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Apple (AAPL) investors need to take a breather, says BTIG, downgrading the stock to Neutral from...
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Monday, April 9, 2012, 7:21 AM ETApple (AAPL) investors need to take a breather, says BTIG, downgrading the stock to Neutral from Buy, despite its expectations for another consensus-destroying quarter. Topping concerns is the sustainability of the iPhone price ($600) given the post-paid wireless industry's plan to slow the pace of phone upgrades. Shares -1.4% premarket.
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This news story has 12 comments:
Just because you are tired doesn't mean Apple and it's investors are.
Go ahead take a nap we are moving on.
I have yet to purchase an Apple product myself but will be one of the first to jump on the iPhone 5 when it's released. All of the iPhone purchases have been former Droid owners and won't likely be going back for the foreseeable future. Apple has momentum and earnings that back up share appreciation. No slow-down is eminent.
Therefore, when BTIG uses the word "need", it is pure crap.
In some sense, the more rationality and logic one applies in reaching conclusions, the more apt one is likely to be disappointed in the outcome. The manner in which technology has been incorporated into markets has fostered new behaviors and, in turn, leads to more money managers adapting game theory techniques.
For example, why would AAPL have a brief spurt yesterday, only to close lower? Suppose a program detects a lot of uncovered short calls held, presumptively, by weak hands. Given that one has sufficient leverage, it wouldn't take much to create a squeeze to create quick cover. Buying calls into the up move, and then shorting the down move, and you're celebrating with your hedge fund pals.
Of course, that's speculative-and any number of explanations could account for that move. I paid particular attention to the move because (a)I wasn't playing golf, and (b)I have a number of option positions weighted against an uptick. (Interestingly enough, had I not been glued to the screen, I would have returned after hours to observe that my bear call spreads had actually made money). The mere act of observation could have caused me to take remedial action-which would have been unproductive (unless I traded long calls against the credit spread).
My point is that blindly utilizing traditional financial metrics may or may not yield traditional outcomes-particularly for those that have the attention span of a gnat. If you seek to be a traditional investor, that's fine. But, just know that rational approaches are worth less now than ever-and that this is due, to a large extent, not to some blanket irrationality, but to new trading methodologies. And, if you can refrain from waging an emotional and ineffectual battle against this phenomenon, you can devise and deploy your own strategies to protect and preserve your financial interests.