Seeking Alpha

Valuentum

View Valuentum's Comments BY TICKER:
  • Don't Touch Alcoa [View article]
    manfredthree,

    Thank you for the comment. The price of anything is what you pay. The value of anything is what you get. Fair market value is the price or its market capitalization. Fair value is the intrinsic worth of a firm derived via a free cash flow to the firm model. The market capitalization of a company will almost always be different than its fair value. This is the entire concept of stock-selection, identifying underpriced stocks that are just starting to see improving fundamentals.

    Kind regards,

    The Valuentum Team
    Apr 3 05:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Don't Touch Alcoa [View article]
    trendwatcher100,

    That is a fantastic observation regarding the importance of understanding value and the importance of pricing strength. This is precisely the methodology behind the Valuentum Buying Index. Valuentum looks for underpriced stocks with improving pricing action. Alcoa has the latter, but not the former. Here is a link to the methodology.

    http://bit.ly/viu9MH

    Excellent observation.

    Kind regards,

    The Valuentum Team
    Apr 3 05:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Don't Touch Alcoa [View article]
    Careful Investor,

    Thank you kindly for your comment. We're forecasting mid-cycle LME price for aluminum in Year 5 of our valuation model. Though we think this is fair, we note that other analysts are more pessimistic about near term assumptions.

    We appreciate your reading.

    Kind regards,

    The Valuentum Team
    http://www.valuentum.com
    Apr 3 05:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Don't Touch Alcoa [View article]
    trendwatcher100,

    Alcoa's price is what the market says it is -- a company's value will almost always be different than its price.

    Thanks for the comment.

    Kind regards,

    The Valuentum Team
    Mar 31 08:24 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Don't Touch Alcoa [View article]
    Ronizzo,

    Thanks for the comment! We appreciate it.

    The Valuentum Team
    http://www.valuentum.com
    Mar 31 11:16 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Don't Touch Alcoa [View article]
    Aventador

    Regarding the pricing data in the report, it is irrelevant to the intrinsic valuation calculation and remains consistent with the Valuentum process and the update cycle of our reports. Please note that analysts only update their models after material changes in the company's operations, which may include quarterly results or other announcements. The date, for the lack of a better word, is meaningless to intrinsic-value analysis. All that matters is the fundamental data.

    Thanks for commenting.

    The Valuentum Team
    Mar 31 11:15 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Don't Touch Alcoa [View article]
    Hi all,

    To answer a few questions, we are an independent research provider and do not have any conflict of interests that may arise from either owning the stock or doing i-banking with the company. Independence has traditionally been preferred over biased analysis.

    The pricing data is irrelevant to the fundamental data that drives the valuation and analysis. We've noticed that many investors continue to be confused by this, and we are working to change the formatting. Remember, price has nothing to do with intrinsic value. This seems to be a common misconception among readers.

    Hope this helps with a few of the questions.

    Kind regards,

    The Valuentum Team
    Mar 31 11:13 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcoa's Q4 Earnings Fall Short Of Expectations [View article]
    Thank you for your comments. If you're interested in real-time opinion, please visit our website periodically. We do not control the publishing cycle at Seeking Alpha.

    Kind regards,

    The Valuentum Team
    Jan 16 02:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Evaluating Alcoa's Intrinsic Value [View article]
    Hi Gumby,

    That is why we use a fair value estimate range in our analysis, which considers the volatility of aluminum prices. We're the only research firm out there that offers a fair value range for over 1,000 stocks.

    Kind regards,

    The Valuentum Team
    http://www.valuentum.com
    Jun 18 01:31 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcoa Has to Fall Much Further For Us To Get Excited [View article]
    We continue to believe a sufficient margin of safety is warranted for Alcoa.

    Kind regards,

    The Valuentum Team
    http://www.valuentum.com
    Mar 6 12:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcoa's Fourth-Quarter Results Say 'Stay Away From Our Stock' [View article]
    Hi DAG,

    We make available all of our reports for the aluminum industry, including Noranda, at the following link:

    http://bit.ly/oNNnJ7

    Take a free trial. You can cancel anytime.

    Kind regards,

    The Valuentum Team
    http://www.valuentum.com
    Jan 14 02:37 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcoa's Fourth-Quarter Results Say 'Stay Away From Our Stock' [View article]
    Thanks for your comments. We make the Valuentum Dividend Cushion available for all companies here:

    http://bit.ly/wThfGP

    Kind regards,

    The Valuentum Team
    http://www.valuentum.com
    Jan 14 12:12 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcoa Has to Fall Much Further For Us To Get Excited [View article]
    Hello,

    Yes, we do offer a 14-day FREE trial. And one can cancel at any time during the trial and owe nothing. During the trial, you can get a feel for our track record, which has been fantastic.

    Hope this helps.
    Oct 12 12:40 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcoa Has to Fall Much Further For Us To Get Excited [View article]
    Hello,

    We assess the historical and expected volatility of key valuation drivers behind AA's business. Such an analysis has led us to believe that AA is subject to wild swings with respect to fundamental performance. Our fair value is based on our outlook for the firm's free cash flow stream. Because of this volatility, our future outlook is subject to very high deviations. On the downside, our fair value estimate is $6 per share, based on a downside scenario considering these factors

    Please check out our report on Alcoa, which goes further into this analysis, here:

    http://bit.ly/oNNnJ7

    Kind regards,

    The Valuentum Team
    http://www.valuentum.com
    Sep 23 03:46 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcoa Has to Fall Much Further For Us To Get Excited [View article]
    Thanks Jefferey.

    We think AA is fairly valued as of today, but we'd require a significant margin-of-safety before investing in the commodity-producing, cyclical firm. We're big fans of the aerospace cycle, but think there are much better ways to gain exposure there.

    Please check out our website for our best ideas within aerospace.

    Hope this helps.

    Kind regards,

    The Valuentum Team
    http://www.valuentum.com
    Sep 23 03:43 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
More on AA by Valuentum
COMMENTS STATS
1,131 Comments
405 Likes