Market Currents
The weak NFP print increases the likelihood the Fed will launch fresh stimulus at its policy...
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Friday, September 7, 2012, 9:27 AM ETThe weak NFP print increases the likelihood the Fed will launch fresh stimulus at its policy meeting next week, writes Jon Hilsenrath. Bernanke made clear (again) his concerns over the labor market in his Jackson Hole speech, leaving the suggestion he's itching to take action. Today's report, combined with ISM in contraction territory, may give him the opening.
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"...allowing markets to clear..."
When debt contractions of the size required in this instance are allowed to "clear," unfettered by Fed monetary actions, you get massive money-supply contraction and resulting depression, exactly as occurred in the '30's. And, it's not the bankers, politicians or the rich that suffer disproportionately in depressions; it's the little people, who lose their jobs, houses and savings, just trying to keep their noses above water.
That's easy to deal with. Just suspend all IRS collections until GDP is north of 5% and unemployment is back at 4%.
Income taxes under a monopolized money medium system are like treasury stock purchases. They just cancel the money mediums. Thus if you are worried about money mediums disappearing, then stop cancelling them.
Question is; if no QE, will the market stay flat until election and fiscal cliff, or improve because "things must really be good" if FED doesn't think we need QE, or fall sharply because reality finally sets in that more QE won't help the economy and we need to face the pain in order to move forward. My bet is we see a 15-20% correction starting next week. We shall see...
The market, at some point, will conjure up new fears of the "fiscal cliff." Even so, I don't foresee any 15-20% correction, if only for the reason, which I have so often mentioned recently, that too much capital is already allocated away from equities. This will provide lots of downside support for equities and will attract buyers on dips.
Wonder what the rearview mirror opinions of the current Fed 'price of money controls' will reveal.
It's the new "bull market".