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    <title>Wealth Daily's Instablog</title>
    <description>Unique investment ideas, tips, strategies and insights from our team of editors: Brian Hicks (author of the bestselling book, Profit from the Peak), Christian DeHaemer, Ian Cooper, and Nick Hodge.</description>
    <author>
      <name>Wealth Daily</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com</link>
    <item>
      <title>The Housing Double-Dip Has Begun</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/582876-wealth-daily/60512-the-housing-double-dip-has-begun?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">60512</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<br>          <p>&nbsp;</p> <div><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2010/06/3915/double-dip.jpg" alt="double dip"  /></div> <p>&nbsp;By Steve Christ</p> <p>According to a new study released today by the Center for Housing Policy, buying a home still remains outreach for many workers despite historically low mortgage interest rates and steep drops in home prices.</p> <p>Entitled <em><a href="http://www.nhc.org/chp/p2p_2009_q4/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Paycheck to Paycheck: Wages and the Cost of Housing in America, </a></em> the study compares and ranks the costs of buying or renting a home in more than 200 U.S. metropolitan areas with salaries for over 60 occupations.</p> <p>Even still, despite better prices the study found that while the income needed to purchase a median-priced home dropped in 93 percent of the homeownership markets  many workers still do not earn enough to own a home.</p> <p>Deep discounts or not, according the group,  housing is still too expensive.</p> <p>That's why no one should really be surprised by the existing home sales figures released this morning by the National Association Realtors(NAR).</p> <p>According to the NAR, sales of existing homes fell in for a third month in February, casting even bigger doubts on the spring selling season.</p> <p><strong>From the AP by Martin Crutsinger entitled: <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gNiyJ905Ho0Ur96V2TQhsBX19lGwD9EKF1VO0" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">February existing home sales drop 0.6 percent</a></strong></p> <p>&quot;Sales of existing homes fell for a third straight month in February, pushing sales down to the lowest level since last July. There is concern the fragile housing rebound is faltering, making it harder for the overall economy to recover.</p> <p>The National Association of Realtors said Tuesday that sales of previously occupied homes dropped 0.6 percent in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.02 million.</p> <p>The weakness in sales depressed prices with the median home price dropping almost 2 percent from a year ago to $165,100.</p> <p>In fact, sales nationally have been declining since November, eroding gains made over the summer. The downward direction troubled economists because the government has taken unprecedented steps to support the housing sector.</p> <p>To keep mortgage rates low, the Federal Reserve has spent almost $1.25 trillion. In addition, Congress extended a deadline for homebuyers to qualify for tax credits. Both programs are set to end soon.</p> <p>High unemployment and tough lending standards appear to be holding buyers back. That could derail housing as it tries to emerge from the worst downturn in decades and harm the overall economy.</p> <p>&quot;Until job growth resumes, housing demand will remain weak and susceptible to another lurch down when the homebuyer tax credit expires in April,&quot; said Sal Guatieri, an economist at BMO Capital Markets.</p> <p>Last month, the inventory of unsold homes jumped by 312,000 to 3.59 million, an unusually large increase that pushed the supply of unsold homes to 8.6 months.</p> <p>Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the Realtors, called that increase &quot;discomforting&quot; and said if it climbs above 10 months supply it could put significant downward pressure on prices.&quot;</p> <p>Let the double dip begin.....</p> <p><strong>Related Articles: </strong></p>   <span><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/the-2010-housing-market/2384" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"><span>The 2010 Housing Market &quot;Shadow Inventory&quot;</span></a></span> <span><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/underwater-homes-trap-borrower-into-higher-rates/2358" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"><span>Underwater Homes Trap Borrowers into Higher Rates</span></a></span>  <p><strong><span><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/fha-defaults-rise-in-de/2303" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">FHA Defaults: Many More on the Horizon</a> </span></strong></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/mortgage-delinquencies-set-new-record/1951" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Mortgage Delinquencies a Set New Record</a></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/the-brewing-trouble-at-the-fha/1993" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">The Brewing Trouble at the FHA</a></p> <p>To learn more about <strong>Wealth Daily</strong> <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">click here</a></p> <p>&nbsp;</p><br><br><strong>Disclosure: </strong>no positions]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 25 Mar 2010 10:22:47 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<br>          <p>&nbsp;</p> <div><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2010/06/3915/double-dip.jpg" alt="double dip"  /></div> <p>&nbsp;By Steve Christ</p> <p>According to a new study released today by the Center for Housing Policy, buying a home still remains outreach for many workers despite historically low mortgage interest rates and steep drops in home prices.</p> <p>Entitled <em><a href="http://www.nhc.org/chp/p2p_2009_q4/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Paycheck to Paycheck: Wages and the Cost of Housing in America, </a></em> the study compares and ranks the costs of buying or renting a home in more than 200 U.S. metropolitan areas with salaries for over 60 occupations.</p> <p>Even still, despite better prices the study found that while the income needed to purchase a median-priced home dropped in 93 percent of the homeownership markets  many workers still do not earn enough to own a home.</p> <p>Deep discounts or not, according the group,  housing is still too expensive.</p> <p>That's why no one should really be surprised by the existing home sales figures released this morning by the National Association Realtors(NAR).</p> <p>According to the NAR, sales of existing homes fell in for a third month in February, casting even bigger doubts on the spring selling season.</p> <p><strong>From the AP by Martin Crutsinger entitled: <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gNiyJ905Ho0Ur96V2TQhsBX19lGwD9EKF1VO0" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">February existing home sales drop 0.6 percent</a></strong></p> <p>&quot;Sales of existing homes fell for a third straight month in February, pushing sales down to the lowest level since last July. There is concern the fragile housing rebound is faltering, making it harder for the overall economy to recover.</p> <p>The National Association of Realtors said Tuesday that sales of previously occupied homes dropped 0.6 percent in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.02 million.</p> <p>The weakness in sales depressed prices with the median home price dropping almost 2 percent from a year ago to $165,100.</p> <p>In fact, sales nationally have been declining since November, eroding gains made over the summer. The downward direction troubled economists because the government has taken unprecedented steps to support the housing sector.</p> <p>To keep mortgage rates low, the Federal Reserve has spent almost $1.25 trillion. In addition, Congress extended a deadline for homebuyers to qualify for tax credits. Both programs are set to end soon.</p> <p>High unemployment and tough lending standards appear to be holding buyers back. That could derail housing as it tries to emerge from the worst downturn in decades and harm the overall economy.</p> <p>&quot;Until job growth resumes, housing demand will remain weak and susceptible to another lurch down when the homebuyer tax credit expires in April,&quot; said Sal Guatieri, an economist at BMO Capital Markets.</p> <p>Last month, the inventory of unsold homes jumped by 312,000 to 3.59 million, an unusually large increase that pushed the supply of unsold homes to 8.6 months.</p> <p>Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the Realtors, called that increase &quot;discomforting&quot; and said if it climbs above 10 months supply it could put significant downward pressure on prices.&quot;</p> <p>Let the double dip begin.....</p> <p><strong>Related Articles: </strong></p>   <span><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/the-2010-housing-market/2384" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"><span>The 2010 Housing Market &quot;Shadow Inventory&quot;</span></a></span> <span><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/underwater-homes-trap-borrower-into-higher-rates/2358" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"><span>Underwater Homes Trap Borrowers into Higher Rates</span></a></span>  <p><strong><span><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/fha-defaults-rise-in-de/2303" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">FHA Defaults: Many More on the Horizon</a> </span></strong></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/mortgage-delinquencies-set-new-record/1951" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Mortgage Delinquencies a Set New Record</a></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/the-brewing-trouble-at-the-fha/1993" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">The Brewing Trouble at the FHA</a></p> <p>To learn more about <strong>Wealth Daily</strong> <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">click here</a></p> <p>&nbsp;</p><br><br><strong>Disclosure: </strong>no positions]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/tag/housing">housing</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Healthcare: Big Brother is Watching You</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/582876-wealth-daily/60064-healthcare-big-brother-is-watching-you?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">60064</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Funny how things work out.</p> <p>Despite American opposition, the &quot;Washington Knows Best&quot; bill had many feeling like it was rammed down their throats...</p> <p>But while millions were busy complaining about those large tax increases, $500 billion in Medicare cuts, and &quot;dangerous interference in the doctor-patient relationship,&quot; we paid less attention to the new and massive powers that'll be granted to the IRS, (the U.S. version of the KGB?)</p> <p>Some of the highlights of the new IRS powers, include:</p>   <ul><li><p><span>IRS agents will verify if you have &quot;acceptable&quot;health care coverage</span></p></li><li><p><span>IRS has the authority to fine you up to $2,250 or 2% of your income for failure to prove you have &quot;minimum essential coverage&quot;</span></p></li><li><p><span>IRS can confiscate your tax refund</span></p></li><li><p><span>IRS audits are likely to increase</span></p></li></ul>  <p><span>And there are more, which you can learn more about <a href="http://www.house.gov/apps/list/press/tx08_brady/irs_power_report.pdf" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">here</a>.</span></p> <p><span>This isn't to say there aren't some &quot;good&quot; parts to the overhaul.  We present the good below, too.</span></p> <p><strong>Here's more from other Wall Street &quot;experts&quot; as highlighted by Business Week... as well as some investing opportunities.</strong></p> <p><strong>Ralph Giacobbe, Credit Suisse</strong></p> <p>On Sunday, the House passed the Patient Protection &amp; Affordable Care Act (H.R. 3590) and the Health Care &amp; Education Affordability Reconciliation Act of 2010 (H.R. 4872). The combined legislation would cover 19 million uninsured beginning in 2014, with a majority of uninsured covered by 2016 (30 million). The Congressional Budget Office has scored the bill to cost $940 billion.</p> <p>In our view, coverage of 32 million uninsured provides the greatest benefit to hospitals. The final bill has some incremental adjustments/reductions to the group. ... [N]onetheless, we believe health-care reform could provide hospitals with slight upside to numbers. More importantly, greater coverage of the uninsured should alleviate a large portion of bad debt expense.</p> <p><strong>Jeff Kleintop, LPL Financial</strong></p> <p>A catalyst for another 5%-10% stock market pullback that weighed on the stock market late last week is the health-care legislation that was passed in the House on Sunday. Within the Health Care sector, the impact is mixed, the HMO industry is negatively impacted while the hospital companies, along with other beneficiaries of increasing health-care volumes, benefit. However, much of this impact has already been priced into the sector. The potential negative outcome for the broader market stems from the tax and deficit impacts of the legislation.</p> <p>The new taxes are a negative for investors. The legislation imposes a new 3.8% tax on investment income. In addition it adds a 0.9% tax on wages for those earning more than $250,000, set to take effect in 2013.</p> <p>Another macroeconomic impact is the potential to increase the deficit. The bill establishes new insurance exchanges for the purchase of health insurance by those who do not have insurance offered through their employer. The bill caps the share of family income spent on health-care premiums. Two important facts are necessary to understand the concern evident in the markets over the deficit impact of the legislation:</p>   <ul><li>The average cost of a family health insurance policy offered by employers was $13,375 in 2009, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation and the Health Research &amp; Educational Trust. On average, employees pay about 20% of premiums with the employer making up the rest (an average of $10,700 per employee).</li></ul>  <ul><li>Under the exchange, the cost of a policy would be subsidized by the taxpayers for individuals and families with incomes up to 400% of the poverty level. This means a family of four with the national average income of about $70,000 (at 317% of the poverty level of about $22,000) would have their spending capped at 9.5% of income, which would be about $6,650. The other half of the cost of the insurance would be picked up by taxpayers.</li></ul> <p><strong>Tom Gallucci, Lazard Capital</strong></p> <p>The long period of time between the passage and implementation of the bill inherently lends itself to some level of uncertainty. The debate around health care will persist even after this legislation is behind us. Polls suggest much of the public has been opposed to reform as passed, and Republicans have vowed to make the legislation a centerpiece of the November elections. We suspect it will be a material aspect of the debate for the 2012 presidential race as well.</p> <p>Depending on how the political winds blow in the next two years and whether government budget deficits grow or narrow, changes to the legislation are possible. Even without formal adjustments to the bill, the real-life effects of large federal bills tend to be difficult to predict, as there are typically unintended consequences. Given the sheer size of this legislation, the number of constituents it affects and the authority it leaves to regulators, analyzing the long-term impact of the bill is more difficult than it may at first appear.</p> <p><strong>Scott Fidel, Deutsche Bank</strong></p> <p>The House vote sets the stage for health reform to soon become law. Our long-standing view is that the reform bill will be a net long-term negative for industry profitability; the benefits of covering more than 30 million uninsured will likely be more than offset by the negative impact of Medicare Advantage payment cuts, industry taxes, and stringent new regulations on underwriting practices.</p> <p>At the same time, these risks are already well understood by investors after more than a year of rancorous debate; our buy side survey showed nearly 80% of investors expecting reform to be approved into law.</p> <p>However, while many investors believe the approval of the bill will allow for clarity after more than a year of anxiety-producing debate, we view the House vote as marking only the end of the beginning of this process. The next phase will include the release of thousands of pages of regulations at the agency level translating the law into a new regulatory framework.</p> <p><strong>Phillip Seligman, Standard &amp; Poor's Equity Research</strong></p> <p>We view the passage by the House of Representatives of the health reform package as positive for managed care organizations (MCOs), on balance. The MCOs will face fees, which are delayed until 2014, and will have restrictions such as the ban on rescissions, no lifetime caps, and inability to bar coverage based on health status, which can pressure margins.</p> <p>But we think these negatives may be offset by enrollment gains, providing economies of scale, leverage over general and administrative costs, and greater negotiating clout with providers. We also see potential opportunities for consolidation.</p> <p><strong>And here's another investor positive reported by the Wall Street Journal.</strong></p> <p>The health care package passed on Sunday contains few provisions that are poisonous to the pharmaceutical industry, though drug makers may have to pony up several billion dollars more than previously expected.</p> <p>Absent from the legislation are provisions that would allow American consumers to buy re-imported drugs from abroad and let the federal government negotiate drug prices, two controversial issues that the industry has said would devastate their balance sheets.</p> <p>The approval of the bill is likely to be applauded by Wall Street and could benefit the stocks of drug makers in the short-term.</p> <p>&quot;I was unable to find anything in there that would cause me to have anxiety if I were a shareholder in a pharmaceutical company,&quot; said Ira Loss, a senior health-care analyst at the research firm Washington Analysis.</p> <p>The legislation, which still has to be signed by President Barack Obama, also gives drug makers 12 years of protection, or exclusivity, to sell biologic medicines before facing the threat of cheaper, off-brand alternatives.</p> <p>Billy Tauzin, who led the industry's negotiations on health care with lawmakers, said overall drug makers fare well. &quot;While we're not totally happy,&quot; Tauzin began, &quot;we generally feel like it tracks with out principles.&quot;</p> <p>Sanofi-Aventis SA (SNY) Chief Executive Christopher Viehbacher said in an interview that the impact of the legislation will be neutral to slightly negative &quot;but better for the industry than if healthcare reform didn't pass.&quot;</p> <p>Tauzin, head of the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America or PhRMA, and Viehbacher said getting protection for brand-name biologics is among the important provisions for the industry. Drug makers pushed hard to get 12 years of exclusive market protection while the White House and some lawmakers wanted to lower the protection to seven years.</p> <p>Tauzin acknowledged, however, that drug makers will take a &quot;severe hit&quot; in the form of fees on their profits and rebates they'll have to pay the government. Tauzin is the outgoing president of the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, or PhRMA, the main lobby for the drug industry.</p> <p>Such fees total about $80 billion under the bill passed Sunday and would be divided among drug makers.</p> <p>Still, many analysts say drug makers will end up recouping those costs through new customers: The bill would provide insurance coverage to an additional 32 million Americans.</p> <p>&quot;Chalk up another good round for Pharma and Biotech in health care reform,&quot; began a note to clients Friday from Concept Capital, a research firm.</p> <p>Ken Tsuboi, co-manager of the Allianz RCM Wellness Fund, sees the impact of bill, and its $90 billion in concessions over 10 years, as relatively minor in an industry that has annual global sales of about $750 billion, with about $300 billion in the U.S., and margins close to 30%.</p> <p>&quot;I think that it is actually a pretty good deal for Pharma,&quot; Tsuboi said.</p> <p>The stocks of large pharmaceutical companies generally have trailed the overall market over the past year. That likely reflects the projected impact of losing patent protection on several key drugs in coming years, more so than any concerns related to the health bill.</p> <p>Tauzin said the industry is concerned that a federal advisory board created by the legislation would end up limiting patient choices. He added, however, that it's too early to tell exactly how the board would operate.</p> <p>Another plus for drug makers is a proposal to close the so-called Medicare &quot;donut hole&quot;&mdash;the gap in coverage that forces seniors to pay out of pocket for drugs after a certain threshold is reached. Closing this gap is an industry priority; it will likely increase sales for drug companies because people frequently stop taking their medication or switch to generics once they have to pay for them out of pocket.</p> <p>Miller Tabak analyst Les Funtleyder took a sanguine view of the bill's impact on drug makers.</p> <p>&quot;When you dig into it, the fact remains that more people are going to get covered and there doesn't seem to be regulation in costs,&quot; Funtleyder said. &quot;If you have more people and limited cost control, that is good for the sector.&quot;</p> <p><strong>We'd love to hear your thoughts on this very emotional issue, too.  You can leave comments below.</strong></p><br><br><strong>Disclosure: </strong>no postions]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Mar 2010 08:52:13 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Funny how things work out.</p> <p>Despite American opposition, the &quot;Washington Knows Best&quot; bill had many feeling like it was rammed down their throats...</p> <p>But while millions were busy complaining about those large tax increases, $500 billion in Medicare cuts, and &quot;dangerous interference in the doctor-patient relationship,&quot; we paid less attention to the new and massive powers that'll be granted to the IRS, (the U.S. version of the KGB?)</p> <p>Some of the highlights of the new IRS powers, include:</p>   <ul><li><p><span>IRS agents will verify if you have &quot;acceptable&quot;health care coverage</span></p></li><li><p><span>IRS has the authority to fine you up to $2,250 or 2% of your income for failure to prove you have &quot;minimum essential coverage&quot;</span></p></li><li><p><span>IRS can confiscate your tax refund</span></p></li><li><p><span>IRS audits are likely to increase</span></p></li></ul>  <p><span>And there are more, which you can learn more about <a href="http://www.house.gov/apps/list/press/tx08_brady/irs_power_report.pdf" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">here</a>.</span></p> <p><span>This isn't to say there aren't some &quot;good&quot; parts to the overhaul.  We present the good below, too.</span></p> <p><strong>Here's more from other Wall Street &quot;experts&quot; as highlighted by Business Week... as well as some investing opportunities.</strong></p> <p><strong>Ralph Giacobbe, Credit Suisse</strong></p> <p>On Sunday, the House passed the Patient Protection &amp; Affordable Care Act (H.R. 3590) and the Health Care &amp; Education Affordability Reconciliation Act of 2010 (H.R. 4872). The combined legislation would cover 19 million uninsured beginning in 2014, with a majority of uninsured covered by 2016 (30 million). The Congressional Budget Office has scored the bill to cost $940 billion.</p> <p>In our view, coverage of 32 million uninsured provides the greatest benefit to hospitals. The final bill has some incremental adjustments/reductions to the group. ... [N]onetheless, we believe health-care reform could provide hospitals with slight upside to numbers. More importantly, greater coverage of the uninsured should alleviate a large portion of bad debt expense.</p> <p><strong>Jeff Kleintop, LPL Financial</strong></p> <p>A catalyst for another 5%-10% stock market pullback that weighed on the stock market late last week is the health-care legislation that was passed in the House on Sunday. Within the Health Care sector, the impact is mixed, the HMO industry is negatively impacted while the hospital companies, along with other beneficiaries of increasing health-care volumes, benefit. However, much of this impact has already been priced into the sector. The potential negative outcome for the broader market stems from the tax and deficit impacts of the legislation.</p> <p>The new taxes are a negative for investors. The legislation imposes a new 3.8% tax on investment income. In addition it adds a 0.9% tax on wages for those earning more than $250,000, set to take effect in 2013.</p> <p>Another macroeconomic impact is the potential to increase the deficit. The bill establishes new insurance exchanges for the purchase of health insurance by those who do not have insurance offered through their employer. The bill caps the share of family income spent on health-care premiums. Two important facts are necessary to understand the concern evident in the markets over the deficit impact of the legislation:</p>   <ul><li>The average cost of a family health insurance policy offered by employers was $13,375 in 2009, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation and the Health Research &amp; Educational Trust. On average, employees pay about 20% of premiums with the employer making up the rest (an average of $10,700 per employee).</li></ul>  <ul><li>Under the exchange, the cost of a policy would be subsidized by the taxpayers for individuals and families with incomes up to 400% of the poverty level. This means a family of four with the national average income of about $70,000 (at 317% of the poverty level of about $22,000) would have their spending capped at 9.5% of income, which would be about $6,650. The other half of the cost of the insurance would be picked up by taxpayers.</li></ul> <p><strong>Tom Gallucci, Lazard Capital</strong></p> <p>The long period of time between the passage and implementation of the bill inherently lends itself to some level of uncertainty. The debate around health care will persist even after this legislation is behind us. Polls suggest much of the public has been opposed to reform as passed, and Republicans have vowed to make the legislation a centerpiece of the November elections. We suspect it will be a material aspect of the debate for the 2012 presidential race as well.</p> <p>Depending on how the political winds blow in the next two years and whether government budget deficits grow or narrow, changes to the legislation are possible. Even without formal adjustments to the bill, the real-life effects of large federal bills tend to be difficult to predict, as there are typically unintended consequences. Given the sheer size of this legislation, the number of constituents it affects and the authority it leaves to regulators, analyzing the long-term impact of the bill is more difficult than it may at first appear.</p> <p><strong>Scott Fidel, Deutsche Bank</strong></p> <p>The House vote sets the stage for health reform to soon become law. Our long-standing view is that the reform bill will be a net long-term negative for industry profitability; the benefits of covering more than 30 million uninsured will likely be more than offset by the negative impact of Medicare Advantage payment cuts, industry taxes, and stringent new regulations on underwriting practices.</p> <p>At the same time, these risks are already well understood by investors after more than a year of rancorous debate; our buy side survey showed nearly 80% of investors expecting reform to be approved into law.</p> <p>However, while many investors believe the approval of the bill will allow for clarity after more than a year of anxiety-producing debate, we view the House vote as marking only the end of the beginning of this process. The next phase will include the release of thousands of pages of regulations at the agency level translating the law into a new regulatory framework.</p> <p><strong>Phillip Seligman, Standard &amp; Poor's Equity Research</strong></p> <p>We view the passage by the House of Representatives of the health reform package as positive for managed care organizations (MCOs), on balance. The MCOs will face fees, which are delayed until 2014, and will have restrictions such as the ban on rescissions, no lifetime caps, and inability to bar coverage based on health status, which can pressure margins.</p> <p>But we think these negatives may be offset by enrollment gains, providing economies of scale, leverage over general and administrative costs, and greater negotiating clout with providers. We also see potential opportunities for consolidation.</p> <p><strong>And here's another investor positive reported by the Wall Street Journal.</strong></p> <p>The health care package passed on Sunday contains few provisions that are poisonous to the pharmaceutical industry, though drug makers may have to pony up several billion dollars more than previously expected.</p> <p>Absent from the legislation are provisions that would allow American consumers to buy re-imported drugs from abroad and let the federal government negotiate drug prices, two controversial issues that the industry has said would devastate their balance sheets.</p> <p>The approval of the bill is likely to be applauded by Wall Street and could benefit the stocks of drug makers in the short-term.</p> <p>&quot;I was unable to find anything in there that would cause me to have anxiety if I were a shareholder in a pharmaceutical company,&quot; said Ira Loss, a senior health-care analyst at the research firm Washington Analysis.</p> <p>The legislation, which still has to be signed by President Barack Obama, also gives drug makers 12 years of protection, or exclusivity, to sell biologic medicines before facing the threat of cheaper, off-brand alternatives.</p> <p>Billy Tauzin, who led the industry's negotiations on health care with lawmakers, said overall drug makers fare well. &quot;While we're not totally happy,&quot; Tauzin began, &quot;we generally feel like it tracks with out principles.&quot;</p> <p>Sanofi-Aventis SA (SNY) Chief Executive Christopher Viehbacher said in an interview that the impact of the legislation will be neutral to slightly negative &quot;but better for the industry than if healthcare reform didn't pass.&quot;</p> <p>Tauzin, head of the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America or PhRMA, and Viehbacher said getting protection for brand-name biologics is among the important provisions for the industry. Drug makers pushed hard to get 12 years of exclusive market protection while the White House and some lawmakers wanted to lower the protection to seven years.</p> <p>Tauzin acknowledged, however, that drug makers will take a &quot;severe hit&quot; in the form of fees on their profits and rebates they'll have to pay the government. Tauzin is the outgoing president of the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, or PhRMA, the main lobby for the drug industry.</p> <p>Such fees total about $80 billion under the bill passed Sunday and would be divided among drug makers.</p> <p>Still, many analysts say drug makers will end up recouping those costs through new customers: The bill would provide insurance coverage to an additional 32 million Americans.</p> <p>&quot;Chalk up another good round for Pharma and Biotech in health care reform,&quot; began a note to clients Friday from Concept Capital, a research firm.</p> <p>Ken Tsuboi, co-manager of the Allianz RCM Wellness Fund, sees the impact of bill, and its $90 billion in concessions over 10 years, as relatively minor in an industry that has annual global sales of about $750 billion, with about $300 billion in the U.S., and margins close to 30%.</p> <p>&quot;I think that it is actually a pretty good deal for Pharma,&quot; Tsuboi said.</p> <p>The stocks of large pharmaceutical companies generally have trailed the overall market over the past year. That likely reflects the projected impact of losing patent protection on several key drugs in coming years, more so than any concerns related to the health bill.</p> <p>Tauzin said the industry is concerned that a federal advisory board created by the legislation would end up limiting patient choices. He added, however, that it's too early to tell exactly how the board would operate.</p> <p>Another plus for drug makers is a proposal to close the so-called Medicare &quot;donut hole&quot;&mdash;the gap in coverage that forces seniors to pay out of pocket for drugs after a certain threshold is reached. Closing this gap is an industry priority; it will likely increase sales for drug companies because people frequently stop taking their medication or switch to generics once they have to pay for them out of pocket.</p> <p>Miller Tabak analyst Les Funtleyder took a sanguine view of the bill's impact on drug makers.</p> <p>&quot;When you dig into it, the fact remains that more people are going to get covered and there doesn't seem to be regulation in costs,&quot; Funtleyder said. &quot;If you have more people and limited cost control, that is good for the sector.&quot;</p> <p><strong>We'd love to hear your thoughts on this very emotional issue, too.  You can leave comments below.</strong></p><br><br><strong>Disclosure: </strong>no postions]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sny/instablogs">sny</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/tag/healthcare">healthcare</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Next Generation Fuel: From Pond Scum to Profits</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/582876-wealth-daily/60063-the-next-generation-fuel-from-pond-scum-to-profits?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">60063</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Cell biologist and Dr. R. Malcolm Brown, Jr. was the first professor at  the University of Texas to work on a personal computer.<br><br>&quot;They  told me I had to use the mainframe,&quot; Malcolm recalled to me over a  meatloaf and catfish lunch last Wednesday at the Eastside Cafe in Austin.</p> <p>&quot;But I said 'no,' I'm gonna go ahead with this.&quot; I could tell the  excitement he felt 30 years ago from the way he told the story. &quot;You'd  be amazed what you could do with 48K in those days!&quot;<br><br>Even though  he was a trailblazer in putting the PC to academic use, Prof. Brown has  made a career out of playing with plants. His greenhouse and garden in  the hills west of the Texas state capital are immaculately arranged, and  at his namesake laboratory back on the UT campus, some beakers hold  algae cultures that have been growing for 40 years.<br><br>Just as over  time the rest of the world woke up to the possibilities of computing and  connectivity, today the tiny organisms that Malcolm Brown and dozens of  his graduate students have nurtured and examined for over a generation  are recognized as potential biofuel powerhouses.<br><br><strong>From Pond Scum to Blue-Green Gold </strong></p>  <p><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2010/11/4145/algea.png" alt="algea" width="206" height="275" /><span><em><br>The future of biofuels? </em></span></p> <p>Dr. Brown got in touch with me early this  year after reading my dispatch from the American Council on Renewable  Energy's RETECH expo. I noted that <a href="http://www.greenchipstocks.com/articles/brazil-energy-infrastructure/395" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Brazil's largest sugar processor</a>  Cosan (NYSE: CZZ) had entered into a $12 billion joint venture with  Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS), Europe's second largest oil producer. <br><br>As  I've stated a few times now, there are several pivot points between fossil  fuels and renewables. Maybe it's an offshore oil rig being powered by  wind turbines, or in the case of Dr. Brown's research, oil fields in  west Texas where waste water is host to a cornucopia of productive  organisms.</p> <p>New federal rules and incentives are making collaborations  between oil titans like Shell and biofuel powerhouses like Cosan  commonplace.</p> <p>The next step is bringing cellulosic ethanol to  billion-dollar scale. That's something the U.S. government is already pushing for&nbsp;&mdash; big time.</p> <p>On February 3, the Obama Administration  released its Final Renewable Fuel Standard, known as RFS2. Under RFS2,  corn ethanol's status will diminish over the next decade because of its  weakness relative to sugarcane ethanol. This is a point of heavy  contention from corn state lobbyists and corn ethanol enthusiasts across  the board.</p> <p>From farmers to Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE: ADM) crop scientists, many assert rightly  that corn ethanol research and development should continue. I invite  feedback from anyone involved in the sector.<br><br>However, the chain  from research to policy to profit right now runs straight through what  are known as advanced biofuels. Advanced biofuels have a greenhouse gas  (GHG) footprint that is over 50% better than gasoline. Land use factors  in heavily to the Environmental Protection Agency's GHG calculation, and  RFS2 follows EPA stats showing that sugarcane ethanol has an  International Land Use Change (ILUC) impact less than 1/6 that of  corn-based fuel.<br><br>There's a step above sugarcane feedstock,  however, and it's cellulosic ethanol. This is where Dr. Brown and his  beakers come into play.<br><br>If you think of cellulosic ethanol  currently, corn husks and switchgrass may come to mind. Yet, I've now seen time-lapse footage taken through a light microscope in  Malcolm Brown's lab that shows a bug called acetobacter spinning out  cellulose like a spider spins a web.</p> <p>The strands produced by these  micron-sized bacteria are nanometers wide, which means that when put  together, a sheet of cellulose produced under optimal conditions can be  as strong as steel. It can also be used to make paper, of course, since  it's analogous to wood pulp.<br><br>There are other mighty bugs in Brown's lab, too.<br><br><strong>One Man's Trash...</strong><br><br>EPA  calculations put cellulosic ethanol GHG emissions at 60% less than  gasoline, but that includes land use just like corn ethanol. Being a  Texan, Malcolm Brown has grown cultures in water from all over the  state; he's found that some of the best water for growing bugs that  produce sugar and cellulose is found in oil wells where brackish water  is a waste product of crude extraction.<br><br>Even enhanced oil  recovery (EOR) techniques now in use to get more oil out of dying fields  can lead to bountiful bacterial produce, because the carbon dioxide  from that process can be used to stimulate increased sugar production  during photosynthesis.<br><br>Prof. Brown also showed me in his lab how  cyanobacteria, commonly known as blue-green algae, can be shocked into  producing more sugar than normal by changing the salinity of the water  they're in. It's basic osmosis &mdash; the kind of stuff you learn in high  school biology class &mdash; but seeing it applied to create next-generation  biofuels is pretty amazing.<br><br>Now, as with every single renewable  energy type under development, it's a matter of scale.  These cyanobacteria have been tested in ponds and can be scaled up to  testing in square-mile size tracts of foot-deep water. They can be  placed next to power plants to take carbon dioxide into the fuel  production process, or large tracts of scrubby west Texas land can be  laid across with oil well water to grow the bugs.</p> <p><strong>The Brazilian Connection</strong><br><br>Jose  Goldemberg, the Brazilian scientist who set off that country's sugar-based biofuel  revolution in the 1970s, has met with Malcolm Brown and marveled at the  production he's been able to get out of such simple organisms.</p> <p>In test  tanks and ponds, the UT-Austin team has logged 14 tons of sugar per  acre-foot per year. In laboratory conditions, that harvest rises to 94 tons of the sweet stuff, which is equivalent to 13,000 gallons of ethanol per acre-foot per year. That sucrose can then  be added directly to yeast to create ethanol, instead of breaking down  cellulose starch to get glucose.<br><br>The best part is that while  these scummy powerhouses work, the sugar they put out can be taken  without blasting the cells apart &mdash; this may be the ultimate renewable  fuel.</p> <p>You can learn more about Dr. Brown's work and goals here at  his <a href="http://www.botany.utexas.edu/mbrown/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">laboratory's website</a>. He'd be happy to hear from you, and I can  tell you that his enthusiasm for creating a high-efficiency,  world-leading biofuel in the United States is contagious.</p> <p>Just as Jose Goldemberg's vision in 1978 was turned into a national initiative to make Brazil a world energy power and investment target, researchers across the U.S. are working to make American biofuels maximally efficient and, ultimately, very profitable for investors who follow the idea flow from lab to market.</p> <p>As my colleague Nick Hodge reported last summer, Exxon Mobil has already made a <a href="http://www.greenchipstocks.com/articles/algae-biofuel-stocks/452" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">$600 million bet on algae biofuel</a>. Surely that's not the end of the money movement into this sector.</p> <p>We'll keep you up to date.</p> <p>Regards,</p> <p><img src="http://images.angelnexus.com/sigs/sam.gif" alt="Sam Hopkins" width="200" height="54" /></p> <p>Sam Hopkins</p><br><br><strong>Disclosure: </strong>no postions]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Mar 2010 08:47:57 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Cell biologist and Dr. R. Malcolm Brown, Jr. was the first professor at  the University of Texas to work on a personal computer.<br><br>&quot;They  told me I had to use the mainframe,&quot; Malcolm recalled to me over a  meatloaf and catfish lunch last Wednesday at the Eastside Cafe in Austin.</p> <p>&quot;But I said 'no,' I'm gonna go ahead with this.&quot; I could tell the  excitement he felt 30 years ago from the way he told the story. &quot;You'd  be amazed what you could do with 48K in those days!&quot;<br><br>Even though  he was a trailblazer in putting the PC to academic use, Prof. Brown has  made a career out of playing with plants. His greenhouse and garden in  the hills west of the Texas state capital are immaculately arranged, and  at his namesake laboratory back on the UT campus, some beakers hold  algae cultures that have been growing for 40 years.<br><br>Just as over  time the rest of the world woke up to the possibilities of computing and  connectivity, today the tiny organisms that Malcolm Brown and dozens of  his graduate students have nurtured and examined for over a generation  are recognized as potential biofuel powerhouses.<br><br><strong>From Pond Scum to Blue-Green Gold </strong></p>  <p><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2010/11/4145/algea.png" alt="algea" width="206" height="275" /><span><em><br>The future of biofuels? </em></span></p> <p>Dr. Brown got in touch with me early this  year after reading my dispatch from the American Council on Renewable  Energy's RETECH expo. I noted that <a href="http://www.greenchipstocks.com/articles/brazil-energy-infrastructure/395" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Brazil's largest sugar processor</a>  Cosan (NYSE: CZZ) had entered into a $12 billion joint venture with  Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS), Europe's second largest oil producer. <br><br>As  I've stated a few times now, there are several pivot points between fossil  fuels and renewables. Maybe it's an offshore oil rig being powered by  wind turbines, or in the case of Dr. Brown's research, oil fields in  west Texas where waste water is host to a cornucopia of productive  organisms.</p> <p>New federal rules and incentives are making collaborations  between oil titans like Shell and biofuel powerhouses like Cosan  commonplace.</p> <p>The next step is bringing cellulosic ethanol to  billion-dollar scale. That's something the U.S. government is already pushing for&nbsp;&mdash; big time.</p> <p>On February 3, the Obama Administration  released its Final Renewable Fuel Standard, known as RFS2. Under RFS2,  corn ethanol's status will diminish over the next decade because of its  weakness relative to sugarcane ethanol. This is a point of heavy  contention from corn state lobbyists and corn ethanol enthusiasts across  the board.</p> <p>From farmers to Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE: ADM) crop scientists, many assert rightly  that corn ethanol research and development should continue. I invite  feedback from anyone involved in the sector.<br><br>However, the chain  from research to policy to profit right now runs straight through what  are known as advanced biofuels. Advanced biofuels have a greenhouse gas  (GHG) footprint that is over 50% better than gasoline. Land use factors  in heavily to the Environmental Protection Agency's GHG calculation, and  RFS2 follows EPA stats showing that sugarcane ethanol has an  International Land Use Change (ILUC) impact less than 1/6 that of  corn-based fuel.<br><br>There's a step above sugarcane feedstock,  however, and it's cellulosic ethanol. This is where Dr. Brown and his  beakers come into play.<br><br>If you think of cellulosic ethanol  currently, corn husks and switchgrass may come to mind. Yet, I've now seen time-lapse footage taken through a light microscope in  Malcolm Brown's lab that shows a bug called acetobacter spinning out  cellulose like a spider spins a web.</p> <p>The strands produced by these  micron-sized bacteria are nanometers wide, which means that when put  together, a sheet of cellulose produced under optimal conditions can be  as strong as steel. It can also be used to make paper, of course, since  it's analogous to wood pulp.<br><br>There are other mighty bugs in Brown's lab, too.<br><br><strong>One Man's Trash...</strong><br><br>EPA  calculations put cellulosic ethanol GHG emissions at 60% less than  gasoline, but that includes land use just like corn ethanol. Being a  Texan, Malcolm Brown has grown cultures in water from all over the  state; he's found that some of the best water for growing bugs that  produce sugar and cellulose is found in oil wells where brackish water  is a waste product of crude extraction.<br><br>Even enhanced oil  recovery (EOR) techniques now in use to get more oil out of dying fields  can lead to bountiful bacterial produce, because the carbon dioxide  from that process can be used to stimulate increased sugar production  during photosynthesis.<br><br>Prof. Brown also showed me in his lab how  cyanobacteria, commonly known as blue-green algae, can be shocked into  producing more sugar than normal by changing the salinity of the water  they're in. It's basic osmosis &mdash; the kind of stuff you learn in high  school biology class &mdash; but seeing it applied to create next-generation  biofuels is pretty amazing.<br><br>Now, as with every single renewable  energy type under development, it's a matter of scale.  These cyanobacteria have been tested in ponds and can be scaled up to  testing in square-mile size tracts of foot-deep water. They can be  placed next to power plants to take carbon dioxide into the fuel  production process, or large tracts of scrubby west Texas land can be  laid across with oil well water to grow the bugs.</p> <p><strong>The Brazilian Connection</strong><br><br>Jose  Goldemberg, the Brazilian scientist who set off that country's sugar-based biofuel  revolution in the 1970s, has met with Malcolm Brown and marveled at the  production he's been able to get out of such simple organisms.</p> <p>In test  tanks and ponds, the UT-Austin team has logged 14 tons of sugar per  acre-foot per year. In laboratory conditions, that harvest rises to 94 tons of the sweet stuff, which is equivalent to 13,000 gallons of ethanol per acre-foot per year. That sucrose can then  be added directly to yeast to create ethanol, instead of breaking down  cellulose starch to get glucose.<br><br>The best part is that while  these scummy powerhouses work, the sugar they put out can be taken  without blasting the cells apart &mdash; this may be the ultimate renewable  fuel.</p> <p>You can learn more about Dr. Brown's work and goals here at  his <a href="http://www.botany.utexas.edu/mbrown/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">laboratory's website</a>. He'd be happy to hear from you, and I can  tell you that his enthusiasm for creating a high-efficiency,  world-leading biofuel in the United States is contagious.</p> <p>Just as Jose Goldemberg's vision in 1978 was turned into a national initiative to make Brazil a world energy power and investment target, researchers across the U.S. are working to make American biofuels maximally efficient and, ultimately, very profitable for investors who follow the idea flow from lab to market.</p> <p>As my colleague Nick Hodge reported last summer, Exxon Mobil has already made a <a href="http://www.greenchipstocks.com/articles/algae-biofuel-stocks/452" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">$600 million bet on algae biofuel</a>. Surely that's not the end of the money movement into this sector.</p> <p>We'll keep you up to date.</p> <p>Regards,</p> <p><img src="http://images.angelnexus.com/sigs/sam.gif" alt="Sam Hopkins" width="200" height="54" /></p> <p>Sam Hopkins</p><br><br><strong>Disclosure: </strong>no postions]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/czz/instablogs">czz</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/adm/instablogs">adm</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/tag/energy">energy</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/tag/biofuel">biofuel</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Biotech Update: Astellas Targets OSI </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/582876-wealth-daily/57048-biotech-update-astellas-targets-osi?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">57048</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[&nbsp; <br><p>&nbsp;</p> <div><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2008/44/1343/bullish.jpg" alt="bullish"  /></div> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>As I wrote in an earlier story entitled, <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/biotech-investments-investing/1443" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">The Brewing Bull Market in Biotech</a>, the fast growing market for new drugs is one that &quot;Big Pharma&quot; just can't keep it hands off of.</p> <p>The reason for this, of course, is pretty simple. Faced with shrinking pipelines and falling revenues, the old way developing drugs through chemistry alone is giving way to modern technologies such as gene sequencing, protein analysis, biologics, <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/dna-vaccine-investments/2318" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">DNA vaccines</a> and nanotechnology.</p> <p>In these areas, biotech companies dominate.</p> <p>And the truth is without the cutting edge research and development that these biotechs bring to the table, revenues at the Big Pharma level will likely hit a wall.</p> <p>So <a href="http://www.angelnexus.com/o/web/19322" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">acquiring a small biotech</a> or two is one method the traditional big players have turned to these days to add to their own research and development.&nbsp;</p> <p>The examples of this strategy are simply everywhere you look.</p> <p>In fact, just this morning, Astellas Pharma <span>, <span><span>&nbsp;</span></span></span>announced a hostile $3.5 billion <span>&nbsp;</span>offer for OSI Pharmaceuticals ( Nasdaq: OSIP) or $52 a share, which is a 40% premium over Friday's close.</p> <p>Like every other major drug company Astellas, Japan's second largest drugmaker, has been scrambling to develop new drugs as patents on its established products continue to expire.</p> <p>That's why the firm has spent the last 13 months courting OSI since Astella believes the deal will strengthen its effort to become a global leader in oncology. OSI specializes in molecular targeted therapies addressing needs in oncology, diabetes and obesity&mdash;each and every one of them a massive market opportunity.</p> <p><span>&nbsp;</span>&quot;We firmly believe in the compelling strategic rationale behind the combination and the opportunity it provides to the OSI stockholders to realize full and fair value, in cash, immediately,&quot; Masafumi Nogimori, Astellas' chief executive, said in a statement.</p> <p>But that wasn't the only big M&amp;A deal to break of late in the biotech world.</p> <p>After a week of speculation, German pharmaceutical company Merck (NYSE:MRK) said today that it would buy U.S. life sciences tools maker Millipore (Nasdaq:MIL) for $7.2 billion.</p> <p>That effectively ended the wrangling over the deal as Merck walked away the winner. Of course, it was just last week when Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.(NYSE:TMO) <span>&nbsp;</span>had made a $6 billion offer for Millipore, only to be denied.</p> <p>As a result of these two big deals, shares of the SPDR S&amp;P Biotech ETF (NYSE: XBI) <span>&nbsp;</span>have jumped 6.5 % in just three sessions. Take a look:</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <div><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2010/09/4021/xbi.jpg" alt="xbi"  /></div> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>Its holdings include stakes in Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN), Celegene Corp. (NASDAQ: CELG), and Cubist Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: CBST), to name just a few.</p> <p>That allows investors to spread out their risk across the entire sector&mdash;in what has become a brewing bull market.</p> <p>After all, these two deals are just the tip of the iceberg.</p> <p><strong>Related Articles: </strong></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/biotech-vaccines-boost-the-bull-market/2308" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Biotech Vaccines Boost the Bull Market</a></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/biotech-research-companies/1937" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Biotech Research Companies</a></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/biotechs-healthcare-reform-bonanza/2248" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Biotech's Health Care Bonanza</a></p> <p><span>.</span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p><br><br><strong>Disclosure: </strong>no postions]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 03 Mar 2010 10:08:52 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[&nbsp; <br><p>&nbsp;</p> <div><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2008/44/1343/bullish.jpg" alt="bullish"  /></div> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>As I wrote in an earlier story entitled, <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/biotech-investments-investing/1443" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">The Brewing Bull Market in Biotech</a>, the fast growing market for new drugs is one that &quot;Big Pharma&quot; just can't keep it hands off of.</p> <p>The reason for this, of course, is pretty simple. Faced with shrinking pipelines and falling revenues, the old way developing drugs through chemistry alone is giving way to modern technologies such as gene sequencing, protein analysis, biologics, <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/dna-vaccine-investments/2318" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">DNA vaccines</a> and nanotechnology.</p> <p>In these areas, biotech companies dominate.</p> <p>And the truth is without the cutting edge research and development that these biotechs bring to the table, revenues at the Big Pharma level will likely hit a wall.</p> <p>So <a href="http://www.angelnexus.com/o/web/19322" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">acquiring a small biotech</a> or two is one method the traditional big players have turned to these days to add to their own research and development.&nbsp;</p> <p>The examples of this strategy are simply everywhere you look.</p> <p>In fact, just this morning, Astellas Pharma <span>, <span><span>&nbsp;</span></span></span>announced a hostile $3.5 billion <span>&nbsp;</span>offer for OSI Pharmaceuticals ( Nasdaq: OSIP) or $52 a share, which is a 40% premium over Friday's close.</p> <p>Like every other major drug company Astellas, Japan's second largest drugmaker, has been scrambling to develop new drugs as patents on its established products continue to expire.</p> <p>That's why the firm has spent the last 13 months courting OSI since Astella believes the deal will strengthen its effort to become a global leader in oncology. OSI specializes in molecular targeted therapies addressing needs in oncology, diabetes and obesity&mdash;each and every one of them a massive market opportunity.</p> <p><span>&nbsp;</span>&quot;We firmly believe in the compelling strategic rationale behind the combination and the opportunity it provides to the OSI stockholders to realize full and fair value, in cash, immediately,&quot; Masafumi Nogimori, Astellas' chief executive, said in a statement.</p> <p>But that wasn't the only big M&amp;A deal to break of late in the biotech world.</p> <p>After a week of speculation, German pharmaceutical company Merck (NYSE:MRK) said today that it would buy U.S. life sciences tools maker Millipore (Nasdaq:MIL) for $7.2 billion.</p> <p>That effectively ended the wrangling over the deal as Merck walked away the winner. Of course, it was just last week when Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.(NYSE:TMO) <span>&nbsp;</span>had made a $6 billion offer for Millipore, only to be denied.</p> <p>As a result of these two big deals, shares of the SPDR S&amp;P Biotech ETF (NYSE: XBI) <span>&nbsp;</span>have jumped 6.5 % in just three sessions. Take a look:</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <div><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2010/09/4021/xbi.jpg" alt="xbi"  /></div> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>Its holdings include stakes in Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN), Celegene Corp. (NASDAQ: CELG), and Cubist Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: CBST), to name just a few.</p> <p>That allows investors to spread out their risk across the entire sector&mdash;in what has become a brewing bull market.</p> <p>After all, these two deals are just the tip of the iceberg.</p> <p><strong>Related Articles: </strong></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/biotech-vaccines-boost-the-bull-market/2308" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Biotech Vaccines Boost the Bull Market</a></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/biotech-research-companies/1937" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Biotech Research Companies</a></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/biotechs-healthcare-reform-bonanza/2248" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Biotech's Health Care Bonanza</a></p> <p><span>.</span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p><br><br><strong>Disclosure: </strong>no postions]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xbi/instablogs">xbi</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/osip/instablogs">osip</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tmo/instablogs">tmo</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mil/instablogs">mil</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>A &quot;Super Nightmare&quot; for the Entire World</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/582876-wealth-daily/57046-a-super-nightmare-for-the-entire-world?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">57046</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<br>   <p>What a difference a few months makes.</p> <p>Last fall, nearly all of the kids at my wife's school had the flu and the phone in the doctor's office was ringing off the hook with calls from frantic parents. Everywhere you went, people eyed you suspiciously as they reached for the hand sanitizer.</p> <p>The country was firmly in the grips of an H1N1 swine flu panic&nbsp;&mdash; even without coming close to the projected 90,000 fatalities.</p> <p>Today, though, it as if it never even happened. The same clinics at which people used to stand all day in line for a dose of vaccine are now practically begging people to come in to get their shots.</p>  <p>In a turn of events, one clinic in New York has even hired a fellow to stand at an intersection and wave a giant sign announcing ''FREE TODAY: H1N1 Flu Shots for All''  to dig up some prospects.  Last fall, the line at the same clinic was stretched a quarter mile down the street.</p> <p><strong>The H1N1 Swine Flu Retreats &mdash; For Now</strong></p> <p>Apparently free from the hysteria of the moment, the public has returned to its slumber&nbsp;&mdash; leaving roughly 50 million vaccine doses to expire on the shelves.</p> <p>Out of the 126 million doses shipped since October, only about 75 million vaccines have actually been delivered to patients.</p> <p>Thankfully, this flu season ended with something of a whimper, claiming ~17,000 American lives, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.  In an average year, about 36,000 people die from seasonal flu-related causes, according to the CDC.</p> <p>Tragic as that sounds, it is victory of sorts. Compare these numbers to the death count 91 years ago, when the Spanish Flu wreaked  havoc on the world  in 1918.  Amazingly, this particularly virulent strain killed some 20-40 million people worldwide before ending in 1920.</p> <p>Today, numbers like those are simply unfathomable.</p> <p>But don't believe for a second that because this calamity happened in the days of black and white, something of that magnitude couldn't happen today...</p> <p>&quot;<strong>A Super Nightmare for the Whole World&quot;</strong></p> <p>In fact, flu researcher Yi Guan would argue this case &mdash; and he should know.</p> <p>After earning a Ph.D. in swine flu under renowned flu expert Robert Webster of St. Jude Children's Research Hospital, Yi has seen virulent influenzas close up.  After all, it was Yi and his team that helped stop the SARS outbreak in China dead in its tracks in 2003.</p> <p>During an interview last May, Yi recounted<em> </em><u><a href="http://news.sciencemag.org/scienceinsider/2009/05/exclusive-meet.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">an eye-opening story</a></u><span> of his own to </span><em>Science </em><em>Insider</em><span> about the dangers these viruses  may one day present. </span></p> <p><u><strong>From the Q&amp;A  </strong></u></p> <p><strong>Science Insider: <em>Is it surprising how quickly H1N1 adapted?</em></strong></p> <p><strong>Yi Guan:</strong> All viruses, after interspecies transmission, will evolve fast. But why this H1N1 could become successful at efficient human-to-human transmission is still unknown. We have a knowledge gap about how influenza A viruses build up their pandemicity in humans. As swine H1N1 has being circulating in pigs since 1918, it has accumulated [many] differences from human H1N1 virus. So, for human beings, it looks like a novel subtype, as most human individuals lack immunity to this swine-like H1N1. This is one of the most important conditions for pandemic emergence. Whether the novel virus will develop into a more virulent strain-just like the Spanish flu did in the fall of 1918 to kill more people-we still don't have any idea.</p> <p><strong>SI: <em>It depends on further mutations?</em></strong></p> <p><strong>YG:</strong> It depends on mutations and whether the virus further reassorts with other viruses-like H5N1. That could be a super nightmare for the whole world.</p> <p><strong>SI: <em>If the nightmare comes true?</em></strong></p> <p><strong>YG:</strong><span> If that happens, I will retire immediately and lock myself in the P3 lab. </span><strong><u>H5N1 kills half the people it infects.</u></strong>*<span> Even if you inject yourself with a vaccine, it may be too late. Maybe in just a couple hours it takes your life.<br>*editor's emphasis<br><br></span></p> <p>Now in case you didn't take the time to read what he said there, I'll paraphrase it for you:</p> <p><em>One of the most knowledgeable flu researchers in the world is prepared to run for his life if a mutated version of the H5N1 virus shows up.</em></p> <p>Scary stuff.</p> <p>That leaves the rest of us possibly teetering on the brink of a potential calamity, since  The World Health Organization  says it's too early to confirm that the current H1N1 pandemic has peaked or won't mutate &mdash; despite panic subsiding.</p> <p>Because the larger truth here is that we've placed our fate in the hands of an 80-year-old method of vaccine production that may never be able to meet the demands of the worldwide market.</p> <p>Which is exactly what happened last fall: By the time the vaccines arrived in the clinics, this year's virus had already spread like wildfire &mdash; especially among children.</p> <p><span>I know this because all three of my kids caught it in the blink of eye, as did all of their little friends. </span></p> <p><span>That's why d</span>eveloping a universal flu vaccine to protect people against <em>all </em>flu strains is the &quot;holy grail&quot; of flu researchers. They work by targeting the elements of the virus that do not change from season to season. In short, it is the elusive new paradigm.</p> <p>If successful, these  <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/dna-vaccine-investments/2318" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">DNA-based vaccines</a> would represent <a href="http://www.angelnexus.com/o/web/19267" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">a disruptive technology</a> that would  allow governments to build long-term stockpiles against the threat of flu pandemics&nbsp;&mdash; like H5N1 swine flu&nbsp;&mdash; vastly limiting the threat those dangers may eventually pose.</p> <p>Until they arrive though, I suppose we would be wise to count our blessings and hope that we can beat the clock on this one.</p> <p>After all, figuring out how to dispose of a glut of vaccines beats the daylights out of the alternative.</p> <p>The next time we may not be so &quot;lucky.&quot; As we've been witness to, a lot can change in just a few months.</p> <p>Your bargain-hunting analyst,</p> <p><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2008/10/234/steve-sig.JPG" alt="steve sig"  /></p> <p>Steve Christ, Investment Director<br><em>The Wealth Advisory</em></p><br><br><br><strong>Disclosure: </strong>no positons]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 03 Mar 2010 10:04:52 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<br>   <p>What a difference a few months makes.</p> <p>Last fall, nearly all of the kids at my wife's school had the flu and the phone in the doctor's office was ringing off the hook with calls from frantic parents. Everywhere you went, people eyed you suspiciously as they reached for the hand sanitizer.</p> <p>The country was firmly in the grips of an H1N1 swine flu panic&nbsp;&mdash; even without coming close to the projected 90,000 fatalities.</p> <p>Today, though, it as if it never even happened. The same clinics at which people used to stand all day in line for a dose of vaccine are now practically begging people to come in to get their shots.</p>  <p>In a turn of events, one clinic in New York has even hired a fellow to stand at an intersection and wave a giant sign announcing ''FREE TODAY: H1N1 Flu Shots for All''  to dig up some prospects.  Last fall, the line at the same clinic was stretched a quarter mile down the street.</p> <p><strong>The H1N1 Swine Flu Retreats &mdash; For Now</strong></p> <p>Apparently free from the hysteria of the moment, the public has returned to its slumber&nbsp;&mdash; leaving roughly 50 million vaccine doses to expire on the shelves.</p> <p>Out of the 126 million doses shipped since October, only about 75 million vaccines have actually been delivered to patients.</p> <p>Thankfully, this flu season ended with something of a whimper, claiming ~17,000 American lives, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.  In an average year, about 36,000 people die from seasonal flu-related causes, according to the CDC.</p> <p>Tragic as that sounds, it is victory of sorts. Compare these numbers to the death count 91 years ago, when the Spanish Flu wreaked  havoc on the world  in 1918.  Amazingly, this particularly virulent strain killed some 20-40 million people worldwide before ending in 1920.</p> <p>Today, numbers like those are simply unfathomable.</p> <p>But don't believe for a second that because this calamity happened in the days of black and white, something of that magnitude couldn't happen today...</p> <p>&quot;<strong>A Super Nightmare for the Whole World&quot;</strong></p> <p>In fact, flu researcher Yi Guan would argue this case &mdash; and he should know.</p> <p>After earning a Ph.D. in swine flu under renowned flu expert Robert Webster of St. Jude Children's Research Hospital, Yi has seen virulent influenzas close up.  After all, it was Yi and his team that helped stop the SARS outbreak in China dead in its tracks in 2003.</p> <p>During an interview last May, Yi recounted<em> </em><u><a href="http://news.sciencemag.org/scienceinsider/2009/05/exclusive-meet.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">an eye-opening story</a></u><span> of his own to </span><em>Science </em><em>Insider</em><span> about the dangers these viruses  may one day present. </span></p> <p><u><strong>From the Q&amp;A  </strong></u></p> <p><strong>Science Insider: <em>Is it surprising how quickly H1N1 adapted?</em></strong></p> <p><strong>Yi Guan:</strong> All viruses, after interspecies transmission, will evolve fast. But why this H1N1 could become successful at efficient human-to-human transmission is still unknown. We have a knowledge gap about how influenza A viruses build up their pandemicity in humans. As swine H1N1 has being circulating in pigs since 1918, it has accumulated [many] differences from human H1N1 virus. So, for human beings, it looks like a novel subtype, as most human individuals lack immunity to this swine-like H1N1. This is one of the most important conditions for pandemic emergence. Whether the novel virus will develop into a more virulent strain-just like the Spanish flu did in the fall of 1918 to kill more people-we still don't have any idea.</p> <p><strong>SI: <em>It depends on further mutations?</em></strong></p> <p><strong>YG:</strong> It depends on mutations and whether the virus further reassorts with other viruses-like H5N1. That could be a super nightmare for the whole world.</p> <p><strong>SI: <em>If the nightmare comes true?</em></strong></p> <p><strong>YG:</strong><span> If that happens, I will retire immediately and lock myself in the P3 lab. </span><strong><u>H5N1 kills half the people it infects.</u></strong>*<span> Even if you inject yourself with a vaccine, it may be too late. Maybe in just a couple hours it takes your life.<br>*editor's emphasis<br><br></span></p> <p>Now in case you didn't take the time to read what he said there, I'll paraphrase it for you:</p> <p><em>One of the most knowledgeable flu researchers in the world is prepared to run for his life if a mutated version of the H5N1 virus shows up.</em></p> <p>Scary stuff.</p> <p>That leaves the rest of us possibly teetering on the brink of a potential calamity, since  The World Health Organization  says it's too early to confirm that the current H1N1 pandemic has peaked or won't mutate &mdash; despite panic subsiding.</p> <p>Because the larger truth here is that we've placed our fate in the hands of an 80-year-old method of vaccine production that may never be able to meet the demands of the worldwide market.</p> <p>Which is exactly what happened last fall: By the time the vaccines arrived in the clinics, this year's virus had already spread like wildfire &mdash; especially among children.</p> <p><span>I know this because all three of my kids caught it in the blink of eye, as did all of their little friends. </span></p> <p><span>That's why d</span>eveloping a universal flu vaccine to protect people against <em>all </em>flu strains is the &quot;holy grail&quot; of flu researchers. They work by targeting the elements of the virus that do not change from season to season. In short, it is the elusive new paradigm.</p> <p>If successful, these  <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/dna-vaccine-investments/2318" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">DNA-based vaccines</a> would represent <a href="http://www.angelnexus.com/o/web/19267" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">a disruptive technology</a> that would  allow governments to build long-term stockpiles against the threat of flu pandemics&nbsp;&mdash; like H5N1 swine flu&nbsp;&mdash; vastly limiting the threat those dangers may eventually pose.</p> <p>Until they arrive though, I suppose we would be wise to count our blessings and hope that we can beat the clock on this one.</p> <p>After all, figuring out how to dispose of a glut of vaccines beats the daylights out of the alternative.</p> <p>The next time we may not be so &quot;lucky.&quot; As we've been witness to, a lot can change in just a few months.</p> <p>Your bargain-hunting analyst,</p> <p><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2008/10/234/steve-sig.JPG" alt="steve sig"  /></p> <p>Steve Christ, Investment Director<br><em>The Wealth Advisory</em></p><br><br><br><strong>Disclosure: </strong>no positons]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/tag/Biotech">Biotech</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>5.7% GDP Fails to Lift the Markets</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/582876-wealth-daily/46399-5-7-gdp-fails-to-lift-the-markets?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">46399</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<br>    <p>&nbsp;</p> <div><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2009/17/2082/reality.jpg" alt="reality"  /></div> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>The winds of change the that we have been warning about just keep on blowing. <span>&nbsp;</span>Since then the S&amp;P 500 is down about 5.75% after falling from a high of 1150.</p> <p>Earnings, meanwhile, have actually been pretty good across the board.</p> <p>Even still, the downtrend has continued as the next big question for the markets seems to be &quot;That's great... but now what?&quot;</p> <p>That sentiment was only further underscored this morning when the GDP number failed to give the markets a much needed boost.<span>&nbsp; </span></p> <p>Following a decent number, the markets have basically yawned again&mdash;as in &quot;What's next?&quot;</p> <p>That's the new $64,000 question the bulls can't seem to answer&mdash; even though the economy did grow faster than expected at the end of last year.</p> <p>In fact, the 5.7 percent annual growth rate in the fourth quarter was the fastest pace since 2003 offering the strongest evidence yet that the worst recession since the 1930s ended last year.</p> <p>However, even after two straight quarters of growth there is still plenty to worry about since the expansion in the fourth quarter was fueled primarily by companies refilling depleted stockpiles, a trend that will eventually fade.</p> <p>And while the report did provide an upbeat end to a dismal year, the larger truth is that the U.S. economy declined by 2.4 percent in 2009. That's the first annual decline since 1991 and the largest drop since 1946.</p> <p>What we are left with then is an economy that most analysts think will only grow by 2.5 percent this year. <span>&nbsp;</span>Better yes.... but <span>&nbsp;</span>no where near enough to put a dent in the unemployment number which seems like it will be stuck in 9-10% range for some time to come.</p> <p>What's needed, of course, is for consumers to ride to the rescue since 70% of our GDP comes from consumer spending.</p> <p>The problem is wages and benefits paid to U.S. workers ended the year with the smallest rise on records going back more than a quarter-century. <span>&nbsp;</span>What's more, the Middle Class has been practically squeezed into oblivion by the rising cost of everything on their list of must-haves.</p> <p>As for raises, they can practically forget it since the loss 7.2 million jobs over the past two years has put a lid on wages. Meanwhile, a separate report from the Labor Department released earlier this month showed that nonsupervisory workers' inflation-adjusted weekly earnings fell by 1.6 percent last year, the sharpest drop since 1990.</p> <p>The result is an incredible amount of economic slack since you can't get blood from a stone. On top of that, consumers just aren't as willing to bury themselves in debt anymore.</p> <p>Instead they are actually saving money for a change.</p> <p>That's the &quot;new normal&quot; the markets are struggling to come to grips with.</p> <p>In the meantime, the S&amp;P 500 is teetering on support...</p> <p><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2010/04/3860/spx-chart.jpg" alt="spx chart" width="592" height="448" /></p> <p><strong>Related Articles:</strong></p> <p><span><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/mortgage-originations-set-to-fall-40/2264" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Mortgage  Originations Set to Fall 40%</a></span></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/zandi-on-housing-i-think-we-are-going-to-another-leg-down/2193" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Zandi  on Housing: &quot;I think we are going see to another leg down&quot;</a></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/realtytrac-38-million-defaults-in-2009/2220" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">RealtyTrac:  3.9 Million Defaults in 2009</a></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/the-shrinking-middle-class/2188" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">The  Shrinking Middle Class</a></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/underwater-mortgages-drive-the-next-foreclosure-wave/1945" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Underwater  Mortgages Drive the Next Foreclosure Wave</a></p> <p>To learn more about <strong>Wealth Daily</strong> <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">click here</a></p><br><br><i>Disclosure: </i>no positions]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 30 Jan 2010 09:00:15 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<br>    <p>&nbsp;</p> <div><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2009/17/2082/reality.jpg" alt="reality"  /></div> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>The winds of change the that we have been warning about just keep on blowing. <span>&nbsp;</span>Since then the S&amp;P 500 is down about 5.75% after falling from a high of 1150.</p> <p>Earnings, meanwhile, have actually been pretty good across the board.</p> <p>Even still, the downtrend has continued as the next big question for the markets seems to be &quot;That's great... but now what?&quot;</p> <p>That sentiment was only further underscored this morning when the GDP number failed to give the markets a much needed boost.<span>&nbsp; </span></p> <p>Following a decent number, the markets have basically yawned again&mdash;as in &quot;What's next?&quot;</p> <p>That's the new $64,000 question the bulls can't seem to answer&mdash; even though the economy did grow faster than expected at the end of last year.</p> <p>In fact, the 5.7 percent annual growth rate in the fourth quarter was the fastest pace since 2003 offering the strongest evidence yet that the worst recession since the 1930s ended last year.</p> <p>However, even after two straight quarters of growth there is still plenty to worry about since the expansion in the fourth quarter was fueled primarily by companies refilling depleted stockpiles, a trend that will eventually fade.</p> <p>And while the report did provide an upbeat end to a dismal year, the larger truth is that the U.S. economy declined by 2.4 percent in 2009. That's the first annual decline since 1991 and the largest drop since 1946.</p> <p>What we are left with then is an economy that most analysts think will only grow by 2.5 percent this year. <span>&nbsp;</span>Better yes.... but <span>&nbsp;</span>no where near enough to put a dent in the unemployment number which seems like it will be stuck in 9-10% range for some time to come.</p> <p>What's needed, of course, is for consumers to ride to the rescue since 70% of our GDP comes from consumer spending.</p> <p>The problem is wages and benefits paid to U.S. workers ended the year with the smallest rise on records going back more than a quarter-century. <span>&nbsp;</span>What's more, the Middle Class has been practically squeezed into oblivion by the rising cost of everything on their list of must-haves.</p> <p>As for raises, they can practically forget it since the loss 7.2 million jobs over the past two years has put a lid on wages. Meanwhile, a separate report from the Labor Department released earlier this month showed that nonsupervisory workers' inflation-adjusted weekly earnings fell by 1.6 percent last year, the sharpest drop since 1990.</p> <p>The result is an incredible amount of economic slack since you can't get blood from a stone. On top of that, consumers just aren't as willing to bury themselves in debt anymore.</p> <p>Instead they are actually saving money for a change.</p> <p>That's the &quot;new normal&quot; the markets are struggling to come to grips with.</p> <p>In the meantime, the S&amp;P 500 is teetering on support...</p> <p><img src="http://images.angelpub.com/2010/04/3860/spx-chart.jpg" alt="spx chart" width="592" height="448" /></p> <p><strong>Related Articles:</strong></p> <p><span><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/mortgage-originations-set-to-fall-40/2264" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Mortgage  Originations Set to Fall 40%</a></span></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/zandi-on-housing-i-think-we-are-going-to-another-leg-down/2193" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Zandi  on Housing: &quot;I think we are going see to another leg down&quot;</a></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/realtytrac-38-million-defaults-in-2009/2220" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">RealtyTrac:  3.9 Million Defaults in 2009</a></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/the-shrinking-middle-class/2188" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">The  Shrinking Middle Class</a></p> <p><a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/underwater-mortgages-drive-the-next-foreclosure-wave/1945" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Underwater  Mortgages Drive the Next Foreclosure Wave</a></p> <p>To learn more about <strong>Wealth Daily</strong> <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">click here</a></p><br><br><i>Disclosure: </i>no positions]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy/instablogs">spy</category>
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