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An outstanding interactive chart of the 10-year Treasury yield vs. the Fed's various stimulus...
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Wednesday, June 20, 2012, 8:36 AM ETAn outstanding interactive chart of the 10-year Treasury yield vs. the Fed's various stimulus programs shows one pretty clear trend: Sell Treasurys while QE is underway and buy them back when QE ends.
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Treasury yields clearly rose sharply while both QE1 and QE2 were underway, and fell fast once the programs were halted.
The reasoning is that QE is stimulative, hence yields rise. The withdrawal of QE is relatively restrictive, thus yields fall back down.
Yields went up during QE
And my hedge using TLT has been good so far...
Looks like it is time to sell
Dave
Long TLT ... But not for long