John Nyaradi is publisher of Wall Street Sector Selector, Your Home for ETF Investing! (www.wall-street-sector-selector.com) a financial media site focused on news, analysis and information about exchange traded funds and global financial and economic developments. John writes a weekly guest column for MarketWatch.com and is a regular contributor to Investor’s Alley, a widely read internet site. His investment articles have appeared in many online publications including Trading Markets, Money Show, Yahoo Finance, Investors Insight, Fidelity, SeekingAlpha, ETF Daily News, iStock Analyst and many others. He has also appeared as a guest on National Business Talk Radio, Sound Investing, and The Index Investing Show and has been a speaker at The Money Show, Las Vegas. His book, "Super Sectors: How to Outsmart the Market Using Sector Rotation and ETFs," is published by John Wiley and Sons and included among the Years Top Investment Books in the 2011 Stock Trader’s Almanac. Every business day, Wall Street Sector Selector: Your Home for ETF Trading!, publishes multiple articles of news, analysis and opinion in the world of exchange traded funds and global economics. John’s articles can be viewed in the “Executive Suite: Wall Street Sector Selector.com ETF News Updates.”
Finished CFA level 1 & CAIA level 1 in a breeze. Looking forward to CAIA level 2 and CFA level 2. Made top 1% on the Bloomberg BAT, but was a black sheep at my mediocre college, and I was foolish to let it affect me. (non-traditional student)
Hope to write some quality articles in the coming year.
I was playing with fire my first year in the market, using a lot of call options. It was easy to make 50+% gain in 1st yr, summer '13 to summer '14 (thank you bull mkt). This past half year has been a little rough; I wish I had acted more decisively on material information about the energy market and the movement of the Ruble ($YNDX is a favorite).
I remember announcing the probably course of events to family the morning after OPEC's Thanksgiving's Day announcements, and I regrettably decided to wait it through b/c our professors chided us to take a buy and hold approach, and b/c I had bought some quality energy names at very fair prices in October. In retrospect, I realize the importance of optionality or in a sense, degrees of freedom.
In this case, I realize I am too committed to a base scenario (energy stocks recovering in the next year) that has too much opportunity cost. If the price adjustment cycle lasts longer than the expected scenario, then I will be unhappy with the opportunities lost. An equal weight short position would have been an ideal temporary maneuver, expressing my short-term thesis, while not causing commitment angst in the present, hoping for the long-term adjustment to blow over.
I was entrusted with a fresh 100K family capital this past summer, and I plan to be more prudent and thorough (obviously with minimal leverage or derivatives). This market is a little dangerous with high debt loads in China, somewhat high valuation levels (horrible Schiller CAPE ratio, but not sure if that matters as much), and jitters over rate hike, Ukraine, terrorism, epidemics, difficulty of private sector adjusting to Obamacare, and possible fiscal & monetary stimulus tapering.
I think low energy prices is a great stimulus, but the possibilities of a perfect storm with semi-hard landing in China or Europe, a serious violent flare-up with Russia or the Terror War, and disease outbreak could somehow happen at just the wrong time (perhaps, right after a rate hike).
I've read a fair amount of Buffett. But I love the tech industry mostly. To humor Buffett (a tech dinosaur), I bought a tiny bit of IBM. It has been working hard to transform its whole business, and actually has some top-notch talent and product portfolios with a fairly conservative valuation. The market is probably right that is a long-shot that IBM will grow significantly again, despite its immense technology assets and partnerships. Recent comment: feel lucky to have exited IBM at a small gain; mulling a re-entry and annoyed that I missed the recent Google explosion. Google is solidifying its reach and ecosystem, but at steep multiples.
I've been away from investing for much of the past half year (now dec'15), partly because I was getting cyberattacks on my twitter account, my computer, and broker connection was being intercepted, which made me very uncomfortable. My car also very suddenly needed an engine replacement that same week, despite a thorough check-up a month prior. I'm having a hard time moving forward, after severe blacklisting after-effects, (too long & weird to discuss).
CAIA & CFA level 1s were super-easy even though I was underprepared. I look forward to embracing the challenge. I will end up working in Europe or abroad, if I have to. Lucky to get tons of invites from Bloomberg recruitment due to top notch scores, but haven't really applied b/c of crummy school issues. Plan to work on Wall Street Prep & hopefully some SA articles.
Dreamjob: working for a hedge fund focussing in equities, preferably with a multicultural bunch (I'm half european / half asian american)
Long-term dream job: top-notch hedge fund manager
My favorite time horizon: 3mo to 18mo, b/c best chance of having a direct connect with news & analysis. market moves too fast to be primarily buy & hold, albeit such a mid-term outlook forfeits the benefit of effective interest-free loan in the the form of deferred taxes (as Buffett makes use of) as well as benefit of a capital gains rate, but on the other hand, a mid-term outlook maximizes flexibility. I'm trying to stay more grounded in fundamentals, flesh out the invest case for a quite a handful of stocks, and balancing risks in wide portfolio. Plan to explore ETF's more.
David Harris is an independent stock market investor and trader with an interest in modeling price movements in stock markets. In particular, David has spent the last 12 years developing mathematical models to identify market tops and market bottoms and more recently a model that identifies bubbles in national stock market indices and individual stocks. Trained originally as an Electronic Engineer, David has a First Class Honors Degree in Electronic and Electrical Engineering from Leeds University, UK and a PhD in Adaptive Control Algorithms, also from Leeds University. David has worked as a Senior IT Manager in the City of London and more recently in New York City for a variety of Investment Banks, including NatWest Markets, Bankers Trust, Deutsche Bank, Bank of Bermuda and HSBC Bank.
MTR Investors Group was founded in mid 2008. Since that time our primary goal is to provide powerful and profitable investment research tools to stock and option investors/traders. We do not provide buy or sell recommendations on any stock, etf, or other investments. We simply provide powerful tools for stock and option investors and traders.
The following are the primary tools we provide (we also provide economic models and advanced charting):
I. Expert Option Search
Our Credit Spread. Iron Condor, Covered Call and Cash Secured Put screener is one of the most powerful tools we provide to the individual investor. Powerful features such probability of assignment, downside protection, and many others. Our screener helps option traders make the best decision possible when writing Covered Calls, Naked Puts, Credit Spreads, and Iron Condors.
Many investors use our option screener to monitor a long term portfolio and select the best covered calls to sell on their portfolios.
Option Writers/Sellers use our option screener to find options with the highest probability of expiring worthless.
II. Stock Miner
Stock Miner is use to analyze stocks from a monthly and weekly historical performance. We use Stock Miner for weekly and monthly trade setups.
III. Stock Market Scout (SMS) & Stock Market Level (SML)
We use SMS as a model to indicate allocating cash to an index ETF (such as SPY) by going long on Green, cash on Yellow, short on Red (or stay in cash). We use SML to indicate if the market is overbought or oversold. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell SPY.