I am a business graduate from Carleton University. I passed the CFA level 1 exam in December 2010, and plan to pursue the CFA charter. I play poker professionally. I find myself incorporating similar concepts from poker into my investing strategies. Each practice is about risk, reward, and potential payout.
Ananthan Thangavel is the Managing Director of Lakshmi Capital and Lead Writer for the RealFinance Commodity Analyst Newsletter. He is particularly proud of producing a return 35.01% annualized since inception (through 12/31/11) for his Lakshmi Capital Global Macro ARS clients (www.lakshmi-capital.com/performance).
Mr. Thangavel is frequently interviewed by major media outlets including Forbes and Fox Business. He called the exact top of the silver market in an interview with Bob Lenzner of Forbes (http://www.forbes.com/sites/robertlenzner/2011/04/25/gold-and-silver-due-for-a-10-correction/) and also called gold's collapse in September 2011 (http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/1156274321001/bearish-outlook-for-gold-prices).
Mr. Thangavel authors The Commodity Analyst, a newsletter service that provides weekly in-depth commodity and currency research and trading recommendations as well as daily blog updates to remind investors what to keep any eye out for (www.realfinancenewsletter.com). Ananthan welcomes collaboration and interaction in his Members Forum, a discussion board that allows for direct interaction with Ananthan.
Ananthan Thangavel holds a B.S. in Economics from Northwestern University, and a J.D. from UCLA School of Law.
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
Asif Suria is an entrepreneur and investor with a focus on event driven strategies including merger arbitrage and insider trading. He publishes a weekly post that includes the latest mergers and highlights the largest spreads. He also publishes a weekly post that highlights the top 5 insider purchases and sales of the week. Asif is also one of the earliest contributors at Seeking Alpha and has been regularly contributing content since 2005.
Friedrich is the name given to our algorithm for analyzing companies that trade on the global stock markets. In creating Friedrich we concentrated on analyzing each company’s Main Street operations through various established ratios, along with our own unique ratios that we developed over the last 30 years. What we came up with is a final "Main Street" price per share based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), which is a framework of accounting standards, rules and procedures defined by the professional accounting industry, which has been adopted by nearly all publicly traded U.S. companies. We feel that our Main Street price result is what each company would need to trade at in order to be attractive to a businessperson on Main Street looking to buy at a bargain.
Since the only constant in the universe is change, the results for each company fluctuate by varying degrees. No company is an island unto itself, but each operates in a world of constant change and at times in areas where Chaos is the norm. By analyzing a company’s Main Street operations over time, Friedrich is able to give the potential investor a decade long analysis (opinion) as well as offering a Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) analysis (opinion), as well. Thus our readers will not only get as close to a real time view of operations on Main Street as is possible, but then can measure the consistency of the company’s operations over time to determine if s/he should invest or not.
Through our Friedrich algorithm we can analyze ten years of Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Cash Flow Statement data for each company all at once and generate one final result in seconds. Friedrich was designed to be ultra-conservative and thus will cut zero slack to any company under analysis and will do so with zero emotion. Companies must be exceptional in order to get an attractive Main Street valuation and the ideal investments according to our backtesting are the ones that have been consistent over time.
By being so ultra conservative Friedrich is designed to identify bargains that Wall Street investors may have overlooked. Companies shares may trade on the stock market but the companies themselves operate on Main Street, so Friedrich is designed to generate a Main Street price per share first and only then does he go to Wall Street and see the price for which Benjamin Graham’s “Mr. Market” is offering the shares.
David White is a software/firmware/marketing professional and a long time investor. He has worked in the networking field, the semiconductor equipment field, the mainframe computer field, and the pharmaceutical/scientific instrumentation field. He has bachelor's degrees in bioresource sciences and biochemistry from U.C. Berkeley. He is a former Ph.D. student in biochemistry. He has done significant graduate work in EECS and business at Stanford (through SITN) and UC Santa Cruz. He was awarded a Certificate in Advanced Software Systems (about 1/3 of an MS in EECS) by the Stanford Computer Science Department. He also took most of Stanford's undergraduate Computer Science curriculum.
Colin Peterson is a management consultant with experience in a variety of industries including real estate development and investment. Mr. Peterson writes Credit Bubble Stocks, where his analysis focuses on finding and selling shares of overvalued companies whose collapse may be imminent.
Visit his site: Credit Bubble Stocks (www.creditbubblestocks.com)
Kenneth S. Hackel C.F.A., Biography
Kenneth S. Hackel is founder and President of CT Capital LLC, an institutional investment advisory firm specializing in the analysis of corporate cash flow and cost of capital in investment decision making. Until 1996, he was President of Systematic Financial Management Inc., (SFM) a multi-billion dollar institutional investment firm he conceived and founded in 1982. At SFM, Kenneth successfully implemented his free cash flow-based investment philosophy in managing funds for institutional investors across multiple US equity investment disciplines.
Kenneth's upcoming book, "Security Valuation and Risk Analysis: Assessing Value in Investment Decision-Making", to be published by McGraw Hill later this November, significantly extends the theories and analysis presented in his earlier book, "Cash Flow and Security Analysis," 2nd edition (McGraw Hill, 1995). His new book provides extensive analysis and discussion of innovative methods for cost of capital and return on invested capital that are not dependent upon generally accepted accounting principles or market-derived measures of stock volatility. Instead, the models are based on cash flows and extensive credit analysis. To this end, half the book is devoted to the understanding of cash flow; half to cost of capital, as risk to cash flows are meticulously expounded upon. The analysis of risk represents, according to Mr. Hackel, the single most important under-explored factor in security analysis and the primary reason for investor disappointment of their investment returns.
He posits that using fundamental factors to calculate cost of equity capital (reflecting a company's operating and financial risk, capital structure, and miscellaneous intrinsic items) and return on invested capital based upon free cash flow generation (in lieu of traditional earnings or EBITDA-based measures) more accurately reflect the underlying financial profitability and stability of a firm, its growth potential and value enhancement level. Kenneth believes that while beta measures stock volatility, it is, at best, a very loose surrogate for financial health. Consequently, using a more robust discount rate (to model and discount free cash flows) to arrive at 'fair value' will provide a more accurate comparison to current valuation levels, thus leading to more accurate trading signals. He illustrates the use of a comprehensive cost of capital credit worksheet utilizing 50+ credit variables in place of the popular Capital Asset Pricing Model in divining an entity's true cost of equity, which results in superior investment performance with considerably lower risk.
Ken is the author of many articles on security valuation and analysis, and pioneered the use of adding a percentage of excess corporate expenditures to free cash flow. He is internationally recognized as a leading expert in valuation analysis, having also created the use of free cash flow in lieu of EBITDA in ROIC analysis. EBITDA, he explains, is a deficient metric, in many respects.
Ken is accepted to be the sole investment advisor in US equity mutual fund history to take over management of the worst performing mutual fund, and in a single year turn it into the best performing fund.
With over 35 years of investment experience, he has consulted on mergers and acquisitions, including fairness opinions. His work has been published in leading academic journals as well as leading financial news media, and is quoted worldwide. He is a graduate of City College of New York and earned his MBA (Finance) from Baruch College.
His blog may be read at www.credittrends.com and his twitter @credittrends.
I am a private investor building a value focused portfolio. While I do not work directly in investing, I do have a financial background and hold the CFA designation.
The goal of Margin of Safety Investing is to share my investing journey as I review and analyze investing opportunities using a framework inspired from my readings of “value investors”, starting with Benjamin Graham but also Greenwald, Montier, Greenblatt, Lynch and others.
The first focus of Margin of Safety Investing is to build a long portfolio of 15 to 25 companies which I believe provide attractive return prospects and an appropriate margin of safety based on the analysis I will share. The goal is to find companies that “I would ...More feel comfortable owning even if the stock market was to close tomorrow for a few years” (Buffet). Later I hope to be able to complement this portfolio with a few opportunistic (spin-offs, net-nets) or even short ideas.
As I go through this journey I will share my reviews and analysis in the hope that you will find them worth reading and discussing.
Visit my blog: www.marginofsafetyinvesting.com
I am a business graduate from Carleton University. I passed the CFA level 1 exam in December 2010, and plan to pursue the CFA charter.
I play poker professionally. I find myself incorporating similar concepts from poker into my investing strategies. Each practice is about risk, reward, and potential payout.
MagicDiligence provides useful, simple, and effective stock screening tools inspired by Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula® Investing methodology. Our Spells give value and growth investors a list of great stock candidates every day, and our advanced Spell Caster lets you create the Magic-style stock screen you've always wanted! Learn more about our exclusive set of investing tools today!
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Only days after the S&P 500 crashed to the depths of hell at 666, the Hoffman brothers launched Wall St. Cheat Sheet: one of the fastest growing financial media sites on the web. Like a samurai, our mission is to cut through the bull and bear sh** with extraordinary insights, a fresh voice, and razor-sharp wit. We provide the highest quality education and information for active investors and financial professionals. We are official contributors to Yahoo Finance, CNNMoney, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Business Insider, The Huffington Post, Minyanville, SeekingAlpha, and Zero Hedge. Our work has been cited in top finance and trading outlets such as The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Financial Times, The Big Picture, Real Clear Markets, The Atlantic, Business Insider, The Huffington Post, Infectious Greed, DealBreaker, CBS MoneyWatch, Kiplinger, Investment Postcards, ZeroHedge, Business Pundit, TraderFeed, The Kirk Report, AbnormalReturns, and more.
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Damien Hoffman, Esq. decided to launch a financial website and exclusive subscription-based newsletter after achieving a 63% return versus a -48% return for the S&P over a nearly two year time frame as a co-founder of popular stock blog SmartGuyStocks (member of the Forbes Business and Finance Blog Network, and certified by Seeking Alpha). Mr Hoffman is currently Editor-in-Chief of Wall St. Cheat Sheet and trades full-time. After graduating early with honors from Duke University, he raised private equity with friends during the late Nineties to launch a successful start-up. Mr. Hoffman went on to work for boutique sports investment bank Inner Circle LLP where he worked on the sale of the NBA franchise New Jersey Nets to Brooklyn real estate development firm Forest City Ratner Companies (NYSE: FCE-A). Mr. Hoffman also graduated with honors from the University of Miami School of Law as a Dean’s Merit Scholar. He clerked at the Florida Supreme Court for the Honorable Justice Kenneth Bell and Central Staff. In 2006 at Harvard Law School he gave a guest lecture entitled, “Business and Law in the New Independent Music Industry.”
Derek Hoffman joined efforts with his brother to launch Wall St. Cheat Sheet after a decade of investing experience and outperforming the S&P 500 over the past 5 years. Mr. Hoffman is currently the CEO of Wall St. Cheat Sheet and trades full-time. He is a regular contributor to CNNMoney. His long-term investments and short-term trades have yielded extraordinarily successful results: double digit annual returns. Mr. Hoffman has handled media investment and tactical strategy planning for Procter & Gamble and Gillette’s national asset portfolio. He has also worked in private wealth management for Morgan Stanley. Mr. Hoffman graduated early from the University of Michigan’s world class economics department.
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Marco is a trader of stocks, options, currencies, and futures. He has been fascinated with the financial markets ever since he bought his first stock at 11 years old. Marco entered the business world at the age of 13, with the creation of an extremely successful retail website (GoldenAgeCheese.com), that of which he still has a major role in today. Marco writes about stocks and options whenever he gets the chance. He's dedicated to educate his readers to the best of his ability about the financial markets, particularly about buying/selling options and different strategies. 2008 was one of the most profitable years trading stocks and options for Marco. He trades based on technicals and fundamentals, so you may find many of his posts valuable.
History/Trading Style: I have been trading for 12 years, since I was 15, and have studied a variety of trading techniques and strategies. I combine many trading philosophies and combine technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and macro-economic analysis into every trade. I mostly trade options and implement complex option strategies to take advantage of favorable risk-reward set-ups.
I also believe in industry specific metrics and am developing a trading strategy around these metrics.
As for technical analysis I use a variety of techniques, but favor trading triangles and basic trend line support and resistance in channels and breakdown/breakout patterns, with a major focus on volume on the moves.
I am a trend trader and will not fight a trend, because that is a losing strategy. I take pride in my stock picking ability and have had a lot of success in finding under the radar stocks that provide huge returns, and often find stocks that are eventually taken over.
Options provide the flexibility and leverage so that traders can make major returns in any market. I am an active trader and set strict profit taking targets and stop losses.
Education: Graduated Bentley University in 2005 with a bachelor's degree in finance. Graduated Boston University in 2007 with a master's degree in investment management. Passed Level 1 of the CFA in December 2006
Career: Most recently worked as an Equity Analyst for Thomson-Reuters on a new venture at ThomsonSquawkBox.com (http://www.ThomsonSquawkBox.com). I provided a wide array of live market analysis which includes but is not limited to swing trades, long-term trades, monitoring of the options market, option trading strategies, sector analysis, conference call coverage, earnings previews, trading tools, intraday trades, and other trading strategies. The product never got the chance to get off the ground as we launched when the market was crashing, so it was cut out of the budget.
I then started my own Company, OptionsHawk, where I provide the fastest, most thorough, and most accurate options analysis on Wall Street. I also design trading strategies and provide clients with live market analysis throughout the trading day. My clients are always on the inside, and the first to know, and we swing trade options with a high success rate.
Starting my own Company was the best thing I could have done and has opened up a lot of avenues. I enjoy not having a boss, taking lunch breaks at the beach, and not having to deal with the antics of the Corporate World. My analysis has been featured on Reuters, Bloomberg, and other financial publications.