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Martin Sosnoff sees market share for the iPhone and iPad peaking soon and the iPod in slow...
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Wednesday, April 6, 2011, 4:44 PM ETMartin Sosnoff sees market share for the iPhone and iPad peaking soon and the iPod in slow decline, concluding that Apple's (AAPL) days as a growth stock could be ending unless it has a major new product. For some, the bad omens are starting to pile up.
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This news story has 7 comments:
it's funny to see such predictions when you are growing above 20%...
He could've easily written this same story (and probably did) before the iPod, iPhone or iPad releases.
"Martin Sosnoff sees market share for the iPod and iPhone peaking soon and the iMac in slow decline, concluding that Apple's (AAPL) days as a growth stock could be ending unless it has a major new product."
He could be right this time, but I see little reason to trust it being different than before.
What's holding AAPL's stock from trading like any other growth stock is its size. Mature companies like Apple don't normally start their growth phase twenty five years after their IPO. And a lot of Professionals just can't get past that. But if Apple continues to grow its earnings at 30% (Conservative estimate for AAPL based upon last 3 yrs historical earnings), and the Multiple does not expand or contract, I think a $450 price target within a year is not only reasonable but modest.
Long AAPL