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Initial Jobless Claims: -2K to 351K vs. +4K consensus. Continuing claims -2K to 3.4M.
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Thursday, March 1, 2012, 8:29 AM ETInitial Jobless Claims: -2K to 351K vs. +4K consensus. Continuing claims -2K to 3.4M.
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Quibbling over the direction when 20 feet underwater is what Big Brother governments do. We need to be moving to the surface, not flapping around drowning.
So is Germany socialist? German government spending is a much higher percentage of GDP than in the States. Every German resident is covered by the tax financed health care systerm.
So Socialist Germany is running around the capitalist States ...
Hmm ...
The real key report today was the drop in real personal income. Sure people are finding some jobs, but they pay much less. The key again will be next Friday. If the participation rate and employment to population ratio continue to decline, then the claims data isn't showing the full picture. The long term decline in participation rate among HS educated and higher and long term rise in less than HS educated workforce participation should be worrying everyone.
Another aspect....Gallup's employment poll which tends to lead the BLS reports by ~4-6 weeks is showing a rise in the U-6 and U-3 (not seasonally adjusted) numbers. Whether that will play out next Friday we will see.
Additionally, jobs simply aren't being created fast enough to meet population growth. 18-24 yr olds are looking at a near 50% unemployment rate....they aren't counted in the weekly numbers if they have never held a job, and only show up in the Not In Labor Force which has exploded past the 88 million mark.