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"You have stretched the rubber band ... as much as you can," says an analyst, not expecting...
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Monday, May 7, 2012, 10:07 AM ET"You have stretched the rubber band ... as much as you can," says an analyst, not expecting utilities to switch from coal to natural gas much more after coal accounted for just 37% of electricity production in February (46% a year ago). Cheap gas can actually hurt some power producers as it drives down wholesale prices faster than costs.
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I am seeing freezes proclaimed by utilities as a preventative measure to avoid rate decreases. In this economic environment where consumer power is minimal, I don't fear decreased utility earnings due to falling gas prices, but rather an earnings upside where coal is replaced by gas or where coal contracts are renegotiated.
But, watch rail volume for decreases in coal tonnage.
http://cbsn.ws/JcaJgc