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Though Verizon (VZ) has an edge on AT&T (T) when it comes to 4G LTE coverage, AT&T might...
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Wednesday, December 5, 2012, 2:39 PM ETThough Verizon (VZ) has an edge on AT&T (T) when it comes to 4G LTE coverage, AT&T might soon open a lead in download speeds. Research firm TBR says it believes AT&T will launch 4G services based on the LTE Advanced standard, which supports 100 Mbps+ speeds (in lab environments anyway), in 2H13, citing recent executive comments. Verizon has said it will support LTE Advanced, but hasn't provided a timetable. Clearwire's (CLWR) LTE network will support the standard from the start.
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Verizon, on the other hand, is still crawling along with EVDO.
But, Clearwire will also be coming on board with their Advanced network at the same time as AT&T. Hum, what if AT&T is not putting in an Advanced LTE and is really going to buy wholesale time on Clearwire?
Sprint did the same thing when they said they had 4G when in reality it was the Clearwire WiMax network. Could it be that AT&T is buy network time from Clearwire?
that was a very informative comment. I stopped looking at CLWR because I figured it was a ship without a captain, it's taken forever for the company to pick a strategy, commit to it, and follow through.
Your point suggesting the softbank deal makes the difference urges me to look deeper here. I'm still concerned about execution though.
With so many dozen approved LTE bands, nearly no single LTE phone could work globally (heck, even nationally). CLWR could own a few hundred MHz of silent spectrum and still won't help their position or cashflow at all.
Just look at T-Mobile USA and China Mobile. One owns strange band and one uses strange 3G. Both get the crappiest smartphones.
You are correct in assuming that CLWR is a risky stock. Personally I think the managment is pretty good and the handicap has always revolved around rasing capital and paying debt. Although sprint has maintianed a majority share for some time now they too have had a financial cloud of uncertainty hanging over their heads. I think that alot has changed in the recent months but a lot of risk still remains. If you research Softbank, CLWR, and Sprint you'll find that there is a solid managment team made up of successful billionares who have made their money by being in the right place at the right time.
The softbank deal greatly improves CLWRs TD-LTE position as Softbank has already begun to execute their Japanies TD-LTE network. Since they both use the same freqencies and technology the overall cost of building and finishing thier netorks should go down. Although no public statements have been made I'm convinced that Softbanks interest in sprint is primarilly for CLWR and their spectrum. If Dish does infact have intrest in joining the party then these companies will have all the tools they need to compete with V, ATT, Comcast, and any other major competitor with substantial growth potential.
In my opinion a small postion in CLWR could lead to some serious longterm returns. Do your research and if you decide to invest make its a value you're willing to loose. CLWR is still heading down a path where they will be running out of money very soon but now there is a considerable amount of evidence which shows that they may get the financial help they need to move forward.