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  • Hold These Two Food Companies For Safe Dividends

    The food sector has been experiencing volatile commodity prices, which has led to stagnant growth in the top line and fluctuating margins and profitability. Kellogg Co (NYSE:K) and Kraft Food Groups, Inc. (NASDAQ:KRFT) have seen this impact in the recent quarter, and both are finding challenges in growing the top line. Despite these challenges, cash flows all over the industry have remained strong, leading to healthy mergers and acquisitions activity in various sections of the supply chain. Companies in this industry are continually working on divestitures, acquisitions, cost cutting and innovations to optimize operations for higher top and bottom line growth.

    Possessing the ability to generate strong free cash flow and liquidity, food sector companies can successfully navigate their way through difficult operating cycles. Fitch expects low to mid single-digit top line growth with a higher growth rate among companies with heavier emerging market exposure. Fitch also believes that global packaged food companies can leverage their capital structures to uphold current credit ratings despite macroeconomic factors such as high unemployment and reduction.

    In this article, I came up with two of the best operating companies in the packaged food industry: General Mills Inc. (GIS) and McCormick & Company (MKC). Let's dig into both company's business models, business strategies and financial statements to see whether they fit with Fitch's high ratings for this industry. Additionally, I'll look at their ability to sustain returns for investors to identify whether they are good stocks to hold for steady gains.

    How General Mills Is an Attractive Stock to Hold

    General Mills has recently announced an increase of 8% in its dividends. The recent increase takes its quarterly dividend to $0.41/share. It has paid dividends over the past 115 years without any interruption. It is truly a stock for conservative investors. Operating in the consumer foods industry, General Mills manufactures and markets branded and unbranded food products to the foodservice and commercial baking industries. In order to generate consistent growth, the company has been continually looking for acquisitions to expand its product portfolio. Its recent acquisitions, particularly an international yogurt business, will strengthen its product portfolio and revenue base.

    General Mills wants to achieve consistent mid single-digit growth in the top line and high single-digit growth in the bottom line. To achieve this growth, General Mills seeks to strengthen its product offering with acquisitions and innovations and plans to enter higher growth markets. It has a strong lineup of consumer-focused news and differential product innovation, including new cereals, new yogurt items, and comprehensive plans for other key categories, including baking products, dinner mixes, and snacks. General Mills supports its product offerings with strong marketing campaigns and by enhancing operational efficiencies to support margins.

    These tactics have been working for General Mills as it has been generating consistent growth with its plans. The company wants to generate earning per share in the range of $2.87 to $2.90 in 2014, which will be well above from the recent year's earnings per share of $2.79. Consistent growth in revenue and earnings enhances its cash generating potential. The company's operating cash flows will more than cover capital investments and dividend payments. In the trailing 12 months, its operating cash flows are at $2.5 billion when capital expenditure is at $618 million, and dividend payments are at $984 million. The strength of its cash generating potential allows it to work on a buyback program. It is aggressively reducing outstanding shares, which should impact share price and dividends in a positive way. General Mills is a safe stock for a dividend portfolio.

    How McCormick & Company Is an Attractive Stock to Hold

    McCormick & Company is engaged in the manufacturing, marketing and distribution of seasoning mixes, spices, condiments and many other flavorful products in the food industry. McCormick has significant global exposure, as approximately 40% of its sales are coming from outside the United States. Using a straightforward strategy, the company operates in two business segments: industrial and consumer. Its strategy is to consistently invest in its business to generate top and bottom line growth in combination with cost-cutting measures from its Comprehensive Continuous Improvement [CCI] program.

    As per its CCI program, McCormick is working on improving efficiency and reducing costs to enhance margins. Further, it's keeping its focus on category growth, new distribution and share gains, acquisitions and innovations. The company plans to use cost savings to support investments in growth opportunities as well as enhancing its marketing activities. In 2013, McCormick spent around $13 million on marketing. Employing these supporting activities, its long-term goal is to grow the top line by 4% to 6%, operating income by 7% to 9% and earnings per share by 9% to 11%.

    The company is current on its plan. It has generated 3% growth in sales while earnings per share were below its expectations because of retirement benefit expenses. Still, it grew the bottom line by 3%. Its recent acquisitions added considerable value to revenues. Wuhan Asia-Pacific Condiments Co. (WAPC) added $30 million to sales and further strengthened its position in Chinese markets. However, with its CCI program, the company expects to generate high single-digit growth in earnings per share in 2014.

    Looking at cash-generating potential reveals more facts about McCormick's dividend stability. In the last year, it generated $465 million in operating cash flows. Its capital expenditure was at $100 million, and free cash flows were at $365 million. Its free cash flows provide adequate cover to its dividend payments of only $180 million. Its dividends look completely safe as free cash flows are covering dividends. Further, with a consistent growth in revenues and earnings in 2014, the company will likely make another increase in dividends.

    In Conclusion

    Both companies are strongly working on cost savings and enhancing operational efficiencies to reduce the impact of a slowdown in top line growth. Both companies have diversified business models, have global exposure and strong brand recognition, which allows them to generate strong organic growth. Their cash flows have been strong enough to cover dividend payments, which make their dividends completely safe. I believe both companies are in a solid position to sustain their dividends.

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

    Mar 21 1:40 PM | Link | Comment!
  • Warren Buffett Keeps Betting On Stable Dividend Giants

    Warren Buffett is the CEO, chairman of the board and one of the largest shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B). After completing his MBA in 1951 at the age of 21, he worked at various investment firms. These days, Buffet is known more for his concentration on insurance businesses. These businesses are usually steady and predictable, and generate a decent annual cash flow in any economic environment. Buffett joined Berkshire in 1965, and by 1990, had entered into the billionaire's club. By 2008, he was the richest man in the globe, with $62 billion in assets.

    It's a common strategy among investors to favor stocks that are or were, for a time, undervalued but have upside potential. These they hold until the market eventually starts to favor them again, in order to reach their fair value. Buffett, on the other hand, isn't worried with the supply and demand ins and outs of the stock market. In fact, Buffett displays no anxiety about the behavior of the stock market at all. Instead, his philosophy is that in the short run, the market is a popularity contest while in the long run, it is a weighing machine. Buffett thinks like a dividend investor.

    Buffett's strategy is to look for stocks with strong business models, and high overall potential as companies. He holds them for the long-term while seeking a constant stream of income from their dividends combined with the capital gains these quality stocks offer. Buffett takes ownership in quality companies well-capable of generating strong top and bottom line growth, and with the potential to generate massive cash flows. He invests in companies that can make money as businesses, and that are fairly well-insulated from new competition or technological obsolescence.

    Using this strategy, Berkshire Hathaway shares rose an impressive by 42% from 2007 to 2011 when the S&P 500 lost 1% of its value. Buffett's portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 in 24 out of the past 30 years. In that time, he has garnered an 18% annualized return, compared to an 11% annualized return for the S&P 500.

    Buffett's recent filing with the SEC reaffirms his successful image. Berkshire Hathaway has initiated a new position in three companies and also sold out three: The Washington Post Company (WPO), DISH NETWORK CORPORATION (NASDAQ:DISH), and GlaxoSmithKline PLC (NYSE:GSK). He raised their stakes in seven stocks, and most of them are offering dividend growth potential with steady capital gains, including Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM), Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) and General Electric (NYSE:GE). This portfolio is heavy on those industries with companies that offer to generate both top and bottom line growth, but are also well diversified, and this portfolio is mainly focused on financial (42%), consumer goods (21.8%), technology (15.2%) and services (6.1%) companies. The biggest investments include some of the most popular blue chips known to Wall Street. Here's a look at Berkshire's top eight stocks:


    Shares Held

    Percent of Portfolio

    Dividend Yield

    The Annual Dividend

    Wells Fargo & Company





    Coca-Cola Company





    International Business Machine





    American Express Company















    Exxon Mobil Corp





    US Bancorp






    These top picks are safe for investors and offer healthy returns. Below, I discuss Buffet's top two picks in the recent quarter-they are the two I like the most for dividend investors. These are Wells Fargo & Company and General Electric. He has increased a stake in Wells Fargo by adding additional 0.32 million shares while he showed significant trust in the General Electric's strength by increasing shares to 10 million. I strongly believe that these two stocks have the ability to sustain returns for investors.

    How Wells Fargo & Company is a Safe Investment

    Wells Fargo & Company is a nationwide, diversified, community-based financial services company. They provide investments, banking, insurance, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance through over 9,000 stores and 12,000 ATMs, as well as online. The company seeks to satisfy all its customers' financial needs and to help them succeed financially.

    To accomplish this vision, the Wells Fargo's business strategy is to increase the number of its financial products so that customers' needs are anticipated and fulfilled. Its cross-sell strategy, diversified business model, and the breadth of its geographic reach help growth in both strong and feeble economic environments. In addition to expanding its product line, Wells Fargo is constantly grabbing opportunities to grow by gaining new customers in extended markets and increasing market share in many businesses. These successful strategies continue to help solidify the company's position as a leader in the financial services sector.

    With a diversified business model, the company had generated outstanding growth in 2013, including strong growth in deposits and loans, and double-digit growth in earnings. At the end of the full year, it has generated earnings of $21.9 billion. Net income and diluted earnings per share increased at a double-digit rate of 16% compared with the past year. Further, the recent quarter was the company's 16th successive quarter of EPS growth. With such record top and bottom line growth, its cash-generating potential is also expanding. Consequently, the company has been able to increase dividends by 500 times over the past five years. Still, its payout ratio of only 28% is offering a lot of room to make further increases in dividends. Its cash flows demonstrate a similar trend. In TTM, its free cash flows are at $8.8 billion while dividend payments account for only at $6.4 billion. This allows Wells Fargo to not only make more dividend payments but also offers room to aggressively work on a buyback program and to invest in growth opportunities. Wells Fargo is well-set to generate big profits in 2014 with strong earnings generating power and capital levels, and a better overall economic outlook.

    How General Electric is a Safe Investment

    General Electric provides expertise, capital and infrastructure for a world economy. The company builds lighting, appliances, power systems and many other products that help people to build homes, factories, offices and retail facilities. GE also offers financing services to businesses and consumers to build their financial futures. After experiencing a huge collapse in business model during the depression that began in 2007, GE started to restructure its business and began to strengthen its core while reducing its dependency on GE Capital. The company started to spend more on research to protect its brand while looking to capture new markets in China, India, Brazil, Australia and other locations. In order to focus more on its core business, the company started to make acquisitions and dispositions of assets. During this process, the company made many acquisitions including Avio Aero and Lufkin Industries, a leading supplier of artificial lift technologies, and forged a partnership with XD Electric Group in China to provide high voltage transmission and grid automation equipment and services. In other news, it is looking to reduce financial sales to 30% of sales overall.

    These years of effort have started to show results. At the end of fiscal 2013, the company generated strong operating performance by taking $1.6 billion of cost out, growing operating earnings by 9%, reducing the size of GE Capital, and returning more than $18 billion to shareholders in the form of buy-backs and dividends. In 2014, the company continues to strengthen its balance sheet, reducing non-core assets while adding new innovations to its portfolio and working on cost-out efforts to the tune of more than $1 billion. The company is also paying consistently increasing dividends which have the complete protection of free cash flows.


    Buffett's investing style is remarkably safe and worthy of being adopted by conservative and dividend investors. I personally recommend his book, The Warren Buffett Way, to those who are serious about the stock market or retirement, or those who simply work too hard to let their money be lazy.

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

    Feb 18 2:11 PM | Link | Comment!
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