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Caterpillar (CAT -4.6%) leads the DJIA lower (-0.8%) after Cummins slashes its 2012 outlook. Joy...
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Tuesday, July 10, 2012, 2:42 PM ETCaterpillar (CAT -4.6%) leads the DJIA lower (-0.8%) after Cummins slashes its 2012 outlook. Joy Global (JOY -6%) tumbles as well. The XLI -1.8%. More from Cummins (CMI): "Order trends in the U.S. for trucks and power generation equipment have softened and demand in Brazil, China, and India is not improving." Ouch.
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Earnings up, orders up, backlog huge, P/E low, dividend high.
The big guys are buying your CAT stock as you sell it off cheap, silly people! Dividend pay-out in a few days too.
Look back to 2008 when commodity prices collapsed and everyone cancelled orders and shelved projects. CAT was literally giving equipment away to get people to place orders for delivery.
I know this because Osisko financed their mine in early 2009 and I was told that they literally saved hundreds of millions of dollars because equipment suppliers order books dried up.
That is what makes it a value trap. While it looks cheap if you look at the economic climate there is a reason for the low PE. People are discounting the potential for a slowdown and order cancellations.