MARKET CURRENTS
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MARKET CURRENTS
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Today - Wednesday, June 19
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12:59 PM Sonoco Products (SON -1.4%) is downgraded to Neutral from Outperform with an amended price objective of $37 by Robert W. Baird, which says that while SON management is pursuing the right strategy of portfolio optimization and a bias toward share buybacks, YTD share outperformance has left the risk-reward ratio less compelling. Comment!
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12:26 PM Richard Zeits sees a potential double or triple for Penn Virginia (PVA +1.3%) in the next 2-3 years, citing the market's failure to fully appreciate PVA's transformational Eagle Ford acquisition. PVA is "akin to an LBO situation," Zeits writes: quality assets with significant potential upside, a focused business plan, and in-place financing where "disciplined and effective operational execution may lead to substantial rewards." Comment!
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12:12 PM Noble Energy (NBL +1%) moves higher as a group of Israeli cabinet members, including the finance and energy ministers, approve the export of 40% of natural gas from the offshore Leviathan field; the decision needs full cabinet approval next week. The ministers estimate the exports will bring $60B to Israel’s economy in the next 20 years. The quota doesn’t apply to the neighboring Tamar field, also operated by NBL. Comment!
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11:56 AM Cyprus and Israel's Delek Drilling (DK, DKDRF.OB) are in talks about developing a $10B liquefied natural gas terminal on the island to tap the east Mediterranean's vast gas discoveries and serve buyers in Europe and Asia. A delegation from Delek, which is developing Israel's giant Leviathan and Tamar gas fields with Noble Energy (NBL), recently visited Cyprus to discuss the project. 1 Comment
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11:31 AM Superior Energy (SPN +0.8%) is initiated with an Outperform rating and $34 target price at Cowen, which believes SPN stands to benefit from strategic entrances into international markets, growth in North American unconventional drilling activity, and strengthening activity in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico. Comment!
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11:20 AM Patriot Coal (PCXCQ.OB) says a restructuring plan that would pump hundreds of millions of dollars into the company is in the works, thanks to the help of two key creditors that are discussing backstopping a rights offering of new equity. 1 Comment
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10:56 AM Heard at Bloomberg's energy forum: The U.S. shale bonanza is seen as overdone, and the U.S. will continue to need crude from Canada’s oil sands because rising production from U.S. shale formations is too expensive to maintain. The U.S. is "still importing a lot of oil... I don’t see U.S. oil self-sufficiency, perhaps, ever," says the head of Devon Energy's (DVN) Canadian division. Comment!
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10:36 AM Iraq's Kurds are set to complete a new oil pipeline to Turkey which could export more than 1M bbl/day by 2015, a move sure to provoke further anger from the Baghdad government as the autonomous region increases control over oil resources in its region. The plan is backed by Turkey, and Genel Energy (GEGYF.PK) is thought to be planning to send its Taq Taq output through the pipeline. Comment!
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9:57 AM Diamondback Energy's (FANG +1%) target is raised to $42 from $35 at Wunderlich, whose increased confidence in the Wolfcamp B formation and FANG's potential in four other zones for the future cause it to raise its price target multiple to account for the increased value. Also, FANG says its stock offering priced at a 0.7% discount to Tuesday's close and was boosted to 6M shares. Comment!
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9:44 AM Mexico is on the brink of ending a near 80-year monopoly in its oil and gas industry, as the government proposes opening up to profit-sharing deals and JVs to allow the exploration of increasingly difficult reserves. Pemex is known for inefficiency, corruption and large losses, but as a national symbol for many Mexicans, any moves are likely to involve liberalizing, not privatizing. 3 Comments
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9:22 AM The U.K.'s BG Group (BRGYY.PK) reportedly has applied with Canadian authorities for a license to export liquefied natural gas from British Columbia, which could make it the fourth project to be granted export permission from Canada. Known as Prince Rupert LNG, the proposal calls for the first two of three planned liquefaction trains capable of processing 3.3B cu. ft./day to start up by 2021. Comment!
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9:12 AM Imperial Oil (IMO) says it will convert its crude oil refinery in Dartmouth, Nova Scotia into a terminal operation after failing to find a buyer willing to operate the refinery. IMO expects to record a Q2 charge of up to ~C$280M related to the conversion. IMO already operates terminal facilities in Dartmouth as well as in four other locations in Atlantic Canada. Comment!
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8:55 AM Linn Energy (LINE) and LinnCo (LNCO) are upgraded to Outperform at Howard Weil, which believes the Berry Petroleum (BRY) merger could be a great catalyst, providing improved organic targets and an oilier profile. While LINN's primary focus is closing the BRY deal, H2 could prove exciting with an improved organic growth program and the potential for additional large acquisitions. LINE +1.6% premarket. 7 Comments
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8:46 AM Statoil (STO) says it is on track to reach its Norway production targets of more than 1.4M bbl/day of oil and 2.5M boe/day in 2020. STO's production guidance for FY 2013 also stays firm and is expected to be lower than in the previous year. STO produced more than 2T boe in FY 2012. (also) Comment!
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8:32 AM Petrobras (PBR) says it could team with Sinopec (SNP) to build a refinery in the Brazilian state of Maranhao that would help reduce heavy imports of gasoline and diesel. Brazil desperately needs to increase refining capacity as growing consumption of gasoline and diesel outpaces current processing capacity. PBR earlier announced a similar study to build a refinery in nearby Ceara state with South Korea's GS Energy. Comment!
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8:06 AM Statoil (STO) says it made a significant discovery of light, high-quality oil at the Harpoon prospect offshore Newfoundland, the first of a three-well exploration campaign in the area. Harpoon is located ~10 km southeast of STO's Mizzen discovery, which is believed to hold 100M-200M barrels of oil. Comment!
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7:54 AM Tetra Tech (TTEK) -10.2% premarket after saying yesterday it expects to post an FQ3 loss due to higher than expected restructuring costs related to its eastern Canada and mining operations. Brean Capital downgrades TTEK to Hold from Buy, noting the pre-announcement implies that it will be several quarters before the company regains its footing in terms of overall profitability. Comment!
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3:12 AM The WSJ carries an expose of how traders manipulate the spot market for oil, with Halis Bektas from Switzerland, for example, admitting that he will sell a small amount of oil at a loss to drive down the benchmark price and then buy shiploads at the lower cost. McGraw Hill Financial (MHFI) unit Platts, which sets the benchmark by relying on information that traders provide about their deals, said that it's not aware of such manipulation and that its staff are trained to ignore unusual pricing. Comment!
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