WhisperNumber's Instablog Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been the leader in social media analytics ('crowd sourced estimates') for earnings. Receive email alerts on those companies most likely to move higher or lower when they beat or miss the whisper number. These are the Whisper Reactors. http://www.whispernumber.com/suboptions_wr.jsp When earnings season gets underway, traders, analysts and investors are watching closely to see if companies' results squared with Wall Street's expectations. Of particular interest is the "whisper number". A veteran in the business, WhisperNumber.com takes a unique approach: its earnings estimates come from regular polling of its members. The site points to independent academic studies supporting its claims that the crowd is wiser than the Wall Street priesthood (www.whispernumber.com/study.jsp). WhisperNumber.com's free registration buys voluminous information related to the profit histories of companies entering earnings season. Type a ticker into its search engine for an exhaustive earnings profile of a company, alongside a calendar of coming earnings and an education center with whisper strategies for trading. A subscription payment of $395 for six months buys access to the company's premium offering, Whisper Reactors (http://www.whispernumber.com/signIn_wr.jsp), a list of highly volatile companies whose prices show a high correlation to their earnings outcomes. WhisperNumber.com claims a variety of double-digit returns for different types of plays over holding periods of 1-to-30 days. Trading on whispers is a technical play on market psychology, rather than a bet on a company's fundamental strengths. To a technician, share price is just a market-clearing mechanism that strikes a balance between buyer greed and seller fear. WhisperNumber http://seekingalpha.com/author/whispernumber/instablog Whisper Number Impact: Earnings Preview For Lowe's http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/731864-whispernumber/1585611-whisper-number-impact-earnings-preview-for-lowe-s?source=feed 1585611 Lowe's Companies (LOW) is expected to report fiscal fourth quarter earnings on Monday, February 25th. The whisper number is $0.24, one cent ahead of the analysts' estimate. LOW has a 65% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 26 of the 40 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 26 qtrs
- Met whisper: 0 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 14 qtrs

Our primary focus is on post earnings price movement. Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report can help you determine the best action to take (long or short). In other words, we look at what happens when the company beats or misses the whisper number expectation.

The table below indicates the average post earnings price movement within a one and thirty trading day timeframe:

The strongest price movement of +3.2% comes within twenty trading days when the company reports earnings that beat the whisper number, and -6.0% within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that miss the whisper number. However, don't overlook the short term negative price movement when they beat the whisper, and short term positive price movement when they miss the whisper.

The table below indicates the most recent earnings reports and short-term price reaction:

The post earnings price movement within five trading days has been positive in all of the four most recent quarters. It did not matter if the company beat or missed the whisper number. In the comparable quarter last year, the company reported earnings one cent short of the whisper number. Following that report, the stock realized a 3.3% gain in five trading days (again seeing an opposite short term price reaction). We would label the company an opposite post earnings price reactor for short term periods (one to ten trading days), and an as expected price reactor after that period.

Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here, or let us know your expectation in the comments section below.

**********************************

Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been tracking and publishing "crowd sourced estimates" for earnings. We call these earnings expectations whisper numbers. Our whisper numbers are gained from individual investors and traders just like you that have registered with our site. While the whisper number itself is an important part of our analysis, a company's "price reaction" to beating or missing the whisper number expectation is the key. On average, companies that exceed the whisper are "rewarded," while companies that miss are "punished" following an earnings report.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

]]> Mon, 25 Feb 2013 07:42:41 -0500 Lowe's Companies (LOW) is expected to report fiscal fourth quarter earnings on Monday, February 25th. The whisper number is $0.24, one cent ahead of the analysts' estimate. LOW has a 65% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 26 of the 40 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 26 qtrs
- Met whisper: 0 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 14 qtrs

Our primary focus is on post earnings price movement. Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report can help you determine the best action to take (long or short). In other words, we look at what happens when the company beats or misses the whisper number expectation.

The table below indicates the average post earnings price movement within a one and thirty trading day timeframe:

The strongest price movement of +3.2% comes within twenty trading days when the company reports earnings that beat the whisper number, and -6.0% within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that miss the whisper number. However, don't overlook the short term negative price movement when they beat the whisper, and short term positive price movement when they miss the whisper.

The table below indicates the most recent earnings reports and short-term price reaction:

The post earnings price movement within five trading days has been positive in all of the four most recent quarters. It did not matter if the company beat or missed the whisper number. In the comparable quarter last year, the company reported earnings one cent short of the whisper number. Following that report, the stock realized a 3.3% gain in five trading days (again seeing an opposite short term price reaction). We would label the company an opposite post earnings price reactor for short term periods (one to ten trading days), and an as expected price reactor after that period.

Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here, or let us know your expectation in the comments section below.

**********************************

Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been tracking and publishing "crowd sourced estimates" for earnings. We call these earnings expectations whisper numbers. Our whisper numbers are gained from individual investors and traders just like you that have registered with our site. While the whisper number itself is an important part of our analysis, a company's "price reaction" to beating or missing the whisper number expectation is the key. On average, companies that exceed the whisper are "rewarded," while companies that miss are "punished" following an earnings report.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

]]> low earnings Whisper Number Impact: Earnings Preview For Donaldson http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/731864-whispernumber/1585561-whisper-number-impact-earnings-preview-for-donaldson?source=feed 1585561 Donaldson Company (DCI) is expected to report fiscal second quarter earnings on Monday, February 25th. The whisper number is $0.36, two cents behind the analysts' estimate. DCI has a 70% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 19 of the 27 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 19 qtrs
- Met whisper: 1 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 7 qtrs

Our primary focus is on post earnings price movement. Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report can help you determine the best action to take (long or short). In other words, we look at what happens when the company beats or misses the whisper number expectation.

The table below indicates the average post earnings price movement within a one and thirty trading day timeframe:

The strongest price movement of +3.0% comes within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that beat the whisper number, and -8.5% within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that miss the whisper number.

The table below indicates the most recent earnings reports and short-term price reaction:

The company has not seen much attention from investors over the past year as we only have one quarter with a whisper number for that period. But when the company beat the whisper in November of 2012 the price reaction was negative (not in-line with the overall average). Historical price reaction analysis indicates the company tends to see positive price movement when they report earnings that top the whisper, and negative price movement when they report earnings that fall short of the whisper number.

Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here, or let us know your expectation in the comments section below.

**********************************

Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been tracking and publishing "crowd sourced estimates" for earnings. We call these earnings expectations whisper numbers. Our whisper numbers are gained from individual investors and traders just like you that have registered with our site. While the whisper number itself is an important part of our analysis, a company's "price reaction" to beating or missing the whisper number expectation is the key. On average, companies that exceed the whisper are "rewarded," while companies that miss are "punished" following an earnings report.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

]]> Mon, 25 Feb 2013 07:41:32 -0500 Donaldson Company (DCI) is expected to report fiscal second quarter earnings on Monday, February 25th. The whisper number is $0.36, two cents behind the analysts' estimate. DCI has a 70% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 19 of the 27 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 19 qtrs
- Met whisper: 1 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 7 qtrs

Our primary focus is on post earnings price movement. Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report can help you determine the best action to take (long or short). In other words, we look at what happens when the company beats or misses the whisper number expectation.

The table below indicates the average post earnings price movement within a one and thirty trading day timeframe:

The strongest price movement of +3.0% comes within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that beat the whisper number, and -8.5% within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that miss the whisper number.

The table below indicates the most recent earnings reports and short-term price reaction:

The company has not seen much attention from investors over the past year as we only have one quarter with a whisper number for that period. But when the company beat the whisper in November of 2012 the price reaction was negative (not in-line with the overall average). Historical price reaction analysis indicates the company tends to see positive price movement when they report earnings that top the whisper, and negative price movement when they report earnings that fall short of the whisper number.

Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here, or let us know your expectation in the comments section below.

**********************************

Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been tracking and publishing "crowd sourced estimates" for earnings. We call these earnings expectations whisper numbers. Our whisper numbers are gained from individual investors and traders just like you that have registered with our site. While the whisper number itself is an important part of our analysis, a company's "price reaction" to beating or missing the whisper number expectation is the key. On average, companies that exceed the whisper are "rewarded," while companies that miss are "punished" following an earnings report.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

]]> dci earnings �Whisper Number Impact: Earnings Preview For Cooper Tire & Rubber http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/731864-whispernumber/1585501-x01whisper-number-impact-earnings-preview-for-cooper-tire-rubber?source=feed 1585501 Cooper Tire & Rubber (CTB) is expected to report fiscal fourth quarter earnings on Monday, February 25th. The whisper number is $0.84, one cent behind the analysts' estimate. CTB has a 57% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 12 of the 21 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 12 qtrs
- Met whisper: 0 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 9 qtrs

Our primary focus is on post earnings price movement. Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report can help you determine the best action to take (long or short). In other words, we look at what happens when the company beats or misses the whisper number expectation.

The table below indicates the average post earnings price movement within a one and thirty trading day timeframe:

The strongest price movement of +4.7% comes within twenty trading days when the company reports earnings that beat the whisper number, and -6.2% within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that miss the whisper number.

The table below indicates the most recent earnings reports and short-term price reaction:

(click to enlarge)

The company has not seen much attention from investors over the past eight quarters as we only have two quarters with a whisper number for that period. But when the company beat the whisper in August of 2012 the price reaction was positive (in-line with the overall average). In October of 2011 the company reported earnings short of the whisper number and the price reaction was negative (also in-line with the averages). Historical price reaction analysis indicates the company tends to see positive price movement when they report earnings ahead of the whisper, and negative price movement when they report earnings short of the whisper number.

Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here, or let us know your expectation in the comments section below.

**********************************

Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been tracking and publishing "crowd sourced estimates" for earnings. We call these earnings expectations whisper numbers. Our whisper numbers are gained from individual investors and traders just like you that have registered with our site. While the whisper number itself is an important part of our analysis, a company's "price reaction" to beating or missing the whisper number expectation is the key. On average, companies that exceed the whisper are "rewarded," while companies that miss are "punished" following an earnings report.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

]]> Mon, 25 Feb 2013 07:40:37 -0500 Cooper Tire & Rubber (CTB) is expected to report fiscal fourth quarter earnings on Monday, February 25th. The whisper number is $0.84, one cent behind the analysts' estimate. CTB has a 57% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 12 of the 21 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 12 qtrs
- Met whisper: 0 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 9 qtrs

Our primary focus is on post earnings price movement. Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report can help you determine the best action to take (long or short). In other words, we look at what happens when the company beats or misses the whisper number expectation.

The table below indicates the average post earnings price movement within a one and thirty trading day timeframe:

The strongest price movement of +4.7% comes within twenty trading days when the company reports earnings that beat the whisper number, and -6.2% within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that miss the whisper number.

The table below indicates the most recent earnings reports and short-term price reaction:

(click to enlarge)

The company has not seen much attention from investors over the past eight quarters as we only have two quarters with a whisper number for that period. But when the company beat the whisper in August of 2012 the price reaction was positive (in-line with the overall average). In October of 2011 the company reported earnings short of the whisper number and the price reaction was negative (also in-line with the averages). Historical price reaction analysis indicates the company tends to see positive price movement when they report earnings ahead of the whisper, and negative price movement when they report earnings short of the whisper number.

Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here, or let us know your expectation in the comments section below.

**********************************

Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been tracking and publishing "crowd sourced estimates" for earnings. We call these earnings expectations whisper numbers. Our whisper numbers are gained from individual investors and traders just like you that have registered with our site. While the whisper number itself is an important part of our analysis, a company's "price reaction" to beating or missing the whisper number expectation is the key. On average, companies that exceed the whisper are "rewarded," while companies that miss are "punished" following an earnings report.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

]]> ctb earnings Whisper Number Impact: Earnings Preview For Chiquita http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/731864-whispernumber/1566621-whisper-number-impact-earnings-preview-for-chiquita?source=feed 1566621 Chiquita Brands Intl. (CQB) is expected to report fiscal fourth quarter earnings this week. The whisper number is -$0.40, six cents behind the analysts' estimate. CQB has a 0% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 0 of the 3 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 0 qtrs
- Met whisper: 0 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 3 qtrs

The average price movement (starting at next market open) within 10 trading days of all earnings reports is +0.2%. The strongest price movement of +2.9% comes within ten trading days when the company reports earnings that miss the whisper number (opposite reactor).

Last quarter the company reported earnings twenty-five cents short of the whisper number. Following that report the stock realized a 4.6% gain in after hours trading, and added an additonal 12.3% in thirty trading days. Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here, or let us know your expectation in the comments section below.

Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report will help you make better trades. Many investors believe that beating or missing the whisper number has the greatest impact on stock movement. If the number is exceeded, the stock is rewarded and prices move higher. If the number is missed, the stock is punished and prices move lower. Unlike the analysts' estimate, the "whisper number" from WhisperNumber.com has actually been proven to have a greater impact on stock movement.

************************************

Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been tracking and publishing 'crowd sourced estimates' for earnings. We call these earnings expectations whisper numbers. The 'crowd' that provides us with whisper numbers are primarily individual investors and traders just like you that have registered with our site.

We are an independent financial research firm. We have no affiliations with investment banks, investment management, or corporate organizations that could compromise our data or analysis. (So no relationships with the bad guys or so-called professional analysts).

As for our data collection, methodology, and price reaction accuracy: for the past 15 years we have remained consistent with data collection and methodology, and our data has proven itself over that time. We also have two independent academic studies supporting the premise that investor expectations for quarterly earnings (our whisper numbers) provide greater returns when used as an investment vehicle, and have a greater impact on stock movement than analysts consensus estimates.

A company's 'price reaction' to the whisper number expectation is the key - on average companies that exceed the whisper are 'rewarded', while companies that miss are 'punished' following an earnings report.

According to the Wall Street Journal, "positive surprises are becoming so common they are nearly universal. They are predetermined in a cynical tango-clinch between companies and the analysts who cover them. All the numbers are gamed at this point". This is why the proprietary whisper number we provide is a more useful and viable alternative to analysts estimates.

All trading involves risk and the information presented is not intended to be a recommendation of any kind.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

]]> Tue, 19 Feb 2013 13:10:59 -0500 Chiquita Brands Intl. (CQB) is expected to report fiscal fourth quarter earnings this week. The whisper number is -$0.40, six cents behind the analysts' estimate. CQB has a 0% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 0 of the 3 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 0 qtrs
- Met whisper: 0 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 3 qtrs

The average price movement (starting at next market open) within 10 trading days of all earnings reports is +0.2%. The strongest price movement of +2.9% comes within ten trading days when the company reports earnings that miss the whisper number (opposite reactor).

Last quarter the company reported earnings twenty-five cents short of the whisper number. Following that report the stock realized a 4.6% gain in after hours trading, and added an additonal 12.3% in thirty trading days. Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here, or let us know your expectation in the comments section below.

Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report will help you make better trades. Many investors believe that beating or missing the whisper number has the greatest impact on stock movement. If the number is exceeded, the stock is rewarded and prices move higher. If the number is missed, the stock is punished and prices move lower. Unlike the analysts' estimate, the "whisper number" from WhisperNumber.com has actually been proven to have a greater impact on stock movement.

************************************

Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been tracking and publishing 'crowd sourced estimates' for earnings. We call these earnings expectations whisper numbers. The 'crowd' that provides us with whisper numbers are primarily individual investors and traders just like you that have registered with our site.

We are an independent financial research firm. We have no affiliations with investment banks, investment management, or corporate organizations that could compromise our data or analysis. (So no relationships with the bad guys or so-called professional analysts).

As for our data collection, methodology, and price reaction accuracy: for the past 15 years we have remained consistent with data collection and methodology, and our data has proven itself over that time. We also have two independent academic studies supporting the premise that investor expectations for quarterly earnings (our whisper numbers) provide greater returns when used as an investment vehicle, and have a greater impact on stock movement than analysts consensus estimates.

A company's 'price reaction' to the whisper number expectation is the key - on average companies that exceed the whisper are 'rewarded', while companies that miss are 'punished' following an earnings report.

According to the Wall Street Journal, "positive surprises are becoming so common they are nearly universal. They are predetermined in a cynical tango-clinch between companies and the analysts who cover them. All the numbers are gamed at this point". This is why the proprietary whisper number we provide is a more useful and viable alternative to analysts estimates.

All trading involves risk and the information presented is not intended to be a recommendation of any kind.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

]]> cqb earnings Whisper Number Impact: Earnings Preview For Dell http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/731864-whispernumber/1566611-whisper-number-impact-earnings-preview-for-dell?source=feed 1566611 Dell Inc. (DELL) is expected to report fiscal fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday, February 19th. The whisper number is $0.38, one cent behind the analysts' estimate. DELL has a 45% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 24 of the 53 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 24 qtrs
- Met whisper: 1 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 28 qtrs

The average price movement (starting at next market open) within 10 trading days of all earnings reports is -0.9%. The strongest price movement of -5.1% comes within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that beat the whisper number, and +1.6% within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that miss the whisper number (opposite reactor).

In the comparable quarter last year the company reported earnings in-line with the whisper number. Following that report the stock realized a 6.8% loss in after hours trading, but gained back 3.4% in five trading days. Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here, or let us know your expectation in the comments section below.

Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report will help you make better trades. Many investors believe that beating or missing the whisper number has the greatest impact on stock movement. If the number is exceeded, the stock is rewarded and prices move higher. If the number is missed, the stock is punished and prices move lower. Unlike the analysts' estimate, the "whisper number" from WhisperNumber.com has actually been proven to have a greater impact on stock movement.

************************************

Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been tracking and publishing 'crowd sourced estimates' for earnings. We call these earnings expectations whisper numbers. The 'crowd' that provides us with whisper numbers are primarily individual investors and traders just like you that have registered with our site.

We are an independent financial research firm. We have no affiliations with investment banks, investment management, or corporate organizations that could compromise our data or analysis. (So no relationships with the bad guys or so-called professional analysts).

As for our data collection, methodology, and price reaction accuracy: for the past 15 years we have remained consistent with data collection and methodology, and our data has proven itself over that time. We also have two independent academic studies supporting the premise that investor expectations for quarterly earnings (our whisper numbers) provide greater returns when used as an investment vehicle, and have a greater impact on stock movement than analysts consensus estimates.

A company's 'price reaction' to the whisper number expectation is the key - on average companies that exceed the whisper are 'rewarded', while companies that miss are 'punished' following an earnings report.

According to the Wall Street Journal, "positive surprises are becoming so common they are nearly universal. They are predetermined in a cynical tango-clinch between companies and the analysts who cover them. All the numbers are gamed at this point". This is why the proprietary whisper number we provide is a more useful and viable alternative to analysts estimates.

All trading involves risk and the information presented is not intended to be a recommendation of any kind.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

]]> Tue, 19 Feb 2013 13:10:50 -0500 Dell Inc. (DELL) is expected to report fiscal fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday, February 19th. The whisper number is $0.38, one cent behind the analysts' estimate. DELL has a 45% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 24 of the 53 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 24 qtrs
- Met whisper: 1 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 28 qtrs

The average price movement (starting at next market open) within 10 trading days of all earnings reports is -0.9%. The strongest price movement of -5.1% comes within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that beat the whisper number, and +1.6% within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that miss the whisper number (opposite reactor).

In the comparable quarter last year the company reported earnings in-line with the whisper number. Following that report the stock realized a 6.8% loss in after hours trading, but gained back 3.4% in five trading days. Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here, or let us know your expectation in the comments section below.

Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report will help you make better trades. Many investors believe that beating or missing the whisper number has the greatest impact on stock movement. If the number is exceeded, the stock is rewarded and prices move higher. If the number is missed, the stock is punished and prices move lower. Unlike the analysts' estimate, the "whisper number" from WhisperNumber.com has actually been proven to have a greater impact on stock movement.

************************************

Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been tracking and publishing 'crowd sourced estimates' for earnings. We call these earnings expectations whisper numbers. The 'crowd' that provides us with whisper numbers are primarily individual investors and traders just like you that have registered with our site.

We are an independent financial research firm. We have no affiliations with investment banks, investment management, or corporate organizations that could compromise our data or analysis. (So no relationships with the bad guys or so-called professional analysts).

As for our data collection, methodology, and price reaction accuracy: for the past 15 years we have remained consistent with data collection and methodology, and our data has proven itself over that time. We also have two independent academic studies supporting the premise that investor expectations for quarterly earnings (our whisper numbers) provide greater returns when used as an investment vehicle, and have a greater impact on stock movement than analysts consensus estimates.

A company's 'price reaction' to the whisper number expectation is the key - on average companies that exceed the whisper are 'rewarded', while companies that miss are 'punished' following an earnings report.

According to the Wall Street Journal, "positive surprises are becoming so common they are nearly universal. They are predetermined in a cynical tango-clinch between companies and the analysts who cover them. All the numbers are gamed at this point". This is why the proprietary whisper number we provide is a more useful and viable alternative to analysts estimates.

All trading involves risk and the information presented is not intended to be a recommendation of any kind.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

]]> dell earnings Whisper Number Impact: Earnings Preview For Analog Devices http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/731864-whispernumber/1566551-whisper-number-impact-earnings-preview-for-analog-devices?source=feed 1566551 Analog Devices (ADI) is expected to report fiscal first quarter earnings on Tuesday, February 19th. The whisper number is $0.45, in-line with the analysts' estimate. ADI has a 68% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 26 of the 38 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 26 qtrs
- Met whisper: 2 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 10 qtrs

The average price movement (starting at next market open) within 10 trading days of all earnings reports is +0.1%. The strongest price movement of -1.1% comes within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that beat the whisper number, and -4.3% within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that miss the whisper number (negative reactor).

In the comparable quarter last year the company reported earnings three cents short of the whisper number. Following that report the stock realized a 1.6% loss in five trading days. Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here, or let us know your expectation in the comments section below.

Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report will help you make better trades. Many investors believe that beating or missing the whisper number has the greatest impact on stock movement. If the number is exceeded, the stock is rewarded and prices move higher. If the number is missed, the stock is punished and prices move lower. Unlike the analysts' estimate, the "whisper number" from WhisperNumber.com has actually been proven to have a greater impact on stock movement.

************************************

Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been tracking and publishing 'crowd sourced estimates' for earnings. We call these earnings expectations whisper numbers. The 'crowd' that provides us with whisper numbers are primarily individual investors and traders just like you that have registered with our site.

We are an independent financial research firm. We have no affiliations with investment banks, investment management, or corporate organizations that could compromise our data or analysis. (So no relationships with the bad guys or so-called professional analysts).

As for our data collection, methodology, and price reaction accuracy: for the past 15 years we have remained consistent with data collection and methodology, and our data has proven itself over that time. We also have two independent academic studies supporting the premise that investor expectations for quarterly earnings (our whisper numbers) provide greater returns when used as an investment vehicle, and have a greater impact on stock movement than analysts consensus estimates.

A company's 'price reaction' to the whisper number expectation is the key - on average companies that exceed the whisper are 'rewarded', while companies that miss are 'punished' following an earnings report.

According to the Wall Street Journal, "positive surprises are becoming so common they are nearly universal. They are predetermined in a cynical tango-clinch between companies and the analysts who cover them. All the numbers are gamed at this point". This is why the proprietary whisper number we provide is a more useful and viable alternative to analysts estimates.

All trading involves risk and the information presented is not intended to be a recommendation of any kind.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

]]> Tue, 19 Feb 2013 13:10:41 -0500 Analog Devices (ADI) is expected to report fiscal first quarter earnings on Tuesday, February 19th. The whisper number is $0.45, in-line with the analysts' estimate. ADI has a 68% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 26 of the 38 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 26 qtrs
- Met whisper: 2 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 10 qtrs

The average price movement (starting at next market open) within 10 trading days of all earnings reports is +0.1%. The strongest price movement of -1.1% comes within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that beat the whisper number, and -4.3% within thirty trading days when the company reports earnings that miss the whisper number (negative reactor).

In the comparable quarter last year the company reported earnings three cents short of the whisper number. Following that report the stock realized a 1.6% loss in five trading days. Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here, or let us know your expectation in the comments section below.

Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report will help you make better trades. Many investors believe that beating or missing the whisper number has the greatest impact on stock movement. If the number is exceeded, the stock is rewarded and prices move higher. If the number is missed, the stock is punished and prices move lower. Unlike the analysts' estimate, the "whisper number" from WhisperNumber.com has actually been proven to have a greater impact on stock movement.

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Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been tracking and publishing 'crowd sourced estimates' for earnings. We call these earnings expectations whisper numbers. The 'crowd' that provides us with whisper numbers are primarily individual investors and traders just like you that have registered with our site.

We are an independent financial research firm. We have no affiliations with investment banks, investment management, or corporate organizations that could compromise our data or analysis. (So no relationships with the bad guys or so-called professional analysts).

As for our data collection, methodology, and price reaction accuracy: for the past 15 years we have remained consistent with data collection and methodology, and our data has proven itself over that time. We also have two independent academic studies supporting the premise that investor expectations for quarterly earnings (our whisper numbers) provide greater returns when used as an investment vehicle, and have a greater impact on stock movement than analysts consensus estimates.

A company's 'price reaction' to the whisper number expectation is the key - on average companies that exceed the whisper are 'rewarded', while companies that miss are 'punished' following an earnings report.

According to the Wall Street Journal, "positive surprises are becoming so common they are nearly universal. They are predetermined in a cynical tango-clinch between companies and the analysts who cover them. All the numbers are gamed at this point". This is why the proprietary whisper number we provide is a more useful and viable alternative to analysts estimates.

All trading involves risk and the information presented is not intended to be a recommendation of any kind.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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