Seeking Alpha

Vance Harwood

Vance Harwood is a private investor and consultant whose interests include macroeconomic forecasting, investor psychology, and volatility as an asset class. His investment activities include trading index ETFs, volatility related ETPs and their associated options. He blogs at—mostly about volatility, but occasionally about options strategies, bond funds, and general market topics. He tracks the USA based volatility ETPs and has simulated the performance of most of them back to the initiation of VIX Futures in 2004.

A couple things he believes:

The past does not predict the future (see Nassim Taleb’s “Fooled by Randomness”). This invalidates much technical analysis–although I think ...More
  • Description: Independent trader. Trading frequency: Weekly
  • Interests: Bonds, Dividend stock ideas & income, ETFs, Options, Retirement savings, Stocks - long, Stocks - short, Tech stocks
Six Figure Investing My areas of expertise include Investment analysis and modeling:
- Analyzing/backtesting/ simulating financial strategies
- Manipulating large data sets
- Monte-Carlo simulations
- Volatility as an asset class
- Business analysis and modeling
Six Figure Investing Over the last 15 years the “buy and hold” strategy has not done well. Overall averages are near what they were 10 years ago. Asset classes (e.g., stocks, bonds, commodities) seem to be traveling in unison rather than offsetting each other. Brokers want you to diversify — and what you end up with very mediocre ...More
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How Does VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Short-Term ETN Work? $XIV May 14, 2014