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The official statement from the EU summit is a bureaucrat's dream of rules, triggers,...
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Friday, December 9, 2011, 7:08 AM ETThe official statement from the EU summit is a bureaucrat's dream of rules, triggers, levels, and mechanisms. The proposal creates far stricter rules over member state budgets, with greater EU oversight over nations that stray, and looks like a first step towards ultimate fiscal union. It's not hard to see why the U.K.'s Cameron ran the other way.
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The question is whether the IMF and ECB will see their way clear to now backstop the Eurozone nations’ sovereign debt and economic and fiscal stability and reform pending the hammering out of the new accord amongst the EU nations minus the UK. Arguably the answer will be yes to this and to the question of whether the EU nations approach of proceeding with a new accord or treaty beyond the confines of the Lisbon Treaty despite UK objections – too much is now at stake for the answer to either question to be no.
More murky are the questions concerning the future place of the UK and “the City” (i.e. London’s investment banks) within Europe and indeed globally in the face of the UK breach with its EU partners.
The following articles probe various aspects of the forgoing.
http://bit.ly/vhWXXH
http://econ.st/tE8LL3
http://bit.ly/uGdztt
http://bit.ly/vEHzjG
http://bit.ly/vl5HWb
http://bit.ly/tiGcTs
http://bit.ly/sQtmYO
Clearly the UK will have to think long and hard about the relationship it wants to have with an EU that is clearly acquiring quasi-federal characteristics. It is counterproductive for it to stand alone in opposition to such further political integration and the resultant loss of national sovereignty of member States and, if the UK truly wants to retain the benefits of the common market while rejecting further political integration, then it must devise a new special status proposal and persuade its EU partners why such an associate but not full membership status for the UK is in the interests of all concerned. If the UK implicitly rejects political integration but does not actively develop a creditable associate State status proposal (i.e. spelling out the benefits the UK expects to enjoy and the EU costs, burdens and expenses of associate membership that the UK in turn is prepared to bare), then the UK faces the unpalatable prospect of being effectively marginalized in the councils of the EU or withdrawing on bad terms into a distinctly not splendid isolation.
They have now agreed to do what they promised to do the first time, look for it to fall apart as soon as Germany doesn't get their way, takes their toys, and leaves the sandbox again.
Look for the US/UK Union to rival the marriage of the EU leftovers, it's on paper already, Revision 4, almost complete.