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Questions following Apple's (AAPL) FQ3: 1) Is Samsung's Galaxy S III having a big impact on...
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Tuesday, July 24, 2012, 11:29 PM ETQuestions following Apple's (AAPL) FQ3: 1) Is Samsung's Galaxy S III having a big impact on international iPhone sales? 2) How much is the iPhone shortfall the result of iPhone 4 users, who have begun to see their contracts end, viewing the 4S as an incremental upgrade, and (unlike 3GS users) preferring to wait? 3) Do the results further motivate Apple to reach iPhone deals with China Mobile, NTT DoCoMo, and other missing carriers? Nasdaq futures -0.9% overnight. (more) (transcript)
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From the folks I know and that are really into electronics - the competition is catching up.
It was the analysts who were wrong, not Tim Cook. Apple is totally secretive. The analysts are either self serving or incompetent or perhaps a bit of both. All of the "amateurs" totally missed also.
Tim is no Steve Jobs, but I'm not sure Apple would be faring any better, if Steve were still in charge. Steve believed that the competitors would be required to respect Apples's IP. Instead Apple has to fight tooth and nail for the smallest victory. If Samsung and Google are so great, why didn't they have a iPhone type device before Apple.
Apple has favorable decisions against Samsung, Motorola, and HTC in various venues, but the incessant appeal process goes on.
By end of September, we will find out who is right in the major Samsung trial in California. However, whoever loses is sure to appeal. Samsung will never give in as a matter of "face". The CEO's biography quotes him as saying Samsung caught up with the competition by copying.
I'm not a technology person and can only relay what those around me say/do. I see more and more people that are very happy with other devices and the few folks that I know that are really into these things say there simply isn't a gap any more in terms of functionality and usage.
I've read that perhaps this new I-phone is going to cause problems with some of the things you plug into your phone - something I don't believe would have happened if Jobs were still running the show.
But the nice thing is that time will tell.
This chart sort of says it all:
http://bit.ly/SDsOtC
That chart is misleading. It reflects aggregate Android sales as a % of the total VERSUS iPhone (a single company and brand). In other words, it reflects Apple/iPhone versus the whole Android offering as if it were one company (which we know t is not) implying that the brand Apple/iPhone is losing ground. If you are going to show charts like this then you should show the following to give a complete picture:
1. The % of Total Smartphone Sales by company/brand
2. The % of Total Smartphone Profits by company brand
That will tell it all. You will find that iPhone completely dominates the profitability arena versus all the Android companies (even viewed in aggregate like the chart you show). Which means that Android companies are gaining sales through meager profits (and maybe losses in cases). If Apple used its pricing power by cutting prices it could collapse the competitor's already small profitability altogether and still remain profitable (with probably big volume gain). That would be a game changer and not far from reality.
On the Apple side, I meet lots of people here in the Bay Area, Apple's home turf, who have been waiting months for the iPhone 5 and will continue to wait. Some of them, being Geeks, already have a Samsung phone that they plan to ditch when the iPhone 5 arrives.
Overall, a lot of Androids are used by people who text, call, and map--iPhones and iPads are used for a lot more "work" and other applications. Apple's overall experience is still better and will continue to be. Even when Apple was on the brink of bankruptcy a Mac was easier to use than a Windows PC. But I think the screen size on the phones is a big deal that Apple needs to get right. I just see in talking to people that they swoon over the Samsung screen size. Emotionally, it makes it hard to choose a smaller screen phone when doing a head-to-head comparison.