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Of the 27 EU nations, 23 have agreed to tighten their fiscal coordination, though leaders remain...
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Friday, December 9, 2011, 1:39 AM ETOf the 27 EU nations, 23 have agreed to tighten their fiscal coordination, though leaders remain deeply divided on the details of their crisis strategy. The U.K. will stand aside, while Hungary, Sweden and the Czech Republic have reserved their positions. All 17 eurozone nations are participating.
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This serious division of intent between the UK and the continental EU member States was well understood going into the Thursday and Friday EU summit meeting and the outcome of UK continuing membership in the EU but in isolation from all but two or three other member States under the new arrangements was always the likely outcome.
The test now will be whether the new EU accord will be supported by (a) domestic resolve to make it work on the part of the continental EU States and Ireland, with the support of the ECB and IMF, by cooperation of the central banks of the leading global economies and by the markets.
Fortunately, the EU has currently configured will have collapsed in a year, so the new rules can soon be buried and forgotten.
I would not be so sure
The question is whether the IMF and ECB will see their way clear to now backstop the Eurozone nations’ sovereign debt and economic and fiscal stability and reform pending the hammering out of the new accord amongst the EU nations minus the UK. Arguably the answer will be yes to this and to the question of whether the EU nations approach of proceeding with a new accord or treaty beyond the confines of the Lisbon Treaty despite UK objections – too much is now at stake for the answer to either question to be no.
More murky are the questions concerning the future place of the UK and “the City” (i.e. London’s investment banks) within Europe and indeed globally in the face of the UK breach with its EU partners.
The following articles probe various aspects of the forgoing.
http://bit.ly/vhWXXH
http://econ.st/tE8LL3
http://bit.ly/uGdztt
http://bit.ly/vEHzjG
http://bit.ly/vl5HWb
http://bit.ly/tiGcTs