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WhisperNumber

 
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  • Is Intel Poised To Beat The Whisper Number? [View article]
    INTC reports 55 cents, as expected by whispernumber, how do you and the four people that liked your comment like that twaddle?
    Jul 15 04:34 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Intel Poised To Beat The Whisper Number? [View article]
    Possibly, but our analysis of our data has proven quite accurate over the past 15 years - other potential factors that may (or may not) have influence on post earnings price movement such as guidance (which is subjective) are not taken into consideration. While these factors can be important, the analytical model we use has been very successful without those being considered.
    Jul 15 02:47 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Intel Poised To Beat The Whisper Number? [View article]
    To an investor looking to add to his current position, it can represent a buying opportunity (after one trading day) if the company reports earnings that beat the whisper number expectation, and the stock sees the expected (but limited pullback) within one trading day. You'll be buying at a low in current trading).

    If the company reports earnings short of the whisper number, you'd want to move quick and add to your position to take advantage of the expected price move within 30 trading days (so that you're adding at what would would be a low in current trading).

    To a trader, its a short term pop if the company reports earnings short of the whisper number and the expected price move occurs.

    (Hope that answers your question, save the immature comments for the yahoo message boards - if an article seems 'worthless' to you move on.)
    Jul 15 11:54 AM | 10 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 5 Earnings Season Myths To Avoid [View article]
    Your first link actually supports Myth #1, not sure how you interpret or see it otherwise as it specifically states "an earnings surprise is going to be met with a market reaction going in the opposite direction of the surprise". In other words, not only is there no supporting evidence evidence that a positive surprise will be met with positive price movement, but its actually the opposite!!

    And while your link #2 does seem to contradict Myth #1, it is not very clear. That article states "When a company beats its estimate now, it is less "surprising." No longer can you assume that every positive earnings surprise will have a positive effect on a stock's price." And yet it goes on to show data that indicates very limited % increases on positive surprises.

    Either way, from our standpoint, Myth #1 still has no consistent and overwhelming evidence against it as being incorrect. It is a myth that when a company reports earnings that beat analysts estimates, the stock will see strength.
    Jul 15 10:53 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcoa Whisper Number Showing Limited Confidence [View article]
    You do realize that there are short term traders on SeekingAlpha and that you do not represent the entire community, yes?

    And what would be this so called twenty item analysis you speak of? Did you read the entire article or just jump down to provide some two bit comment?

    "Trading on whispers is a technical play on market psychology, rather than a bet on a company's fundamental strengths."
    Jul 8 04:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Micron Poised To Beat The Whisper Number? [View article]
    I have no clue who Psychology of the Call bloggers are or how they get their data. I assume if you get their emails you know where there data comes from?
    Jun 23 04:05 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Groupon Tanked And Might Continue To Do So [View article]
    Earnings always matter when you compare them against the right expectation indicator (in other words ignore analysts estimates). http://bit.ly/1dSxbxB
    Feb 21 12:54 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Weakness For GM After Earnings Fall Short Of Whisper Number [View article]
    Not sure where the 31 was from or what it was compared to, but 20 cents is what our sources show. You can also look it up on SA under Breaking News, Earnings http://seekingalpha.co...
    Feb 6 06:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Weakness For GM After Earnings Fall Short Of Whisper Number [View article]
    This article was submitted at 9:20amET today, Feb 6th, just posted 4:37pmET.
    Feb 6 04:38 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Sirius Short Of Whisper Number, Why Weakness Could Follow [View article]
    Mike, this is great info - make sure you post this info on the SA stocktalk, instablog post, or create a free article and post the info. There will be many more interested in this than just those that happen to visit this article and read the comments.
    Feb 5 01:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Sirius Short Of Whisper Number, Why Weakness Could Follow [View article]
    Hey jheebo, go easy on jheebo, he's having a bad day ; )
    Feb 4 05:28 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Sirius Short Of Whisper Number, Why Weakness Could Follow [View article]
    Just responding to hernje's comment: "Had it not been for the one time charge Siri would have met analyst's expectations". This places value on and gives meaning to analysts estimates (in other words, if SIRI met analysts estimates something different would have occurred).
    Feb 4 05:27 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Sirius Short Of Whisper Number, Why Weakness Could Follow [View article]
    First, all those issues you brought up are not our area of expertise, nor do we have any data analysis to present. We've collected earnings expectations for the past 15 years. We've analyzed that data and discovered some consistent short term trading patterns. If you think that info is of no matter, fine, to others it does have value. But there is no reason to go off on what's not in the article. Just wastes your time and ours.
    Feb 4 05:25 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Sirius Short Of Whisper Number, Why Weakness Could Follow [View article]
    FWIW the last beat we see is May 1,2012, whisper 0.00, actual 0.02
    Feb 4 04:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Sirius Short Of Whisper Number, Why Weakness Could Follow [View article]
    I don't think analysts have any credibility:

    "Why You Shouldn't Buy Those Quarterly Earnings Surprises"
    http://on.wsj.com/qZuzOV

    So even meeting analysts estimates really provides very little insight into stock direction.
    Feb 4 04:52 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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