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Some jobs remain beyond the reach of automation, but the list is growing shorter. "The pace and...

  • Sunday, August 19, 2012, 8:19 AM ET
    Some jobs remain beyond the reach of automation, but the list is growing shorter. "The pace and scale of this encroachment into human skills is relatively recent and has profound implications," says MIT's Andrew McAfee. Next: Robots with "eyes" (using technology found in Microsoft's Kinect) that can pick up boxes and drop them on a conveyer belt. Think FedEx and UPS.
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This news story has 26 comments:

  • 1997: http://web.cs.dal.ca~eem/cvWeb/pubs/arkjou...
    19 Aug 2012, 08:45 AM Reply Like
  • and now for a link that works: http://bit.ly/OB7GQi
    19 Aug 2012, 09:18 AM Reply Like
  • ["The pace and scale of this encroachment into human skills is relatively recent and has profound implications," says MIT's Andrew McAfee.]

    "Think FedEx and UPS"? How about the post office?
    19 Aug 2012, 09:35 AM Reply Like
  • This is an investment website. You can't buy or short stock in the post office. Move along now.
    19 Aug 2012, 12:12 PM Reply Like
  • I found that response to be short-sighted. Anything that impacts broader economic issues like employment has a potential impact on investments. I'm sure somewhere along the line, postal carriers help contribute to revenue streams for varying companies from which you reap parasitic rewards - in ways that postal robots wouldn't.

    The first thought I had beyond FedEx and UPS was application of these robots for mining.
    19 Aug 2012, 12:23 PM Reply Like
  • OK, unemployment, I'll buy that. And in addition to mining, how about agriculture? Or textiles? Or any other industry where large number of unskilled laborers are currently used.
    19 Aug 2012, 01:03 PM Reply Like
  • Like government?
    19 Aug 2012, 01:40 PM Reply Like
  • I was thinking finance. :)
    19 Aug 2012, 01:42 PM Reply Like
  • Agriculture and textiles were the *first* industries to be heavily mechanised... 200 years ago. I have no idea where you get your ideas about large numbers of unskilled labour. These jobs are *long* gone. How do you amortise a half million dollar robot against a Bangladeshi earning $1 per day?

    Mining:
    http://bit.ly/OCvW4C

    And these *are* computer controlled:
    http://bit.ly/OCvYcP


    No... Middle management, is the next big target for automation. The last great inefficiency in most corporations.
    19 Aug 2012, 03:47 PM Reply Like
  • We are testing automated Customs Officer kiosks that can detect deception, and then refers them for inspection. It causes fear.
    20 Aug 2012, 01:58 AM Reply Like
  • Meh fear of technology is nothing new, its been around since the Industrial Revolution....

    Queue Lafargue's "The Right to Be Lazy."
    19 Aug 2012, 09:57 AM Reply Like
  • Exactly. To be sure, it may take a little while for the world to adjust to these developments (e.g., figure out where/how new jobs will be created) but the world is never going to "run out of jobs".
    19 Aug 2012, 11:14 AM Reply Like
  • I would rather program a robot to pick-up boxes than break my back to pick them up myself...
    19 Aug 2012, 10:31 AM Reply Like
  • I wonder if the day will ever come when one can choose a robot for a life partner. Just imagine having a he/she or it that always does what you tell it when you tell it, only speaks when spoken to and doesn't argue. Mind you on reflection life could become rather boring !!!
    19 Aug 2012, 11:21 AM Reply Like
  • The Japanese dabble in this occasionally. Every now and then I come across an article about life-like "life partners". It's a little creepy, but as a techie I must say the technology is impressive.

    Also, for some reason, they seem to produce a lot of life-like robots intended to be teachers in classrooms. I think this speaks to the lack of creativity in their education style, but hey, each to their own. :)
    19 Aug 2012, 01:05 PM Reply Like
  • Ever see "Blade Runner"? It is the theme underlying it all.

    And in the social engineers' perfect world, you can marry a plant if you like. There are many who already claim to have done so.
    19 Aug 2012, 01:43 PM Reply Like
  • Automation began in the auto industry precisely as a response towards union greed. No jobs? You can thank the United Auto Workers for that. They made sure workers cost too much. And politicians, paid off by unions, made sure there were so many regulations on employers that robotics was a natural result to avoid all the headaches.

    Its the same with offshoring jobs. Cheap labor competes with Washington DC regulations and union overreach.

    Don't be mad at a robot. Be mad at Richard Trumpka and his horde of robotic cliches and angry robots under his care. Just look at his face. He's a very angry soul. That's his industry; fomenting rage. I'd rather build a robot than deal with his kind.

    This is an investment site. Make sure you understand the politics. It plays right into your investments. All of them. GM tanked because Richard Wagoner was corrupt in re to the unions and gave away the shop. The American taxpayer under Obama the Corrupt bailed out VEBA and the UAW, not an auto company. Now we are over $30 billion underwater and growing. Don't invest in GM. Invest in a real car company, one that either builds better robots or hires overseas. Any company in fact that avoids Washington DC's cruelty and abuse. If you invest in a company that is under Obama's authority, you will lose all your money. Bank on it.

    Again, this is an investment site. Be aware.
    19 Aug 2012, 01:27 PM Reply Like
  • Wyatt, some of that is correct, but in the history of unions ruining industries and creating unemployment (in which they have a giant role, by definition when you get to closed shops), there is a lot of blame on management, as well. Let's talk about lazy management in the steel industry which put up little if any opposition to union wage and benefit increases which eventually put the US out of the industrial steel business for a long time, ruined Pittsburgh (and that is debatable as it was pretty bad already), parts of Eastern Ohio, western Pennsylvania, and West Virginia, though one might be forgiven for thinking W.Va. was there already.

    And I see few Goliaths of negotiation or performance in the auto industry lately as the general performance of Government Motors continues to either take the easy road or defer difficult decisions to blame anything but themselves.

    Personally, I'd put Union heads and the corporate heads with which they deal in the same greed pot... and boil away!
    19 Aug 2012, 01:52 PM Reply Like
  • Well said.
    19 Aug 2012, 02:36 PM Reply Like
  • Oh I mentioned Rick Wagoner. Re-read my post. He caved in big time to unions, but then that again makes my point that the real evil against human hiring are the unions.
    19 Aug 2012, 03:10 PM Reply Like
  • Increasingly expensive workers filled with workers-rights propaganda are a strong incentive to permanently automate tasks. In fact, the closer a job is to being ABLE to be automated, the less the labor SHOULD cost, meaning if robots can do a task that a human is currently doing, that task shouldn't cost anywhere near $20/hr or what union wages would force car makers to pay. There will, however, always be a place for intelligent humans in the production of goods and services. Too bad the govt schools are too busy filling them with pro-govt anti-business propaganda to give them skills that will enable them to self-sufficiently survive the future workforce that is developing with automation as a permanent fixture.

    Self-sufficient people don't vote for more govt, that's why. Kids who can't find jobs because they wasted k-12 reading politically correct literature instead of learning tasks for which adults will pay, will vote for more govt. It starts in the public schools, the root of the problem is there. That's the nexus of the lifetime of govt-dependency. Competing schools is the solution.
    19 Aug 2012, 07:55 PM Reply Like
  • We will see GM in bankruptcy by next year. We saved who?
    20 Aug 2012, 02:01 AM Reply Like
  • Total B.S. American software and hardware companies have shipped software and hardware jobs to India and China. Robots are nothing but specialized computers.
    19 Aug 2012, 03:39 PM Reply Like
  • I think the point is that low-skilled jobs are becoming less and less available. Which begs the question, what will happen to the low-skill people?
    19 Aug 2012, 04:35 PM Reply Like
  • Well, all we have to do is change the regulations from a 40 hour a week standard to a 32 hour a week standard (four day work week) and we'd employ a lot more people. (and the inflation would be horrendous and finish wiping out the savers).
    19 Aug 2012, 04:38 PM Reply Like
  • How about we simply replace all the federal bureaucrats with robots!
    Should be pretty easy to do since all the idiots I interact with simply read scripts, read rules, and claim they are just following their instructions.

    And lets not do any maintenance - as the robots malfunction just let them rust away!!

    And we'll end up with smaller government - and I'll bet we won't even notice a big change.
    19 Aug 2012, 06:30 PM Reply Like
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