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WhisperNumber

 
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  • Amazon.com's Whisper Number Showing Limited Confidence [View article]
    Not exactly what the historical data shows, but I like the optimism.
    Jul 24 01:14 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Union Pacific Poised To Beat The Whisper Number? [View article]
    Considering they have an 80% positive surprise history I'm guessing they're not expecting a miss either.
    Jul 24 07:40 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Whisper Number Impact: How Will Ford's Stock Move After Earnings? [View article]
    Soy, do you have any data (studies or reports) that show 'price movements after earnings have more to do with the guidance'? Do you know of any?
    Jul 24 07:27 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Whisper Number Impact: How Will Ford's Stock Move After Earnings? [View article]
    Second point first:
    We don't claim to have discovered a methodology (unless 15 years after the fact you can make such a claim). We don't plug a newsletter. And while we may provide advice, if you define advice as news or information, we certainly are not advising you (assuming you define advising as making a recommendation).

    To address your first point - whatever I provide here will not be enough for you (and I believe whatever I provide at all will not be enough). Statistician? Mathematician? Just out of business school? Either way, here is my answer - read the studies - plenty of formulas and causality for you to pick apart:

    'Conflict in Whispers and Analysts Forecast: Which One Should Be Your Guide' (Financial Decisions Journal)

    Results of this study conclude investor estimates for quarterly earnings (whisper numbers) provide greater returns when used as an investment vehicle, and have a greater impact on stock movement than analysts consensus estimates. Click here to learn more.
    http://bit.ly/1z74dT2

    'Do Bulls and Bears Listen to Whispers' (Financial Decisions Journal)

    A post-earnings announcement drift associated with the market reaction to analyst forecasts errors remains a puzzle. This study suggests that whispers help to explain part of the puzzle. The study examines the market reaction to whispers and analysts in bull and bear markets, and finds that investors listen to whispers in the bull market and whispers help explain the post-announcement drift. Click here to learn more.
    http://bit.ly/1z74dT4
    Jul 24 07:25 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Whisper Number Impact: How Will Ford's Stock Move After Earnings? [View article]
    Finally, someone that can appreciate and take some repartee!!
    Jul 23 11:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Whisper Number Impact: How Will Ford's Stock Move After Earnings? [View article]
    "What makes you think a negative correlation between whisper number beats and price gains aren't just plain random?"

    Perhaps you didn't read the article or view the tables presented. The data is based on analysis of 45 earnings reports. There is a correlation in this sample, and its premise is supported by two academic studies of our entire database (15 years), and the data itself.

    "If you took a thousand names, wouldn't you expect a certain percentage to correlate negatively just by chance?"

    I guess if you took ten names there's always the possibility a certain percentage would correlate negatively by chance, but...see answer above. And with that thought process, what would you need - a million samples, a billion samples? At some point a valid sample is a valid sample, and we're not saying its 100% accurate if that's what you're implying.

    "after all, you're advising me to invest money based on your methodology."

    That is completely wrong. We aren't 'advising' you to do anything. We've presented data and analysis, what you do with it is up to you.
    Jul 23 09:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • AT&T's Whisper Number Indicating Confidence [View article]
    You'll have to point out for me the pomposity and condescension in the article that brought about your original comment.
    Jul 23 08:48 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • AT&T's Whisper Number Indicating Confidence [View article]
    You see, that was an educated and relevant opinion. Stick to those in the future, people will appreciate it more than the regurgitated common data and attempt at humor.
    Jul 23 07:49 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Whisper Number Impact: How Will Ford's Stock Move After Earnings? [View article]
    Hmmm..so you've studied our site, methodology, academic papers, and 15 year track record and that's the conclusion you've come to? Or are you just talking out your a** to try and make yourself feel better about your trading shortcomings?
    Jul 23 07:46 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • AT&T's Whisper Number Indicating Confidence [View article]
    Do you own any ATT shares? If not are you planning on taking a position?
    Jul 23 05:37 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Apple Poised To Beat The Whisper Number? [View article]
    The whisper number from our community was $1.28. Apple reported $1.28. The expected price reaction (beat or miss the whisper) as indicated in the article was positive. Apple is moving higher from open.
    Jul 23 02:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Apple Poised To Beat The Whisper Number? [View article]
    Do you mean....whisper it? ; )
    Jul 22 10:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Everyone Expects Apple To Beat... And That Is The Problem [View article]
    Says the guy that labels himself 'long time investor' and nothing more in his bio....
    Jul 22 07:46 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Apple Poised To Beat The Whisper Number? [View article]
    Understood Victor, but help me understand what metric are 'pump and dump', 'number made up by drinking buddies', 'manipulation', 'load of manure' etc.? The majority of comments on here were emotional, pure and simple, and had nothing to do with metrics.
    Jul 22 07:43 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Apple Poised To Beat The Whisper Number? [View article]
    Thanks poco, it was Fox Business News, here's the link if needed:
    http://bit.ly/1A3pNt9

    And yes, crowd-sourcing does have its advantages (and as I'm sure you've read here, its naysayers as well!!) To us, better data is simply better data.
    Jul 22 07:26 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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