-step-ahead-of-shell-in-restructuring-efforts?source=feed#comment-739072 739072 Sun, 01 Nov 2009 09:15:55 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/165693-u-s-economic-news-offers-glimmers-of-hope-for-housing-service-sectors?source=feed#comment-737809 737809 MLS]]> Fri, 30 Oct 2009 19:55:07 -0400 ======================...
george
MLS]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/168777-one-dollar-one-vote-still-rules-in-washington?source=feed#comment-732097 732097 Tue, 27 Oct 2009 09:10:41 -0400
I find it interesting that any comment that suggests we should refrain from screwing over the man on the street, to further line the pockets of the privileged few, provokes readers to describe me as a communist.

It's not communism. It's basic social and economic justice.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/168777-one-dollar-one-vote-still-rules-in-washington?source=feed#comment-731657 731657 Mon, 26 Oct 2009 21:13:25 -0400
The above sounds like a toned-down version of the Communist Manifesto. Nowhere in Article I, section 8 of the U.S. Constitution have I found that Congress must ensure a "fair allocation" of stimulus. Indeed, "stimulating economic activity" doesn't seem to be one of the powers that the Framers delegated to Congress.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/168777-one-dollar-one-vote-still-rules-in-washington?source=feed#comment-731181 731181 Mon, 26 Oct 2009 15:44:39 -0400
Example:

"But the two, democracy and business, co-exist uncomfortably as there is a finite amount of wealth in the economy and that wealth needs to be shared equitably between two of the three participants in any economy: individuals, (workers, consumers and taxpayers) and businesses."

If there is a finite amount of wealth in the economy, 97% of Americans would work on the farm and would attend square dances on Saturdays for entertainment.

Make your spread the wealth case directly rather than in the roundabout way of this sophmoric article.

How about "workers of the world, unite, you have nothing to lose but your scholarships"? ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/168648-bank-of-england-should-be-ashamed-by-latest-data?source=feed#comment-728975 728975 Sun, 25 Oct 2009 06:29:23 -0400
The problem is that the British have this scary obsession with reality.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/166443-robert-prechter-s-conquer-the-crash-a-forecast-that-s-still-coming-true?source=feed#comment-723079 723079 Wed, 21 Oct 2009 04:55:01 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/166443-robert-prechter-s-conquer-the-crash-a-forecast-that-s-still-coming-true?source=feed#comment-721196 721196 Mon, 19 Oct 2009 18:20:41 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/166443-robert-prechter-s-conquer-the-crash-a-forecast-that-s-still-coming-true?source=feed#comment-720503 720503 Mon, 19 Oct 2009 10:57:30 -0400
With a total disconnect from reality, scam-artists & charlatans appear from every quarter. I really don't get the whole "follower" thing, but the groupies' propensity to distort and mislead is even more alarming. Are they working on commission? What else could explain the intellectual dishonesty?]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/166443-robert-prechter-s-conquer-the-crash-a-forecast-that-s-still-coming-true?source=feed#comment-720307 720307 Mon, 19 Oct 2009 09:10:05 -0400
We have not even scratched this surface. Prechtor is right IF we lived without the Fed. The Fed will fight the deflation just enough to make the deflation tolerable. You can see this if you properly devalue the dollars role in stocks. Take every asset class you have and chart it versus gold. Even this recent rally in stocks looks dramatically different when you no longer measure it in monopoly money. Go to stockcharts, type in $indu:$gold, weeklies, 20 years, it is shocking. ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/166443-robert-prechter-s-conquer-the-crash-a-forecast-that-s-still-coming-true?source=feed#comment-720284 720284 A lot of people overlook the big picture: Prechter predicted the > biggest bull market in history, to be followed by a commensurately > large bear market. The former happened, the latter is underway. > > > As to the twists and turns of it, all his firm has recommended for > years is staying safe in cash equivalents and "some gold." Higher > equity prices are only a boon if you take advantage of them to sell, > which hardly anyone does. The Dow at 10,000 this week is just a > reminder that "stocks for the long run" believers have made zero > net progress in over a decade. > > I may be a Prechter apologist, and I realize that he has made his > share of mistakes, but I think on the balance his work stands tall.]]> Mon, 19 Oct 2009 09:01:31 -0400 Come on. Prechtor missed 95% of the bull market that you claim he predicted. He was OUT post 87. That is inexcusable.


On Oct 18 02:04 PM woollyB wrote:

> A lot of people overlook the big picture: Prechter predicted the
> biggest bull market in history, to be followed by a commensurately
> large bear market. The former happened, the latter is underway.
>
>
> As to the twists and turns of it, all his firm has recommended for
> years is staying safe in cash equivalents and "some gold." Higher
> equity prices are only a boon if you take advantage of them to sell,
> which hardly anyone does. The Dow at 10,000 this week is just a
> reminder that "stocks for the long run" believers have made zero
> net progress in over a decade.
>
> I may be a Prechter apologist, and I realize that he has made his
> share of mistakes, but I think on the balance his work stands tall.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/166443-robert-prechter-s-conquer-the-crash-a-forecast-that-s-still-coming-true?source=feed#comment-720107 720107 Mon, 19 Oct 2009 01:33:20 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/166443-robert-prechter-s-conquer-the-crash-a-forecast-that-s-still-coming-true?source=feed#comment-720069 720069 Sun, 18 Oct 2009 23:47:02 -0400
Total Return:
* Wilshire 5000 Index + 857 %
* Prechter's Trading Advice - 98 %

www.erictyson.com/arti...]]>