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Despite reports of softish demand from institutions for Facebook's (FB) IPO, it's a different...
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Monday, May 14, 2012, 8:59 AM ETDespite reports of softish demand from institutions for Facebook's (FB) IPO, it's a different story with retail investors, says IPO Boutique's Scott Sweet. "Early channel checks just completed, are revealing huge retail interest...many with extremely large orders," says Sweet.
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Assuming that out of its over 900 million users everone wants to own 1 facebook share (which is obviously not the case) then we have a demand creation of 3 :1, implying that the price will rise post IPO immediatley to 90 USD and then a further increase to 120 USD before it looses momentum.....Facebook Prospectus- EPS of .49 cents in 2011 and a projected earnings of .50 cents implies a 80 times targeted offer price of 35 USD. I believe that within minutes of the IPO the stock price will rise to 90 USD and then to 120 USD before it looses momentum but will not return to 35 USD but stay above USD 60.....No risk no fun....Like like make paupers of some and millioniares of others...