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Greece will probably need to restructure its debt again, says Moritz Kraemer, head of sovereign...
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Thursday, March 29, 2012, 4:19 AM ETGreece will probably need to restructure its debt again, says Moritz Kraemer, head of sovereign ratings at S&P. In the meantime, the fact that some official creditors are claiming preferred status is complicating Greece's ability to lower its borrowing costs and return to bond markets.
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First the Greeks consumed bad debt to revel in a lie and live well beyond their means.
Now bad debt will consume the Greeks for at least a decade; force them to repent in truth and live within their means. Of course they will have company: Spain, Portugal, Japan , Bicoastal US.
Greece is the paradigm for much of the West, not the abnorm.
Greece isn't defaulting because it wants to. In fact I suspect its a bit of a stretch to call this a default at all. This was the bankers taking over the country, reissuing its debt under laws favorable to them.
If Greece had the balls and the intelligence to default, I guarantee you it would not have looked like this.
Unfortunately for the Greek people Greece was the firewall used to protect Europe and the Euro from wholesale collapse.
That said, in order for Greece to make good on this bailout it will have to grow GDP by some 4%+ within 2 years. Considering this wasn't really a default and that austerity is still being increased, the chances of Greece NOT defaulting in 2 years are about as good as my chances at making a hole in water.
Had this been an actual default, and had debt been repudiated, perhaps Greece could have generated the numbers necessitated by this bailout to make good on its payments, but that ship has sailed.
Then bring in his " voodoo economics" as there is really no other way out. Why, because Ben B has a fiduciary job printing somewhere else !
Then they will use some sort of collateral that they have already used an borrow from someone with it ! Or they'll be like Argentina ! So, they will always be there ,but, the haircuts to most will be 100%
The IMF is very cut-throat, if they have already excepted loans from them.....then their problems are going to be a long way from being over.
Just like we were told early in 2008 that this was contained.